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Break-Even Analysis

Technique for evaluating


process and equipment
alternatives
Objective is to find the point
in dollars and units at which
cost equals revenue
Requires estimation of fixed
costs, variable costs, and
revenue

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Break-Even Analysis
Fixed costs are costs that
continue even if no units are
produced
Depreciation, taxes, debt,
mortgage payments

Variable costs are costs that


vary with the volume of units
produced
Labor, materials, portion of
utilities
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
Contribution is the difference
publishing as Prentice

Break-Even Analysis
Assumptions
Costs and revenue are
linear functions
Generally not the case in
the real world

We actually know these


costs
Very difficult to verify

Time value of money is


often ignored

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Break-Even Analysis

Total revenue line

900
800
Cost in dollars

700

Break-even point
Total cost = Total revenue

ofi
r
P

600

or
c
t

or
d
ri

Total cost line

500
400

Variable cost

300
ss do
o
L rri
co r

200
100
|

Fixed cost
|

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 90010001100


Figure
2011S7.5
Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Volume (units per period)

Break-Even Analysis
BEPx = breakeven point in
units
BEP$ = breakeven point in
dollars
P = price per
unit (after all
discounts)
Break-even
point occurs when

TR = TC
or
Px = F + Vx
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

x = number of
units produced
TR = total revenue
= Px
F = fixed costs
V = variable cost
per unit
TC = total costs = F
+ Vx

F
BEPx =
P-V

Break-Even Analysis

BEP$
=
=
=

BEPx = breakeven point in


units
BEP$ = breakeven point in
dollars
P = price per
= BEP
P
unit
(after xall
discounts)

F P Profit
P-V
=
F
=
(P - V)/P
=
F
1 - V/P

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

x = number of
units produced
TR = total revenue
= Px
F = fixed costs
V = variable cost
per unit
TC = total costs = F
+ Vx

= TR - TC
Px - (F + Vx)
Px - F - Vx
(P - V)x - F

Break-Even Example
Fixed costs = $10,000
Direct labor = $1.50/unit

BEP$ =

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

F
1 -(V/P)

Material = $.75/unit
Selling price = $4.00 per unit

$10,000
1 - [(1.50 + .75)/(4.00)]

Break-Even Example
Fixed costs = $10,000
Direct labor = $1.50/unit

F
1 -(V/P)

BEP$ =

BEPx =
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

$10,000
.4375

F
P-V

Material = $.75/unit
Selling price = $4.00 per unit

$10,000
1=- [(1.50 + .75)/(4.00)]
= $22,857.14

$10,000
4.00 - (1.50 + .75)

= 5,714

Break-Even Example
50,000
40,000

Revenue
Breakeven point

Dollars

30,000

Total
costs

20,000
10,000

Fixed costs

2,000

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

4,000
6,000
Units

8,000

10,000

Multiproduct Example
Fixed costs = $3,000 per month
Item
Price
Sandwich
$5.00
Drink
1.50
Baked potato 2.00

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Cost
$3.00
.50
1.00

Annual Forecasted
Sales Units
9,000
9,000
7,000

Multiproduct Example
Fixed costs = $3,000 per month
Item
Price
Sandwich
$5.00
Drink
1.50
Baked potato 2.00

Cost
$3.00
.50
1.00

Annual Forecasted
Sales Units
9,000
9,000
7,000

Annual
Forecasted % of

Weighted

SellingVariable
Contribution
Item (i) Price (P)Cost (V)(V/P)1 - (V/P)Sales $ Sales(col 5 x col
Sandwich
$5.00 $3.00
.60
.40 $45,000 .621
.248
7)
Drinks
1.50
.50
.33
.67
13,500 .186
.125
Baked
2.00
1.00
.50
.50
14,000 .193
.096
potato
$72,500 1.000
.469
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

F
Multiproduct
BEP Example
=
V
1 - P x (W )
$

Fixed costs = $3,000 per month


Item
Price
Sandwich
$5.00
Drink
1.50
Baked potato 2.00

Annual
$3,000 Forecasted
x 12
=
= $76,759
Cost
Sales
.469 Units
$3.00
9,000
.50
9,000
$76,759
Dail
1.00y= 312 days
7,000= $246.02
sale
Annual
Weighted
s
.621
x $246.02
Forecasted
% of
= 30.6 31
$5.00

SellingVariable
Contribution
sandwiches
Item (i) Price (P)Cost (V)(V/P)1 - (V/P)Sales $ Sales(col
5 x col
Sandwich
$5.00 $3.00
.60
.40 $45,000 .621per day
.248
7)
Drinks
1.50
.50
.33
.67
13,500 .186
.125
Baked
2.00
1.00
.50
.50
14,000 .193
.096
potato
$72,500 1.000
.469
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Expected Monetary Value (EMV)


and Capacity Decisions
Determine states of nature
Future demand
Market favorability

Analyzed using decision trees


Hospital supply company
Four alternatives
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Expected Monetary Value (EMV)


and Capacity Decisions
Market favorable (.4)

La

pla
e
rg

nt

Market unfavorable (.6)


-$90,000
Market favorable (.4)

Medium plant
Sm
all

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

pla
nt
D
o
no
th
in
g

$100,000

$60,000

Market unfavorable (.6)


-$10,000
Market favorable (.4)

$40,000

Market unfavorable (.6)


-$5,000
$0

Expected Monetary Value (EMV)


and Capacity Decisions
Market favorable (.4)

La

pla
e
rg

nt

Medium plant

$100,000

Market unfavorable (.6)


-$90,000
Market favorable (.4)

$60,000

Sm Large Plant
Market unfavorable (.6)
-$10,000
all
pla
nt
EMV = D
(.4)($100,000)
o
Market favorable (.4)
+ (.6)(-$90,000)
no
$40,000
th
in
g
Market unfavorable (.6)
EMV = -$14,000
-$5,000
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

$0

Expected Monetary Value (EMV)


and Capacity Decisions
-$14,000
Market favorable (.4)

La

pla
e
rg

Market unfavorable (.6)


-$90,000

nt

$18,000

Medium plant
Sm
all

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

$100,000

Market favorable (.4)

$60,000

Market unfavorable (.6)


-$10,000

pla
nt
$13,000
D
o
Market favorable (.4)
no
$40,000
th
in
g
Market unfavorable (.6)
-$5,000

$0

Strategy-Driven
Investment
Operations may be
responsible for return-oninvestment (ROI)
Analyzing capacity
alternatives should include
capital investment,
variable cost, cash flows,
and net present value
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Net Present Value (NPV)


In general:
F = P(1 + i)N
where

F
P
i
N

=
=
=
=

future value
present value
interest rate
number of years

Solving for P:
F
P=
(1 + i)N
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Net Present Value (NPV)


In general:
F = P(1 + i)N
where

F
P
i
N

=
=
=
=

future value
present value
While this works
interest rate
number offine,
years it is

cumbersome for
larger values of
Solving for P:
N
F
P=
(1 + i)N
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

NPV Using Factors


P=

F
(1 + i)N

where

Year
14%
Portion
1
of Table
.877
S7.1
2
.769
3
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
.675
publishing as Prentice

= FX

X = a factor from Table


S7.1 defined as = 1/(1 + i)N
and F = future value

6%

8%

10%

12%

.943

.926

.909

.893

.890

.857

.826

.797

.840

.794

.751

.712

Measuring Supply-Chain
Performance
Typical Firms

Benchmark
Firms

15

Time spent placing an order

42 minutes

15 minutes

Percentage of late deliveries

33%

2%

Percentage of rejected material

1.5%

.0001%

400

Lead time (weeks)

Number of shortages per year

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Table 11.6

Measuring Supply-Chain
Performance
Assets committed to inventory
Percent
invested in
inventory

Total inventory
investment
Total assets

x 100

Investment in inventory = $11.4 billion


Total assets = $44.4 billion
Percent invested in inventory = (11.4/44.4) x 100 = 25.7%
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Measuring Supply-Chain
Performance
Inventory as a % of Total Assets
(with exceptional performance)
Manufacturing 15%
(Toyota 5%)
Wholesale 34%
(Coca-Cola 2.9%)
Restaurants 2.9%
(McDonalds .05%)
Retail
27%
(Home Depot 25.7%)

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Table 11.7

Measuring Supply-Chain
Performance
Inventory turnover
Inventory
turnover

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Cost of goods sold


=

Inventory investment

Measuring Supply-Chain
Performance
Examples of Annual Inventory Turnover
Food, Beverage, RetailManufacturing
Anheuser Busch
15
Dell Computer
Coca-Cola
14
Johnson Controls
Home Depot
5
Toyota (overall)
McDonalds
112
Nissan (assembly)

90
22
13
150

Table 11.8
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Measuring Supply-Chain
Performance
Inventory turnover
Net revenue
Cost of goods sold
Inventory:
Raw material inventory
Work-in-process inventory
Finished goods inventory
Total inventory investment

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

$32.5
$14.2
$.74
$.11
$.84
$1.69

Measuring Supply-Chain
Performance
Inventory turnover
Net revenue
$32.5
Cost
of
goods
sold
Cost of goods sold
$14.2
Inventory turnover =
Inventory investment
Inventory:
Raw material inventory
$.74
Work-in-process inventory
$.11
= 14.2 / 1.69 $.84
= 8.4
Finished goods inventory
Total inventory investment
$1.69

2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

Measuring Supply-Chain
Performance
Inventory turnover
Net revenue
$32.5
Cost
of
goods
sold
Cost of goods sold
$14.2
Average
weekly
cost
Inventory turnover =
Inventory
Inventory:
= $14.2 /investment
52 = $.273
of goods sold
Raw material inventory
$.74
Work-in-process inventory
$.11
= 14.2
/ 1.69 $.84
=
8.4
Finished goods inventory
Inventory
investment
Weeks
of supply
=
Total
inventory
investment
Average weekly cost$1.69
of
goods sold
= 1.69 / .273 = 6.19 weeks
2011 Pearson
Education, Inc.
publishing as Prentice

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