Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster
1 PART I INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS The Scope and Method of Economics Fernando & Yvonn Quijano Prepared by: C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 2 of 34 1 PART I INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS The Scope and Method of Economics Why Study Economics? To Learn a Way of Thinking To Understand Society To Understand Global Affairs To Be an Informed Voter The Scope of Economics Microeconomics and Macroeconomics The Diverse Fields of Economics The Method of Economics Theories and Models Economic Policy An Invitation Appendix: How to Read and Understand Graphs CHAPTER OUTLINE C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 3 of 34 The Scope And Method Of Economics economics The study of how individuals and societies choose to use the scarce resources that nature and previous generations have provided. The key word in this definition is choose. Economics is a behavioral, or social, science. In large measure it is the study of how people make choices. The choices that people make, when added up, translate into societal choices. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 4 of 34 Three fundamental concepts: Opportunity cost Marginalism, and Efficient markets To Learn A Way Of Thinking Why Study Economics? C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 5 of 34 opportunity cost The best alternative that we forgo, or give up, when we make a choice or a decision. scarce Limited. Why Study Economics? Opportunity Cost To Learn A Way Of Thinking C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 6 of 34 Why Study Economics? marginalism The process of analyzing the additional or incremental costs or benefits arising from a choice or decision. sunk costs Costs that cannot be avoided, regardless of what is done in the future, because they have already been incurred. Marginalism and Sunk Costs To Learn A Way Of Thinking C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 7 of 34 Why Study Economics? efficient market A market in which profit opportunities are eliminated almost instantaneously. The study of economics teaches us a way of thinking and helps us make decisions. To Learn A Way Of Thinking C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 8 of 34 Why Study Economics? Industrial Revolution The period in England during the late eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries in which new manufacturing technologies and improved transportation gave rise to the modern factory system and a massive movement of the population from the countryside to the cities. To Understand Society The study of economics is an essential part of the study of society. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 9 of 34 Why Study Economics? To Understand Global Affairs An understanding of economics is essential to an understanding of global affairs. E C O N O M I C S I N P R A C T I C E iPod and the World An iPod Has Global Value. Ask the (Many) Countries That Make It. The New York Times C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 10 of 34 Why Study Economics? To Be An Informed Citizen When we participate in the political process, we are voting on issues that require a basic understanding of economics. A knowledge of economics is essential to be an informed citizen. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 11 of 34 microeconomics The branch of economics that examines the functioning of individual industries and the behavior of individual decision-making unitsthat is, business firms and households. The Scope of Economics Microeconomics and Macroeconomics macroeconomics The branch of economics that examines the economic behavior of aggregates income, employment, output, and so onon a national scale. Microeconomics looks at the individual unitthe household, the firm, the industry. It sees and examines the trees. Macroeconomics looks at the whole, the aggregate. It sees and analyzes the forest. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 12 of 34 The Scope of Economics TABLE 1.1 Examples of Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Concerns Divisions of Economics
Production
Prices
Income
Employment Microeconomics Production/output in individual industries and businesses
How much steel How much office space How many cars Price of individual goods and services
Price of medical care Price of gasoline Food prices Apartment rents Distribution of income and wealth
Wages in the auto industry Minimum wage Executive salaries Poverty Employment by individual businesses and industries
Jobs in the steel industry Number of employees in a firm Number of accountants Macroeconomics National production/output
Total industrial output Gross domestic product Growth of output Aggregate price level
Consumer prices Producer prices Rate of inflation National income
Total wages and salaries Total corporate profits Employment and unemployment in the economy
Total number of jobs Unemployment rate Microeconomics and Macroeconomics C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 13 of 34 The Scope of Economics TABLE 1.2 The Fields of Economics Comparative economic systems examines the ways alternative economic systems function. What are the advantages and disadvantages of different systems? Econometrics applies statistical techniques and data to economic problems in an effort to test hypotheses and theories. Most schools require economics majors to take at least one course in statistics or econometrics. Economic development focuses on the problems of low-income countries. What can be done to promote development in these nations? Important concerns of development economists include population growth and control, provision for basic needs, and strategies for international trade. Economic history traces the development of the modern economy. What economic and political events and scientific advances caused the Industrial Revolution? What explains the tremendous growth and progress of postWorld War II Japan? What caused the Great Depression of the 1930s? Economics of race and gender examines the role of race and gender in economic theory, in economic life, and in policymaking. How has discrimination by race or gender affected the well-being of households and the distribution of income and wealth? Environmental economics studies the potential failure of the market system to account fully for the impacts of production and consumption on the environment and on natural resource depletion. Have alternative public policies and new economic institutions been effective in correcting these potential failures? Finance examines the ways in which households and firms actually pay for, or finance, their purchases. It involves the study of capital markets (including the stock and bond markets), futures and options, capital budgeting, and asset valuation. The Diverse Fields of Economics Continued... C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 14 of 34 The Scope of Economics TABLE 1.2 The Fields of Economics (continued) The history of economic thought, which is grounded in philosophy, studies the development of economic ideas and theories over time, from Adam Smith in the eighteenth century to the works of economists such as Thomas Malthus, Karl Marx, and John Maynard Keynes. Because economic theory is constantly developing and changing, studying the history of ideas helps give meaning to modern theory and puts it in perspective. Industrial organization looks carefully at the structure and performance of industries and firms within an economy. How do businesses compete? Who gains and who loses? International economics studies trade flows among countries and international financial institutions. What are the advantages and disadvantages for a country that allows its citizens to buy and sell freely in world markets? Why is the dollar strong or weak? Labor economics deals with the factors that determine wage rates, employment, and unemployment. How do people decide whether to work, how much to work, and at what kind of job? How have the roles of unions and management changed in recent years? Law and economics analyzes the economic function of legal rules and institutions. How does the law change the behavior of individuals and businesses? Do different liability rules make accidents and injuries more or less likely? What are the economic costs of crime? Public economics examines the role of government in the economy. What are the economic functions of government, and what should they be? How should the government finance the services that it provides? What kinds of government programs should confront the problems of poverty, unemployment, and pollution? What problems does government involvement create? Urban and regional economics studies the spatial arrangement of economic activity. Why do we have cities? Why are manufacturing firms locating farther and farther from the center of urban areas? The Diverse Fields of Economics C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 15 of 34 The Method of Economics positive economics An approach to economics that seeks to understand behavior and the operation of systems without making judgments. It describes what exists and how it works. normative economics An approach to economics that analyzes outcomes of economic behavior, evaluates them as good or bad, and may prescribe courses of action. Also called policy economics. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 16 of 34 The Method of Economics descriptive economics The compilation of data that describe phenomena and facts. Descriptive Economics and Economic Theory economic theory A statement or set of related statements about cause and effect, action and reaction. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 17 of 34 The Method of Economics model A formal statement of a theory, usually a mathematical statement of a presumed relationship between two or more variables. variable A measure that can change from time to time or from observation to observation. Theories and Models Ockhams razor The principle that irrelevant detail should be cut away. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 18 of 34 The Method of Economics ceteris paribus, or all else equal A device used to analyze the relationship between two variables while the values of other variables are held unchanged. All Else Equal: Ceteris Paribus Using the device of ceteris paribus is one part of the process of abstraction. In formulating economic theory, the concept helps us simplify reality to focus on the relationships that interest us. Theories and Models C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 19 of 34 The Method of Economics The most common method of expressing the quantitative relationship between two variables is graphing that relationship on a two-dimensional plane. Expressing Models in Words, Graphs, and Equations Theories and Models C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 20 of 34 The Method of Economics Cautions and Pitfalls The Post Hoc Fallacy post hoc, ergo propter hoc Literally, after this (in time), therefore because of this. A common error made in thinking about causation: If Event A happens before Event B, it is not necessarily true that A caused B. Theories and Models The Fallacy of Composition fallacy of composition The erroneous belief that what is true for a part is necessarily true for the whole. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 21 of 34 The Method of Economics empirical economics The collection and use of data to test economic theories. Testing Theories and Models: Empirical Economics Theories and Models C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 22 of 34 The Method of Economics Economic Policy Criteria for judging economic outcomes: 1. Efficiency 2. Equity 3. Growth 4. Stability C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 23 of 34 The Method of Economics efficiency In economics, allocative efficiency. An efficient economy is one that produces what people want at the least possible cost. Efficiency equity Fairness. Equity Economic Policy C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 24 of 34 The Method of Economics economic growth An increase in the total output of an economy. Growth stability A condition in which national output is growing steadily, with low inflation and full employment of resources. Stability Economic Policy C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 25 of 34 An Invitation As you proceed, it is important that you keep track of what you have learned in earlier chapters. This book has a plan; it proceeds step by step, each section building on the last. It would be a good idea to read each chapters table of contents and scan each chapter before you read it to be sure you understand where it fits in the big picture. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 26 of 34 REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS ceteris paribus descriptive economics economic growth economic theory economics efficiency efficient market empirical economics equity fallacy of composition Industrial Revolution macroeconomics marginalism microeconomics model normative economics Ockhams razor opportunity cost positive economics post hoc, ergo propter hoc scarce stability sunk costs variable C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 27 of 34 A graph is a two-dimensional representation of a set of numbers, or data. HOW TO READ AND UNDERSTAND GRAPHS A P P E N D I X A time series graph shows how a single variable changes over time. TIME SERIES GRAPHS C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 28 of 34 HOW TO READ AND UNDERSTAND GRAPHS A P P E N D I X TIME SERIES GRAPHS TABLE 1A.1 Total Disposable Personal Income in the United States, 19752006 (in billions of dollars) Year Total Disposable Personal Income Year Total Disposable Personal Income 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1,181.4 1,299.9 1,436.0 1,614.8 1,808.2 2,019.8 2,247.9 2,406.8 2,586.0 2,887.6 3,086.5 3,262.5 3,459.5 3,752.4 4,016.3 4,293.6 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 4,474.8 4,754.6 4,935.3 5,165.4 5,422.6 5,677.7 5,968.2 6,355.6 6,627.4 7,120.2 7,393.2 7,827.7 8,159.9 8,646.9 8,945.6 9,501.5 FIGURE 1A.1 Total Disposable Personal Income in the United States: 19752006 (in billions of dollars) C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 29 of 34 GRAPHING TWO VARIABLES ON A CARTESIAN COORDINATE SYSTEM Appendix FIGURE 1A.2 A Cartesian Coordinate System HOW TO READ AND UNDERSTAND GRAPHS A P P E N D I X A Cartesian coordinate system is constructed by drawing two perpendicular lines: a vertical axis (the Y-axis) and a horizontal axis (the X-axis). Each axis is a measuring scale. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 30 of 34 A graph is a simple two-dimensional geometric representation of data. This graph displays the data from Table 1A.2. Along the horizontal scale (X-axis), we measure household income. Along the vertical scale (Y-axis), we measure household consumption. Note: At point A, consumption equals $19,120 and income equals $9,676. At point B, consumption equals $28,921 and income equals $25,546. TABLE 1A.2 Consumption Expenditures and Income, 2005 Average Income Before Taxes Average Consumption Expenditures Bottom fifth 2nd fifth 3rd fifth 4th fifth Top fifth $ 9,676 25,546 42,622 67,813 147,737 $ 19,120 28,921 39,098 54,354 90,469 FIGURE 1A.3 Household Consumption and Income PLOTTING INCOME AND CONSUMPTION DATA FOR HOUSEHOLDS HOW TO READ AND UNDERSTAND GRAPHS A P P E N D I X C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 31 of 34 SLOPE HOW TO READ AND UNDERSTAND GRAPHS A P P E N D I X A positive slope indicates that increases in X are associated with increases in Y and that decreases in X are associated with decreases in Y. FIGURE 1A.4 A Curve with (a) Positive Slope and (b) Negative Slope 2 1 2 1 Y Y Y X X X
A negative slope indicates the opposite when X increases, Y decreases and when X decreases, Y increases. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 32 of 34 FIGURE 1A.5 Changing Slopes Along Curves HOW TO READ AND UNDERSTAND GRAPHS A P P E N D I X C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 33 of 34 It is important to think carefully about what is represented by points in the space defined by the axes of a graph. In this graph, we have graphed income with consumption, as in Figure 1A.3, but here each observation point is national income and aggregate consumption in different years, measured in billions of dollars. TABLE 1A.3 Aggregate National Income and Consumption for the United States, 19302006 (in billions of dollars) Aggregate National Income Aggregate Consumption 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2004 2005 2006 $ 75.6 81.1 241.0 427.5 837.5 2,243.0 4,642.1 7,984.4 10,306.8 10,887.6 11,655.6 $ 70.2 71.2 192.7 332.3 648.9 1,762.9 3,831.5 6,683.7 8,195.9 8,707.8 9,224.5 FIGURE 1A.6 National Income and Consumption SOME PRECAUTIONS A P P E N D I X C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 34 of 34 Cartesian coordinate system graph negative relationship origin positive relationship slope time series graph X-axis X-intercept Y-intercept REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 35 of 24 5 Macroeconomic Concerns Output Growth Unemployment Inflation and Deflation
The Components of the Macroeconomy The Circular Flow Diagram The Three Market Arenas The Role of the Government in the Macroeconomy
A Brief History of Macroeconomics
The U.S. Economy Since 1970 CHAPTER OUTLINE Introduction to Macroeconomics PART II CONCEPTS AND PROBLEMS IN MACROECONOMICS C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 36 of 24 Introduction to Macroeconomics microeconomics Examines the functioning of individual industries and the behavior of individual decision-making unitsfirms and households. macroeconomics Deals with the economy as a whole. Macroeconomics focuses on the determinants of total national income, deals with aggregates such as aggregate consumption and investment, and looks at the overall level of prices instead of individual prices. aggregate behavior The behavior of all households and firms together. sticky prices Prices that do not always adjust rapidly to maintain equality between quantity supplied and quantity demanded. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 37 of 24 Macroeconomic Concerns Three of the major concerns of macroeconomics are
Output growth
Unemployment
Inflation and deflation C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 38 of 24 Macroeconomic Concerns Output Growth business cycle The cycle of short-term ups and downs in the economy. aggregate output The total quantity of goods and services produced in an economy in a given period. recession A period during which aggregate output declines. Conventionally, a period in which aggregate output declines for two consecutive quarters. depression A prolonged and deep recession. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 39 of 24 Macroeconomic Concerns Output Growth expansion or boom The period in the business cycle from a trough up to a peak during which output and employment grow. contraction, recession, or slump The period in the business cycle from a peak down to a trough during which output and employment fall. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 40 of 24 Macroeconomic Concerns Output Growth FIGURE 5.1 A Typical Business Cycle In this business cycle, the economy is expanding as it moves through point A from the trough to the peak.
When the economy moves from a peak down to a trough, through point B, the economy is in recession. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 41 of 24 Macroeconomic Concerns Output Growth FIGURE 5.2 U.S. Aggregate Output (Real GDP), 19002007 The periods of the Great Depression and World Wars I and II show the largest fluctuations in aggregate output. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 42 of 24 Macroeconomic Concerns Unemployment unemployment rate The percentage of the labor force that is unemployed. Inflation and Deflation inflation An increase in the overall price level. hyperinflation A period of very rapid increases in the overall price level. deflation A decrease in the overall price level. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 43 of 24 The Components of the Macroeconomy Macroeconomics focuses on four groups. To see the big picture, it is helpful to divide the participants in the economy into four broad groups:
(1) households,
(2) firms,
(3) the government, and
(4) the rest of the world. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 44 of 24 The Components of the Macroeconomy The Circular Flow Diagram circular flow A diagram showing the income received and payments made by each sector of the economy. transfer payments Cash payments made by the government to people who do not supply goods, services, or labor in exchange for these payments. They include Social Security benefits, veterans benefits, and welfare payments. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 45 of 24 The Components of the Macroeconomy The Circular Flow Diagram FIGURE 5.3 The Circular Flow of Payments Households receive income from firms and the government, purchase goods and services from firms, and pay taxes to the government. They also purchase foreign-made goods and services (imports). Firms receive payments from households and the government for goods and services; they pay wages, dividends, interest, and rents to households and taxes to the government. The government receives taxes from firms and households, pays firms and households for goods and servicesincluding wages to government workersand pays interest and transfers to households. Finally, people in other countries purchase goods and services produced domestically (exports). Note: Although not shown in this diagram, firms and governments also purchase imports. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 46 of 24 The Components of the Macroeconomy The Three Market Arenas Another way of looking at the ways households, firms, the government, and the rest of the world relate to each other is to consider the markets in which they interact.
We divide the markets into three broad arenas:
(1) the goods-and-services market,
(2) the labor market, and
(3) the money (financial) market. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 47 of 24 The Components of the Macroeconomy The Three Market Arenas Goods-and-Services Market Firms supply to the goods-and-services market. Households, the government, and firms demand from this market. Labor Market In this market, households supply labor and firms and the government demand labor. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 48 of 24 The Components of the Macroeconomy The Three Market Arenas Money Market Households supply funds to this market in the expectation of earning income in the form of dividends on stocks and interest on bonds. Firms, the government, and the rest of the world also engage in borrowing and lending which is coordinated by financial institutions. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 49 of 24 The Components of the Macroeconomy The Three Market Arenas Money Market Treasury bonds, notes, and bills Promissory notes issued by the federal government when it borrows money. corporate bonds Promissory notes issued by firms when they borrow money. shares of stock Financial instruments that give to the holder a share in the firms ownership and therefore the right to share in the firms profits. dividends The portion of a firms profits that the firm pays out each period to its shareholders. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 50 of 24 The Components of the Macroeconomy The Role of the Government in the Macroeconomy fiscal policy Government policies concerning taxes and spending. monetary policy The tools used by the Federal Reserve to control the quantity of money, which in turn affects interest rates. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 51 of 24 A Brief History of Macroeconomics Great Depression The period of severe economic contraction and high unemployment that began in 1929 and continued throughout the 1930s. fine-tuning The phrase used by Walter Heller to refer to the governments role in regulating inflation and unemployment. stagflation A situation of both high inflation and high unemployment. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 52 of 24 A Brief History of Macroeconomics Macroeconomics in Literature The Great Gatsby The Grapes of Wrath The underlying phenomena that economists study are the stuff of novels as well as graphs and equations. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 53 of 24 The U.S Economy Since 1970 FIGURE 5.4 Aggregate Output (Real GDP), 1970 I2007 IV Aggregate output in the United States since 1970 has risen overall, but there have been four recessionary periods: 1974 I1975 IV, 1980 II1983 I, 1990 III1991 I, and 2001 I2001 III. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 54 of 24 The U.S Economy Since 1970 FIGURE 5.5 Unemployment Rate, 1970 I2007 IV The U.S. unemployment rate since 1970 shows wide variations. The four recessionary reference periods show increases in the unemployment rate. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 55 of 24 The U.S Economy Since 1970 FIGURE 5.6 Inflation Rate (Percentage Change in the GDP Deflator, Four-Quarter Average), 1970 I2007 IV Since 1970, inflation has been high in two periods: 1973 IV1975 IV and 1979 I1981 IV. Inflation between 1983 and 1992 was moderate. Since 1992, it has been fairly low. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 56 of 24 The U.S Economy Since 1970 John Maynard Keynes Much of the framework of modern macroeconomics comes from the works of John Maynard Keynes, whose General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money was published in 1936. C H A P T E R
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2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Macroeconomics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 57 of 24 aggregate behavior aggregate output business cycle circular flow contraction, recession, or slump corporate bonds deflation depression dividends expansion or boom fine-tuning fiscal policy Great Depression hyperinflation inflation macroeconomics microeconomics monetary policy recession shares of stock stagflation sticky prices transfer payments Treasury bonds, notes, and bills unemployment rate REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS