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Definition
Reliability is a general quality of an object an ability to
perform a desired function, sustaining the values of rated
operational indicators in given limits and time according to
given technical conditions.
Reliability Calculations
1. Reliability of single parts of networks in the time of
production of project documentation
(number of outages/year/consumer)
(min/year/consumer)
Bathtub curve
Early failure
period
II
Wear-out failure
period
III
1 dR(t)
(t)
R(t) dt
R(t) e
Q(t) 1 e
f(t) e
Poissons division
Qk (t)
k
t
k!
Weibulls deal
( t )
Q(t) 1 e
The empirical method is mostly used for obtaining the input values for reliability
calculations, because an application of a priori reliability method requires different
attitude to every element of electricity system.
Exclusive outage databases had been on the rise since 1975 in the
former Czechoslovakia.
Unfortunately, database building stopped in1990 because of political
and social changes.
Thanks to the expert group CIRED Czech distributors opted for
unified monitoring of global reliability indices and the reliability of
selected pieces of equipment in 1999 again.
Data for the reliability computation is centrally processed and
analyzed at the VSB - Technical University of Ostrava since the year
2000.
Collected data are often heterogeneous.
It is necessary to solve the storage, indexing, and also transformation
of such data.
We need to create a common relational scheme for the storage of the
data, a new relation makes the querying and analysis possible.
Database range
Heterogeneous Data
Results
Failure rate
N
Z P
(year-1)
Results
t
i 1
(h)
Results
Results
Results
Markovs processes
Method of reliabilty schemes
Simulative methods
Advantages:
-
Disadvantages:
-
P A,B P A . P B
P(A)
probability of occurrence of A
P(B)
probability of occurrence of B
Series systems
A failure of one element leads to a failure of a system.
1
R V R 1 . R 2 . ......R n R i
i 1
Parallel Systems
A failure of a system occurs when all elements have a failure
1
2
n
Probability of a failure:
Q V Q1 . Q 2 . ......Qn Qi
i 1
R V 1 Q i
i 1
Simplified
Probability of failure-free run:
.
R 1
8760
the effect of weather on failure rate and repair rate is not taken into account,
exponential division of distributive function of time of failures
and repairs for all elements of electric network is taken into account,
average data are started from.
P P1 P2
U U1 U2
P U
P ... Failure rate [year-1]
U ... Maintenance rate [year-1]
... Outage rate (maintenance + repair) [year-1]
Mean times of outages of a two-elements system:
P1 . P1 P2 . P2
P
P
U1 . U1 U2 . U2
U
U
PP
U1 P2 U1 U2 P1 U2 P1 P2 P1 P2
8760
PP
1
8760 PP
U1 P2 U1
U1 P2
U2 P1 U2 U2 P1 P1 P2 P1 P2
U1 P2
U2 P1
Maintenance outage cannot occur at this connection, because at the failure of one
element maintenance of another element will not begin.
PM PP P1
PM
M
PP PP P1 M
MP
. Manipulation time [h]
Advantages:
- considered systems do not have to really exist as yet,
- considered systems can be too complicated for using analytical methods,
- simulation makes possible study of behaviour of systems in real, accelerated, or
retarded time. The second possibility is the most important in this case,
because the processes of outage of elements and their re-introduction into
operation are very slow. It would be very inefficient to study them in any other
time but accelerated.
- with simulation it is possible to verify results obtained by other independant
processes,
- possibility of modelling T type bays
- simple power balance of a diagram is carried out, outage is always simulated at
overloaded elements.