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Pendahuluan (Konsep Definisi) Exp with a Single Factor: ANOVA (Ch: 3) Randomized Bloks (Ch: 4) Latin Square (Ch: 4) Factorial Design (Ch:5) Two level Fractional Factorial Design (Ch:8) Taguchi approach
PENDAHULUAN
Mengapa Eksperimen
1. Menentukan penyebab penyebab variasi dalam response 2. Untuk menentukan kondisi yang optimal (maksimum atau minimum) sehingga optimasi response dapat dicapai 3. Membandingkan response menurut setiap level pada faktor faktor yang dikontrol 4. Mengembangkan model untuk prediksi responses
A Serious Problem...
I want my car to go fast like that one!
24-Dec-13
Yes
Air Holes
No Slow
Fast
24-Dec-13
Air Holes
No Slow
Shape
Air Holes
No Slow Slow
Shape
KONSEP DEFINISI
Definisi
1. 2. Treatments different combinations of conditions that we wish to test Treatment Levels the relative intensities at which a treatment will be set during the experiment Factor (Treatment factor) one of the controlled conditions of the experiment (these combine to form the treatments) Experimental Unit subject on which a treatment will be applied and from which a response will be elicited also called measurement or response units Responses outcomes that will be elicited from experimental units after treatments have been applied
3.
4.
5.
Perlakuan berbagai kombinasi kosndisi dan situasi yang berbeda yang akan kita uji Level Perlakuan intensitas relatif dimana satu perlakuan akan disetel selama percobaan Faktor (Faktor perlakuan) salah satu kondisi terkontrol dari percobaan (kombinasi ini untuk membentuk perlakuan) Unit percobaan subyek pada yang mana satu perlakuan akan diterapkan dan dari yang mana satu tanggapan akan timbul juga pengukuran dipanggil atau unit tanggapan Tanggapi hasil yang akan timbul dari unit percobaan setelah perlakuan telah diterapkan
6.
Design of Experiments (DOE) also referred to as Experimental Design, this is the study of planning efficient and systematic collection of responses from experimental units 7. Experimental Design rule for assigning treatment levels to experimental units 8. Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) principal statistical means for evaluating potential sources of variation in the responses 9. Replication observing individual responses of multiple experimental units under identical experimental conditions 10. Repeated Measurements observing multiple responses of a single experimental unit under identical experimental conditions
Perancangan Percobaan (KIJANG BETINA) juga dikenal sebagai Desain Percobaan, ini adalah pembahasan dari efisien perencanaan dan koleksi sistematis dari tanggapan dari unit percobaan Desain percobaan ketentuan untuk taraf perlakuan penugasan ke unit percobaan Analisa varians (ANOVA) data statistik terpenting memaksudkan untuk mengevaluasi sumber potensial dari variasi pada tanggapan Replika tanggapan individu pengamatan dari unit percobaan perkalian pada kondisi percobaan serupa Mengulangi Pengukuran tanggapan perkalian pengamatan dari unit percobaan tunggal pada kondisi percobaan serupa
11. Blocking partition the experimental units into groups (or blocks) that are homogeneous in some sense 12. Covariate additional responses collected from the experimental units, usually to be used as predictors (and so are sometimes called predictive responses) these are not part of a designed experiment (why?) 13. Randomization nonsystematic assignment of experimental units to treatments 14. Blinding hiding which experimental units have been assigned to treatments from the analyst 15. Confounding design situation in which the effect of one factor or treatment can not be distinguished from another factor or treatment this is the experimental equivalent of perfect multicolinearity (why?)
Menghalangi sekat unit percobaan ke dalam group (atau halangi) yang homogen di beberapa rasa Covariate tanggapan additional terkumpul dari unit percobaan, biasanya dipergunakan seperti peramal (dan demikian sering menjadi tanggapan bersifat prediksi yang dipanggil) ini bukan bagian dari satu percobaan didisain (kenapa?) Pengacakan tugas nonsystematic dengan unit percobaan ke perlakuan Membutakan sembunyi yang mana unit percobaan telah ditugaskan ke perlakuan dari ahli analisa Mengacaukan keadaan desain darimana akibat dari faktor sesuatu atau perlakuan tidak dapat dicirikan faktor lain atau perlakuan ini adalah padanan percobaan dengan multicolinearity sempurna (kenapa?)
Experimentation
Manipulation of the values (or levels) of one or more (independent) variables or treatments and observation of the corresponding change in the values of one or more (dependent) variables or responses Manipulasi dari nilai (atau tingkat) dari satu atau lebih (bebas tak terikat) variabel atau perlakuan dan observasi dari perubahan sesuai pada nilai dari satu atau lebih (bergantung) variabel atau tanggapan
Basic Principles
1. Replication observing individual responses of multiple experimental units under identical experimental conditions 2. Randomization non systematic assignment of experimental units to treatments 3. Blocking partition the experimental units into groups (or blocks) that are homogeneous in some sense Replika tanggapan individu pengamatan dari unit percobaan perkalian pada kondisi percobaan serupa Pengacakan bukan tugas sistematis dengan unit percobaan ke perlakuan Menghalangi sekat unit percobaan ke dalam group (atau blok ) yang homogen di beberapa rasa
Chap 3. Exp with a Single Factor: ANOVA 1. Simple design: Experimen dengan satu faktor misalnya siswa di kelas A dg kurikulum KTSP vs kelas B dg MBS dalam UAN. 2. Faktor dapat dilakukan lebih dari dua level. 3. Analisis dilakukan dg Anova sederhana.
Strength
Cotton weight Observasi (replikasi) T Rerata Percentage 1 2 3 4 5 15 7 7 15 11 9 49 9.8 20 12 17 12 18 18 77 15.4 25 14 18 18 19 19 88 17.6 30 19 25 22 19 23 108 21.6 35 7 10 11 15 11 54 10.8
Sumber: Table 2.1 hal 62
SST x G /n
2 2
3-1. The tensile strength of Portland cement is being studied. Four different mxing techniques can be used economically. The following data have been collected:
Mixing Technique Tensile Strenght (lb/n2)
1 2 3 4
Test the hypothesis that mixing techniques affect the strength of the comnet. Use = 0,05.
3-4.
And in experiment was run to determine whether four specific firing temperatures affect the density of a certain type of brick. The experiment led to the following data:
Temperature
Density
100 125
21.8 21.7
21.9 21.4
21.7 21.5
21.6 21.4
21.7 21.5
150
175
21.9
21.9
21.8
21.7
21.8
21.8
21.6
21.4
Does the firing temperature affect the density of the brick? Use = 0,05.
3-6. A manufacturer of television sets is interested in the effect on tube conductivity data are obtained:
Coating Type Conductivity
1 2 3 4
Is there a difference in conductivity due to coating type? Use = 0,05. Estimate 3-8. An article in the ACI Material Journal (Vol. 84, 1947, pp. 213-216) describe several experiments investigating the rodding of concrete to remove entrapped air. A 3inch X 6-inch cylinder was used, and the number of times this rod was used is the design variable. The resulting compressive strength of the concrete specimen is the reponse. The data are shown in the following table:
Rodding Level Compressive Strenght
10
1530
1530
1440
15
20 25
1610
1560 1500
1650
1730 1490
1500
1530 1510
Is there any difference in compressive strength due the rodding level? Use = 0,05.
4-1. A chemist wishes to test the effect of four chemical agents on the strength of a particular type of cloth. Because there might be variability from one bolt to another, the chemist decides to use a randomized block design, with the bolts of cloth considered as blocks. She selects five bolt and applies all four chemicals ain random order to each bolt. The resulting tensile strength follow. Analyze the data from this experiment (use = 0.05) and draw appropriate conclusions.
Bolt Chemical 1 2 3 1 73 73 75 2 68 67 68 3 74 75 78 4 71 72 73 5 67 70 68
73
71
75
75
69
4-2. Three different washing solutions are being compared to study their effectiveness in retarding bacteria growth in 5gallon milk containers. The analysis is done in a laboratory, and only three trials can be run on any day. Because days could represent a potential source of variability, the experimenter decides to use a randomized block design. Observations are taken for four days, and the data are shown here. Analyze the data from this experiments (use = 0.05) and draw conclusions.
Days Solution 1 2 3 4
1
2 3
13
16 5
22
24 4
18
17 1
39
44 22
4-5. An article in the Fire Safety Journal (The Effect of Nozzle Design on the Stability and Performance of Turbulent Water Jets, Vol. 4. August 1981) describes an experiment in which a shape factor was determined for several different nozzle design at six levels of jet efflux velocity. Interest focused on potential differences between nozzle design, with velocity considered as a nuisance variable. the data are shown below:
Nozzle Design 1 2 3 4 5 11.73 0.78 0.85 0.93 1.14 0.97 Jet Efflux Velocity (m/s) 14.73 16.59 20.43 23.46 0.80 0.81 0.75 0.77 0.85 0.92 0.86 0.81 0.92 0.95 0.89 0.89 0.97 0.98 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.78 0.76 0.76 28.74 0.78 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.75
4-7. Any alumunium master alloy manufacturer produces grain refiners in ingot form. The comperating produces the product in four furnaces is known to have its own unique operating characteristics, soa any experiment run in the foundry thay involves more than one furnace will consider furnaces as a nuisance variable. The process engineers suspect that stiring rate affects the grain size of the product. Each furnace can be run at four different atirring rates. A randomized block design is run for a particular refiner, and the resulting grain size data is show below:
1. Graph the residuals from this experiment on a normal probability plot. Interpret this plot. 2. Is there any evidence that stirring rate affects grain seze? 3. Plot the residuals versus furnace and stirring rate. Does this plot convey any useful information? 4. What should the process engineers recommend concerning the choice of stirring rate and furnace for this particular grain refiner if small grain significant test.
1 8 14 14 17
Furnace 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 9 9 3
4 4 9 2 6
4-13. An industrial engineer is conducting an experiment on eye focus time. he is interested in the effect of the distance of the object from the eye on the focus time. Four different distances are of interest. He has five subjects available for the experiment. Because there may be differences among individuals, he decides to conduct the experiment in arandomized block design. The data obtained follow. Analyze the data from this experiment (use = 0.05) and draw appropriate conclusions
Distanc e (ft) 1 4 10 6 7 8 5 19 6 2 6 6 3 4 Subject 3 6 6 3 4 4 6 1 2 2 5 6 6 5 3
4-14. The effect of five different ingredients (A, B, C, D, E) on the reaction time of a chemical process is being studied. Each batch of new material is only large enough to permit five runs to be made. Furthermore, each run requires approximately 1 hours, so only five runs can be made in one day. The experimenter decided to run the experiment as a Latin square so that day and batch effects may be systematically controlled. She obtains the data that follow. Analyze the data from this experiment (use = 0.05) and draw conclusions.
Batch 1 2 3 4 5 1 A=8 C = 11 B=4 D=6 E=4 2 B=7 E= 2 A=9 C=8 D=2 Day 3 D=1 A= 7 C = 10 E=6 B=3 4 C=7 D=3 E=1 B=6 A=8 5 E=3 B= 8 D=5 A = 10 C=4
4-15. An industrial engineer is investigating the effect of four assembly methods (A, B, C, D,) on the assembly time for a color television component. Four operators are selected for the study. Furthermore, the engineer knows that each assembly method produces such fatigue that the time required for the last assembly may be greater than the time required for the first, regardless of the method. That is, a trend develops in the required assembly time. To account for this source of variability, the engineer uses the Latin square design shown below. Analyze the data from this experiment (use = 0.05) and drw appropriate conclusions.
Order of Assembly 1 2 3 4 Operator
1 C = 10 B=7 A=5 D = 10 2 D = 14 C = 18 B = 10 A = 10 3 A=7 D = 11 C = 11 B = 12 4 B=8 A=8 D=9 C = 14
RM 1 2 3 4 5
Operator 2 3 4 B=20 C=19 D=24 A=24 D=30 E=27 B=38 A=26 A=27 C=31 B=26 B=23 D=30 C=20 C=29
Operator RM 1 2 3 4 5 T 1 24 20 19 24 24 111 2 17 24 30 27 36 134 3 18 38 26 27 21 130 4 26 31 26 23 22 128 5 22 30 20 29 31 132 T 107 143 121 130 134 635
Graeco Latin 1 2 3 4 5 T 1 24 30 26 27 36 143 2 21 17 20 20 23 101 3 29 22 18 24 19 112 4 30 24 18 26 38 149 5 31 26 18 24 22 130 T 135 119 18 121 138 635
RM
Operator Latin Greek Error
4
4 4 4 8
68
150 330 62 66
68 17.00
150 37.50 330 82.50 62 15.50 66 8.25
2.06
4.55 10.00 1.88
0.178
0.033 0.003 0.208
Total
24
676
4-22. The yield of a chemical process was measured using five batches of raw material, five acid concentrations, ive satnding times (A, D, C, D, E), and five catalyst concentrations (, , , , ). The GraceoLatin square that follow was used. Analyze the data from this experiment (use = 0.05) and draw conclusions
Acid concentrations 2 3 4 B = 18 C = 14 D = 16 C = 21 D = 18 E = 11 D = 12 E =16 A = 25 E = 15 A = 22 B = 14 A = 24 B = 17 C = 17
Batches 1 2 3 4 5
1 A = B = C = D = E =
26 18 20 15 10
5 E = A= B= C = D =
13 21 13 17 14
4-23. Suppose that in Problem 4-15 the engineer suspects that the workplaces used by the faour operators may represent an additional source of variation. A fourth factor, workplace (, , , ,) may be introduced and another experiment conducted, yielding the Graceo-Latin square that follows, Analyze the data from this experiment (use = 0.05) and draw conclusiona.
Order of Assembly 1 2 3 4 Operator 1 C = 11 B = 8 A = 9 D = 9 2 B = 10 C = 12 D = 11 A = 8 3 D = 14 A = 10 B = 7 C = 18 4 A = 8 D = 12 C = 15 B = 6
4. The BIBD
Cataliyst 1 2 3 4 Tj Table 4.22 Montgomery Raw Material 1 2 3 4 73 74 71 75 67 72 73 75 68 75 72 75 221 224 207 218 Ti 218 214 216 222 870
ANOVA BIBD
4-27. An engineer is studying the mileage of performance characteristics of five types of gasoline additives. In the road test he wishes to use cars as blocks; however, because of a time constraint, he must use an incomplete block design. He runs the balanced design with the five blocks that follow. Analyze the data from this experiments (use = 0.05) and draw conclusions.
Additive 1 1 2 3 4 5 14 12 13 11 2 17 14 11 12 Car 3 14 13 11 10 4 13 13 12 12 5 12 10 9 8
4-29. Seven different hardwood concentrations are being studied to determine their effect on the strength of the paper produced. However, the pilot plant can only produce three runs each day. As days may differ, the analyst uses the balanced incomplete block design that follows. Analyze the data from this experiment (use = 0.05) and draw conclusions.
Hardwood Concentration (%) 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Days 1 114 126 141 145 120 136 2 120 137 3 4 5 120 119 6 7 117
117 129
134
149 150 143 118
123 130
127
A -1 1 -1 1
B -1 -1 1 1
X 20 40 30 52
Y 20 50 40 12
Table 5-1 Life (in hours) Data for Battery Design Example
Material Temperature Type 15 70 1 130 155 34 40 74 180 80 75 2 150 188 136 122 159 126 106 115 3 138 110 174 120 168 160 150 139
125 20 82 25 58 96 82 70 58 70 45 104 60
Analisis of Variance
Two-way ANOVA: x versus MT, Temp Source MT Temp Interaction Error Total DF 2 2 4 27 35 SS MS F P 10684.0 5341.9 7.91 0.002 39119.0 19559.0 28.97 9613.8 2403.4 3.56 0.019 18231.0 675.2 77647.0
P 0.00 0.00
200
-3 -1 0 1 5 4
250
-1 0 2 1 7 6
200
-1 0 2 3 7 9
250
1 1 6 5 10 11
Analysis of Variance
i. Fitting response curve ii. Fitting response surface iii. Usinf regression iv. To predict
Table 5.16 Tool Life cutting speed Angle in/min degree 125 150 175 -2 -3 2 15 -1 0 3 0 1 4 20 2 3 6 -1 5 0 25 0 6 -1
No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
A 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20
X -2 -3 2 -1 0 3 0 1 4
No 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
A 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25
X 2 3 6 -1 5 0 0 6 -1
Table 5-19 Intensity Level at Target Detection operator block 1 2 3 4 filter type 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 Ground cutter low 90 86 96 84 100 92 92 81 medium 102 87 106 90 105 97 6 80 hught 114 93 112 91 108 95 98 83
2
3 4 5 6
C
B E F D
91
98 92
5-4. An article in Industrial Quality Control (1956, pp. 58) describes an experiment to investigate the effect of the type of glass and the type of phosphor on the brightness of an television tube. The response variable is the current necessary (in microamps) to obtain a specified brightness level. The data are as follow: i.Is there any indication that either factor influences brightness? Use = 0.05. ii.Do the two factors iteract? Use = 0.05. iii.Analyze the residuals from this experiment
5-1 The yield of chemical process is being studied. The two most important variables are thought to be the pressure and the temperature. Three levels of each factor are selected, and a factorial experiment with two replicates is performed. The yield data follow: i.Analyze the data and draw conclusions. Use = 0.05. ii.Prepare appropriate residual plots and comment on the models adequancy. iii.Under what conditions would you operate this process?
5-17. The quality control department of a fabric finishing plant is studying the effect of several factors on the dyeing of cotton-sunthetic cloth used to manufacture mens shirt. Three operators, three cycle times, and two temperatures were selected, and three small specimens of cloth were dyed under each set of conditions. The finished cloth was compared and drw cpnclusions. Comment on the models adequacy.
3. Saudara diminta membuat rancangan pengolahan SPSS dari tampilan rancangan dalam soal Montgomery no: 3.17 3.30 4.2 4.5 5.7 4.15 4.22 4.27 4.29 Hint: lihat contoh disamping.