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Global eCommerce Innovation and

The Ever-expanding Amazon Ecosystem


Presented by:
Anne Zybowski, Vice President
Steve Mader, Director Digital Retail
Nicole Santosuosso, Junior Analyst

Digital Webinar Series


August 7, 2014

Agenda
Exploring Kantar Retails Latest Global
eCommerce Forecasts

Optimizing Online Grocery


Amazon: Hardware Driving the Ecosystem

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

Exploring Kantar Retails Latest


Global eCommerce Forecasts

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

A GLOBAL VIEW AND PLANNING

REQUIRES CONSISTENCY
In measurement; much lies in the fine print

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

In the US, 2013 eCommerce Was $264 Billion Strong


With strong double-digit growth and forecasts
US: Annual b2c eCommerce Retail Sales
(excl. Autos, Fuel, and Foodservice)

CAGR

09-14E

14-19E

15.9%

14.3%

USD billions

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce and Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

Yet Even in the US, Headlines Can Deceive


Kantar Retail uses metric that focuses on goods bought/sold

Others often include:

US: Annual b2c eCommerce Retail Sales (excludes autos, fuel, and foodservice)

eCommmerce:

Any purchase of goods between a consumer and a

retailer where the goods are either physical items for first-time use OR are virtual goods
traditionally sold in retail stores (music, video, magazine, news). The financial transaction
must take place on an electronic device. Collection can be made by pickup, download, or
delivery. Excludes auto/motorized vehicles, foodservice, wholesale.

Source: Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

Lack of Clarity Compounded When Look Abroad


Media Headlines: True or False?

Source: Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

Chinas $297 Billion Includes Marketplace


Activity

$297 B

83%
=$248 B

Source: Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

Including C2C/Marketplace in the US Stats


$374billion in 2013 AND growing at low double-digit rates
US: Annual eCommerce Retail Sales including C2C
(excl. Autos, Fuel, and Foodservice)

CAGR

08-13E

13-18E

15.0%

11.8%

USD billions

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce and Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

10

Widening Horizons from B2C to Include C2C


Important for global consistency to look at both
What is B2C and C2C?
BUSINESS-TO-CONSUMER SITES
BUSINESS MODEL Retailers that sell goods to consumers
DEFINITION
BRICKS &
MORTAR
EQUIVALENT
PRODUCT
LISTINGS

INVENTORY

CONSUMER-TO-CONSUMER SITES
A marketplace business model that
facilitates interaction between customers

Retail Stores that sell to consumers, from


a small box Dollar General to big box
Shopping mall operators
Walmart
Managed carefully within the
merchandising organization with strict
rules

Recruits sellers and sets guidelines but


does not manage carefully. Anyone can
sell to consumer without a middleman

Invests in acquiring the product as early


as possible to guarantee in-stock rates
and speed of delivery

Never owns the product. In some cases


assists with delivery to the consumer
(procuring best delivery relationship with
a 3rd party or direct via the retailers own
fulfillment network)

Source: Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

11

There are 4 Major Types of eCommerce Retail


That Kantar Retail tracks and forecasts
Marketplace: Sales of goods between two parties (usually a consumer and a retailer
but can be between consumer and consumer or wholesaler and consumer) where the
website only arranges the storefront listing and delivery may/may not be arranged
through.
Bricks n Clicks: Sale of non-fresh items (see previous definition) via a retailer
ordering application with pickup of items done by any method provided by the retailer.
The retailer must have stores and keep the merchandise displayed on the catalogue
consistent with merchandise sold in-store.
eGrocery: Sale of fresh items for home preparation with home delivery or point
collection (Fresh includes fruits, vegetables, meats, fish, dairy, other short-shelf life
items or items that require immediate refrigeration/freezing). The payment for delivery
can happen via any retailer ordering application including telephone.
Pure Play: Sale of goods between a consumer and a retailer using total e-retail
definition where the retailer does not have a physical store AND arranges delivery of
the goods via their own distribution network and product listing standards.

Source: Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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The Pure Play Business Model Continues to


Dominate eCommerce in the US
Breakdown of USA eCommerce Sales by Type of Business Model, 2014E 2019E

eCOMMERCE SALES (USD, BILLIONS)

(Billions of Dollars)

$772B
$693B
$646B
$547B
$431B

$486B

*Total eCommerce dollars here include all four types of eCommerce that Kantar Retail tracks: Bricks n Clicks, eGrocery, Marketplace and Pure Play.

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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eCommerce in China Dominated by Marketplace


Though pure play and b&m gaining strength and momentum
Breakdown of USA eCommerce Sales by Type of Business Model, 2014E 2019E

eCOMMERCE SALES (USD, BILLIONS)

(Billions of Dollars)

$628B
$557B
$489B
$429B
$372B
$323B

*Total eCommerce dollars here include all four types of eCommerce that Kantar Retail tracks: Bricks n Clicks, eGrocery, Marketplace and Pure Play.

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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UK eCommerce is Developing Across All Models


Relatively even split across 4 models, yet Pure Play dominant
Breakdown of USA eCommerce Sales by Type of Business Model, 2014E 2019E

eCOMMERCE SALES (USD, BILLIONS)

(Billions of Dollars)

$107B
$89B
$71B

$116B

$98B

$80B

*Total eCommerce dollars here include all four types of eCommerce that Kantar Retail tracks: Bricks n Clicks, eGrocery, Marketplace and Pure Play.

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

15

Customer Capabilities and First-to-Market Matter


Sets pace for how market develops & shopper habits
Item

Basket

Marketplace

General merchandise-led

Grocery/consumables-led

General merchandise-led

1 (few) item at a time

Full basket

1 (few) item at a time

National ship

Home delivery

Fragmented supply chain

Source: Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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For More Detail, And To Dig Deeper


Leverage Kantar Retails Digital Insight Centre

Source: Kantar Retail analysis, KantarretailiQ.com

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

17

Optimizing Online Grocery

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

18

Three Distinct Phases of eGrocery Capabilities


CrawlWalkRun = FixBuild-Impact
Phase One:

Retailers focused on the physical -> Website Suffers


Taking in-store product and simply listing online
eGrocery often an attachment/port of existing GM Website
Vertical Merchandising
Limited cross promotions

1. Digital Assets
2. Simple Search
3. Minimise Barriers

Source: Kantar Retail

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

19

Vertical Merchandising Hinders Navigation

Source: Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

20

Horizontal Merchandising Mimics the Shelf

Source: Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

21

Optimize Within the confines of the Platform


How do you convey Size and Value?

Source: Kantar Retail analysis , company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

22

Perfect Store Transcends Web Platforms


2013

Source: Kantar Retail

2014

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Three Distinct Phases of eGrocery Capabilities


CrawlWalkRun = FixBuild-Impact
Phase Two:

Migrate to Horizontal Merchandising


Retailers begin to become more sophisticated CatMan techniques
Brute force CatMan techniques as Web Platform Less Dynamic
Wake up to Media Opportunities Often Short Term Cash Grab
Build Mechanisms for getting found Search, Favourites List

1. Navigation/Taxonomy
2. Visibility (Media options)
3. Sophisticated Search

Source: Kantar Retail

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Monetization Of Traffic Can Lead To Bad Retailer


Behavior

Source: Kantar Retail

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Brute Forcing around Merchandising Limitations

Source: Kantar Retail analysis, Company websites

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Potential Light At The End Of The Tunnel


Data Analytics Still Poor

Source: Kantar Retail analysis, Company websites

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Huge Opportunity When Promotions are Tied to


I know what you like
the Favorites List
Bringing in-store data into
the online shop

Source: Kantar Retail analysis, Company websites

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Driving Trial to Get on The List


List Drives Habit Removes Friction from Purchase

Source: Kantar Retail analysis, Company websites

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

29

Three Distinct Phases of eGrocery Capabilities


CrawlWalkRun = FixBuild-Impact
Phase Three:

Strong Differentiation now between Good and Bad retailers


Dynamic Shelf Search, Favorites List
Strong cross-vendor category management
Media opportunities can be tracked
Data tying the store to online Though supplier still needs to manage

1. Digital Shopper
Marketing
2. Omni-Channel
Activations
3. Store-In-Store

Source: Kantar Retail

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

30

Cross-Supplier Initiatives Can Help Inspire


Drive Recruitment into More Premium Segments

Source: Kantar Retail

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

31

Robust Platforms -> Proper Shopper Marketing


Narrative Never Would Have Been Possible In-store

Source: Kantar Retail

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

32

Building the Basket with Intelligent SEO/SEM


Dynamic Merchandising via Keywords

Source: Kantar Retail analysis , company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

33

Building Global Capabilities


Focus at the Global/Regional level should be on
building the organisations capabilities and platforms
to ensure the local markets can quickly serve their
retail customers
Marketing/Insight functions test & learn new
technology platforms to understand the potential ROI
of new activations.
Global brand team builds a style guide backed by
data that shows which assets (images/text/keywords)
convert the best. The global team then sends this
style guide to the local markets to ensure consistency
and optimal brand representation.
Creating a toolkit to upskill the local markets on new
trends and capabilities.

Source: Kantar Retail

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

34

Partnership between Global & Local Teams


There will be some action items that the local
teams must look after themselves, but can look to
the global team for assistance and guidance to
save time and money
The global team will help the local team build
capability in-market proactively to ensure they stay
ahead of competition, and potentially educate local
retailers.
The global team will build the framework and
processes around shopper research and category
management. The local teams can then determine
how they would like to work within those frameworks.
This is to ensure consistency and comparability
across markets.
The global team will help establish global best
practice, and work with the local teams to ensure
local relevance. The local teams can then do a self
assessment to determine if there is a gap.

Source: Kantar Retail

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

35

Local Capabilities Required


Once the global processes, technology
platforms, and capability toolkits are rolled
out by the global team, the local teams are
responsible for executing
Localization of keywords and search terms is
essential of successfully showing up online when a
shopper searched for our product. Use your market
knowledge to build a keyword list that can be
executed online.
Joint Business Plans can be created in collaboration
with the global team, but ongoing maintenance and
monitoring will be done by the local teams.

New product launches, and how that comes to life


across digital channels can be guided by the global
team, but will be executed by the local teams.
Social platforms and community engagement are
best handled at the local level. Global teams can
give guidance on best practice.

Source: Kantar Retail

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Amazon: Hardware Driving the


Ecosystem

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

37

2014: Amazon Aggressive Move into Hardware


New devices will make Amazon an omnipresent force in
shoppers lives, inextricably tied to Prime

Source: Kantar Retail analysis, Company website, Company reports

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

38

Hardware at Intersection of Content & Usage


Started with Prime free shipping to remove barriers to purchase

(Sept 08)

CONTENT

(Feb 05)

(Dec 12)

(June 14)
(July 14)

(Nov 11)

2005

HARDWARE

(Feb 11)

2008

2011

2012

2014

2007
(Nov 07)

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; Company website

(Sept 11)

(April 14)

(July 14)

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

39

Digital Important Piece of Prime Value Proposition


Evolves from shipping/retail to entertainment/share of life
Reason for Signing Up for Amazon Prime vs. Renewing Prime Membership
(among all primary household shoppers)
Primary Reason for Signing Up

78%

Reasons for Renewing*

70%

32%
22%

19%

14%

12%
6%
2%

10%

7%

3%

Free two-day
shipping

Free instant
Exclusive video
Kindle lending
Amazon Mom
Amazon student
streaming of video
content
library
discounts on baby discounts/referral
content
supplies
credits
*Among Prime members who plan to renew, % who say factor is very important in their decision to renew

Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape, December 2013

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

40

Kindle Suite of Products


Where it all began accelerating the physical to digital shift
and eliminating barriers to purchase
"We've been working on Kindle for more than three years.
Our top design objective was for Kindle to disappear in
your hands -- to get out of the way -- so you can enjoy
your readingKindle is wireless, so whether you're lying in
bed or riding a train, you can think of a book, and have it in
less than 60 seconds. No computer is needed -- you do your
shopping directly from the device. We're excited to make
Kindle available today."
-Jeff Bezos, CEO 11/19/2007

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; Company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Amazon Ecosystem Not About Purchase-1st


Its more aligned to what people are doing when connected
Entertainment/social is majority of connected time

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; TNS Mobile Life 2013

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

42

First Foray Into Subscription Access = Video


Prime Instant Video success leads into Music & Books

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; Company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Kindle Expands to Appeal to Mom & Family


Follows 2010 expansion of Prime into Amazon Mom program

Kindle FreeTime provides a solution for Amazon


families-- giving parents control of their childs
viewing and time in front of the screen.

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; Company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

44

Continuing to Innovate for Family/Kids


Beyond Amazon Mom Original Content

FreeTime parental controls also available for Fire TV

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; Company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

45

April 2014: Hardware Amazon Fire TV


Accelerates value of subscription model with device that takes
clicks out of the experience with features like voice search

With its own device/hardware at core, Amazon applied


1-click thinking to an all-inclusive platform for content
viewing. Fire TV is aimed at the various barriers to
usage, taking an all-in approach so users can access
content from Netflix, Hulu, Showtime, HBO & more- all
in one place. The Fire TV also includes a number of
exclusive Amazon features such as personalized
recommendations, voice search technology, and
second screen capabilities with Kindle Fire.

Source: Kantar Retail analysis, Amazon.com

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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April 2014: Drive Consumables Without the Click


Handheld device removes friction from path to purchase

To add to their grocery list, shoppers can scan


barcodes from everyday items in their home, or
simply speak an item into the Dash microphone.

Source: Kantar Retail analysis, Amazon.com, YouTube

The handheld device, currently in beta, syncs


with a shoppers Amazon Prime Fresh
account. The tool will help remove friction
from the shopping experience especially in
the grocery channel, which still has many
barriers to purchase in place.

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

47

July 2014: Introducing the Fire Phone


3-D smartphone revolutionizes one-click retail
In terms of the Fire Phone, were very excited about
it.it can exist on its own and whether its part of our
family, if you will, to help drive other usageIts very
integrated into our various digital services including
video and games and our app store, and ebooks and
certainly Prime music. So those are all very interesting
things on behalf of customers. Its also a great way to
do physical shopping as well.
-Thomas J. Szkutak, CFO 7/24/14

Fire Phone has the following features:

Dynamic Perspective
Unlimited Cloud drive storage for photos
Mayday on-device tech support
Firefly Technology

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; Company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Firefly Technology Embodies the One-Click


Mentality: Underlies all Hardware

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; Company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Testing Hardware Placement on the Home Page


Leveraging the store to market & drive awareness of devices

New
navigation
tab just for
devices

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; Company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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Get it Today: Continued Innovation on Immediacy


August expansion to 6 more cities

Source: Kantar Retail analysis; Company website

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

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2014/2015 A Pivotal Year For Amazon


Will it be successful?
Share of Life = focus on shoppers connected activity
Continued focus on innovating to remove barriers, from entertainment to
purchase
New hardware is about facilitating path to purchase, and enabling quicker
access to Amazons product database

Moving from Ownership models to Access models


Subscription models evolved with companies like Netflix and the Apple music
ecosystem
Amazon is learning to extend and profit from both of these models, the
question is which industries or products might be next?

Will shoppers give Amazon permission?


Amazon has clearly established a reputation with books, and has now
moved on to video & other content including music
Time will tell how deep shoppers allow the relationship to extend

Source: Kantar Retail analysis

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

52

Copyright 2014 Kantar Retail

Anne Zybowski
Vice President, Retail Insights
anne.zybowski@kantarretail.com

Nicole Santosuosso
Junior Analyst
nicole.santosuosso@kantarretail.com

Stephen Mader
Director of Digital Retail
stephen.mader@kantarretail.com

501 Boylston Street


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