RELIABILITY, RISK PREDICTION AND RAM STUDIES

KR5824 LECTURE 3 (SELF-READ)

PN. REEHAN ADNE AB RAHIM

3.1 Factors of system failure

Failure resulting from software elements Failure due to human factors or operating documentation Failure due to environmental factors Failure whereby redundancy is defeated by factors common to the replicated units Failure due to ambiguity in the specification Failure due to timing constraints within the design Failure due to combinations of component parameter tolerance

3.2 Definition

Failure: non-conformance to some defined performance criterion Quality: conformance to specification Maintainability: the probability that a failed item will be restored to operational effectiveness within a given period of time when the repair action is performed in accordance with prescribed procedures (the probability of repai in a given time)

3.3 relationship of predicted risk and the eventual field performance

DESIGN Design reliability
Duplication Derating Component selection Design quantification Equipment diversity Change control Quality assurance Production testing Training Method study Process instructions Failure feedback Replacement strategy Preventive maintenance User interaction

MANUFACTUR ER

FIELD

Achieved reliability

3.4 Qualitative and Quantitative assessment

Quantitative assessment where we predict the frequency of hardware failures and compare them with some target. If the target is not satisfied then the design is adapted until the target is met Qualitative assessment Where we attempt to minimise the occurrence of systematic failures (including software related failures) by applying a variety of defenses and design disciplines appropriate to the severity of the target.

3.5 Reliability, Availability and Maintainability (RAM studies)

RAM modeling can stimulate the configuration, operation, failure, repair and maintenance of equipment. The inputs for a RAM modelling will include the physical components, equipment configuration and maintenance philosophy in a system and the outputs can determined average productions of the system over the facility or vessel life. It will generate sufficient data needed to make decisions for possible changes that may increase system efficiency, and therefore increase project profits

3.5.1 Continue

RAMS modeling assesses a production systems capabilities, whether it is in operation or still in a design phase. The result from a RAM modelling will identify possible causes of production losses and can be examine possible system alternatives. Its a tool for decision-making with help for costs versus benefits analysis.

3.5.2 benefits of RAM studies

Analyze,

predict and verify the future production performance of a proposed design against target Identify and quantify critical loss contributors in order to enable informed design improvement decisions Integrated supply chain RAM analysis allows the future performance of the supply chain to be analyzed Whole supply chain RAM analysis applied at the pre-project phase can be a powerful tool to support your options between proposed projects