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Demand
iPhone sales set to be huge
The iPhone is about to hit UK shelves,
with Carphone Warehouse predicting it
will be their busiest sales day ever.
A rise of 5% income
in a rich country will
leave the Demand
for toothpaste
unchanged!
So to summarise
Look for the signs!
NORMAL GOODS LUXURY GOODS
+ BETWEEN 0 & 1
+0.5 +0.9 + 0.1 + GREATER THAN 1
+2 +5 +27
INFERIOR GOODS
In groups of 3’s …
You will each be ‘given’ a set of goods and
you have to decide whether each is a
normal,
luxury or
an inferior good…
You decide….
Bus travel Margarine
Cigarettes Stilton
Designer clothes Private education
Fine wines Private health care
Fresh vegetables Stringy cheese
Frozen vegetables
Rail travel
Fruit juice
Instant coffee
Shampoo
International air travel
Tinned meat
Luxury chocolates Value “own-brand” bread
Sowhich
So
So whichwhich would
would
would have
have
have aa++
a negative
value
value GREATER
BETWEEN 0THAN
AND 1?
1?
– value? i.e. an inferior good?
i.e.aaNORMAL
i.e. LUXURY good?
good?
Bus travel Margarine
Cigarettes Natural cheese
Designer clothes Private education
Fine wines Private health care
Fresh vegetables Processed cheese
Frozen vegetables Rail travel
Fruit juice Shampoo
Instant coffee Tinned meat
International air travel Value “own-brand” bread
Luxury chocolates
A Diagram for you…
Relationship between Income and
Quantity Demanded
Quantity
Zero
income
elastici
ty Positive income elasticity Negative income elasticity
[inferior good]
0 y1 y2
Income
Income Elasticity of Demand for
Chocolate
Which country has
the sweeter tooth
when it comes to
Total consumption
income elasticity for
USA 0.79 chocolate??
Germany 0.39
France 0.60
Japan 0.08
Switzerland 1.06
Reference: Henri Jason Trends in cocoa and chocolate consumption with particular
reference to developments in the major markets. Malaysian International Cocoa
Conference, Kuala Lumpur, 20-21 October 1994 (ICCO, ED(MEM) 686)
Income Elasticity and the Demand
for Airline Travel
Demand for air travel has a positive income
elasticity of demand
The industry is cyclical
During an upturn, demand rises for
business and leisure travel)
During a recession, the demand tails away
In the long run, there is a positive relationship
between real GDP per capita and the demand
for air travel
Income elasticity will vary according to the
type of air travel
E.g. difference between low-cost “no-frills”
and higher priced scheduled services on
low-haul flights
Examples of YeD YeD mantra…
+ = normal
- = inferior!
For example:
Israel Canada
Denmark
Ecuador UK
Norw ay
Spain France Japan
Malaysia Finland
Saudi Arabia
Greece Ireland Belgium
Thailand Portugal Sw eden Germany
Austria
1000 Dominican Rep Panama Korea Rep
S. Africa Italy
Lebanon Chile
Costa Rica Mexico
Peru Brazil Venezuela
Philippines TunisiaHungary Argentina
Sri Lanka Colombia
KenyaZimbabw eBulgaria Turkey Czech Rep
Croatia Uruguay
Cote D'IvoireSyria Slovenia
Lithuania
PakistanParaguay Romania Poland
100 Why do you think
VietnamChinaAlgeria Iran
Cameroon Belarus New Zealand,
India Ukraine
Nigeria Australia, Hong Kong
Bangladesh and Singapore are
above the trend line?
10
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000
GNP per capita ($ PPP)
Airlines – a Highly CyclicalWhat
Industry
does this
mean?
Real GDP growth Global air traffic
% year on year % year on year
8
World real GDP growth (% vly)
0
Significance of Income
Elasticity of Demand
High Income Elasticity
Demand is sensitive to changes in real incomes
Demand is therefore cyclical – in an economic
expansion, demand will grow strongly. In a recession
demand may fall
Can be difficult for businesses to accurately forecast
demand and make capital investment decisions
Significance of Income
Elasticity of Demand
Low Income Elasticity
Demand is more stable during fluctuations in the
economic cycle
Over time, the share of consumer spending on inferior
goods and normal necessities tends to decline
Long run – businesses need to invest in / focus on
products with a higher income elasticity of demand if
they want to increase total profits
Practice time….
This is NOT exam practice!
The exam paper will NOT look
like this!
Income elasticity of demands
in a recession
Define YeD Product YeD
Whisky 4.1
Estimate the effect a
15% increase in income Digestive 0.6
Biscuits
would have on each
product. Apples 0.2
RED sheet
Complete Questions