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Introducing Probability
The Basic Practice of Statistics
6th Edition
Moore / Notz / Fligner
Chapter 10 Concepts
2
Probability Models
Probability Rules
Chapter 10 Objectives
3
Chance behavior is unpredictable in the short run, but has a regular and
predictable pattern in the long run.
We call a phenomenon random if individual outcomes are
uncertain but there is nonetheless a regular distribution of
outcomes in a large number of repetitions.
The probability of any outcome of a chance process is the
proportion of times the outcome would occur in a very long series
of repetitions.
Probability Models
6
Probability Models
7
Example: Give a probability model for the chance process of rolling two fair, sixsided diceone thats red and one thats green.
Sample Space
36 Outcomes
Probability Rules
8
Probability Rules
9
10
Uniform
Distribution
Random Variables
13
Value
Probability
1/8
3/8
3/8
1/8
x22
p22
x33
p33
16
Chapter 10 Objectives
Review