Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
5.1
HOW TO VALUE BONDS
Type of Bonds
Secured Bonds
Callable Bonds
Convertible Bonds
Agency Bonds
Municipal Bonds
Corporate Bonds
Zero Coupon Bond used in United States
bonds markets and is the biggest in the
world
$
0
$
0
$
0
$
F
2
T
01P
T
1
F
V
(1
R
)T
$
0
$
0
$
0
$
1
,
0
3
0
2
0P
2
9
1
F
$
1
,
0
V
$
1
7
4
.
T
3
0
(1
R
)(.6)
0$0,1$
2930
2
1
0
$
C
$
C
$
C
$
C
2
T
0P
1
T
1
V
R
C
1
F
1
(
T
T
R
) (1R
)
Level-Coupon Bonds
.P
$
3
1
8
7
5
$
3
1
.
8
7
5
$
3
1
.
8
7
5
$
1
,
0
3
.
8
7
5
/V
1
0
2
1
2
/
3
0
2
/
6
3
0
2
6
/
3
0
9
1
2
/
3
0
9
(.025)6($.12,05)6
$301.82751
1
$1,049.3
Level-Coupon Bonds: Example
Find the present value (as of January 1, 2002), of a 63/8 coupon T-bond with semi-annual payments, and a
maturity date of December 2009 if the YTM is 5percent.
On January 1, 2002 the size and timing of cash
flows are:
Yield to Maturity
Example of Yield to
Maturity
Find the yield to maturity on a semiannual
coupon bond with a face value of $1000, a 10%
coupon rate, and 15 years remaining until
maturity given that the bond price is $862.35.
5.2
BONDS CONCEPTS
Bond Concepts
1.
2.
3.
4.
Bond Value
1300
1200
1100
1000
800
0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1
6 3/8
Discount Rate
Bond Value
Par
Short Maturity Bond
Discount Rate
Bond Value
5.3
THE PRESENT VALUE
OF COMMON STOCKS
NOTES
= the expected dividend paid
= the expected price at years end
= the present value of the common
stock investment
r = the appropriate discount rate for
the stock
ZERO GROWTH
Assume that dividends will remain at the same
level forever
Div 1
Div 2
Div 3
L
P0
1
2
3
(1 r )
(1 r )
(1 r )
Div
P0
r
Example
D0 = 2.00, R = 13%
Div
P0 =
r
=
RM2
0.13
= RM15.38
CONSTANT GROWTH
Assume that dividends will grow at a constant
rate, g, forever
P0
Div
1
r g
Example
D0 = 2.00, R = 13%, g = 6%.
Constant growth
model:
D0(1+g)
P0 =
R-g
=
RM2.12
0.13 - 0.06
D1
=
R-g
=
RM2.12
0.07
= RM30.29.
DIFFERENTIAL GROWTH
Assume that dividends will grow at
different rates in the foreseeable
future and then will grow at a
constant rate thereafter.
Example
A common stock just paid a dividend of
RM2.
The dividend is expected to grow at
8% for 3
years, then it will grow at 4% in
perpetuity.
The discount rate is 12%.
Div N 1
C
(1 g1 )T R g 2
P
1
T
N
R g1
(1 R )
(1 R )
$2(1.08) 3 (1.04)
3
.12 .04
RM 2 (1.08)
(1.08)
P
1
3
3
.12 .08
(1.12)
(1.12)
$32.75
P RM 54 1 .8966
3
P RM 5.58 $23.31
(1.12)
P RM 28.89
5.4
ESTIMATES OF PARAMETERS
IN THE DIVIDEND-DISCOUNT
MODEL
5.5
GROWTH
OPPORTUNITIES
5.6
THE DIVIDENDS GROWTH
MODEL AND THE NPVGO
MODEL
Example:
Consider a firm that has EPS of $5 at
the 1st year end, a dividend-payout
ratio of 30%, a discount rate of 16%,
and a return on retained earnings of
20%.
The dividend at year one = $5 30% =
$1.50 per share.
The retention ratio is 70% implying a
growth rate in dividends of 14% = 70%
20%
Div
1
r g
$1. 50
0. 16 0. 14
$ 75
Div1 $5
$31.25
P0
r 0.16
S2. Calculate the value of the growth opportunities.
.20
3
.
50
3
.
50
$.875
0.
16
P0
$43.75
0.16 0.14
r g
S3.
5.7
PRICE-EARNING RATIO
Computing PE Ratios :
Need to know the price of the stock
Need to know the annual earnings
per share
Divide price of the stock by the
earnings
Example
1. Take Yahoo!, for example. As of August 23, 2013,
Yahoo!'s stock was trading at 27.99.
1.We have the first part of our equation, the
numerator, or 27.99.
2.As of August 23, 2013, Yahoo!'s EPS was $.35
per share.
3.Divide 27.99 by .35 to get 79.97. Yahoo!'s
price-earnings ratio is approximately 80.
THE END
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