India and its Future

Infrastructure:
Opportunities for a next generation infrastructure
August 2008
 Current State of India’s
Infrastructure: a Glimpse
• Vastly under capacity
• Has more roads than China but less usable for
heavy transport (only 6 % carry 40% of traffic).
• In spite of large programs - no national plan
• Up to 2015 goods traffic is expected raise by
15% /year
• Longer to take freight from Delhi to Mumbai than
Mumbai to foreign ports.
• And on and on
Current Trajectory of Evolution
• At 9% growth the total investment in infrastructure
during the eleventh and twelfth plan periods would have
Rs 20,18,709 crore and Rs 40,55,235 crore respectively.
(Planning Commission white paper)
• Non-uniform models of development of infrastructure
and adhoc. (Deutche Bank Report)
• Lack of capacity to spend the money effectively with
respect to skills and capacity. (Deutche Bank Report)
• Very little or no analysis of alternatives and
consequences in a science based analytical approach.
• Could lead to large unintended consequences during
natural or man-made disaster.
Goal of the Research Program
at CSTEP
• To create a world-class program of study and
analyses using technological, social and
economic sciences in modeling and design of
future infrastructure development that has the
goals of maximizing energy and environmental
conservation in the Indian context.
 Expected Impacts of the
program
• Opportunity to create a new generation of models and
design of infrastructures (water, electricity and
transportation) -unique to the needs of India and other
developing countries.
• Opportunity for public-private partnership studies of
infrastructure issues through CSTEP.
• Opportunity to create a world class institution for the
study and design future infrastructure for developing
countries -
• Opportunity to engage the bottom of the pyramid and
the environment well and profitably in the worldwide
economic development.
 Areas of Focus

 Transportation
 Electricity
 Water
 Cross-Cutting themes

Example projects in each area in next slides

 Transportation
• Study of implication of a regional-airlink system by using
the unused airports in India.
• Study and modeling of traffic control systems for policy
implications of reducing congestion
• Study of current traffic patterns and needs to understand
the implications for next-generation infrastructure design
• Study into self-monitoring infrastructure and asset
maintenance systems
 Water
• Study of Water resource and use
management.
• Study policy and environmental issues rain
water collection programs
• Study of waste water and grey water
treatment and use
• ICT infrastructure to monitor water quality
• Modeling and design of drip irrigation systems
 Electricity

• Study the implications of liberalization

and regulation in designing electricity
markets
• Use of smart meters in electricity supply
• Use of ICT in managing and
maintenance of the infrastructure
 Cross Cutting - Themes
• Economic development
– Design and creation of policies for Special Economic Zones that are
environmentally clean with minimal energy waste.
– Design of policies to of energy and environmentally closed regions.
• ICT - Intelligent infrastructures
– ICT as an integrator cross infrastructure mangement.
– Backbone of self-monitoring, intelligent maintenance of any infrastructure.
• Modeling, Gaming and Simulation
– complex socio-technical systems using multi-agent modeling, actor networks
and other models from social sciences
– Use of multi-objective optimization models.
– Gaming as a medium to understand design and use patterns of infrastructure
use and design
Cross Cutting - Themes
 In Summary

• System monitoring and maintenance of

infrastructure as part of design
• Regulatory bodies and policies for
infrastructure development
• Modeling and simulation social and technical
systems in the design of infrastructure.
• Role of public-private partnerships in
Infrastructure design and management.
 Current Team

Dr. Eswaran Subrahmanian, Research Professor,

Carnegie Mellon University and Guest researcher,
National Institute of Standards and Technology USA.
(Lead)
Dr. Kota Harinaryana, Raja Ramanna Fellow, NAL,
Bangalore.
Dr. Robin King, Visiting Professor, Georgetown
University, USA
Dr. Rahul Tongia, CSTEP Fellow and System Scientist,
Carnegie Mellon University.
 International Collaboration

• Technology Policy Department, TU-Delft,

Netherlands
– Special economic zones
– Modeling gaming and simulation
• Carnegie Mellon University
– Electric Power Center (electricity mkts)
– Risk Analysis
– Modeling and simulation
– Center for sensors in infrastructure