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and political significance. Trendsdirection or sequence of events that has some momentum and durability. Megatrendslarge social, economic, political, and technological changes
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economic activity (Asia (excluding Japan)13% of World GDP; Western Europe > 30%) Increases in public-sector activity (aging of population new levels of efficiency and creativity from public sector) Change in consumer landscape (billion new consumers to enter global marketplace in next decade and U.S. Latinos 2015 spending power equivalent to 60% of Chinese consumers. Technological connectivity (change way people live) Scarcity of well-trained talent (33 mm university-educated young professionals in developing countries is more than double the number in developed ones
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natural resources (Oil demand projected to grow by 50% in next two decades and water shortages may constraint growth in many countries) Emergence of new global industry structures (barbelllike structurefew large, narrow middle, lot of smaller companies) Ubiquitous access to information (open source approach) Management shifts from art to science (algorithmic decisionmaking techniques and sophisticated software) Increase in scrutiny of big business practices (be able to argue and demonstrate intellectual, social, and economic case for business)
Environmental Forces
Demographic
Economic
Socio-cultural Natural Technological Political-legal
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age,
sex, race, occupation, other statistical information.
Household patterns
Geographical shifts
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2000 it was 6.1 billon and it is projected to exceed 7.9 billon by 2025I
India
Close to one billion population Growth rate over 2% per annum Life expectancy from 48 years in 1947 to 70 years in 2001
implication for business. For Example--GOLDMAN SCAHS report has projected that India in next 30 year might grow up to 3rd largest economy in world
recognizing the potential of youth segment (marketers are focused on youth ) For example--Titan the well-known watch marketer
Introduced a range of Sunglasses which is call
Literacy Of Population
Literacy of Population is mainly
Household Patterns
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ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
Market requires purchasing power as well as
people. Purchasing power depends upon current income, prices, debt, credit, saving etc. Marketers must pay careful attention to trends affecting purchasing power.
INDIAN SOFTWARE GIANTS WARY OF ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN 20 JAN 2008 (Economic times)
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
Macroeconomic indicators provides overall
health of economy as well as direction of economic growth. Marketers needs to understand the distribution of income to make more meaningful conclusions.
Source: McKinsey,
Stationery
Kitchen utensils Furniture Furnishings Sports goods Health & Beauty Personal Care Jewellery Timing Rural (6,27,000 villages) US$ 188 Billion (55%)
Modern retail Negligible
Source: Central Statistical Organization (CS0) and Technopak Analysis Conversion rate: 1 US$ = 40.86 Rs.
Raw-materialexporting economies
Subsistence economies
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towards certain goods &services. People absorb, unconsciously a worldview that defines relationship to organization, to themselves, to society, to nature, and to universe.
Microsoft steps up on search R&D IN EUROPE This is because maximum usage is in European countries.
Social-Cultural Environment
Views of themselves (pleasure seeker, self-
realization, etc.) Views of others (concern about homeless, crime, victims, social surrogatestelevision, home video games, etc.) Views of organizations (company downsizing and corporate accounting scandals, etc.) Views of society (defend societypreservers; run itmakers; can get fromtakers; change it changers; looking for something deeperseekers; leave it--escapers Views of nature (natures fragility and finiteness) Views of the universe (religious, etc.)
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TV Watching
Spending time with
Walking
Exercise Listening to music Shopping
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Natural Environment
Shortage of raw materials
Anti-pollution pressures
Governmental protections
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NATURAL ENVIRONMENT
Deterioration of natural environment is major
concern. Cities like Mumbai, Bangalore etc. reached dangerous levels. Some regulation hit industries very hard--Steel industry
environmental products to perform as well as alternatives; products that have health benefits; fixed price for renewable energy products) Calibration of Consumer Knowledge (connect environmental products attributes with desired consumer valuepesticide-free; solar powered); use of internet. Credibility of Product Claims (environmental product and consumer benefit claims)
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TECHNOLOGICAL ENVIRONMENT
Technology has released like non invasive
surgery, Internet, bullet trains, spacecraft, mobile phones, satellites, DNA testing, ATMs Fibre Optics, Microprocessors, Photovoltaic
Solar Energy, Bar codes and scanners, Birth control pills ,GPS etc
It has also released hazards like hydrogen
Technological Environment
Pace of change
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development in political and legal environment. Increase in business legislation Protecting the welfare of consumers Gilvec Patent, Consumer protection act, RTI, weights and measures Food bill , NAREGA
Political-Legal Environment
Increase in business legislation (e.g., unfair competition, protect society)
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