APU ICT Institute) APU Office: Building B-II, Room 372 Extension: 4372 E-mail: tahir_abbas@hotmail.com Office hours: Thursday 12:25-2:00 (pm) STATISTICS 2 My Introduction Born in Lahore, Pakistan Education B.E. (Elect. Engg. (Power Systems)), 1990 University of Engineering and Technology (U.E.T.), Lahore M.B.A. (Finance), 1998 University of the Punjab, Lahore M.S. (Computer Science), 2000 National University of Science and Technology (NUST), Rawalpindi PhD (Comp. Science. And Commun. Engg.), 2005 Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
3 My Introduction contd. Work Experience Assistant Director WAPDA (Water and Power Development Authority of Pakistan) 1991-2006
Visiting Faculty Member UMT (University of Management and Technology) 2000-2001
Research Fellow JSPS (Japan Society for the Promotion of Science) April 2005- March-2007
Associate Professor APU (Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific University) April 2007 onwards
Research Interests: Wireless communications mainly Code Division Multiple Access Communication systems, Applications of ICT 4 Text and Materials
Title: Statistics (11th edition) Authors: MCCLAVE, SINCICH Publisher: Pearson International ISBN (Intl Standard Book Number): 0-13-236344-5
References: Statistics Fourth Edition (SCHAUMs Outlines) Authors: Murray R. Spiegel, Larry J. Stephens Publisher: Mc Graw Hill ISBN (Intl Standard Book Number): - 9780071594462 Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 5 Course Syllabus (tentative)
There will be a total of 14-15 lecture and the following topics will be discussed in this course
INTRODUCTION
SUMMARIZING DATA
PROBABILITY THEORY
RANDOM VARIABLES
MID TERM EXAM
SOME COMMON DISTRIBUTIONS
LINEAR REGRESSION
HYPOTHESIS TESTING
FINAL EXAM
NOTE: The above course syllabus is tentative and FINAL EXAM WILL NOT BE OPEN BOOK 6 Course Methodology We will first learn the concepts in lectures.
Then, examples will be presented from text.
Where possible some software SPSS/EXCEL will be applied to get hands on experience
Note: substantial practice and work beyond the class period will be required. Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 7 Course Evaluation (Grading) Following criteria for evaluation (tentative and subject to change): Attendance/Random Quizzes/Exercises/Homework: 40% Students should come to each class. Note: points will be deducted for being late or inappropriate behavior. TALKING TO EACH OTHER DURING THE LECTURE IS WORST FORM OF INAPPROPRIATE BEHAVIOUR Mid-term Exams/Projects If no Mid-term, these 30% will be combined with above 40% to make total 70%: 30% Final Examination / Project: 30% Important Notes about grading: Homework: Assignments might be given (do all assigned tasks!) I may or may not grade them directly, however If you want to pass, you must do them ( tested via the Exam(s) ).
Note carefully that the above is tentative. The above weights/elements are subject to change.
8 Miscellaneous Instructions Students should bring their own calculators
Slides of the lecture will be uploaded in Instructional materials folder
Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking Statistics Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 10 Where Were Going Introduction to the field of statistics How statistics applies to real-world problems Establish the link between statistics and data Differentiate between population and sample data Differentiate between descriptive and inferential statistics Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 11 1.1: The Science of Statistics What is statistics ? Gallup poles, unemployment figures, gambling on games Has applications in business, government, medical science and all kinds of social and physical sciences
Statistics is the science of data. This involves collecting, classifying, summarizing, organizing, analyzing and interpreting numerical information Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 12 1.2: Types of Statistical Applications Statistics Descriptive Statistics Inferential Statistics Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 13 1.2: Types of Statistical Applications Descriptive statistics utilizes numerical and graphical methods to look for patterns in a data set, to summarize the information revealed in a data set and to present that information in a convenient form Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 14 1.2: Types of Statistical Applications Inferential statistics utilizes sample data to make estimates, decisions, predictions or other generalizations about a larger set of data Handouts Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 15 1.3: Fundamental Elements of Statistics An experimental unit is an object about which we collect data Person Place Thing Event Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 16 1.3: Fundamental Elements of Statistics A population is a set of units in which we are interested Typically, there are too many experimental units in a population to consider every one If we can examine every single one, we conduct a census Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 17 1.3: Fundamental Elements of Statistics A variable is characteristic or property of an individual unit Values of these characteristics will vary Measurement: Obtain numerical representation In studying a population, we focus on one or more characteristics /properties of population units Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 18 1.3: Fundamental Elements of Statistics A sample is a subset of the population Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 19 1.3: Fundamental Elements of Statistics Reliability A measure of reliability is a statement about the degree of uncertainty associated with a statistical inference Based on our analysis, we think 56% of soda drinkers prefer Pepsi to Coke, 5%. 1.3: Fundamental Elements of Statistics Descriptive Statistics The population or sample of interest One or more variables to be investigated Tables, graphs or numerical summary tools Identification of patterns in the data Inferential Statistics Population of interest One or more variables to be investigated The sample of population units The inference about the population based on the sample data A measure of reliability of the inference Chapter 1: Statistics, Data and Statistical Thinking 20