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Table of Contents
1. Strategy Concepts
Porters 5 Forces
What are the key market drivers ?
Tool Description
SWOT
What are the top-line factors affecting the issue at hand ?
Value Disciplines
What type of possible strategies are there in this market ?
Happy Line
Where are we over-satisfying our customers ?
Conversion Waterfall
Where do we lose potential customers ?
SWOT
What are the top-line factors affecting the issue at hand ?
Value Chain
KPC Combs
Harvey Balls
Quotes
Lollipops
Channel Maps
Typical Process
Conceptual Maps
Forces at Work
Crocodile Chart
Parfait
What matters ?
What are the various segments and sub-segments ?.
Where do our core competencies reside ?
Which are the most profitable competitors in absolute terms ?
Who has been gaining market share ?
What are the main purchasing criteria, and how do we fare ?
What is the best way to display soft quantitative data ?
What is the best way to display qualitative data ?
Can I come up with creative data displays of my own ?
What is the relative importance of various routes to market ?
Tricks & Tips
How can I simply structure a set of data before analysing it ?
What are the forces at work ?
Can I come up with creative data displays of my own too ?
What is the easiest way to display market growth ?
Logic Tree
Sanity Checks
Top-down Estimation
One-Off Interviews
Interview Programmes
Focus Groups
Clustering
Factorial Analysis
Desk Sources
Usual AABC Sources
3. Analysis
Techniques
Process Maps
What are the key steps ?
4. Sources
Training Modules
Table of Contents
Tool Description
1. Strategy Concepts
Typical Process
Training Modules
Porters 5 Forces
Porters model is a great check list when starting to describe an industry. It helps you
organise your research and, more importantly, provides a good framework in which
to present your findings.
Typical Output Format
Porters 5 forces map
Threat of
New Entrants
Bargaining power of
Suppliers
Rivalry
among
Competitors
Bargaining power of
Customers
Threat of
Substitution
Typical Process
Summarize
Training Modules
Market-I
SWOT
The SWOT box is a less formal , more intuitive version of Porters model . It provides
a good framework in which to lay out initial findings - and can be used to start a
Logic Tree (see below)
Typical Output Format
SWOT analysis of Chelsea FC
Strengths
Opportuniti
es
Experienced players
Key real estate location
Cultured football
methods shared across
the squad
Midfield play
Typical Process
Little development
opportunities for the
youth teams
Old players more
accident prone
Low scoring
Inexperienced manager
Still backed by private
investors
MUFC and Arsenal keep
getting bigger
Leeds, Liverpool, etc
back in contention for
N 3 spot
Weaknesse
s
Threats
Self-explanatory
Training Modules
Competitor-I
Low
12,0%
High
Services
10,0%
High
Hotels
8,0%
Pubs
Restaurants
6,0%
4,0%
Health
Catering
2,0%
Low
0,0%
Clubs
-2,0%
0
Education
10
20
30
40
50
60%
Typical Process
Training Modules
Market-I
The Product Life Cycle is a concept devised to keep in mind that relative competitive
advantages can ebb and flow. It helps you position competitors or industries against
one another and against a time line. Works better on a theoretical level rather than
with lots of data
Typical Output Format
Product life cycle curve
Measure or
phenomenon
(ie sales in ,
penetration in %,
etc)
Typical Process
Training Modules
Market-II
The ROS-RMS is a simple chart displaying together relative size of competitors and
profitability levels. It requires an Excel table and the Bubble function in the Chart
Menu. The parallel band lines need be added afterwards
Typical Output Format
ROS - RMS
Industry A
ROS - RMS
Industry B
25%
ROS 20
(last
15
3
years 10
, %)
5
0
0,01
-5
ROS
(last
3
years
, %)
0,10
1,00
25%
20
15
10
5
0
0,01
-5
10,00
-10
-10
-15
-15
-20
-20
-25
-25
RMS (log)
Typical Process
1,00
10,00
RMS (log)
Plot
Competitor-I & II
0,10
The Learning Curve is a very simple concept: it is the trend line of a set of data
where the Y axis represents the cost/unit of the X axis. It requires an Excel table and
the Scatter function in Chart Menu
Typical Output Format
Manufacturing scale curve, Biscuits industry, 1997
1,2
Broxburn
Linkoping
Hatton
Durango
Lauragais
Ashby
X1
Gyor
Carlisle
Maastricht
Dortmund
0,4
Jyvas Hyva
0,2
0,0
1 000
X2
Genoa
10 000
R2 = 65%
Tyneside
100 000
Training Modules
Competitor-II
ROS / RONA
The ROS-RONA is a simple chart displaying together asset turn and profitability of a
set of competitors. It requires an Excel table and the Bubble function in the Chart
Menu. The RONA iso-curves need be added afterwards
Typical Output Format
Major retailers ROS-RONA, UK, 1993-95
20%
ROS
(last 3
years,
%)
1,8%
16%
14%
Body
Shop
M&S
12%
RONA
(%)
Boots
10%
8%
WH Smith
6%
4%
2%
0%
0
House of
Fraser
1
John Menzies
Typical Process
Training Modules
Competitor-I & II
70%
50%
Kingfisher
5
6
Asset Turn
30%
10%
9
10
10
Value Disciplines
The Value Discipline model helps you position competitors or industries against one
another according to 3 possible main generic strategies. Works better on a
theoretical level rather than with lots of data
Typical Output Format
Value disciplines, Car industry, UK, 1999
Product Leadership
BMW
Roll
s
Vauxha
ll
Lad
a
Daewo
o
Custom
er
Intimacy
Operational
Excellence
Typical Process
If without data :
If using data :
Training Modules
Competitor-I
11
The Customer Happy Line is a complex, but powerful concept that helps illustrate the
areas where we under-deliver on customers expectations and those where we overdeliver. It requires an Excel table and the Scatter function in the Chart Menu. The Line
needs be added afterwards
Typical Output Format
Happy Line, Company X, Industy Y, 1999
10
Good
Our score
against
each KPC
(1 to 10)Average
9
8
7
6
Bad
5
4
9
8,5
Critical
7,5
6,5
Important
5,5
4,5
Secondary
12
Conversion Waterfall
The Conversion Waterfall is a concept that helps you summarise the findings of a
customer interview programme along 6 major measures. It requires an Excel table
and the Bar function in the Chart Menu. Can work as well on a preliminary, data-less
level
Typical Output Format
Conversion waterfall, Retailer X, France & Germany, 1997
% of
populatio
n
100%
90%
France
Germany
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Awareness Knowledge
Typical Process
Liking
Preference
Self-explanatory
Plot
Training Modules
Customer-I
Visit
13
Purchase
Table of Contents
Tool Description
Typical Process
Training Modules
14
What matters ?
Tool Description
The Pareto Curve is a simple and powerful concept : it posits that quite regularly
20% of a given population will account for 80% of this populations actions with a
third party (ie sales, purchases, etc). It requires an Excel table and the Scatter
function in the Chart Menu*
Typical Output Format
Company X, Customer Pareto, 1998
100%
Cumulativ
e % of
80%
Sales
Pareto Rule
60%
40%
20%
0%
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Customers (Ranked by decreasing Sales)
Typical Process
100
Training Modules
Customer-I & II
90
15
A Mekko is a visually simple but analytically complex tool that helps you display in one
sole
slide 2 successive cuts at a data set (eg market size by product category and by
product, industry sales by sector and by competitor, etc). It requires a special input
tool; the Mekko Maker
Typical Output Format
General insurance market, UK, 1998
Property
100% 8.2bn
Personal
vs
commerci
al
split for
sector
Accident Pecuniary
& Health
Loss Liability
2.7bn 2.3bn 1.9bn
Motor
6.8b
n
Private Non-Comprehensive
Other
80
60
Liability
Private Comprehensive
= PI
Personal
Personal Property
Payment
Protection
40
20
Domestic
Mortgag
e
Extended Public/
Warranty General
Commercial Property
Corp
Commercial Vehicles orate
20
40
60
80
Typical Process
Employers
Liability
Consequential
Loss
Fleet
Other
100%
Training Modules
Market-I & II
16
Value Chain
The Value Chain model helps you highlight for different competitors within a given
industries the competencies each one has developed to succeed. Works better on a
theoretical level rather than with lots of data
Typical Output Format
Value chain
Finance
HR
Technology
Logistics
Purchasin
g
Manufing
Typical Process
Marketin
g
Sale
s
Training Modules
Competitor-I
17
A Weighted Column chart is a simple tool that helps you display at once both
competitor profitability level and overall industry profits. It requires a special input tool;
the Weighted Column Maker
Typical Output Format
Industry profitability, Industry X, 199598
20%
ROS
(last 3 15
years,%)
10
5
Comp 1
Comp 2
Etc
0
0
20
40
60
80
100%
-5
-10%
Share of Market, by Competitor
Typical Process
Training Modules
Competitor-I & II
18
The Share Gain Line is a visually simple tool - if a bit difficult to grasp at first - that
helps you display relative share performance of competitors in the market context. It
requires an Excel table and the Bubble function in the Chart Menu. The Zero-gain line
needs be added afterwards
Typical Output Format
Share movements by competitor, Music, Cards & Video retail, UK, 1995-1999
60%
Competitor
s Growth
(% over
4
years)
50%
Competitors
gaining share
Blockbuster
Paperchase
40%
WH Smith
Disney Store
30%
20%
Disney Store
Boots
WH Smith
Woolworths
J. Menzies
Our Price
10%
-10%
0%
0%
-10%
10%
WH Smith
Music
20%
30%
Cards
Woolworths
J. Menzies
Competitors
losing share
40%
50%
60%
Video
Training Modules
Competitor-I & II
19
KPC Combs
The KPC Combs is a visually simple tool - if a bit difficult to grasp at first - that helps
you display jointly both the importance of customer purchasing criteria and the
ranking of competitors against those criteria. It requires an Excel table and the Bar +
Line function in the Chart Menu
Typical Output Format
Key purchase criteria (KPC) comb, Industry X, Germany, 1999
10
Score
(1 to
10)
9
8
7
Criteria
Comp 1
Comp 2
Comp 3
Client
6
5
4
3
2
1
Criteria 1
Criteria 2
Criteria 3
Criteria 4
Criteria 5
Criteria 6
Training Modules
Customer-I & II
20
Harvey Balls
Harvey Balls are a technique that helps you summarise the results of a
benchmarking exercise where the item benchmarked obey different metrics. It
needs to be hand drawn. Can work as well on a preliminary, data-less level
Typical Output Format
Competitor benchmark summary table, Mixed retailers, UK, 1999
Competitors
KPI
WH
Smith
John
Menzies
Boots
Woolworths
etc
Supply chain
efficiency
Customer
retention level
Staff utilisation
level
Etc ...
Typical Process
Training Modules
Competitor-I
21
Quotes
There has bee a trend away from sport shoes and towards work
boots worn as streetwear. This has been going on at the rate of 2-3%
p.a. over the last 3 years, is getting stronger now, and is no longer
just a teenage fashion
- J. Swartz, CEO, Timberland
Consumer shift towards good value and cheaper shoes, together with
the availability of imports from the Far East and economically weaker
countries have intensified price pressure and competition in the
market
- Euromonitor
Camel is the best selling boot in Germany, with in excess of 5%
market share
- Marketing Director, Camel UK
Typical Process
Training Modules
Customer-I
22
Lollipops
Lollipops are a technique that helps you display in one sole slide a large number of
detailed information across a large selection of objects (competitors, products, etc).
It requires an Excel table and the Bubble function in the Chart Menu
Typical Output Format
Plant sizes & total capacity by competitor, Storage products industry, Europe, 1998
70k
Plant size
(k tonnes), 60
50
40
30
UK
B
20
10
E
NL
D
S
N
SF UK
NL
D
UK
Po
ly
pa
Co
l
ns
tru
c
Sc tor
ha
ef
De er
xi
on
M
ec
al
ux
Ne
dc
on
M
et
a
Fe
ra
lc
o
Ti
xi
t
Ga
ll e
r
Es
m
en
a
St
ow
Ap
ex
M
ag
ist
Tr
a
av
hy
d
Ar ro
em
sa
M
au
se
r
Ar
bi
te
c
0
Total Capacity
(k tonnes)
Competitor
60k
tonnes
UK
Typical Process
N/A
23
Channel Maps
Channel Maps are a technique that helps you display the complexity of various
routes to market whilst quantifying their relative importance. There isnt a software
available to generate them : they need to be hand drawn
Typical Output Format
Channel map, Construction materials, UK, 1999
Product
s
15.3bn
Channel
s
Additional
Products*
Construction Materials
Manufacturers/Importers
22.3bn
Distributors/Stockists
Direct
3.2bn
4.4bn
7.0bn
Builders
Merchant
s
Specialist
Merchants/ Factors
Wholesalers
4.6bn
6.3bn
0.8bn
EndCustome
rs
Builders/Contractors
7.3bn
0.5bn
Home Customers
18.2bn
Typical Process
7.6bn
24
Conceptual Maps
Conceptual Maps are basic techniques that help you breakdown complex issues into
sub-sets so as to better either lay out the thinking, plan the research or map the
results. They do not require intricate softwares; just a ruler, a pencil, and an
eraser ...
Typical Output Format
Key conceptual maps
2x2 Matrix
Conceptual Cross
Dimension
1
High
Dimension
3
Low
Low
Dimension
4
High
Dimension
2
Typical Process
Training Modules
Customer-I
25
Forces at Work
Convergence
Convergence in
in
national
national tastes
tastes
across
across Europe
Europe
Clothing
Clothing manufacturing
manufacturing
shifting
shifting production
production
overseas
overseas
Clothing
Clothing manufacturers
manufacturers
shifting
shifting production
production from
from
West
West to
to East
East and
and South
South
Europe
Europe
Customers
Customers demanding
demanding
shorter
shorter lead
lead times
times
Improvements
Improvements in
in the
the
speed
speed and
and cost
cost of
of
logistics
logistics across
across Europe
Europe
Threat
Threat of
of
cheap
cheap imports
imports
from
from Asia
Asia
Growth
Growth of
of
international
international
customers,
customers, e.g.
e.g.
Nike
Nike &
& Benetton
Benetton
Typical Process
Self-explanatory
Price
Price
convergence
convergence
between
between
markets
markets driven
driven
by
by the
the Euro
Euro
Shortening
Shortening product
product life
life
cycles
cycles in
in fashion
fashion
Training Modules
N/A
26
Crocodile Chart
Crocodile Charts are a technique that helps you display in one sole slide how the
issue you are studying narrows down to your specific area of focus. It requires an
Excel table and the Bubble function in the Chart Menu
Typical Output Format
Crocodile chart, Oil reserves, 1995
100%
90%
Sea
80%
North
70%
60%
50%
Land
UK
40%
South
30%
Europe
20%
10%
0%
Global
Continental
Typical Process
National
Training Modules
N/A
Regional
27
Parfait
A Parfait is a visually simple tool that helps you display jointly both the relative size
of market segments and their relative growth. It requires an Excel table and the Area
function in the Chart Menu
Typical Output Format
UK Clothing Market 1994-98
3 000
Annual Growth
Market size
(1998, m)
2 500
3%
Childrenswear
2 000
10%
Sportswear
1 500
Menswear
2%
Womenswear
2%
1 000
500
1994
1995
Typical Process
1996
1998
Plot
Training Modules
N/A
1997
28
Table of Contents
Tool Description
3. Analysis Techniques
Typical Process
Training Modules
29
Logic Tree
One half of Structured Thinking, the Logic Tree turns the initial client brief into a set of
discrete questions. Each Logic Tree has a twin in the shape of the Research Tree.
Once the key questions have been established it is usually clear which research
method is the most appropriate
Typical Output Format
Logic Tree
Research
Tree
I gather data to inform
the applicability
of each option
I can
I can get
I can
find another
an entirely compensate for
sock in the flat
new pair what I dont have
I can
trace
the
other
sock
I can
trace
anothe
r
pair
I can
buy a
new
pair
in
time
I can
have
one
sent
I can
alter
clothin
g
to hide
sockle
ssness
I can
justify
sockle
ssness
Typical Process
Research
Research
Inquire about
inside the flat outside the flat socklessness
Check Ask
Check Check
my
flatmate there arewho is
room
s
sock
coming
(under Check shops Call to
the bed, laundry on the get them
other
room
way
to bring
drawers)
one
Check
with
partner
that
socks
are
needed
Ask for
a good joke
Think
of how to
turn it into
a statement
30
Process Maps
Process Maps are a technique that helps you group a set of research and/or action
points into broad sequential steps
Bidding,
Negotiation
&
Closing
Deal
Origination
Target
identification
Assessment
of potential
post-deal
synergies
Typical Process
Self-explanatory
- Ammunition for
negotiations
- Black holes check
Resolve competition and
regulatory issues
Valuation analysis
Strategy
development
Post-acquisition
disputes
Business plan
preparation
Market study for
potential prospectus
Outside in view for
potential buyers
- Synergy valuation
for negotiations
Training Modules
N/A
Exit
(Trade
Sale or
Flotation)
Owning
31
Sanity Checks
Sanity Checks are basic techniques that help you assess the viability of a data point obtained through desk
research or one-off interviews. This do not require anything else than careful consideration ...
Feel Right
Test
Impact
Criticality
Test
Materiality
Test
Body
Doubling
Connecting data
Putting in
Establish whether Choosing one
Narrowing a
the different
unique data point
variety of N from obtained on esotericperspective the
differences
estimates obtainedas the estimate
different sources issues to more
between the
lead to the same you will go with
down to a range easily
various estimates outcome with
pending further
within which you understandable
obtained typically regard to the
information
are fairly confidentdimensions and
by expressing
question
the true answer is assessing
credibility
biggest delta as % you are really
to be found
of implication
of average value addressing
(confidence
interval)
Typical Process
Training Modules
Generic Research
32
The Top-Down estimation is a method that consists in shaving off parts of something
you know (eg. market size) until you are left with the rump (eg. a segment size) that
you were trying to estimate in the first place
Typical Output Format
2 000
1 800
Food
service
1 600
Canned
1 400
1 200
Fresh
1 000
800
Ready Meals
Chilled
600
Branded
Retail
400
Coated
Frozen
200
Own
Natural
0
Total Fish
Market
Share of
Retail
Share of
nonReady
Meals
Share of
Frozen
Typical Process
Label
Share
of Own
Label
Our Market
Split the starting object into subset by applying the cut for which
you have least data (eg. you know
market share of products in retail
but not in wholesale, thus share by
channel before you share by
product)
Training Modules
Generic Research
33
One-Off Interviews
Check-list for One-Off Interviews. Use framework below before proceeding with
interviews
Typical Output Format
One-off Interviews Check-list
Preparation
Anticipation
of Answers
Contact &
Persuasion
Be clear
exactly which
questions need
to be answered
Be polite,
Define your
objectives for
especially to
the meeting
secretaries
up front
Be rigorous in
Choose the
Ensure you
using
appropriate
come out
secretaries
method
with the
where possible
specific
Contact the
answers you Write a
correct people require
professional
but deferential
fax
Interpretatio
n of Results
Execution
Prioritise
questions
Be prepared
for obstructive
remarks from
interviewees
Be flexible
but focused
on the
answer
Wrapping Up
Be prompt in
delivering
high quality
feedback
Remember
who has paid
the bill!
Do not lie !!
Typical Process
Training Modules
Generic Research
34
Interview Programmes
Check-list for Interview Programmes. Use framework below before proceeding with
interviews
Typical Output Format
Anticipation
of Answers
Choose the
Create a
appropriate
questionnaire
method
which is
- on the phone focused on
- in the street
testing the
- mix
hypothesis
- correct
Select the best questions
sample
- questions
- suitable
asked
proportion
in the
of market
correct way
- hit rate
Contact &
Persuasion
Execution
Ensure process
Ensure
interviewers
is managed
are fully
effectively
briefed
Set-up database
Pilot
and maintain it
questionnaire throughout
and re-draft
Temp
ineffective
questions
performance
monitored and
data inputed as
rapidly as
possible
Typical Process
Interpretatio
n of Results
Only
appropriate
analysis is
carried out
(80 : 20)
Wrapping Up
Keep paper
copies of
questionnaire
s at hand !
Training Modules
Customer-I
35
Focus Groups
Check-list for Focus Group. Use framework below before proceeding with organising
groups
Typical Output Format
Focussing Logistics
debate
Getting the
right people
Selecting candidates
Invitations
Hit rate
Incentives
Typical Process
Training Modules
Customer-I
36
Clustering
Clusturing is a complex technique that helps you group object (eg customers)
according to their similarity of preference between a set of dimensions (eg customer
purchasing criteria). It requires an Excel spreadsheet and a conjoint analysis
software, such as SPSS
Typical Output Format
Cluster
Average
Cluster
Little
Average
Z
Average
A lot
All-round support
Cluster
A lot
Exclusivity of
operations
Typical Process
Customer-I & II
37
Factorial Analysis
Factorial Analysis is a complex technique that helps you group a large number of
dimensions of choice (eg 14 customer purchasing criteria) into the relevant, fewer
factors that underpin clusters preferences. It requires an Excel spreadsheet and a
conjoint analysis software, such as SPSS
Typical Output Format
Typical Process
Factors
Factor 1
Speed of service
Factor 3
All-round support
Factor 2
Exclusivity of operations
Factor 1 = KPC 1 & 5
Factor 2 = KPC 2, 7 & 8
Factor 3 = KPC 3, 4, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13 & 14
Training Modules
Customer-I
38
Table of Contents
Tool Description
4. Sources
Typical Process
Training Modules
39
Desk Sources
Check-list for Desk Sources. Use framework below and create your own portfolio of
regular & favourite sources
Eg.
Search
CD-ROM
or on-line
databases
Search
the
Net
Search
AABC
knowledge
base
Search
business
sources
Procure
documents
- FT.com
- search
engines
- etc
- Global
Best
Practices
database
- etc
- trade
publication
s
governmen
t statistics
- etc
Profound
Datastar
Reuters
Worldscope
etc
Pure electronic
Typical Process
Go to
various
libraries
Mix
Pure paper
Tricks & Tips
Training Modules
Generic Research
40
Tool Description
News
Research
Reuters Business
Briefing
News articles,
regulatory news
announcements (e.g.
latest interims,
directors shareholdings
etc)
Competitor listings
Descriptions of
business
Disclosure tearsheets
(one page share
performance and
financial summary)
Reuters industry
briefings (useful
snapshot)
(25 per hour)
Typical Process
FT Profile
Similar to Reuters but
refined searching
method (words in the
first paragraph of an
article, within one
sentence / paragraph
and using truncation
more FT articles
Mintel (market research
reports)
(4p or more for every
line viewed including
headlines)
Dow Jones
Interactive
Similar to FT but US
focus
(Approx 2 per article)
Lexis Nexis
General business news and legal
information database, e.g. EC
directives, particular cases etc.
($1-4 per article)
I-Plus Direct
On-line version of Research Bank
CD
No free viewing, but can be
useful for text searching (reports
available one weeks after
published date)
Datastar + Dialog
Host system for databases.
Particularly strong on medical,
pharmaceuticals, chemicals,
intellectual property and patents.
(European bias for Datastar, US
for Dialog)
(Charge per article)
Profound
Market research reports and
Consumers association on the
briefing reports (UK, USA, Japan,
web
France & Germany)
Search back copies of which
(200+ per report, can do
(FREE)
Tricks & Tips
individual sections for 2)
Marketsearch online
Anbar
Global sources of published
Management and academic
market research and market
journals
reports
(6 per article next day
(FREE)
delivery)
WARC
Oxford Economic Forecasting
World Advertising Research
on the web
Centre
Global forecast for industries,
Source of advertising information
consumer prices etc.
including Admap main
(FREE)
advertising journal not avail
elsewhere
UMI- Proquest
(FREE)
Management and academic
journals (can download info)
(Approx. $4 per article)
Training Modules
41
Tool Description
Financial Information
Information Alliances
Proposed / On Trial
Training Modules
42