Results & Discussion

Results & Discussion
Reference Mode
Depressed (disabled and healthy)
200,000
People
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
Time (Year)
"Depressed (disabled and healthy)" : base case sensitivity analysis
Depressed (disabled and

healthy stock) exhibits a
linear upward trend from
2016 to 2040
Reference Mode
base case sensitivity analysis
Used Monte Carlo Sensitivity

Analysis at 50%
To see the range of values of
depressed (disabled and
healthy) elderly for each
year from 2016 to 2040
"Depressed (disabled and healthy)"

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000
2010
2020
Time (Year)
2030
2040
Student Volunteer Program

Student Volunteer Program SA

Analysis at 50%

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000
2010
2020
Time (Year)
2030
2040

Student Volunteer Program SA
Sensitivity Analysis of the

compared with the
Reference Mode

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000
2010
2020
Time (Year)
2030
2040

200,000
People
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
Time (Year)
"Depressed (disabled and healthy)" : Student Volunteer Program
With a student volunteer program to get

students to interact with the elderly,
implemented in 2016 using a ramp function
Number of depressed (disabled and healthy)
elderly for each year from 2016 to 2040
decreases.
In 2040, the number of depressed (disabled
and healthy) elderly has a mean = 112976.7
ci= 112152.2, 113801.2]
Compared with the reference mode of
mean= 130369.7 ci= [129521.9, 131217.4]
The trend remains the same as in the
reference mode
Subsidies To Families That Live With

Elderly
Subsidies to elderly living with family SA

Analysis at 50%

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000
2010
2020
Time (Year)
2030
2040

Elderly
Subsidies to elderly living with family SA
Sensitivity Analysis of
Subsidy Policy compared
with the Reference Mode

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000
2010
2020
Time (Year)
2030
2040

Elderly
With subsidies for families that have elderly
200,000
People
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
Time (Year)
"Depressed (disabled and healthy)" : Subsidies to elderly living with family SA
staying with them, implemented in 2016 using

a step function
decreases.
and healthy) elderly has a Mean =
115481.13 CI = [114648.76, 116313.50]
Mean= 130369.7 CI= [129521.9, 131217.4]

Elderly
From 2016 to 2020, the number of
200,000
People
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
Time (Year)
"Depressed (disabled and healthy)" : Subsidies to elderly living with family SA
depressed (disabled and healthy) elderly

decreases exponentially
Subsidy causes a large number of elderly to
stay with their families from 2016 to 2020,
causing a large decrease in the number of of
depressed (disabled and healthy) elderly
The number of depressed (disabled and
healthy) elderly exhibits a linear upward
trend similar to the reference mode from
2021 to 2040
Marketing Campaign To Convince Depressed (Disabled

And Healthy) Elderly To Seek Psychotherapy
Psychotherapy Policy SA

Analysis at 50%

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000
2010
2020
Time (Year)
2030
2040

Psychotherapy Policy SA
Sensitivity Analysis of the

Marketing Campaign
compared with the
Reference Mode

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000
2010
2020
Time (Year)
2030
2040

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
Time (Year)
"Depressed (disabled and healthy)" : Psychotherapy Policy SA
With marketing campaigns to convince

depressed (disabled and healthy) elderly to
seek psychotherapy treatment, implemented
in 2016 using a step function
decreases.
and healthy) elderly has a Mean = 101821
CI = [100811 102831]
Mean= 130369.7 CI= [129521.9, 131217.4]
The trend remains the same as in the
reference mode
The Best Policy

From the results, we can see that in order to have the
least number of depressed (disabled and healthy)
elderly in 2040
Implementing marketing campaigns to convince
depressed (disabled and healthy) elderly to seek
psychotherapy treatment is the most effective policy

Results &amp; Discussion

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Results & Discussion

Depressed (disabled and

Used Monte Carlo Sensitivity

"Depressed (disabled and healthy)"

Student Volunteer Program

Used Monte Carlo Sensitivity

"Depressed (disabled and healthy)"

Student Volunteer Program

Sensitivity Analysis of the

"Depressed (disabled and healthy)"

Student Volunteer Program

With a student volunteer program to get

Subsidies To Families That Live With

Used Monte Carlo Sensitivity

"Depressed (disabled and healthy)"

Subsidies To Families That Live With

"Depressed (disabled and healthy)"

Subsidies To Families That Live With

staying with them, implemented in 2016 using

Subsidies To Families That Live With

depressed (disabled and healthy) elderly

Marketing Campaign To Convince Depressed (Disabled

Used Monte Carlo Sensitivity

"Depressed (disabled and healthy)"

Marketing Campaign To Convince Depressed (Disabled

Sensitivity Analysis of the

"Depressed (disabled and healthy)"

Marketing Campaign To Convince Depressed (Disabled

With marketing campaigns to convince

The Best Policy

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Results & Discussion

Results & Discussion