Beruflich Dokumente
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Select sample
Extract analyte(s) from matrix
Separate analytes
Detect, identify and
quantify analytes
Determine reliability and
significance of results
Mean
Defined as follows:
x =
xi
i=1
Median
The middle result when data are arranged in order of size (for even
numbers the mean of middle two). Median can be preferred when
there is an outlier - one reading very different from rest. Median
less affected by outlier than is mean.
Note: The mean value is 19.78 ppm (i.e. 19.8ppm) - the median value is 19.7 ppm
Precision
Relates to reproducibility of results..
How similar are values obtained in exactly the same way?
Useful for measuring this:
Deviation from the mean:
d i xi x
Accuracy
Measurement of agreement between experimental mean and
true value (which may not be known!).
Measures of accuracy:
Absolute error: E = xi - xt (where xt = true or accepted value)
Relative error:
x x
t 100%
E i
r
x
t
NH3+ClH
Benzyl isothiourea
hydrochloride
O
OH
Nicotinic acid
Statistical Treatment of
Random Errors
There are always a large number of small, random errors
in making any measurement.
These can be small changes in temperature or pressure;
random responses of electronic detectors (noise) etc.
Suppose there are 4 small random errors possible.
Assume all are equally likely, and that each causes an error
of U in the reading.
Possible combinations of errors are shown on the next slide:
No.
Relative Frequency
+U+U+U+U
+4U
1/16 = 0.0625
-U+U+U+U
+U-U+U+U
+U+U-U+U
+U+U+U-U
+2U
4/16 = 0.250
-U-U+U+U
-U+U-U+U
-U+U+U-U
+U-U-U+U
+U-U+U-U
+U+U-U-U
6/16 = 0.375
+U-U-U-U
-U+U-U-U
-U-U+U-U
-U-U-U+U
-2U
4/16 = 0.250
-U-U-U-U
-4U
1/16 = 0.01625
4 random uncertainties
10 random uncertainties
This is a
Gaussian or
normal error
curve.
Symmetrical about
the mean.
Vol, ml.
No.
Vol, ml.
No.
Vol, ml
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
9.988
9.973
9.986
9.980
9.975
9.982
9.986
9.982
9.981
9.990
9.980
9.989
9.978
9.971
9.982
9.983
9.988
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
9.975
9.980
9.994
9.992
9.984
9.981
9.987
9.978
9.983
9.982
9.991
9.981
9.969
9.985
9.977
9.976
9.983
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
9.976
9.990
9.988
9.971
9.986
9.978
9.986
9.982
9.977
9.977
9.986
9.978
9.983
9.980
9.983
9.979
Mean volume
Spread
9.982 ml
0.025 ml
Median volume
9.982 ml
Standard deviation 0.0056 ml
2
(
x
)
i
i 1
( x ) 2 / 2 2
AreaunderaGaussianCurve
Fromequationabove,andillustratedbythepreviouscurves,
68.3%ofthedataliewithinofthemean(),i.e.68.3%of
theareaunderthecurveliesbetweenof.
Similarly,95.5%ofthearealiesbetween,and99.7%
between.
Thereare68.3chancesin100thatforasingledatumthe
randomerrorinthemeasurementwillnotexceed.
Thechancesare95.5in100thattheerrorwillnotexceed.
2
(
x
x
)
i
i 1
N 1
2.
( xi ) 2
i 1
( xi 2 )
i 1
N 1
Note: NEVER round off figures before the end of the calculation
0.69
xi2
0.0049
0.0049
0.0064
0.0049
0.0049
0.0064
0.0064
0.0081
0.0064
xi2=
0.0533
0.0533 0.0529
0.00707106 0.007
9 1
sm s
Pooled Data
To achieve a value of s which is a good approximation to , i.e. N 20,
it is sometimes necessary to pool data from a number of sets of measurements
(all taken in the same way).
Suppose that there are t small sets of data, comprising N1, N2,.Nt measurements.
The equation for the resultant sample standard deviation is:
s pooled
N1
N2
N3
i 1
i 1
i 1
2
2
2
(
x
x
)
(
x
x
)
(
x
x
)
i 1 i 2 i 3 ....
N 1 N 2 N 3 ...... t
(Note: one degree of freedom is lost for each set of data)
(
x
x
)
i2
(0.05) 2 (010
. ) 2 ( 0.08) 2
0.0189
s1
0.0972 0.097
2
2
and similarly for all sn .
Setn
1
2
3
4
5
6
Total
0.0189
0.0178
0.0282
0.0242
0.0230
0.0205
0.1326
sn
0.097
0.077
0.084
0.090
0.107
0.083
s pooled
01326
.
0.088%
23 6
VARIANCE:
s2
2
2
(
x
x
)
i
i 1
N 1
s
CV ( ) 100%
x
How can we relate the observed mean value ( x ) to the true mean ()?
The latter can never be known exactly.
We can calculate the limits (above and below) around x that must lie,
with a given degree of probability.
CONFIDENCE LIMITS
CONFIDENCE INTERVAL
the magnitude of the confidence limits
CONFIDENCE LEVEL
fixes the level of probability that the mean is within the confidence limits
Examples later.
0.67
1.29
1.64
1.96
2.58
What this means, for example, is that 80 times out of 100 the true mean will lie
between 1.29 of any measurement we make.
Thus, at a confidence level of 80%, the confidence limits are 1.29
CL for x z
z
0.67
1.0
1.29
1.64
1.96
2.00
2.58
3.00
3.29
(a)
(164
. )(0.32)
8.53 0.52 g / ml
1
i.e. 8.5 0.5g / ml
(164
. )(0.32)
8.53 0.26g / ml
4
i.e. 8.5 0.3g / ml
90% CL 8.53
( 2.58)(0.32)
99% CL 8.53
8.53 0.83g / ml
1
i.e. 8.5 0.8g / ml
90% CL 8.53
(2.58)(0.32)
8.53 0.41g / ml
4
i.e. 8.5 0.4 g / ml
99% CL 8.53
90% CL 8.53
(c)
(164
. )(0.32)
16
8.53 013
. g / ml
i.e. 8.5 01
. g / ml
( 2.58)(0.32)
8.53 0.21g / ml
16
i.e. 8.5 0.2 g / ml
99% CL 8.53
If we have no information on , and only have a value for s the confidence interval is larger,
i.e. there is a greater uncertainty.
Instead of z, it is necessary to use the parameter t, defined as follows:
t = (x - )/s
i.e. just like z, but using s instead of .
By analogy we have:
CL for x ts
N
(where x = sample mean for N measurements)
Note:
(1)
(2)
80%
90%
95%
99%
3.08
1.89
1.64
1.53
1.48
1.44
1.42
1.40
1.38
1.33
1.30
1.29
6.31
2.92
2.35
2.13
2.02
1.94
1.90
1.86
1.83
1.73
1.67
1.64
12.7
4.30
3.18
2.78
2.57
2.45
2.36
2.31
2.26
2.10
2.00
1.96
63.7
9.92
5.84
4.60
4.03
3.71
3.50
3.36
3.25
2.88
2.66
2.58
As (N-1) , so t z
For all values of (N-1) < , t > z, I.e. greater uncertainty
xi = 21.72
xi
55.8009
48.7204
52.8529
xi2 = 157.3742
( xi ) 2
(2172
. )2
x N
157.3742
3
s
N 1
2
0.246 0.25%
2
i
2172
.
7.24
N
3
i
(2.92)(0.25)
7.24
N
3
7.24 0.42%
90% CL x ts
90% CL x z
7.24
N
7.24 0.27%
(164
. )(0.28)
3
Testing a Hypothesis
Carry out measurements on an accurately known standard.
Experimental value is different from the true value.
Is the difference due to a systematic error (bias) in the method - or simply to random error?
Assume that there is no bias
(NULL HYPOTHESIS),
and calculate the probability
that the experimental error
is due to random errors.
Figure shows (A) the curve for
the true value (A = t) and
(B) the experimental curve (B)
Bias = B- A = B - xt.
CL for x
ts
N
at desired confidence level, random
errors can lead to:
x xt
ts
N
if x xt
ts
N
confidence level bias (systematic error)
is likely (and vice versa).
x 37.8%
x xt 11%
.
xi 113.4
s
xi2 4208.30
4208.30 (113.4) 2 3
0.943%
2
x xt ts
ts
N 4.30 0.943
x xt ts
3 2.342%
x1 x2 ts pooled
N1 N 2
N1 N 2
Only if the difference between the two samples is greater than the term on
the right-hand side can we assume a real difference between the samples.
i. e. x1 x2 ts pooled
N1 N 2
N1 N 2
DetectionofGrossErrors
Asetofresultsmaycontainanoutlyingresult
outoflinewiththeothers.
Shoulditberetainedorrejected?
Thereisnouniversalcriterionfordecidingthis.
OnerulethatcangiveguidanceistheQtest.
Considerasetofresults
TheparameterQexpisdefinedasfollows:
Qexp x q xn /w
wherexq = questionableresult
xn = nearestneighbour
w = spreadofentireset
QexpisthencomparedtoasetofvaluesQcrit:
Qcrit (reject if Qexpt > Qcrit)
No. of observations
90%
95%
99% confidencelevel
3
0.941
0.970
0.994
4
0.765
0.829
0.926
5
0.642
0.710
0.821
6
0.560
0.625
0.740
7
0.507
0.568
0.680
8
0.468
0.526
0.634
9
0.437
0.493
0.598
10
0.412
0.466
0.568
RejectionofoutlierrecommendedifQexp>Qcritforthedesiredconfidencelevel.
Note:1.
Thehighertheconfidencelevel,thelesslikelyis
rejectiontoberecommended.
2.Rejectionofoutlierscanhaveamarkedeffectonmean
andstandarddeviation,esp.whenthereareonlyafew
datapoints.Alwaystrytoobtainmoredata.
3.Ifoutliersaretoberetained,itisoftenbettertoreport
themedianvalueratherthanthemean.
Sample Preparation
and Extraction
Maybemanyanalytespresentseparationseelater.
Maybesmallamountsofanalyte(s)inbulkmaterial.
Needtoconcentratethesebeforeanalysis.e.g.heavymetalsin
animaltissue,additivesinpolymers,herbicideresiduesinflouretc.etc.
Maybehelpfultoconcentratecomplexmixturesselectively.
Mostgeneraltypeofpretreatment:EXTRACTION.
Classicalextractionmethodis:
(namedafterdeveloper).
Apparatus
Sampleinporous
thimble.
Exhaustiverefluxfor
upto12days.
Solutionofanalyte(s)
involatilesolvent
(e.g.CH2Cl2,CHCl3etc.)
Evaporatetodrynessor
suitableconcentration,
forseparation/analysis.
SOXHLETEXTRACTION