Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Chapters 20 & 21
Finance 367
Derivatives
Derivatives securities or just Derivatives are securities
whose prices are derived from the prices of other
securities. Also called Contingent Claims because their
payoffs are contingent on the prices of other securities.
Derivatives can be powerful tools for hedging, but also for
speculation.
Major types of derivatives:
Options
Futures
Swaps
Option Contracts
An option is a right or obligation to receive or deliver an
underlying security at a specified price on or before a
specified date.
Call option gives the right to buy (bullish)
Put option gives the right to sell (bearish)
Strike or Exercise Price is the price set for calling (buying)
or putting (selling) an asset. This is a factor in determining
whether the option has any intrinsic value.
The cost of buying the option is called the Premium. The
premium is quoted as the price per share. Usually 100
opitons per options contract.
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Options Trading
A large percentage of options are traded on organized
exchanges. These are standardized contracts and provide
standardized maturities.
Other the counter options may be tailored to the needs of a
trader, but at a higher cost compared to exchange traded
options.
The Chicago Board Options Exchange and the
International Securities Exchange Options Clearing Corp.
guarantee performance.
Options traded on these exchanges are traded directly
with the Option Clearing Corp. The OCC effectively
matches option buyers with option writers to eliminate its
risk.
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Options Quotes
Income
Income
Note: these are the payout values but not your profit/loss
values. You must consider premiums to find your P&L.
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Note:
The call option acts like a leveraged investment in the stock
The option can act as insurance. Strategy C cannot be
worth less than $8,160, but has upside potential
While options can be used to speculate, investors can use
them to reduce risk.
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Max Gain
Max Loss
Buy Call
Unlimited
Premium
Premium
Unlimited
Breakeven
Max Gain
Max Loss
Buy Put
Premium
Premium
Breakeven
Options Strategies
Because calls and puts can be combined with stock, an
unlimited number of combinations with different payoffs can
be created.
Some investment strategies involve combining one call or
put with stock while others involve buying both calls and
puts along with stock.
Combinations can also be created using different exercises
prices and maturities to change the risk reward
characteristics.
The use of strategies to limit the risk of a portfolio is called
risk management.
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Protective Put
If you want to invest in a stock, but are unwilling to take
losses beyond a specific point, you might consider
investing in the stock in combination with a put option.
The combination of the investment in the stock and the put
option limits downside risk, while retaining most of the profit
potential.
The value of the protective put investment can be
calculated as
Covered Call
A covered call position is the purchase of a share of stock
with the simultaneous sale of a call on that stock. The sale
of a call is also called writing an option.
The option that is written is covered because the potential
obligation to deliver the stock is covered by the stock held
in the portfolio. The strike price on the option will be set at
the level the investor is willing to sell the stock.
Writing an option without an offsetting stock position is
called naked option writing.
The payoff of a covered call
Profit
Some investment managers will write a covered call rather than selling a stock
so they can boost income from the premium. They forfeit capital gains if the
stock price rises above the exercise price, but if they planned to sell the stock at
the exercise price, the written call guarantees the stock sale will occur, while
adding to their profit with the premium received.
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Straddle
A straddle position is one that allows the investor to profit
based on how much the price of the underlying security
moves, regardless of the direction of the price move.
A put and a call are purchased on a single stock, with the
same strike price and time until expiration.
The investor profits if the stock price moves a great deal
away from the strike price. However, the direction does
not matter. The intent is to profit from or hedge the
volatility of the underlying security.
Profit
Profit
0
ST
Payoff
Straddle Payoffs
Long Straddle
Short Straddle
Max Gain
Max Loss
Unlimited on
profitable side
less both
premiums
Both Premiums
Max Gain
Max Loss
Premium on both
sides
Unlimited on
either side less
both premiums
Straddle Example
John believes that Allied Waste Inc. stock is going to be extremely
volatile in the next month because the of the trouble the company is
having. The stock is currently trading at $10. John believes that the
stock could either go down or up a great deal depending on whether
the company can get the financing required to stay in business. To
profit from this volatility, John buys a call option and a put option on
Allied Waste both with a strike price of $10. He pays $1 premium on
the call option and a $2 premium on the put.
If the stock price rises to $19, what will his profit (loss) be?
He exercises the call option and buys the shares from the
option writer for $10 per share and then sells them at
market for $19. He allows the put option to expire
worthless.
His profit is $19 sale price - $10 purchase price - $1 call
option premium - $2 put option premium = $6 per share.
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Straddle Example II
John believes that Allied Waste Inc. stock is going to be extremely
volatile in the next month because the of the trouble the company is
having. The stock is currently trading at $10. John believes that the
stock could either go down or up a great deal depending on whether
the company can get the financing required to stay in business. To
profit from this volatility, John buys a call option and a put option on
Allied Waste both with a strike price of $10. He pays $1 premium on
the call option and a $2 premium on the put.
If the stock price rises to $11 just before the options expire, what will
his profit (loss) be?
He exercises the call option and buys the shares from the
option writer for $10 per share and then sells them at market
for $11. He allows the put option to expire worthless.
His return is $11 sale price - $10 purchase price - $1 call
option premium - $2 put option premium = $2 loss per share.
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Profit
Profit
0
ST
Spreads
A bullish spread position is one where a call is purchased
and a call is written on the same underlying security but at
different strike prices.
The investor profits from a rise in the price of the underlying
security, but only up to a point. The difference in the strike
prices determines the level of profits that are possible. The
income from the call that was written helps offset the cost
of the call that was purchased.
A bearish spread can be created using put options rather than call options
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Spread Example
Jeff believes that the price of True Religion Jeans stock,
currently trading at $57, will go up in price but only to $67 in
the next two months. He buys a call option with a strike
price of $57 and writes a call at $67. The premium on the
call he purchased is $1.50 per share and the premium he
receives from the call he writes is $1 per share.
If the stock rises to $70 per share before expiration and the
purchaser of the call that Jeff wrote exercises, what will Jeff
do and what will his profit (loss) be?
Jeff will exercise his option to purchase shares at $57 and
sell them to the purchaser of the call option he wrote for
$67. His profit is $67 sale price - $57 purchase price $1.50 call option Jeff purchased premium + $1 option
premium he wrote = $9.50 per share.
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Collars
Collars are very rare among speculators but are common
among investors who already have stock in a company.
Collars allow an investor to sell their stock at a
predetermined range of prices while also preventing or
limiting the loss from a fall in the stock price.
Collars involve the selling of a call option at one stock price
and using the proceeds to purchase at put option at a lower
price. The cost to the investor is essentially zero as the
option premiums cancel each other out.
This strategy is known as a collar because it brackets the
value of a portfolio between two bounds.
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Collar Example
Judy is an executive at IBM and has recently been awarded
a significant amount of IBM stock, which is currently trading
at $100. She believes that IBM stock will go up in the next
three months, but knows that technology stocks can fall
quickly if bad news is released. Judy cannot afford to lose
this award, but she would also like to try to get $10 more
per share for her stock ($110). She does not want to sell
for anything less than $90.
She sells a call option with a strike price of $110 for a $5
premium. Using the $5 she buys a put option with a strike
price of $90. Her cost in the trade is $0.
Regardless of what happens to the price of IBM stock, Judy
will receive between $90 and $110 if she decides to sell her
shares before the options expire.
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A Note on Options
There are many more options strategies which we wont
discuss here. They have names such as butterflies,
condors, and strangles.
A good source for more information is the Options Industry
Council. http://www.optionseducation.org/strategy/
Options have a value of their own which depends on both
the intrinsic value and the time value of the option.
While many options are not exercised until close to their
maturity, profits can be made on options WITHOUT
EXERCISING THEM.
Options can be sold to other investors for prices which are
determined according to complex valuation models. We
will look at those models next.
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Married Put
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Options Valuation
Option valuation can be a highly quantitative issue, but we
are going to start by identifying the features of an option
that affect market value.
We will follow with a simple pricing model, followed by the
famous/infamous Black-Scholes Model.
We will conclude with a discussion of the applications of
options to risk management.
1 r
Where
C = call premium P = put premium
X = exercise price
1 r
f
End of period
End of period
Replicating Portfolio
In Finance, when an investment is difficult to value or
doesnt have a clear value, one way we attempt to value
these assets is to create a portfolio with the same return as
the difficult to value asset.
We can then value the assets in the replicating portfolio to
get an idea of the value of the difficult to value assets.
This is the first way we will value the derivative.
(buy stock)
-$100.00
(take out loan) + 81.82
-$18.18
One-third = -$6.06
Stock Price
stock = $90
pay back loan of $90
netting $0
Payoff from three calls equal one share of stock, so one call = $6.06
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$10
$18.18
$0
$0
Call Option
Portfolio
$120 $90
-30 $0
$90
An investor has formed a riskless$90
portfolio
with a payout of
$90, so the value must be equal to the PV of $90 or $82.18
which in turn should equal $100-3C = 81.82; C = 6.06
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$6
$60
C
$0
Call Option
$54
Portfolio
$100
$95
$90.25
6 Months
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6 Months
C
Cd
Cdd
We could use Cuu and Cud to find the value of Cu. Using
Cud and Cdd we then find the value for Cd. Then we find C
using Cu and Cd.
Two-State Example
Risk Free Rate = 5% over 6 months (10.25% annual rate).
Assume X=$110. When the stock price is 121, Cuu is $121$110 or 11 (value at expiration). When the stock is at
$104.50, Cud is worth zero. Value Cu.
121
Cuu
110
Cu
104.50
100
95
Cud
C
Cd
90.25
Cdd
Two-State Example
6 month Risk Free Rate = 5%. Assume X=$110. When the stock
price is 121, Cuu is $121-$110 or 11 (option value at expiration).
When the stock is at $104.50, Cud is worth zero. Value Cu.
121
Cuu
110
Cu
104.50
100
95
Cud
C
Cd
90.25
Cdd
Two-State Example
This portfolio must have current market value of $209.
Since the risk free rate over the 6-month period is 5%, then
the cost of the portfolio is
2 *110 3cu = 209/1.05
Cuu
Cu = $6.984.
We now have the value for Cu
Cu
Cud
C
Cd
Cdd
N(d) is the probability that the call option will expire in the
money. If d1 and d2 are = 1, which means that the option
will expire in the money, the formula simplifies to:
which means that the option cost is a function of the stock
price, the strike price, the risk free rate and time until
maturity.
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-2
-1
Cumulative
Normal
Distribution
+1
+2
+3
1.0
0.5
N(d)
Black-Scholes Example
What is the current call option value for an option that will
expire in three months according to the Black-Scholes
Formula if the underlying stock price is currently $100, the
exercise price is $95, the 3-month interest rate is 10% and
the standard deviation of the returns of the stock is 0.50?
T = .25
d1 = [ln(100/95) + (0.10 + (0.5)2/2)*0.25] / (0.5* (0.25)1/2)
=(0.0513 + 0.0563) / 0.25 = .43
d2 = 0.43 - (0.5* 0.251/2) = 0.18
We must use the cumulative probability table to look up the
probabilities for d1 and d2
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Black-Scholes Example II
N(d2) = 0.5714
N(d1) = 0.6664
N(d2) = 0.5714
C0 = 100 * 0.6664 95e-0.10*0.25 * 0.5714
=66.64 95 * 0.9753 * 0.5714
= 66.64-52.94
= 13.70
The call option premium is $13.70
Using Black-Scholes
The hedge ratio, also known as delta (), is the number of
shares of stock that can be hedged by holding one option.
Recall that the formula for calculating the hedge ratio is:
The call hedge ratio will be positive and less than 1 while
the put hedge ratio will be negative and less than 1 in
absolute value.
Call is the number of shares of the underlying stock that the
investor can hedge with a written call option.
Put is the number of shares of the underlying stock that the
investor can hedge with an owned put option
2015 J. David Miller
Option Elasticity
Another important concept is option elasticity, which is the
percentage increase in an options value given a 1%
increase in the value of the underlying security.
While the options in the previous example have less Dollar
Sensitivity than a share of stock, that does not mean that
they are less volatile in the rate of return.
For a stock selling for $120 and a hedge ratio of .6, an
option with an exercise price of $120 may sell for $5. If the
stock price increases to $121, the call price would be
expected to increase by only $0.60 to $5.60.
However, the percentage increase in the option value is
$0.60 / $5.00 = 12%, while the percentage stock
price increase is only $1 / $120 = 0.83%.
2015 J. David Miller