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Views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter, not necessarily those of The IASB or IFRS Foundation. 'Train the trainers' workshop hosted by the ECCB, 30 April to 4 May 2012. Www.ifrs.org what does 'best estimate' mean?
Views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter, not necessarily those of The IASB or IFRS Foundation. 'Train the trainers' workshop hosted by the ECCB, 30 April to 4 May 2012. Www.ifrs.org what does 'best estimate' mean?
Views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter, not necessarily those of The IASB or IFRS Foundation. 'Train the trainers' workshop hosted by the ECCB, 30 April to 4 May 2012. Www.ifrs.org what does 'best estimate' mean?
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter,
not necessarily those of the IASB or IFRS Foundation. IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org IFRS measurements: cross-cutting issues Joint World Bank and IFRS Foundation train the trainers workshop hosted by the ECCB, 30 April to 4 May 2012 K
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter, not necessarily those of the IASB or IFRS Foundation. Myth 1 2 Everyone knows what best estimate means IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org What does best estimate mean? 3 Most likely outcome? Median outcome? < 50% chance of higher cash flows < 50% chance of lower cash flows Expected value? Average (mean) of range Whatever amount feels best? IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Myth 2 4 The IASB prefers fair value IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org IASB does not always prefer fair value Provisions Impairment of property, plant, equipment, intangibles Revenue recognition Insurance contracts Leases 5 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Myth 3 6 The IASB prefers expected value IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Expected value might be best... if objective is to measure current value of asset or liability if transactions recur frequently if users are concerned about extreme outcomes (outliers) if expected value is as easy to estimate as other measures if the timing of cash flows is uncertain you dont know 7 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Most likely or median might be better... if objective is to predict future cash flows if transactions do not recur frequently if outliers are less important or more uncertain than central outcomes if expected value is more difficult to measure
8 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Myth 4 9 Expected value needs accurate data about all outcomes IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Measuring expected value use any suitable technique for estimating average (mean) of range if identifying range of possible outcomes: use same data as would use to identify most likely or median outcome include everything you know but dont make up what you dont know...
10 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Measuring expected value continued
11 We have evidence that... Most likely outcome is 100 currency units (CU) We have no evidence that... Distribution is other than normal (bell-shaped) We would estimate expected value to be... CU 100 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Measuring expected value continued 12 Outcome Estimated outflows Relative likelihood Best case CU 100 Most likely outcome CU 200
About twice as likely as best case Worst case CU 1,000 Unlikely, but possible Estimate of expected value CU 100 X 30% CU 30 CU 200 X 60% CU 120 CU 1,000 X 10% CU 100 CU 250 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Myth 5 13 Expected values take account of risk IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Expected values may need risk adjustments Asset 1 Probability Inflows 100% CU 500 14 Asset 2 Probability Inflows 50% CU 250 50% CU 750 Expected value is CU 500 for each asset But risk averse entity would put lower value on asset 2 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Myth 6 15 Risk always increases discount rates IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Risk adjustments for liabilities risk aversion typically increases transaction prices for uncertain liabilities in which case, account for risk by: 1. increasing estimates of cash outflows, or 2. adjusting estimates of probabilities, or 3. reducing rates at which cash outflows are discounted to present value, or 4. adjusting the expected present value adjusting discount rate doesnt always work
16 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org Questions or comments? The IASB encourages its members and staff to express their individual views. The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenters. Official positions of the IASB on accounting matters are determined only after extensive due process and deliberation. 17 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org 2011 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK | www.ifrs.org 18
The requirements are set out in International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRSs), as issued by the IASB at 1 January 2012 with an effective date after 1 January 2012 but not the IFRSs they will replace. The IFRS Foundation, the authors, the presenters and the publishers do not accept responsibility for loss caused to any person who acts or refrains from acting in reliance on the material in this PowerPoint presentation, whether such loss is caused by negligence or otherwise. 18 IFRS Foundation | 30 Cannon Street | London EC4M 6XH | UK. www.ifrs.org