Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
The Government
Budget, the
Public Debt, and
Social Security
Key Questions
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Sources: Bureau of
Economic
AnalysisPearson
NIPA Tables and Congressional
Budget Office. Details in Appendix C-4.
Copyright
2009
AddisonWesley. All rights reserved.
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Copyright
2009 Pearson AddisonSource: Bureau of Economic Analysis NIPA Tables. Details in Appendix C-4.
Wesley. All rights reserved.
12-12
After Reagans tax cuts in 1981, the labor force participation grew more
slowly.
The personal saving rate fell after rising in rising during 1977-81.
Productivity growth grew only moderately, and not nearly as quickly as
after the tax hikes of 1993.
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Barro-Ricardo Equivalence
Theorem
In 1974, Robert Barro argued that changes in
taxes would not affect output because tax cuts are
balanced by an increase in saving rate rather than
an increase in consumption.
Tax cuts financed by deficit spending require higher
future tax payments to meet the interest on the public
debt, so people will save for those future obligations.
Criticisms
Decision horizons are often quite short.
1981
tax2009
cutsPearson
did notAddisonsee an increase in saving.
Copyright
Wesley. All rights reserved.
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Copyright 2009 Pearson AddisonSource: Congressional Budget Office. Details in Appendix C-4.
Wesley. All rights reserved.
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Copyright 2009 Pearson AddisonSource: Congressional Budget Office. Details in Appendix C-4.
Wesley. All rights reserved.
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Chapter Equations
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Chapter Equations
S T G I NX
(12.1)
NS I NX
D
Growth Rate of
d p y
PY
d p y
General Form
(12.2)
(12.3)
Numerical Example
dD
p y D2009 Pearson
(0.05) $4,500
billion $225 billion
Copyright
AddisonWesley. All rights reserved.
(12.4)
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