Six Sigma Training 2 Eighty-five percent of the reasons or failure to meet customer expectations are related to deficiencies in systems and process rather than the employee. The role of management is to change the process rather than badgering individuals to do better. - W. Edwards Deming Six Sigma If we cant express what we know in the form of numbers, we really dont know much about it. If we dont know much about it, we cant control it. If we cant control it, we are at the mercy of chance. -Mikel J. Harry Six Sigma will bring GE to a whole new level of quality in a fraction of the time it would have taken to climb the learning curve on our own.
Jack Welch Six Sigma is a Rigorous Method for Measuring, Improving & Controlling Our Process Performance 3 1998 GE reports a revenue of $ 17 bn and Savings of 70% from Six Sigma 1988-89 Adopted by GE having contemporary revenue of $1 bn 1985-94 Motorola saves USD 2.00 bn. in bottom- line 1988 Motorola wins Baldridge Award 1981 Introduced by Motorola in response to Japanese competition Landmarks 4 Companies Implementing Six Sigma 5 Companies Implementing Six Sigma (Cont..) 6 6-Sigma is a Methodology to significantly improve customer satisfaction and shareholder value by reducing variability in every aspect of our business. 6-Sigma is not something else that you do it is what you do.
Passion + Execution = Fast and Lasting Results What is Six Sigma ? 7 A philosophy which mandates operational excellence
A business strategy
A set of tools designed to reduce variation in processes and operations
A statistical measure of a process capability - 3.4 defects per million opportunity - 99.99966 % Probability of passing Non defective products to Customer
World class quality .... A challenge, but others have achieved. What is Six Sigma ? 8 What is Six Sigma ? Metric Goal Locomotive Way of Life Culture Benchmark 6 9 Addresses Size Enhances Execution Quality Tightly clubbed in with the customer Helps benchmark against the global best Objective, Data based measurable, drives cont. improvement Established yet allows innovation and adaptability Why Six Sigma ? Credible Methodology Culture Change 10 If your process does not include Continuous Improvement and your competitors does, you cannot stay in business Suppose a competitor systematically improves productivity at a relatively modest annual rate of 7%, year over year, while your productivity remains static. After only 3 years, the productivity differential is (1.07) 3 = 1.21, a 21% advantage Changing market reality: Old Paradigm: Cost + Profit = Selling Price New Paradigm : Selling Price - Cost = Profit 6-Sigma process produce only 3.4 DPMO or 99.9997% error-free. Typical Software Processes operate between 2.3 & 3.0 sigma The Best Software Processes operate at 4 to 5 sigma Why Six Sigma (contd)? 11 Why Six Sigma? Strategy Discipline What was missing -- Six Sigma! Philosophy & Vision Quality Vision existed for years (ISO, Zero defects) Tools & Techniques
Many tools existed for years (statistics,DOE...) 12 Six Sigma People Power + Process Power Management Discipline Focused on improvement areas Breakthrough Strategy Constant Process Improvement to achieve customer delight Driven by data on customer relevant metrics Focus on sustenance vs. quick fix 3.4 Defects Per Million Opportunities (99.99966% Yield) Customers view towards out contribution Our perspective Our process Customers process 13 Six Sigma Statistical objectives Center Process Reduce Spread Target USL LSL Reduce Variation & Center ProcessCustomers feel the variation more than the mean Process Off Target Target USL LSL Excessive Variation Target USL LSL 14 Goal of Six Sigma To reduce Variation
To reduce defects
To improve yield
To enhance Customer Satisfaction
To improve the Bottomline
15 Six Sigma in practical terms 99.99966% Good (6 Sigma) 20,000 lost e- mails per hour
Unsafe drinking water for almost 15 minutes each day
5,000 incorrect surgical operations per week
Two short or long landings at most major airports each day
200,000 wrong drug prescriptions each year
No electricity for almost seven hours each month Seven e-mails lost per hour
One unsafe minute every seven months
1.7 incorrect operations per week
One short or long landing every five years
68 wrong prescriptions per year
One hour without electricity every 34 years 98.930%Good (3.8 Sigma) 16 Improvement mechanism Logic and intuition Quick fixes-Kaizen Low hanging fruits Simple QC tools Bulk of fruits Process characterization and optimization (DMAIC) Process Entitlement Sweet fruits DFSS Increase of sigma rating requires an exponential decrease in defect reduction 2s 4s 3s 17 Six Sigma methodology identifies processes that are off-target, and/or have a high degree of variation, and corrects the process Off-Target Variation On-Target Center Process Reduce Spread X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Six Sigma Problem Solving Objective X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 18 A specification is a customer-defined tolerance for the output unit characteristics
Specifications can be one sided or two sided Specifications form the basis of any defect measurement exercise
Specification example: Resolution of P1 tickets with 2 hours USL: Upper Specification Limit for Y, anything above this is a defect. LSL: Lower Specification Limit for Y, anything below this is a defect. Target: Ideally the middle point of USL & LSL.
LSL Target USL Six Sigma Problem Solving Objective 19 High Probability of Failure 66807 Defects Per Million Opportunities Much Lower Probability of Failure 3.4 Defects Per Million Opportunities
6 2 s 1 6 2 s Mean / Target Lower Specification Limit Upper Specification Limit Higher this number, Lower the chance of producing a defect
Higher these numbers, Lower the chance of producing a defect 1 3 1 s 3 1 s Six Sigma Problem Solving Objective 20
6-Sigma as a Goal
-20 -10 0 10 20 Consider below performance on On time delivery Target 0 days Mean 0.70 days On Target !!!! Good Performance ?? 21
6-Sigma as a Goal
-20 -10 0 10 20 What customer sees!! Customer always looks at , mean is meaningless variance 22 A Scientific Management Tool & Philosophy, One Of Its Kind Six Sigma - Approach 23 Six Sigma - Approach To get results should we focus on Y or X? Y Dependent variable Output of the process Effect Symptom It is monitored X 1 , X 2 , .., X n Independent variable Input to the process Cause Problem It is controlled Y = f(X) 24 Defects per million opportunities 2 308,537 3 66,807 4 6,210 5 233 6 3.4
6-Sigma as a Goal
25 As long as there is a process that produces an output whether it is a manufactured product, data, an invoice, etc... we can apply the Six Sigma Breakthrough Strategy. For these processes to perform to a customer standard they require correct inputs!!! 6 Sigma Methods MFG.. DESIGN SERVICE PURCH. MAINT. ADMIN. QA Marketing Which Business Function Needs It? 26 Executive Leadership (Part-Time) Project Champion (Part-Time) Black Belt (Full-Time Quality Champions) Green Belt (Part-Time) Master Black Belt (Full-Time) Deployment Structure 27 What is important How are we doing What is wrong What needs to be done How do we guarantee performance M
Measure Performance A
Analyze Opportunity I
Improve Performance C
Control Performance D
Define Opportunities M
Measure A
Analyze D
Design V
Verify D
Define For Existing Processes (DMAIC) For new Design & new Processes (DMADV/DFSS ) Six Sigma Methodology 28 DMAIC 29 DMAIC Methodology Customer-driven, consistent, metrics focused, results oriented Define the opportunity Measure the current performance Control and adjust new processes Implement Process efficiency Analyze the current processes Project Charter/Stakeholder Analysis VOC/CTQ Measurable business objectives Linkage to business strategy Process Maps
Control Chart Histogram Storyboard Sigma Calculation 30 Define Phase - Flow Project Charter Problem Statement: Goal: Business Case: Scope: Cost Benefit Projection: Milestones: Develop charter to include project description, baseline measures, business results, team members, and schedule. Use Benchmarking as appropriate to establish some of the initial targets. VOC Key Issue CTQ Delighters More Is Better Must Be Gather / display data verifying customer needs and requirements VOC Outputs Process SIPOC S U P P L I E R S C U S T O M E R S Inputs Complete high-level as is process map and analyze yield to identify the process step with the highest impact Business Case Explain why it is important to work on this project Yield: 60% Yield: 90% Yield: 45% Yield: 98% 31 Define Roadmap Define Measure Analyze Improve Control Charter Determine CTQs Map Process 1)The Team 2) Business Case 3) Problem statement 4) Project Goals 5) Scope 6) Milestones 1)Identify customers 2)Gather VOC data 3)Organize VOC data 4)Translate needs to CTQs 5) Establish Project Y 1) Process Definitions. 2) Connecting the Supplier/ Customer to Your Process. 3) SIPOC Deliverables 32 Project Charter A team charter is a written document and works as an agreement between Sponsor and the team about what is expected from the project WHY? Clarifies what is expected of the team. Keeps the team focused. Keeps the team aligned with organizational priorities. Transfers the project from the Sponsor(s) to the project team. 33 Project Charter Project Importance (Business Case): Why is it Essential that this Project be done now and what will be the benefits for the Organization. How will this project improve quality, cycle time, cost, customer satisfaction. Metrics Current/Baseline Goal Problem Description (Quantified) :Describe the burning platform Impact & severity of the problem on the process/organization
Project Goal / Objective: What is this Project Going to achieve ?
Projected Business Benefits: Include both tangible and non tangible Benefits/Deliverables Project Risk/Dependencies :Identify all potential risks that will impact the project. Identify FE/BE/Customer/IT /Process dependencies Project Scope: Boundaries In Scope What area / process is the project focusing for Improvement. Entities /regions/Activities that will be impacted
Out of Scope: Entities/regions/activity not addressed by the project 34 Project Charter Project Importance (Business Case): It was observed during Service Delivery Review for XYZ customer that there is a increasing trend in P1 tickets volume. P1 tickets have bigger impact on Customer infrastructure and hence the P1 SLAs are very stringent. Huge volume of P1 tickets increases the cost of delivery. Metrics
Cost of Operations Current/Baseline
$50000 per annum Goal
$40000 p.a. Problem Description (Quantified) : Average volume of P1 tickets during Jan-Feb-Mar 08 was found to be 60% of overall ticket volumes. Such volume of P1 tickets is extremely high and there is a risk SLA slippage which causes Customer dissatisfaction. P1 SLA 80% >95% Project Goal / Objective: Reduce P1 tickets volume to 20% # of P1 Tickets Average 600 per month Avg 200 per month Projected Business Benefits: Productivity gain Improved SLA Customer Satisfaction
# FTEs P1 SLA C-Sat Rating
4 80% 3
Redn of 1 FTE >95% 4 Project Risk/Dependencies : Need help from Customer IT Team on policy redefinitions Project Scope: Boundaries In Scope: Only tickets generated from EMEA Region would be targeted for improvement Out of Scope: Tickets generated from other regions 35
A Business Case:
Asks Why should we do the project?
Lists the benefits like
Reduction of Rework cost Increase in Customer Satisfaction Decrease in costs Reduction in Manpower Reduction in cycle-time Increased business opportunities Example:
CTQ Cycle time of loans processing Reduction in cycle time of loan processing will increase in the number of loans processed which will beat the competitors hence acquiring more customers leading to increased market share. This will result in higher business revenues for the bank. Going Forward D E F I N E 36 Problem Statement
Should address only the CTQ
Should be short, clear & crisp
Should address
Since when is the problem seen
What is the problem
How much is the problem
Example: CTQ Cycle time of Loans processing From Jan-04 to Apr-04 (Since When), the cycle time for loan processing has increased (What) from 4 days to 9 days (How Much) Going Forward D E F I N E 37 Problem Statement D E F I N E Good Example: In the last 3 months, 12% of our customers are late, by over 45 days in paying their bills. This represents 20% of our outstanding receivables & negatively affects our operating cash flow. Poor Example: Our customers are angry with us and thus delay paying their bills. What When Magnitude Consequence 38 Well defined project
Has a clearly defined problem statement Is clearly linked to customer CTQs Is relevant to the business and will have positive impact Has a clearly defined and measurable defect Is manageable in scope Resources identified Problem Statement: Goal: Business Case: Scope: Cost Benefit Projection: Milestones: 39 CTQ (Critical To Quality) A CTQ is a Product or Service characteristic that satisfies a Customer Requirement OR Process Requirement Business CTQ Customer CTQ Internal CTQ Project CTQ 40 All repetitive activities can be represented as a process
All processes have measurable characteristics
All measurable characteristics are represented as a frequency distribution
The most common frequency distribution is a Normal distribution Concept of a Process 41 Define your customer Six Sigma begins with the customer Customers find it easier to define what they do not want Customer CTQs are defined by customers Sources of customer CTQs Survey results Service reviews Meetings
42 Voice Of The Customer (VOC) Determine CTQs A Process To Identify Customers And Understand Their CTQs List customers Define customer segments Narrow list Organize all customer data Translate VOC to specific needs Define CTQs for specific needs Prioritize CTQs Contain problem if necessary Review existing VOC data Decide what to collect/ select VOC tools Collect data Identify Customers Steps to determine CTQs 43 Define your customer INTERNAL INTERMEDIATE FINAL Business Management Employees Department Suppliers Partners Channel
End customers Shareholders Regulators 44 Define your customer What does my customer need from our process? How would my customer like for our process to perform? How is our process performance from the customer perspective? How does my customer measure my process? How does my customer view my process? What can we do better? Customer Centricity 45 Define your customer Revenues and profits come from Customers, not products. 46 What to collect? Customer satisfaction with what you provide today What the customer wants based on his/her true need (regardless of what your process is capable of producing) Whats important to you? How Am I Doing? 47 Review existing VOC data Avoid duplication of effort for both you and the customer Customer Project Team 1 Project Team 2 Project Team 3 Surveys Personal Visits Questionnaires Interviews Phone Calls 48 Common tools for gathering VOC data Method Description Advantages Disadvantages Interviews Information obtained from customers either by telephone or in person. Detailed information Follow up Expensive Talent of the interviewer Surveys (Most common tool used in BPDO)
A set of written questions that is sent to selected customers to obtain information that can be formatted into data Objective data Easy to interpret Poor response rate Different answers based on type of questions Focus groups A collection of customers who answer questions from a facilitator Follow-up questions Observing non- verbal behaviors Expensive Skill of the facilitator Observing the Customer Seeing the customer using your product or service Unfiltered information
No follow up
Complaints Information obtained while someone complains about a situation
Opportunity to make amends Few people complain 49 Define your customer Translating VOC into CTQs Some Examples Customer Need
1. Rapid delivery
2. Liberal returns policy
3. Friendly customer service at hotel CTQs
1. Orders delivered within 3 working days of purchase order receipt
2. Any returned item retailing for les than $1000 accepted with no questions and with full cash refund
3. Greet guest within 20 secs of entry into lobby;address all guests with Mr. or Ms & last name etc 50 Define your customer From High-Level To Specific Needs High-Level Need (VOC) Service/ Quality Issue Specific Needs Statement Output Characteristic The Needs Statement Leads to Defining the 4 elements of the CTQ 51 VOC -> CTQ Translation Matrix D E F I N E Index Define Phase V o i c e
o f
C u s t o m e r
( V O C )
Tool VOC Table 52 VOC -> CTQ Translation Matrix Index Define Phase Voice of the customer ID Who Voice What When Where Why How 1 Registered Users Convenience of Bill Payment at home Avoid the trouble of physical Bill payment As per billing cycle At respective payment counter Not enough time Online Payment Application to be run on standard browsers Application to be run on IE or NS From any location which has internet Java Electricity, water, telephone At fixed frequency As per billing cycle Secure txn. Using credit cards To avoid the misuse of credit cards Digital certificate Voice of Customer Table 53 Return to charter After you have identified your CTQs, refer back to the charter and revise as necessary
Does your CTQ relate to the problem?
Do you need to rewrite or revise any of the sections?
54 VOC -> CTQ Translation Matrix D E F I N E Voice of the Customer Key Issue Need Statement CTQ Output Characteristic Poor resolution Of incidents
Resolution time is Not as per customer requirement, quality of resolution is bad Reduce turn-around- Time of incidents, Good quality of resolution Improve MTTR from 6.5 hours to 3 hours, Reduce re-opening of Incidents from 20% to 0% Index Define Phase 55 Select Project Y CTQ/Project Y matrix Index Define Phase Example Process: Ordering Pizza Primary output (product or service): Delivery of Pizza Strong relationship Strong indication of the extent to which requirement is met Moderate relationship Weak relationship Potential Project Y Measures CTQ Output Characteristic T i m e
f r o m
o r d e r
t o
d e l i v e r y
#
o f
c o m p l a i n t s
a b o u t
w r o n g
o r d e r
C u s t o m e r
f e e d b a c k
s c o r e
T e m p
o f
P i z z a
a t
t i m e
o f
d e l i v e r y
On time delivery of Pizza Pizza as per the order Pizza that is hot CPR # Customer Priority Rank Number 56 CTQ Drill Down Tree Cycle time for recruitment Need identification time Time for advertisement Interview process time Joining time Shortlisting time Interview time CTQ Tools Drill Down Tree Index Define Phase 57 Customers & Suppliers D E F I N E Index Define Phase My suppliers suppliers processes My suppliers processe s My customers customers processes My customers processes My processes Inputs from suppliers Outputs to customers Chain of customers and suppliers 58 SIPOC Diagram Example Receive ticket Check whether it belongs to our Queue If yes, Ack the ticket and assign it to FTE Resolve the ticket Closure in the Ticketing Tool
NSS Vendors
Tickets thru a Tool (P1/P2 /P3/P4 and L1/ L2 /L3) Incident, Problem, Change ticket Supplier Input Incident resolution
Ticket closure
XYZ
Output Customer Incident Resolution 59 SIPOC Questions to be asked Purpose Why does this process exist? What is the purpose of this process? What is the outcome? Outputs What product does this process make? What are the outputs of this process? At what point does this process end? Customers Who uses the products from this process? Who are the customers of this process? Inputs/Suppliers Where does the information or material you work on come from? Who are your suppliers? What do they supply? Where do they affect the process flow? What effect do they have on the process and on the outcome?
Process steps What happens to each input? What conversion activities take place? 60 SIPOC Diagram Example 61 Process mapping 62 Process Mapping - Example Request Vendor for outstanding payments Send goods to HP Send invoices to HP Mail Roomat Singapore Send documents after scanning Receive invoice for processing 1 Upload TIVPTeamat Bangalore Query management Information Systems SAP 2 Last updated on 05 th November 2003 Daily Daily Daily processing 8 7 & 8 Vendors Check the scanned invoices for Invalid PO#, legal requirements and clarity of invoices Request for rescan / Return To Vendor (RTV) Business Unclear or incomplete information on invoices Respond to queries Complete information received Enter the invoice information received for processing Invoice Processing Daily processing Clear Block docs Invoices Ready for Payment Invoices with Price / Qty variance blocked for payment Invoices with correct information is processed PerformQC and validate data captured Capture information of the Goods Receipt (GR s) 5 4 6 Payments Team Bangalore 7 Data processed for payments Payments Per schedule 9 10 11 6 SAP E-mail Decision / Inspection Manual process step Output of the process Data in electronic form Document in Fax , printout or in a paper form SAP Details provided in next level 3 Rescan / RTV RTV Rescan invoices 4 Futuresoft / MALA Respond to queries Unclear or incomplete information on invoices 11 SAP PerformQC and validate data captured 9 Systemprocesses the data captured Outstanding Payments? Yes Write - off Process No TIVP Invoice Management Start point of process Receive goods Invoice Recd? Yes No 2 7 8 Currently tracked Currently not tracked 63 Measure Phase - Flow I P O Input Measures Process Measures Output Measures Measures Measures Develop measures based on CTQs and SIPOC map I1 I2 I3 I4 O1 O2 O3 O4 Funneling Determine the critical few measures Alignment to BIG Y Gage R&R Validate your measurement system Col # 1 2 3 4 5 6 Inspector A B Sample # 1st Trial 2nd Trial Diff 1st Trial 2nd Trial Diff 1 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 2 2.0 3.0 1.0 2.5 2.5 0.0 3 1.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 1.5 0.5 4 3.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 5 2.0 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 Totals 10.5 9.5 3.0 9.5 8.5 2.0 Averages 2.1 1.9 0.6 1.9 1.7 0.4 Sum 4.0 Sum 3.6 XA 2.0 XB 1.8 R A R B Display the data in graphic form to show current variation and other patterns Process Capability Calculate current process capability and sigma LSL USL Cp = 0.4 = 2.7 Data Display 0 1000 -1000 10 20 30 UCL X LCL D B F A C E Other Data Collection Plan Operational Definition and Procedures Data Collection Plan What questions do you want to answer? Data What Measure type/ Data type How measured Related conditions Sampling notes How/ where How will you ensure consistency and stability? What is your plan for starting data collection? How will the data be displayed? Develop a data collection plan 64 Why measure? Measurement allows Teams to Establish baseline process performance Isolate sources of variation Identify areas where improvements can be made
We dont know what we dont know. If we cant express what we know in the form of numbers, we really dont know much about it. If we dont know much about it, we cant control it. If we cant control it, we are at the mercy of chance.
65 What to measure? M Measure E Everything T That R Results I In C Customer S Satisfaction
66 Measure Phase - Flow Input measures Process measures Output measures Define Measure Improve Analyse Control Data Collection Measures 6Sigma & Process Capability Variation 4 step data collection process Graphical display of data Calculate process sigma 67 Measure Phase - Flow Serial No. Activity Typically used Tools 1 Performance Standards Performance Standards 2 Data Collection Plan Data Collection Plan 3 Data Collection Normality Check Graphical Summary Run Charts 4 MSA
Gage R & R 5 Base lining the Current process
Capability Analysis 68 Data Collection Why? M E A S U R E What is Data ? Data is a numerical expression of an activity.
Conclusions based on facts and data are necessary for any improvement. -K. Ishikawa If you are not able to express a phenomenon in numbers, you do not know about it adequately. -Lord Kelvin
69 Data Collection Why? M E A S U R E Binary Ordered categories Count Classified into one of two categories Rankings or ratings Counted discretely Measured on a continuum or scale Tossing a Coin Customer satisfaction rating of Contact center service Number of errors in an application Time to process an application Description Example Discrete / Attribute Continuous/ Variable Data Types Unordered categories No rankings Types of products Time 70 Continuous v/s Discrete Data M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase 71 Examples of Continuous & Discrete Data M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Attribute Data Categories Yes/No Go/No Go Pass/Fail Good/Defective Variable Data Continuous Data Decimal places show absolute distance between numbers Time Finance Charges Length Width 72 Characteristics Continuous & Discrete Data M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Continuous Data Discrete Data More Powerful & Sensitive Insensitive Yields more insight into the process Show if the process is good / bad Requires Small Sample size Requires large sample size Use Continuous Data whenever possible Continuous 73 Data type practice M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase 1. The number of suitcases lost by an airline.
2. The height of corn plants.
3. The number of ears of corn produced.
4. The number of green M&M's in a bag.
5. The time it takes for a car battery to die.
6. The production of tomatoes by weight.
7. Lateness of a delivery
8. Defective slabs
9. Overdue accounts
10. Equipment breakdowns
11. Amount of steel melted
12. Cycle time of production
13. Errors on reports
14. % On time payment of invoices
74 Continuous Data Characteristics M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Usually illustrated in tables & histograms / frequency polygons A histogram or frequency distribution shows the number of data points in a data set that fall into each of the frequency classes A frequency polygon is constructed by connecting the mid-points of each of the vertical bar in the Histogram 90 95 100 115 120 125 130 75 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Location / Central Tendency It is a measure of the center point of any data set Spread / Dispersion It is a measure of the spread of any data set around its center Shape It is a measure of symmetry of any data set around its center Continuous Data Characteristics 76 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Mean: Mean is the arithmetic average of all data points in a data set
Mode Mode is the most frequently occurring data point in a data set (Garment/ Shoes inventory/ mfg would be based on most common sizes sold rather than mean of sizes) Median Median is the middle data point of a data set arranged in an ascending / descending order (Management institutes announcing placement packages use median than average) Y 1 + Y 2 + Y 3 + . + Y n n Where n = number of data points Y = Odd number of data points Even number of data points Average Continuous Data Characteristics 77 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Average Continuous Data Characteristics Range Range is the difference between the maximum & minimum data point Variance / Standard Deviation Variance & standard deviation measure how individual data points are spread around mean ( Y 1 - Y ) 2 + ( Y 2 Y ) 2 + . + ( Y n Y ) 2
( n 1 ) Variance = s 2 = Standard Deviation = s = s 2 78 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Average Importance of spread Mean of Curve A is more representative of its data set as compared to Curves B & C Spread outside the specifications may result in defects; this information is not provided by mean From a process perspective, individual customers are subject to different behaviors of the process A B C 79 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Average Normal (Gaussian) Distribution Its a Probability Distribution, illustrated as N ( , ) Simply put, a probability distribution is a theoretical frequency distribution Higher frequency of values around the mean & lesser & lesser at values away from mean Continuous & symmetrical Tails asymptotic to X-axis Bell shaped Total area under the Normal curve = 1 100 110 120 130 90 80 70 Figure 3.01 1 unit of standard deviation + - Normal Distribution with Mean =100 Standard Deviation = 10 Origin: German Army 80 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Average Normal Distribution Property
Figure 3.02 + - - 1 + 1 95.46% - 2 + 2 68.26% - 3 + 3 99.73% + 4 99.9937% - 5 99.99943% + 5 - 6 + 6 99.999998% - 4 81 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Average Concept of Z value To standardize different measurement units; such as, inches, meters, grams; a standard Z variable is used.
Where Y = Value of the data point we are concerned with = Mean of the data points = Standard Deviation of the data points Z = Number of standard deviations between Y & the mean () Z value is unique for each probability within the normal distribution It helps in finding probabilities of data points anywhere within the distribution It is dimensionless Z = Y -
82 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Average Example Its found that time taken for resolution of customer complaints follow a normal distribution with mean of 250 hours and standard deviation of 23 hrs. What is the probability that a complaint resolution will take more than 300 hrs? 250 300 Z = 300 - 250 23 = 2.17 Z 83 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Average The complete picture On Center Large Spread LSL USL T On Center Small Spread
LSL USL T LSL USL T Off Center Small Spread Off Center Large Spread LSL USL T 84 M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Average Which type of data is preferable? Continuous data helps you to understand process variation
Sample size required is less
Discrete data does not allow to understand the process variation. It does not tell you how bad is bad
You need larger samples with Discrete data 85 Normality Test M E A S U R E Data is normal as p-value > 0.05 Effort Based Defect Density P e r c e n t 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 99 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 1 Mean 0.188 0.02714 StDev 0.01890 N 7 AD 0.450 P-Value Probability Plot of Effort Based Defect Density Normal Index Measure Phase 86 Graphical Summary M E A S U R E Data is normal as p-value > 0.05 Skewness is somewhat close to 0 indicating symmetric data A negative value of Kurtosis indicates a distribution flatter than normal 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 Median Mean 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 Anderson-Darling Normality Test V ariance 0.000357 Skewness 0.778909 Kurtosis -0.087360 N 7 Minimum 0.010000 A-Squared 1st Quartile 0.010000 Median 0.030000 3rd Quartile 0.040000 Maximum 0.060000 95% Confidence Interv al for Mean 0.009665 0.45 0.044621 95% Confidence Interv al for Median 0.010000 0.045333 95% Confidence Interv al for StDev 0.012178 0.041615 P-V alue 0.188 Mean 0.027143 StDev 0.018898 95% Confidence Intervals Summary for Effort Based Defect Density Index Measure Phase 87 M E A S U R E A country preacher was walking the back-road near a church. He became thirsty so decided to stop at a little cottage and ask for something to drink. The lady of the house invited him in and in addition to something to drink, she served him a bowl of soup by the fire. There was a small pig running around the kitchen. The pig was constantly running up to the visitor and giving him a great deal of attention. The visiting pastor commented that he had never seen a pig this friendly. The housewife replied: "Ah, he's not that friendly. Actually, that's his bowl you're using!"
Count the Occurrence of letter I in the Paragraph 88 M E A S U R E Ensure Data Consistency And Stability Establish Data Collection Goals Develop Operational Definitions Clarify purpose of data collection Identify what data to collect Test and validate measurement systems Write and pilot operational definitions Develop and pilot data collection forms and procedures Establish a sampling plan Collect Data And Monitor Consistency Train data collectors Pilot process and make adjustments Collect data Monitor data accuracy and consistency 1 4 3 2 Plan for data collection 89 M E A S U R E What is Operational Definition? A definition that gives communicable meaning to a concept by specifying how the concept is measured and applied within a particular set of circumstances. -Deming To remove ambiguity Everyone has a consistent understanding To provide a clear way to measure the characteristic Identifies what to measure Identifies how to measure it Makes sure that no matter who does the measuring, the results are consistent Always measure one scale lower than your customer measures 90 M E A S U R E Sampling Sampling is the process of:
Collecting only a portion of the data that is available or could be available, and drawing conclusions about the total population (statistical inference) Examples : Blood Test A few drops of blood is tested to draw conclusion Cosmetic: A small sample is applied to test the reaction Wine tasting Buy Fruits/Vegetables
Audits: Based on the few process/entity audited effectiveness of QMS is implied
Inspection: A few units are checked and the entire lot shipped
Election result: Based on the response of few people results are forecasted
91 M E A S U R E Sampling Random Sampling: Each unit (X) has an equal probability of being selected in a sample
Population Picking 2 Tickets during the shift for checking SLA compliance Picking 30 calls to calculate average TAT Systematic Random Sampling Sample every nth Unit
Process Check every 10 th Ticket during each shift for checking Response SLA compliance
Subgroup Sampling The population is divided in to subgroups Process Select 5 tickets resolved by each of team members during the shift Stratified Random Sampling Randomly sample within a stratified category or group Population
Select 5 tickets responded by team member 92 M E A S U R E Measurement System Analysis Quantitative evaluation of the tools and process used in data collection Conducted to ensure the information collected is a true representation of the process. 93 M E A S U R E Types of Measurement System Analysis Operational Definitions Walking the Process Gage R&R Variable Data Attribute Data 94 M E A S U R E Gage R & R Repeatability is the variation in measurements obtained with one measuring instrument when used several times by a measurer while measuring the identical characteristic on the same part. 95 M E A S U R E Measurement System Analysis 96 M E A S U R E Gage R&R - Repeatability The term repeatability refers to: The inherent variability of the measuring system Variation that occurs when repeated measurements are made of the same item under absolutely identical conditions Same operator Same setup Same units Same environmental conditions 97 M E A S U R E Gage R&R - Reproducibility Reproducibility is the variation in the average of the measurements made by different measurers using the same measuring instrument when measuring the identical characteristics on the same item. 98 M E A S U R E Gage R&R - Reproducibility The term reproducibility refers to: The variation that results when different conditions are used to make the measurements Different operators Different setups Different units Different environmental conditions Different measurement systems 99 M E A S U R E Sources of Variation
Observed Process Variation
Actual Process Variation Measurement Variation Short-term Process Variation Long-term Process Variation Variation within a Sample Variation due to Operators Variation due to Gage Repeatability Accuracy Reproducibility Stability Linearity 100 M E A S U R E Gage R&R - Example W A B C Operator 1 Operator 2 Operator 3 Values across rows Contribute to Repeatability Values across columns Contribute to Reproducibility Task : Establish Gage R&R for Measurement of Width of Box
# Measurers :3 # of Samples :3 Gage : Vernier Calipers 101 Gage R & R M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase P e r c e n t Part-to-Part Reprod Repeat Gage R&R 100 50 0 % Contribution %Study Var S a m p l e
R a n g e 0.010 0.005 0.000 _ R=0.00467 UCL=0.00987 LCL=0 Operator 1 Operator 2 Operator 3 S a m p l e
M e a n 10.5700 10.5675 10.5650 _ _ X=10.566844 UCL=10.569536 LCL=10.564153 Operator 1 Operator 2 Operator 3 Box Id C B A 10.5700 10.5675 10.5650 Operator Id Operator 3 Operator 2 Operator 1 10.5700 10.5675 10.5650 Box Id A v e r a g e C B A 10.568 10.567 10.566 Operator Id Operator 1 Operator 2 Operator 3 Gage name: V ernier Calipers Date of study : 01-02-2005 Components of Variation R Chart by Operator Id Xbar Chart by Operator Id Width (in mm) by Box Id Width (in mm) by Operator Id Operator Id * Box Id Interaction Gage R&R (ANOVA) for Width (in mm) 102 Process Sigma Common metric M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Which Process Is Performing Best? Response to a P1 ticket Billing Vendor Payment Customer Survey 11 +/- 5 minutes (Average speed of response) 98 +/-1% (Accuracy) 33 +/- 2 Days (Average delay) 82% (Rated 4 or 5 on Responsiveness) Process Y Performance 103 Process Sigma Common metric M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase
Z = # standard deviation units between the specification limit and the mean Z USL = Z LSL = Process Capability: A measure in Standard Deviation Units (Z) of how far the process mean is from the performance standard. How far (in standard deviation units) is the mean from the specification (Lines A+B) s +1 +2 +3 -1 -2 -3 Lower Spec Limit 6-sigma : the closest specification is at least 6 standard deviation units (Zs) away from the mean Smaller the variation in the process, higher the sigma value +1 +2 +3 -1 -2 -3 X - LSL s USL - X s s +4 +5 +6 -4 -5 -6 X X Upper Spec Limit Lower Spec Limit Upper Spec Limit 104 Capability Analysis M E A S U R E Index Measure Phase Check for Normality Data is considered Normal only when P-Value > 0.05 Z Bench is automatically calculated 105 Analyze Phase - Flow Define Measure Improve Analyse Control Quantify the opportunity Identify possible causes Data stratification Process map analysis Cause and effect diagrams Determine the financial benefits Narrow to root causes Hypothesis testing Regression analysis 106 Run Chart M E A S U R E Example of a Run Chart Median A graphical tool to monitor Project Y Use to develop a preliminary understanding of the variation in a process Variation Over a Period of Time 107 Run Chart M E A S U R E 1. Collect 20 or more data values over time
2. Plot the data in time order
3. Pencil in the median line
4. Check for signals of special cause
Slow to detect special causes Wont detect: Shifts of short duration Increases In variation Advantages: Disadvantages: How to make a Run Chart ? Can be used for almost any data collected over time Easy to plot No calculations are necessary Easy to interpret Provide a baseline for key measures 108 Run Chart Special cause patterns M E A S U R E Cycle 14 or more consecutive points up and down Find out what was different about the process around the time the cycle occurred Shifts 8 or more points in a row on the same side of the median indicate a shift in a key element of the process. Find out what was different about the process around the time that the shift occurred. Customer complaints increase due to change in policy Trends 7 or more points in a row continuously increasing or continuously decreasing indicate a trend. Find out what was different about the process around the time that the trend started. Market growth or decline A sequence of 7 or more points having the same value. Find out if measurement device is stuck.
Poor resolution. Cycle time measured to nearest day Same Value Pattern Plot Conclude Action Example Fluctuations in staffing due to holidays 109 5 Why Analysis M E A S U R E 1. Why do we pay invoices some invoices late ? Because we receive them late from vendors 2. Why do we receive them late ? Because vendors send invoices in batches 3. Why do vendors send invoices in batches ? Because individual invoices are not available during shipment 4. Why individual invoices are not available ? Because invoices are not printed for each transaction 5. Why invoices are not printed for each transaction ? Because Shipping Dept does not have a printer and no resource to collect individual invoices if printed individually. Hence printed in bunches.
Use after verifying an X with data Ask why five times to identify deeper causes Use process data to answer each WHY question 110 Pareto Analysis A N A L Y Z E Index Analyze Phase I n c i d e n t s P e r c e n t Servers Count 380324279263219210210161705 Percent 2587 18 14 10 10 9 8 8 4 3 2 1915 2 2 2 1 1 1 5 Cum % 18 32 1473 42 52 61 69 77 81 83 86 88 89 1393 91 92 94 95100 1282 1128 1078567 O t h e r O N N N - U S P X 1 - M S P P R O D 1 O N N N - S R V U P D A T E O N N N - S M P R O D Q A O N N N - E V A L P O W E R E D G E O N N N - U S P X 1 - S M P R O D 2 O N N N - S O D I U M O N N N - U S P X 1 - S M P R O D 4 O N N N - A Z 0 1 - D D C M O N N N - A Z 0 1 - L E G A L - 0 1 O N N N - N B M E D I A O N N N - A Z 0 1 - P M I S O N N N - U S P X 1 - S C M S - I B P O N N N - A Z 0 1 - O N P D C O N N N - U S P X 1 - D A T S E R V E R O N N N - S C M S - D E V O N N N - A Z 0 1 - N W M I G R A T E 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 100 80 60 40 20 0 Incidents per Server 23% of Servers Contributing to 81% of Incident Volume ( There are totally 35 servers in the Environment ) 111 Pareto Analysis A N A L Y Z E Index Analyze Phase Cascading Paretos And The Five Whys / Fish Bone Diagram A r e a
C o d e
L o c a l
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P h o n e
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A d d r e s s
M a r i t a l
S t a t u s
I n c o m e
Pareto A Pareto B Pareto C F r e q u e n c y
P e r s o n a l
I n f o r m a t i o n
B a n k i n g
I n f o
C r e d i t
F i x
112 Sources of variation Machines
Methods
Materials
Measurements
Mother Nature
People P R O C E S S 113 Fishbone Analysis A N A L Y Z E Index Analyze Phase 114 Improve Phase - Flow Cost-Benefit Analysis Perform cost-benefit analysis for the preferred solution Generating Solutions Generate solutions including Benchmarking and select best approach based on screening criteria A B C D 4 1 3 2 Assessing Risks Use FMEA to identify risks associated with the solution and take preventive actions Piloting Test Full scale Original Pilot the solution on a small scale and evaluate the results 2 4 8 6 10 G 1 3 5 7 9 A B C D F E J I H G Implementation Planning Develop a full plan for implementation and change management Selecting the Solution Recommend a solution involving key stakeholders. 115 Improve Phase - Flow Define Measure Improve Analyse Control Refine solutions Identify & test solutions Justify solution Generate ideas Synthesize solutions Screen solutions Potential problem analysis Error proofing Robust design FMEA Pilot planning Verification of results Pilot solution Cost benefit analysis Senior management approval 116 Index Improve Phase Identify & Test Solutions Possible Paths For Solution Development When the root causes are clearly defined and the possible solutions are more obvious, Design Of Experiments may be the best path to a good solution. In situations where the root cause is a combination of factors or process issues, and the solution is not obvious, a creative thinking approach may be a more productive path to a good solution. Generate New Solution Ideas Test Refine Structured DOE Approach Investigate Specific Xs Test Refine OR X 1 X 2 X 3 X 4 X 1 X 2 Root Causes Out-of-the-Box Thinking Solution Is Not Obvious Solution Is Obvious 117 Improvement criteria I M P R O V E Must are absolute requirements that can be used to screen out unacceptable alternatives.
Desirables/Want are comparison criteria that can be used as features and characteristics for comparison of one solution to another 118 Involve team in developing solutions I M P R O V E 119 Brainstorming I M P R O V E Purpose: Generate creative ideas
Brainstorming is a technique to generate large number of ideas in a relatively short periods of time
Brainstorming leverages the knowledge, ideas, and experience of several people to generate a comprehensive set of ideas. 120 Tools to aid selection of solutions I M P R O V E Payoff Matrix : Evaluate the improvements that appear to offer the highest benefit compared to the amount of effort required to implement them High Low Low High Effort B e n e f i t
Consensus Decision making : A search for the best decision through the exploration of the best of everyones thinking. Everyone understands the decision and can explain why it is best. Everyone has had an opportunity to be heard
Criteria Based Matrix : Identify the most important criteria and the rest relative to this. Multiple solutions are evaluated against the criteria. 121 Criteria based matrix - Example I M P R O V E Want Criteria Rank Ford Ikon Fiat Seina Score Wt Score Score Wt Score Safety 10 10 100 6 60 Stereo 4 7 28 10 40 After sales service 7 10 70 5 35 Mileage 8 8 64 10 80 Interiors 5 10 50 8 40 Order to Delivery time 9 8 72 10 90 Total 384 345 Example: You want to buy a Car. You scan through auto mart and shortlist two cars based on the Cost factor (Must Criteria) From the short listed list you now need to decide which car to buy. Screen generated solutions for Must Criteria and list down all Want criteria Identify the most important Want and give it a rating of 10. Rank the remaining Wants relative to the Most important Want Assign score of 10 to the solution that best fit each Want. Rank the other solutions relative to that solution. Calculate the weighted score and take decision on the solution to be selected 122 Solutions review I M P R O V E Involve people. Use creativity techniques to generate alternatives. Generate and weight criteria. Evaluate each alternative against the criteria. Be creative in finding ways to get additional information about a potential solution. If no clear choice emerges, use consensus decision making.
123 Develop Should Be Process map I M P R O V E
For the selected solution, develop the Should Be process map To describe new process To help refine solution To serve as the base document for process monitoring What You Think It Is... What It Really Is.. What It Should Be... What It Could Be... 124 Cost Benefit Analysis Index Improve Phase I M P R O V E Benefits Cost Of Implementation Benefits Quality improvements Cost reductions/Avoidance Documentable cost avoidance Revenue generation FTE reduction Cost Of Implementation Equipment and materials Training Improvement team labor Travel and living expenses 125 FMEA Index Improve Phase I M P R O V E System Potential FMEA Number Subsystem Failure Mode and Effects Analysis Prepared By Component (Design FMEA) FMEA Date Design Lead Key Date Revision Date Core Team Page of Action Results Item / Function Potential Failure Mode(s) Potential Effect(s) of Failure S e v Potential Cause(s)/ Mechanism(s) of Failure P r o b Current Design Controls D e t R P N Recommended Action(s) Responsibility & Target Completion Date Actions Taken N e w
S e v N e w
O c c N e w
D e t N e w
R P N Identify each failure mode and Potential Consequence(s) of that Failure Severity - On a scale of 1-10, rate the Severity of each failure ( 10=most severe). See Severity list Likelihood - Write down the Potential Cause(s), and on a scale of 1-10, rate the Likelihood of each failure (10=most likely). See the Probability list Dectability - Examine the current design, then on a scale of 1-10 rate the dectability of each failure. ( 10=least detectable). See Detectability list Risk Priority Number : The combined Weighting of Severity,Likelihood and Detectability. RPN = Sev*Occ*Det Response Plans and Tracking 126 Solution Implementation (To Be Process Map) I M P R O V E Index Improve Phase 127 Control Phase - Flow Define Measure Improve Analyse Control Implementation plan Control Plan Close project Process documentation Monitoring plan Response plan Implementation plan Implement solution Monitor the process Control charts and new process baselines Transition to the process owner Translate learnings Project closure
128 Process Control Methods used to either make the occurrence of a nonconformity impossible or to ensure that it does not pass undetected Look-up tables for database entry Validation Bar coding Error messages/Check list Error proofing Audits helps to identify gaps in implementation Check the implementation of the new process on a defined frequency Check if the new process is documented Check if all users are trained on the new process Periodic Audits Training ensures that all process users perform key tasks in the same way Update training manual Train all users the new process Update training records Periodically retrain Training
Making sure documentation is up to date and used encourages ongoing use of standardized methods Detailed SOPS Work Instructions with screen shorts Improved Flow Chart All changes to be reflected in the documented QMS -ISO Documentation 129 Process Control Control Plan Define key output and process measures for ongoing monitoring of the improved process Determine the performance standards targets and specification limits - for the measures Define the methods for gathering, recording and reporting data collected on the measures( 4 step data collection plan) Can include a response plan
Define parameter for performance of the new process Control chart Graphical representation of process performance over time (variation) Identify drift from the normal behavior so that corrective action can be taken Response Plan Document actions to be taken when an out of control event occurs Define time frame for the action to be taken. Identify the ownership for action items
130 Control Charts C O N T R O L 131 Control Charts C O N T R O L 7.5 8.5 9.5 10.5 11.5 12.5 0 10 20 30 7.5 8.5 9.5 10.5 11.5 12.5 0 10 20 30 In Control Not In Control 132 Control Charts C O N T R O L Determine Data Type Attribute or Variable Data? Sample Size=1? Sample Size<10? IX-MR Chart Xbar-R Chart Y Y N Variable (data continuous) Defects or Defective Units? Xbar-S Chart N Attribute (data discrete) Inspection unit same? c-chart u-chart Defects Y or N Y Sample SizeConstant? np-chart p-chart Defectives Y or N Y 133 Control Plan I M P R O V E Special Causes of Variation: More Number of IRs closed during the month Less Effort spent on requests during the month Defects due to new defect types/causes Change in resources within the team especially induction of new resources to the team Change in the nature of requests received (New kind of requests Requests of similar nature were not previously executed by the team).
When it is appropriate to react: One point falls outside the 3 Sigma control limits. Seven successive points on the same side of the centerline. Seven successive points that increase or decrease. Two out of three successive points are both on the same side of the centerline and outside the 2 Sigma zone. Four out of five successive points are both on the same side of the centerline and outside the 1 Sigma zone. Fourteen Points in a row Alternating ups and downs Other non-random patterns such as trends of points within the control limits. Other non-random patterns such, cycles of points within the control limits.
Index Control Phase 134 Lean/Six Sigma Training & Certification Training Audience Duration Mode Criteria Yellow Belt Open 4 hours Classroom - Project Champion Project Sponsors 3 days Classroom - Green Belt Associates & Above Open to All for CBE, Mumbai SQAG & corp. functions. 5 days
40 hours Classroom
eLearning Project Viva Voce Exam Black Belt Senior Associates & above 4 weeks/5 days each Classroom Hi-Impact Project GB Mentoring Viva Voce BMG Exam Lean Open 4 hours Classroom - Rigorous Training & Mentoring Support