Beruflich Dokumente
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Bond Basics
Bonds are simply long-term IOUs that
government.
=
4
repaid.
Yield to maturity - rate of return earned on a
strategy:
After year 1, you receive $25,000
in income and have $500,000 to
reinvest. But, if 1-year rates fall
to 3%, your annual income would
fall to $15,000.
strategy:
You can lock in a 5% interest
rate, and $25,000 annual income.
10
Price Risk
Change in price due to changes in
interest rates
Long-term bonds have more price
risk than short-term bonds
Low coupon rate bonds have more
price risk than high coupon rate
bonds
11
12
Bond Value
Bond Value = PV(coupons) + PV(par)
Bond Value = PV(annuity) + PV(lump sum)
Remember:
As interest rates increase present values
decrease
(
r PV )
13
Bond Valuation
Compute
Computethe
thevalue
valuefor
foran
anIBM
IBM Bond
Bondwith
withaa
6.375%
6.375%coupon
couponthat
that will
willmature
maturein
in55years
years
given
giventhat
thatyou
you require
requirean
an 8%
8%return
returnon
onyour
your
investment.
investment.
What
What are
arethe
theannual
annualinterest
interest payments
payments($)?
($)?
14
2010
1
63.75
2011
2
63.75
2012
3
63.75
2013
4
63.75
63.75
1,000.00
15
2010
1
63.75
2011
2
63.75
$63.75
$63.75Annuity
Annuityfor
for55years
years
2012
3
2013
4
63.75
63.75
63.75
1000.00
$1000
$1000Lump
LumpSum
Sum in
in 55years
years
16
2010
1
63.75
2011
2
63.75
$63.75
$63.75Annuity
Annuityfor
for55years
years
2012
3
2013
4
63.75
63.75
63.75
1000.00
$1000
$1000Lump
LumpSum
Sum in
in 55years
years
5N
= PV = 935.12
17
18
2014
1
45
45
2015
2
45
45
2016
3
45
45
2017
4
45
45
45
45.00
1000.00
19
2014
1
45
45
2015
2
45
45
2016
3
45
45
2017
4
45
45
45
45.00
1000.00
Compute
Computethe
thevalue
valueof
ofthe
thebond
bondgiven
giventhat
thatyou
you
require
requireaa10%
10%s-a.
s-a. return
returnon
onyour
yourinvestment.
investment.
Since interest is received every 6 months, we need to use
semiannual compounding
VB =
45 - PMT
1000 - FV
5% - I
10 - N
20
2014
1
45
45
2015
2
45
45
2016
3
45
45
2017
4
45
45
45
45
1,000
Compute
Computethe
thevalue
valueof
ofthe
thebond
bondgiven
giventhat
thatyou
you
require
requireaa10%
10%s-a.
s-a. return
returnon
onyour
yourinvestment.
investment.
Since interest is received every 6 months, we need to use
semiannual compounding
= PV = 961.39
21
Semiannual Bonds
Coupon rate = 14% - Semiannual
YTM = 16% (APR)
Maturity = 7 years
Value of bond?
Number of coupon payments? (2t or N)
14
= 2 x 7 years
Semiannual yield?
8% = 16%/2
(YTM/2 or I/Y)
22
Semiannual Bonds
Semiannual coupon =
$70
Semiannual yield
=
8%
Periods to maturity =
14
Bond Value C
2
Bond value =
1 14
] / .08 +
70[1 11/(1.08)
14
(1.08)14 = 1000
1000
/
(1.08)
B 70
14
0
.
08
(
1
.
08
)
917.56
1-
1
1 YTM
YTM
2t
F
1 YTM
2t
Yield to Maturity
2013
0
-1,000
2014
2015
80
80
2016
2017
80
80
80
1,000
25
1
1
(1.11)5
B 100
0.11
1000
(1.11)5
27
1000
(1.08) 20
B 100
20
0.08
(1.08)
Yield to Maturity
-900
??
+ ??
2014
2015
63.75
63.75
2016
3
63.75
2017
4
63.75
63.75
1000.00
900
29
Yield to Maturity
If an investor purchases a 6.375% annual coupon
-900
??
+ ??
900
2014
2015
63.75
63.75
2016
3
63.75
2017
4
63.75
63.75
1000.00
30
rd=?
1
90
PV1
.
.
.
PV10
PVM
887
...
9
90
10
90
1,000
INPUTS
OUTPUT
10
N
I/YR
10.91
-887
PV
90
PMT
1000
FV
32
Types of Bonds
Vanilla fixed coupons, repaid at maturity
Zero Coupon pay no explicit interest but
33
Types of Bonds
Junk Bonds below investment grade
34
Government Bonds
Treasury Securities = Federal government
debt
Coupon debt
Original maturity between one and ten years
Tax Consequences
A taxable bond has a yield of 8% and a
municipal bond has a yield of 6%
If you are in a 40% tax bracket, which
Bond Ratings
Moodys , Standard & Poors and Fitch
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
B
CCC
CC
C
D
Best Quality
High Quality
Upper Medium Grade
Medium Grade
Speculative
Very Speculative
Very Very Speculative
No Interest Being Paid
Currently in Default
37
Bond Ratings
Investment
Quality
High Grade
Moodys Aaa and S&P AAA capacity to pay is
extremely strong
Moodys Aa and S&P AA capacity to pay is very
strong
Medium Grade
Moodys A and S&P A capacity to pay is strong,
but
more susceptible to changes in circumstances
Moodys Baa and S&P BBB capacity to pay is
adequate, adverse conditions will have more
impact on the firms ability to pay
38
capacity
to pay. The B ratings are
the lowest degree of speculation.
40
41
42
10
Inflation premium
1 yr
10 yr
20 yr
8.0%
11.4%
12.65%
5
Real risk-free rate
Years to Maturity
0
1
10
20
43
sloping.
This is due to increasing expected
inflation and an increasing maturity
risk premium.
44
45
Default risk
If an issuer defaults, investors receive
46