Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
1
TRADE AND Reasons for Trade
2
TECHNOLOGY: THE Ricardian Model
3
RICARDIAN MODEL Determining the
Pattern of
International Trade
4
Solving for
International Prices
5
Conclusions
Introduction
1. Proximity
The closer countries are the lower the costs of
transportation.
For example, the largest trading partner of most
European countries is another European country.
Proximity often leads to countries joining into a free
trade area.
Reasons for Trade
2. Resources
A country can have resources that give it an edge in
the production of certain goods.
A country with a lot of snow may be very good at producing
snowboards.
Geography includes natural resources (including land
and minerals), labor resources, and capital.
Resources are also called factors of production
the land, labor, and capital used to produce goods
and services.
Reasons for Trade
2. Resources
Some countries produce unfinished products that are
then processed in another country.
Unfinished snowboards produced in Mexico
Trade in unfinished goods is an example of
outsourcingwhen production activities are spread
across several countries and trade semi-finished
products between them.
Reasons for Trade
3. Absolute Advantage
When a country has the best technology for producing
a good, it has an absolute advantage in the
production of that good.
Germany has an absolute advantage in the production
of snowboards.
Why is it that so many are imported from China then?
Or why doesnt the U.S. just make all its own
snowboards?
Reasons for Trade
4. Comparative Advantage
Absolute advantage is actually not a good explanation
for trade patterns.
Comparative advantage is the primary explanation for
trade among countries.
A country has a comparative advantage in producing
those goods that it produces best compared with how
well it produces other goods.
China does not have an absolute advantage compared to
U.S. but is better at producing snowboards than some other
goods.
Ricardian Model
50 MPLC ( L )
SlopePPF
100 MPLW ( L )
MPLC 1
MPLW 2
Ricardian Model
Figure 2.1
Ricardian Model
Home Equilibrium
Without trade, the PPF acts as a budget constraint for
the country.
Home Equilibrium
Point A is the no-trade equilibrium.
PW MPLW PC MPLC
PW MPLC
PC MPLW
The price ratio, PW/PC, always denotes the relative price
of the good in the numerator, measured in terms of how
much of the good in the denominator must be given up.
Ricardian Model
Figure 2.3
Ricardian Model
Comparative Advantage
Given the information we have gathered, we can begin
to talk about the opportunity cost of production of each
good in each country.
Given the opportunity cost information, we can
determine comparative advantages in each country for
each good.
Ricardian Model
Cloth Wheat
(1 Yard) (1 Bushel)
Comparative Advantage
A country has a comparative advantage in a good when
it has a lower opportunity cost of producing than
another country.
By looking at the chart we can see that Foreign has a
comparative advantage in producing cloth.
Foreigns Opportunity cost of cloth is lower.
Home has a comparative advantage in producing
wheat.
Homes opportunity cost of wheat is lower.
Ricardian Model
Equilibrium in Foreign
Foreigns preferences can also be represented by
an indifference curve.
Its economy produces at the point of highest utility
for the country within the PPF constraint.
The slope of the PPF is the opportunity cost of
wheat.
The no-trade relative price of wheat is P*W/P*C = 1.
The relative price exceeds Homes no-trade
relative price of wheat: P*W/P*C = .
The difference in relative prices comes from the
comparative advantage that Home has in wheat.
Ricardian ModelForeign
Figure 2.4
Comparative Advantage in Apparel,
Textiles, and Wheat
APPLICATION
SIDE BAR
In general we think of a country having a
comparative advantage in a good.
Certain countries have a comparative advantage in the
production of wine.
Can a country create a comparative advantage?
Areas that get very cold are not good wine producers
because the vines get too cold.
Can Comparative Advantage be Created?
The Case of Icewine
SIDE BAR
The Niagara Falls region of Canada began producing a
product called icewine in 1983; its now made in
British Columbia, too.
The grapes are allowed to freeze on the vine before
they are picked.
The unique flavor of the wine has led to a relatively high
demand.
This has created a comparative advantage in a certain
type of wine, even though Canada does not have the
advantage in traditional wine production.
Determining the Pattern of International Trade
We can now take this price and see how trade changes
production and consumption in each country.
Determining the Pattern of International Trade
PW MPLW 2 4 8
1
PC MPLC 3 2 6
Therefore
PW MPLW PC MPLC
Wages in wheat Wages in cloth
Homes workers will want to work in wheat and no
cloth will be produced.
With trade, Home will be fully specialized in wheat
production.
Determining the Pattern of International Trade
International Trade
Home can export wheat at the international relative
price of 2/3.
For each bushel of wheat it exports, it gets 2/3 yards of
cloth in return.
In figure 2.5 we trace this out to get a new price line
showing the world price.
The world price line shows the range of consumption
possibilities that a country can achieve by specializing in one
good and trading.
Remember: this is only a consumption possibility because
production is still constrained by the PPF.
Determining the Pattern of International Trade
25 A
U1 Home production
Home consumption
50
25 A
Home imports 40
yards of cloth U1 Home production
40 50
50 100
100 Wheat, QW (bushels)
International Trade
Trade allows a country to engage in consumption
possibilities it did not have before trade.
Figure 2.6
Determining the Pattern of International Trade
APPLICATION
Labor productivity can be measured by the value-added
per hour in manufacturing.
Value-added is the difference between sales revenue in an
industry and the costs of intermediate inputs.
Equals the payments to labor and capital in an industry.
The Ricardian model ignores capital so we can measure labor
productivity as value-added divided by the number of hours
worked, or value-added per hour.
Figure 2.7 shows value-added per hour in manufacturing
for several countries.
Countries with higher labor productivity pay higher wages, just as
the Ricardian model predicts.
Labor Productivity and Wages
APPLICATION
APPLICATION
We can also see the connection between
productivity and wages over time.
Figure 2.8 shows that the general upward
movement in labor productivity is matched by
upward movement in wages.
This is also predicted by the Ricardian Model.
Labor Productivity and Wages
Figure 2.9
Solving for International Prices
Figure 2.10
Solving for International Prices
APPLICATION
Latin American economist Ral Prebisch and
British economist Hans Singer each put forward
the hypothesis that the price of primary
commodities would decline over time relative to
the price of manufactured goods.
Primary commodities are often exported by
developing countries, so their terms of trade
would decline over time.
The Terms of Trade for Primary Commodities
APPLICATION
This theory might be true for a couple of reasons:
First,
As countries become richer, they spend a smaller share
of their income on food.
As world income grows, demand for food falls relative
to the demand for manufactured goods.
Therefore, the price of agricultural products can also be
expected to fall relative to manufactured goods.
The Terms of Trade for Primary Commodities
APPLICATION
Second,
For mineral products, industrialized countries
continually find substitutes in the production of
manufactured products.
The substitution away from mineral products is a form
of technological progress, and as it proceeds, can lead
to a fall in the price of raw materials.
The Terms of Trade for Primary Commodities
APPLICATION
There are also reasons why the theory might not
be true:
First,
Technological progress in manufactured goods can
certainly lead to a fall in the price of these goods as
they become easier to produce.
This is a fall in terms of trade for industrialized countries
rather than developing countries.
Second,
At least for oil, the cartel restricting prices has caused
an increase in the terms of trade for oil-exporting
countries.
The Terms of Trade for Primary Commodities
APPLICATION
Figure 2.12 shows 24 primary commodities from
19001998, with their world price relative to the
overall price of manufactured goods.
From these results for different commodities, we
can conclude that there are some that follow the
pattern predicted by Prebisch and Singer, with
falling prices relative to manufacturing.
However, this is not the general ruleother
primary commodities have had increasing or non-
consistent change in their prices.