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Therapy
Evidence
1. Validity
2. Importance
or
1. Importance
2. Validity
Clinical Scenario
A 75-year-old man is seen in our office after
being discharged from hospital 2 weeks
previously. During this admission he underwent a
carotid endarterectomy after suffering a transient
ischemic attack (TIA), and being diagnosed with
significant carotid stenosis. His hospital stay was
uncomplicated and his discharge medications
included metoprolol 50 mg twice daily for
hypertension and aspirin 81 mg daily.
Clinical Scenario
Today, he has brought us an article from the
Internet describing the benefits of statins for
stroke prevention and he wonders what this
medication is and if he should take it. Our
note from his last visit showed that his total
cholesterol was 5mmol/L, HDL-cholesterol
was 2.0mmol/L, and LDL-cholesterol was
2mmol/L. His examination was unremarkable.
Clinical Question
Components of foreground question (PICO):
Patient and the
problem:
Patient with
history of TIA,
carotid
endarterectomy,
hypertension,
and normal lipid
profile
Intervention:
Comparison:
Outcome of
interest:
Statin
None
Stroke
Clinical Question
In a patient with history of TIA, carotid
endarterectomy, hypertension, and normal
lipid profile, does therapy with a statin
decrease risk of stroke?
Individual trials
Systematic review
Clinical decision analysis
Economic analysis
Clinical practice guidelines
Qualitative studies
N-of-1 study
Search Strategy
Medline database:
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/
The Evidence
Heart Protection Study Collaborative Group.
MRC/BHF Heart Protection Study of
cholesterol lowering with simvastatin in
20,536 high-risk individuals: a randomisedplacebo controlled trial. Lancet 2002; 360: 7
22.
MRC-BHF Heart Protection Study.pdf
1.Isourpatientsodifferentfromthoseinthe
studythatitsresultscannotapply?
No.Ourpatientfulfilstheinclusioncriteriaofthe
study.
2.Isthetreatmentfeasibleinoursetting?
Yes. The drug is widely available in Indonesia.
Simvastatin OGB Dexa capsule costs only Rp
13,991 (10 mg x 30's)
(http://www.mims.com/Indonesia/drug/info/)
3.Whatareourpatientspotentialbenefitsandharms
fromthetherapy?
In our statin example, the study reported an NNT of 72, so
wed need to treat 72 patients like those in the trial with a
statin for a mean of 5 years to prevent one more of them
from experiencing a stroke.
If, however, we judge that our patient is at three times the
risk of stroke without treatment as the patients in the
control group, ft = 3 and NNT/ft = 72/3 = 24. This means
that we would only need to treat 24 higher-risk patients
like ours for 5 years to prevent an additional stroke.
4.Whatareourpatientsvaluesand
expectationsforboththeoutcomeweare
tryingtopreventandthetreatmentweare
offering?
The clinical bottom line is that in patients with a
high 5 year risk of death, simvastatin safely
reduced all cause mortality, vascular mortality,
and vascular events.