PRIVATE COMPANY VALUATION

Presenter
Venue
Date

PUBLIC VS. PRIVATE VALUATION:

COMPANY-SPECIFIC DIFFERENCES
Private Firms

Public Firms

Less mature

Later in life cycle

Smaller size risk

risk premiums

Larger and have access to

public financing

Managers often have

substantial ownership
position

Greater external shareholder

ownership

Potentially quality and

depth of management

Greater quality and depth of

management

PUBLIC VS. PRIVATE VALUATION:

COMPANY-SPECIFIC DIFFERENCES
Private Firms

Public Firms

Lower quality of
pressure to make timely,
information disclosure detailed disclosures
risk and valuations
Shareholders have a
longer-term perspective

More emphasis on shortterm performance

Greater emphasis on tax

management

Less emphasis on tax

management

PUBLIC VS. PRIVATE VALUATION:

STOCK-SPECIFIC DIFFERENCES
Private Firms

Public Firms

Shares are less liquid

liquidity discount

Greater number of
shareholders

Concentration of control

Share ownership and

control are more diffuse

Potential restrictions on sale Public market for shares

of shares

REASONS FOR PRIVATE EQUITY VALUATIONS

Transactio
n Related
Private financing
IPOs

Complianc
e Related

Litigation
Related

Financial
reporting

Damages

Acquisitions
Bankruptcy
Compensation

Lost profits
Tax reporting

Shareholder
disputes

DEFINITIONS OF VALUE
Fair Market
Value
Market Value

Tax reporting
Real estate and tangible asset
appraisal

Fair Value

Financial reporting and litigation

Investment
Value

Private company sale

Intrinsic Value

Investment analysis

PRIVATE VALUATION APPROACHES

EARNINGS NORMALIZATION

EXAMPLE: EARNINGS NORMALIZATION

Example

Adjustment to Income Statement

Private firm CEO is paid $1,200,000.

Analyst estimates market rate for CEO is
$800,000.

Reduce SG&A expenses by $400,000.

Firm leases a warehouse for

$200,000/year from a family member.
Analyst estimates market rate is
$300,000.

Increase SG&A expenses by $100,000.

Firm owns a vacant building that has

reported expenses of $90,000 and
depreciation expenses of $15,000. The
building is noncore.

Reduce SG&A expenses by $90,000.

Reduce depreciation expenses by
$15,000.

Firm may be acquired by a strategic

Buyer A that expects synergies with cost
savings of $230,000. Buyer B is a
financial buyer.

Reduce SG&A expenses by $230,000

when calculating normalized earnings for
Buyer A, but not for Buyer B.

CASH FLOW ESTIMATION

Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Start with normalized earnings

Remove interest expense
Include an estimate of income taxes on operating income
Add back depreciation
Subtract a provision for capital expenditures and working
capital

Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Start with FCFF
Subtract after tax interest expense
Add net new borrowing

INCOME APPROACH: THREE METHODS

Free Cash Flow
- Based on the present value of future estimated cash flows and terminal value
using a risk-adjusted discount rate
- PV of expected future cash flows + PV of terminal value
Capitalized Cash Flow
- Based on a single estimate of economic benefits divided by an appropriate
capitalization rate
Residual Income (Excess earnings)
- Based on an estimate of the value of intangible assets, working capital, and
fixed assets

CAPITALIZED CASH FLOW METHOD

EXCESS EARNINGS METHOD

Residual income (RI) =
Normalized earnings Return on working capital Return on fixed
assets

Value of intangible assets =

RI (1 g )
rg

Value of the firm =

Working capital + Fixed assets + Intangible assets

EXAMPLE: EXCESS EARNINGS METHOD

Working capital
Fixed assets
Normalized earnings
Required return for working capital

$400,000
$1,600,000
$225,000
5%

Required return for fixed assets

12 %

Growth rate of residual income

3%

Discount rate for intangible assets

18 %

EXAMPLE: EXCESS EARNINGS METHOD

1. Return on working capital = 5% x $400,000 = $20,000
2. Return on fixed assets = 12% x $1,600,000 = $192,000
3. Residual income = $225,000 $20,000 $192,000 = $13,000
4. Value of intangible assets = ($13,000 x 1.03) / (0.18 0.03) =
$89,267
5. Value of firm = $400,000 + $1,600,000 + $89,267 = $2,089,267

DISCOUNT RATE ESTIMATION ISSUES

Size Premiums
Size effect can increase discount rate
Cost Debt
Relative availability may be limited increased cost of debt
Higher operating risk increased cost of debt
Discount Rates in an Acquisition Context
Should be consistent with cash flows, not buyers cost of capital
Projection Risk
Uncertainty associated with future cash flows
Life Cycle stage
Classification, early stage difficulties, company-specific risk

REQUIRED RATE OF RETURN MODELS

EXAMPLE: REQUIRED RETURN MODELS

Risk-free rate

1.00 %

Equity risk premium

6.00 %

Beta

1.50

Small stock premium

4.00 %

Company-specific risk premium

1.50 %

Industry risk premium

1.20 %

EXAMPLE: REQUIRED RETURN MODELS

MARKET APPROACH: THREE METHODS

GUIDELINE PUBLIC COMPANY METHOD

GUIDELINE TRANSACTIONS METHOD

PRIOR TRANSACTION METHOD

EXAMPLE: GUIDELINE PUBLIC COMPANY

METHOD
Market value of debt

$6,800,000

Normalized EBITDA

$28,000,000

Average MVIC/EBITDA multiple

Control premium from past transactions

20 %

Discount for increased risk

18 %

EXAMPLE: GUIDELINE PUBLIC COMPANY

METHOD
Public price multiple will be deflated by 18%
Because of increased risk of private firm
If buyer is strategic
A control premium of 20% from previous transactions is
applied
If buyer is nonstrategic
No control premium is applied

EXAMPLE: GUIDELINE PUBLIC COMPANY METHOD

STRATEGIC BUYER
Risk adjustment: 9.0 (1 0.18) = 7.4
Control premium of 20% applied: 7.4 (1 + 0.20) = 8.9
Value of firm: 8.9 $28,000,000 = $249,200,000
Value of equity: $249,200,000 $6,800,000 = $242,400,000

EXAMPLE: GUIDELINE PUBLIC COMPANY METHOD

FINANCIAL BUYER
Risk adjustment: 9.0 (1 0.18) = 7.4
The control premium is not applied
Value of firm: 7.4 $28,000,000 = $207,200,000
Value of equity: $207,200,000 $6,800,000 = $200,400,000

ASSET-BASED APPROACH

VALUATION DISCOUNTS/PREMIUMS

DLOC EXAMPLE
Given a control premium of 19%

1
DLOC 1
16.0%

1 0.19

VALUATION DISCOUNTS

VALUATION DISCOUNTS
Given a DLOC of 20% & DLOM of 16%

Total discount 1 [(1 DLOC)(1 DLOM)]

Total discount 1 [(1 0.20)(1 0.16)] 32.8%

VALUATION STANDARDS

SUMMARY

SUMMARY