Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
IN RICE-BASED AREAS OF
BANGLADESH
Presented By
Md Tanvir Ahmed
MS Research Scholar
Social Sciences Division
International Rice Research Institute
Presentation Outline
Background of the Study
Study Objectives
Conceptual Framework
Methodology
Results and Discussion
Take home messages
Study Objectives
The general objective is to assess the livelihood diversification
in rural rice-based areas of Bangladesh. Specifically;
To identify the dominant patterns of rural livelihoods; and
To determine the factors affecting rural livelihood
diversification
Conceptual Framework
Research Methodology
Study Location
Divisions: 6
Districts: 11
Study Villages: 12
Region
Northern
Middle
South-Eastern
Western
Villages
Dharikamari
Rasun Shimulbari
Boikunthapur
Konapara
Nishaiganj
Patordia
Bhabanipur
Begumpur
Paschim Bahadurpur
Dakkhin Kabir Kathi
Khudiakhali
Khudiakhali
Analytical Tools
Descriptive Analysis : Summary statistics, frequency tables,
percentage
Test of Significance : ANOVA test, t-test
Net Income from Crops:
NI = TR TC
where,
NI = Net income (profit) from the respective crop per
farm
TR = Total return per farm (included return from both
main product and by-products)
TC = Total cost pre farm
SDI VALUES
No diversification
< 0.01
Low
0.01 - 0.25
Medium
0.26 - 0.50
High
0.51 - 0.75
Very high
> = 0.76
AMOUNT OF LAND
Functionally Landless
> = 0.2 ha
Small
0.21-0.80 ha
Medium
0.81-1.50 ha
Large
> =1.51 ha
Tobit Regression
SDI* = 0 + 1 Gender + 2 Household size + 3 Farm size + 4 Member_org + 5
Migrants + 6 Dev_prog_part + 7 HH_assets + 8 Primary_Occupation + 9
Dependency_ratio + 10 Age_HH_Head + 11 Edu-HH_Head + 12
Amount_credit + 13 Amount_savings + 14 Distance_district_town + 15
Distance_market + 16 Region_D1 + 17 Region_D2 + 18 Region_D3 + 19
Land_D1 + 20 Land_D2 + 21 Land_D3+ i
if SDI* > 0
= 0 Otherwise
where,
SDI* = Livelihood diversification index
0 = Intercept
i = Error term, which is normally distributed with mean zero and
constant variance
Rice crop
Non-rice crops
Non-crop Agriculture
Agricultural laborer
Non-agricultural laborer
Business and caste occupation
Salaried job and services
Remittance
Transfer Payment
Farm Income
Off-Farm
Income
Non-Farm
Income
USD/YEAR
SHARE OF
INCOME (%)
Rice Crop
30,415
380
16
Non-rice Crops
16,152
202
Non-crop agriculture
17,668
221
Agricultural laborer
4,864
61
Non-agricultural laborer
13,714
171
38,992
487
20
12,427
155
Remittances
55,888
699
29
Transfer Payment
1,282
16
191,402
2,393
1
100
SOURCE OF INCOME
Total
F-value of ANOVA
14.27 (P = 0.000)
69.3%
67.6%
75.1%
72.3%
AMOUNT OF INCOME
SHARE OF
INCOME
BDT/YEAR
USD/YEAR
INCOME (%)
Farm
64,235
803
33.6
Off-farm
4,864
61
2.5
Non-farm
122,303
1,529
63.9
Total
191,402
2,393
100.0
Off-farm income; 3%
LEVEL OF DIVERSIFICATION
NUMBER OF
HOUSEHOLD
PERCENTAGE (%)
No
30
6.0
Low
98
19.6
Medium
159
31.8
High
192
38.4
Very high
21
4.2
NO. OF HOUSEHOLD
Northern
Middle
South-Eastern
Western
All
125
128
166
81
500
0.45
0.37
0.46
0.39
0.42
No (%)
Low (%)
Medium
(%)
High
(%)
Very high
(%)
Northern
2.4
12.8
43.2
38.4
3.2
Middle
10.9
24.2
28.9
32.8
3.1
South-Eastern
6.6
16.3
25.9
43.4
7.8
Western
2.5
29.6
30.9
37.0
0.0
All
19.6
31.8
38.4
4.2
Most of the households from all four regions have diversified their
livelihoods in to medium and high level.
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Small
0.46
Medium
0.47
Large
0.40
LAND CLASS
No
(%)
Low
(%)
Medium
(%)
High
(%)
Very high
(%)
TOTAL
Functionally Landless
7.1
31.2
34.8
24.1
2.8
100.0
Small
Medium
Large
All
5.6
6.1
4.3
6.0
16.7
11.2
15.2
19.6
25.1
31.6
54.3
31.8
46.5
45.9
26.1
38.2
6.0
5.1
0.0
4.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
highest percentage of small (47%) and medium (46%) land holding households
had high level of livelihood diversification
. corr gender_hh_head family_size farm_size member_org migrants dev_prog_parti primaryoccupation hh_assets dependency_ratio age_hh_head land_manratio edu
> _head borrowing savings distance_nearmarket distant_district_town region_d1 region_d2 region_d3 land_d1 land_d2 land_d3
(obs=500)
gender~d family~e farm_s~e member~g migrants dev_pr~i primar~n hh_ass~s depend~o age_hh~d land_m~o edu_head borrow~g
gender_hh_~d
family_size
farm_size
member_org
migrants
dev_prog_p~i
primaryocc~n
hh_assets
dependency~o
age_hh_head
land_manra~o
edu_head
borrowing
savings
distance_n~t
distant_di~n
region_d1
region_d2
region_d3
land_d1
land_d2
land_d3
distant_di~n
region_d1
region_d2
region_d3
land_d1
land_d2
land_d3
1.0000
0.0455
0.2378
0.0401
-0.1710
0.0496
0.3433
-0.0551
-0.0333
0.1853
0.2284
0.0917
0.0052
-0.1413
0.1253
-0.0224
0.0976
-0.0394
-0.1128
-0.1644
0.0207
0.1065
1.0000
0.3223
-0.0730
0.6392
0.0860
0.1561
0.3625
0.1277
0.2740
-0.0309
0.0376
0.2040
0.1837
-0.0569
0.1444
-0.1707
-0.0709
0.3137
-0.2621
-0.0156
0.1279
1.0000
-0.1237
0.0659
0.0124
0.4005
0.2342
-0.0375
0.0998
0.8470
0.0792
0.1968
0.0470
0.1814
-0.0893
0.1229
-0.1059
0.0022
-0.4479
-0.1745
0.3322
1.0000
-0.1248
0.2103
-0.1922
-0.0516
-0.0230
-0.1231
-0.1049
-0.0477
0.0903
-0.0233
0.0298
-0.2315
0.1284
-0.1717
-0.1436
0.1792
-0.0293
-0.0993
1.0000
-0.0875
0.0290
0.3117
-0.0299
0.2792
-0.1073
0.0231
0.2445
0.2212
-0.0990
0.1547
-0.1824
-0.0482
0.3488
-0.1489
0.0221
0.0356
1.0000
-0.0785
-0.0591
0.2138
-0.0728
-0.0193
-0.0549
-0.0007
-0.0272
0.1822
-0.0054
0.1582
-0.1012
0.0477
0.1000
-0.0479
-0.0572
1.0000
0.0198
-0.0754
0.1336
0.4112
-0.0507
-0.0723
-0.0472
-0.0389
-0.0377
-0.0047
-0.0906
0.1143
-0.3892
0.0385
0.3250
land_d1
land_d2
land_d3
1.0000
-0.5443
-0.3094
1.0000
-0.4288
1.0000
1.0000
-0.6079
0.5850
0.2813
-0.1086
0.1806
-0.1195
1.0000
-0.3387
-0.4070
0.0488
-0.1003
0.0524
1.0000
-0.4135
-0.0112
0.0552
-0.0472
1.0000
-0.1115
0.1511
-0.0699
1.0000
-0.0331
0.1076
0.1267
0.2197
0.3380
0.2386
-0.0863
-0.0998
-0.0838
-0.1318
0.1158
-0.2106
-0.1206
0.1721
1.0000
-0.0548
-0.0766
0.0096
0.0230
-0.0044
0.0269
0.1357
-0.0846
0.0342
0.1037
0.0385
-0.0105
-0.0466
1.0000
0.0165
-0.1863
0.0162
0.1286
-0.0386
0.0290
-0.0409
0.0023
0.1267
-0.2072
0.0623
0.0375
1.0000
0.0839
0.0878
-0.0238
0.2350
-0.1496
0.2098
-0.0988
-0.0988
-0.4634
-0.1176
0.3777
1.0000
0.1231
-0.0689
0.0696
0.0035
0.0239
-0.1234
0.0241
-0.1290
0.0261
0.0335
1.0000
0.1957
-0.0377
-0.0369
-0.0347
-0.1053
0.1466
-0.0394
-0.0204
-0.0599
savings distan~t
1.0000
-0.0852
-0.0681
-0.0938
-0.0603
0.1930
-0.0881
0.0079
-0.0694
1.0000
0.1710
0.3182
0.0606
-0.2546
-0.0470
-0.0780
-0.0104
VIF
1/VIF
land_d1
land_d2
distant_di~n
region_d2
region_d3
land_d3
farm_size
region_d1
family_size
migrants
distance_n~t
primaryocc~n
hh_assets
gender_hh_~d
age_hh_head
borrowing
savings
member_org
dev_prog_p~i
edu_head
dependency~o
6.90
6.12
5.49
5.00
4.51
3.35
2.60
2.55
2.33
2.20
1.92
1.61
1.58
1.41
1.34
1.31
1.28
1.28
1.25
1.24
1.13
0.144865
0.163325
0.182091
0.199849
0.221857
0.298261
0.384476
0.392273
0.429738
0.454858
0.521119
0.621083
0.634177
0.708978
0.747017
0.760789
0.779260
0.782590
0.799907
0.803482
0.884820
Mean VIF
2.69
Test of Heteroscedasticity
Auxiliary regression
. reg error2 sdihat
Source
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
.023637993
.985676826
1 .023637993
498 .001979271
Total
1.00931482
499 .002022675
error2
Coef.
sdihat
_cons
-.05363
.0606118
Std. Err.
.0155187
.006859
t
-3.46
8.84
Number of obs
F( 1, 498)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
P>|t|
0.001
0.000
=
=
=
=
=
=
-.0231398
.0740881
. hettest
=
=
8.22
0.0042
500
11.94
0.0006
0.0234
0.0215
.04449
Marginal effect