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Indonesia Certificate in

Banking Risk and Regulation


Training Instructor Course
Level 3
Part B: Credit risk and operational
risk management and regulation

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6. The Advanced Measurement Approach to measuring
operational risk

Market risk and treasury risk Part A


management and regulation

1. An introduction to the use of 2. The Internal Models


3. Capital management and
statistics in the measurement Approach to measuring and
treasury risk
of financial risk managing market risk

Credit risk and operational risk Part B


management and regulation

4. Internal Ratings-Based 6. Advanced Measurement


5. Collateral and 7. Managing
approaches to measuring Approach to measuring
securitization operational risk
credit risk operational risk

Supervision and regulation


Part C

8. The supervisory 9. Supervision of operational 10. Basel II disclosure 11. The BI


review process risk and other risks requirements supervisory regime

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1 The Advanced Measurement Approach

The Basel II Accord specifies three different approaches that can


be used to calculate a banks operational risk capital.

Of the three, the Advanced Measurement Approach is the most


sophisticated method of measuring operational risk and calculating
the required capital.

The Advanced Measurement Approach differs from the Basic


Indicator Approach and the Standardised Approach in that the
Accord does not specify any model or methodology.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1 The Advanced Measurement Approach

Instead it permits a bank to use its own internal operational risk


measurement models. Any method of measuring internal risk is
permissible provided it meets the quantitative and qualitative
criteria, and is approved by the supervisor.

Thus the Basel II Accord has opted for a balance between flexibility
and consistency, rather than a one-size-fits-all approach.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1 The Advanced Measurement Approach

Model capabilities
Any measurement system used under the Advanced
Measurement Approach must be capable of estimating
expected losses, and unexpected losses. It must also be
capable of identifying potential losses from catastrophic or
extreme events, known as tail events.
The regulatory operational risk capital is obtained by
combining the expected and unexpected losses, unless a
bank can demonstrate that expected losses have been
accounted for elsewhere.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1 The Advanced Measurement Approach

Model capabilities
For example they could have been included within
product pricing. If a bank can demonstrate it has already
accounted for expected losses then they can be partially
or totally omitted.

Internationally active banks and banks with significant operational


risk exposures, (e.g. specialist processing banks) are expected to
implement the Advanced Measurement Approach and develop their
own methodologies for calculating operational risk capital.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1 The Advanced Measurement Approach

Model capabilities

The Advanced Measurement Approach uses historical internal loss


data, external data and other data, which is derived from business
factors and internal controls (see Section 6.4). Validation of the
models is also necessary through the use of techniques such as
scenario analysis.

Within the Advanced Measurement Approach the Basel II Accord


also sets out criteria that define the structure for creating an
operational risk function, including the reporting lines and reporting
process.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1 The Advanced Measurement Approach

Advanced Measurement Approach techniques

Although no model or methodology is specified under the


Advanced Measurement Approach, banks are tending to adopt one
of the following three basic techniques:

Internal Measurement Approach (IMA)


Loss Distribution Approach (LDA)
Risk Drivers and Controls Approach (RDCA) scorecards.

A brief description of each technique is provided in the following


sections.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach

The Internal Measurement Approach (IMA) is similar to the Internal


Ratings-Based approaches for calculating credit risk regulatory
capital.

Under the Internal Measurement Approach a bank maps its


activities into business lines, as per the Standardised Approach.

Once this has been completed the bank defines a set of operational
risk events and maps the internal data across each business
line/risk type combination.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach - example

Bank AA adopts the IMA for calculating its operational risk capital. It
uses the Basel II definitions for its business lines and risk-event
types. It maps its business activities into the business lines.

Business activities

Business lines
Corporate Finance Trading and Sales Retail Banking
Commercial Banking Payment and Settlement Agency Services
Asset Management Retail Brokerage

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach - example

It then maps its internal data for each business line to the risk-
event types:
Business lines
Corporate Finance Trading and Sales Retail Banking
Commercial Banking Payment and Settlement Agency Services
Asset Management Retail Brokerage

Risk-event types
Internal Fraud External Fraud Employment practices
and workplace safety
Clients, products and Damage due to physical Business disruption and
business practices assets system failures
Execution, delivery and process management

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach

For each business line/risk type an exposure indicator, such as


gross income, is allocated.

This exposure indicator represents the amount of operational risk in


each business line/risk type and is set by the supervisor.

Expected losses (EL) for each business line/risk type combination


are then calculated by multiplying the exposure indicator (EI) by the
probability of a loss event occurring (PE) and then by the estimated
loss if the event occurs (LGE).

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach

Thus for each business line/risk type combination the expected


losses are:

EL = EI x PE x LGE

The probability of an event occurring and its estimated losses are


derived from the banks internal data.

PE is the equivalent of credit risks probability of default (PD) and


LGE is the equivalent of loss given default (LGD) for credit risk.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach example

Bank AA is a retail bank and has a gross income of USD 65 million


for its retail banking business line and adopts gross income as the
exposure indicator.

Bank AA uses the IMA to calculate its operational risk regulatory


capital. It uses gross income as its exposure indicator. The
expected losses for Bank AAs retail banking business are.

Exposure indicator (EI) = USD 65 million

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach example

Risk-event type PE LGE EL (EIxPExLGE)


% USD USD million
Internal fraud 0.0002 1000 0.13
External fraud 0.0008 1000 0.52
Employment practices and workplace 0.0020 500 0.65
safety
Clients, products and business 0.0100 100 0.65
practices
Damage due to physical assets 0.0004 500 0.13
Business disruption and system failures 0.0250 50 0.81
Execution, delivery and process 0.0400 50 1.30
management

For its retail banking business line, Bank AA would have a total of
USD 4.19 million in expected losses.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach

The Internal Measurement Approach assumes a straightforward


relationship between expected and unexpected losses.
Unexpected losses are assumed to be a simple multiple of
expected losses.

For a given business line/risk type the expected losses are


converted to unexpected losses by applying a scaling factor (the
gamma). A bank can either derive the gamma values using
statistical analysis of its internal data, or obtain gamma values
based on global data from the supervisor.

The gamma in the operational risk IMA equates to the risk-weight


coefficients in the credit risk IRB approach.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach

To convert unexpected losses to operational risk capital an


adjustment factor, Risk Profile Index (RPI), is applied to reflect the
risk profile of the individual bank for each risk-event type. The RPI
factor can either be derived by the bank (using statistics) or
obtained from the supervisor.

Thus for each business line/risk type combination the operational


risk capital is:

Required capital = EL x gamma x RPI

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach

The overall capital charge is obtained by simply adding up all of the


individual business line/risk type capital requirements.

A detailed discussion of the Internal Measurement Approach, the


exposure indicator (EI), and the gamma is beyond the scope of the
Certificate.

The following example shows the IMA calculation with the exposure
indicator based on gross income.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach

Taking the earlier example of retail Bank AA, it has a gross income
of USD 65 million for its retail banking business line.

Bank AA uses the IMA to calculate its operational risk regulatory


capital. Bank AA uses the expected losses for its retail banking
business line gross income (see example above) to calculate its
regulatory capital.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.1 Internal Measurement Approach example

Risk-event type EL Gamma RPI Capital


(ELxGammaxRPI)
USD million
Internal fraud 0.13 2.0 0.8 0.21
External fraud 0.52 2.0 0.9 0.94
Employment practices and workplace 0.65 1.2 0.9 0.70
safety
Clients, products and business practices 0.65 1.5 1.2 1.17
Damage due to physical assets 0.13 2.5 0.4 0.13
Business disruption and system failures 0.81 2.0 1.3 2.11
Execution, delivery and process 1.30 1.2 1.3 2.03
management

For its retail banking business line, Bank AA, would need
USD 7.29 million of operational risk capital.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.2 Loss Distribution Approach

Of the techniques currently being implemented under the Advanced


Measurement Approach the most popular is the Loss Distribution
Approach where value at risk (VaR) is used to calculate the
regulatory capital.

This approach is considered to be the most risk-sensitive technique


to calculating operational risk capital. It is based on actuarial
models used in the insurance industry to estimate losses from
insured events.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.2 Loss Distribution Approach

The Loss Distribution Approach bases its calculations on statistical


analysis of loss experiences (internal and external data).

The first step is for a bank to map the historical internal and
external data to each of its business lines and risk types. For each
business line/risk type the data is converted into loss-severity
(LSD) and frequency (FD) distributions.

Once these have been calculated the method generates a loss


distribution for each business unit/risk type. This loss distribution
can be simulated using various techniques including Monte Carlo
simulations.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.2 Loss Distribution Approach

The operational risk capital for a business line/risk type is


calculated by taking the 99.9% VaR (commonly called the
OpVaR) from the loss distribution.
The total operational risk capital for a bank is calculated
by adding the results for each business unit/risk type.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.3 Risk Drivers and Controls Approach

The Risk Drivers and Controls Approach differs from the other
Advanced Measurement approaches in that it is not a single
technique, but rather a collection of different scorecard methods.

In operational risk a scorecard is a mechanism for


showing the risk and controls within a process or
business through the use of weighted scores.
Typically a bank distributes questionnaires to each of its
business departments asking them to assess their risks
and controls.
From this a scorecard can be produced by applying a
value (or score) to each of the answers given.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.3 Risk Drivers and Controls Approach example

A scorecard

Bank CC, a mortgage business, has completed a risk assessment


questionnaire and the responses have produced the following
scorecard:

Risk-event type Controls Risk


Internal fraud 2.5 3.2
External fraud 4.2 1.3
Employment practices and workplace safety 3.2 2.2
Clients, products and business practices 4.2 3.3
Damage due to physical assets 3.0 4.0
Business disruption and system failures 1.4 4.0
Execution, delivery and process management 4.0 2.0

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.3 Risk Drivers and Controls Approach example

The scorecard uses the following scales:

Controls Risk
1 very poor 1 very low
2 poor 2 low
3 average 3 average
4 good 4 high
5 very good 5 very high

This scorecard clearly shows that the mortgage business has a


high risk from business disruption, but low controls. Following this
review Bank CC should take steps to improve the mortgage
controls on business disruption.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.3 Risk Drivers and Controls Approach

The initial operational risk capital requirement is determined by


using one of several methods, including:

the Loss Distribution Approach, (i.e. OpVaR)


the Standardised Approach
low frequency/high severity loss scenarios
comparison of the banks risk profile with other peer group banks
and their capital requirements
comparison with the capital requirements for a banks other risk
types.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.3 Risk Drivers and Controls Approach

In the RDCA, once the initial capital requirement is determined the


method does not require complex statistics to recalculate the on-
going capital.

Instead it uses the banks experience and changing risk factors and
controls to adjust the operational risk capital. The RDCA takes into
account the banks risk profile and its operational risk controls.

The initial capital is adjusted using the scorecard created


for the risk drivers and controls. The bank builds a
scorecard assigning a factor indicating the risk profile and
controls for each business unit/risk type.

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6.1 The Advanced Management Approach

6.1.3 Risk Drivers and Controls Approach

For each of these business lines/risk types the


operational risk capital requirement is adjusted as the
factors change. The new total operational risk capital for
the bank is determined by adding up the capital required
for each business unit/risk type.
Because the capital is adjusted, as the banks risk
controls and business environment change, the RDCA is
less reliant on historical data and is thus considered a
forward-looking technique.
It is important to note that the operational risk capital
charge will need to be revalidated on a regular basis.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2 Internal loss data

To use the Advanced Measurement Approach a bank


must collect, store, maintain and report internal historical
loss information. Internal loss databases record gross
losses from operational risk events that have occurred
within a bank.
Advanced Measurement Approach models use a banks
past experiences to predict its future potential losses.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2 Internal loss data

Clearly the accuracy of the Advanced Measurement Approach risk


capital calculation is heavily dependent on the quality of the data
held.

The Basel Committee requires a bank to establish a formal process


for the capture management and reporting of internal operational
risk loss data. A bank must be able to tie its risk estimates to its
actual loss experience.

Thus the process a bank uses for collecting the internal data is
subject to relevancy, quality and content standards. These
standards are beyond the scope of the Certificate.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2 Internal loss data

Level 1 discussed the importance of near miss events to


operational risk management and measurement. Students should
recall that a near miss is a risk event that occurs, but which does
not result in loss.

For completeness, data relating to near-miss events should also be


recorded alongside the internal loss data.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.1 Internal loss data criteria and associated factors

The Basel II Accord specifies criteria for the collection and


management of internal risk loss data. To use internal data in its
own Advanced Measurement Approach a bank is required to:

have the capability to map the data to the Basel II risk loss
categories (see Section 6.2.2)

have the capability to map the data to the banks current business
activities, risk management procedures and technology, and hence
to the Basel II business lines as defined under the Standardised
Approach

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.1 Internal loss data criteria and associated factors

provide mechanisms for linking related events, identifying events


that have occurred across multiple business units, and allocating
central department (such as IT) events across businesses

ensure that the Approach remains consistent with business


activities through regular reviews

base any operational risk measure on a minimum of five-years


worth of internal loss data, (although there is only a three-year
requirement on initial implementation of the Approach).

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.1 Internal loss data criteria and associated factors

The Basel II Accord allows banks to set a minimum threshold under


which losses are not recorded. This is to minimize the overheads of
using the Advanced Measurement Approach and prevent banks
collecting huge amounts of data from high frequency/low impact
events.

While threshold limits will clearly vary from bank to bank, they must
be consistent with those used by a banks peer group.

A bank must also be able to justify that excluded activities and


exposures will not have a large effect on its overall risk estimates.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.1 Internal loss data criteria and associated factors

Internal data content

In addition to gross losses the Basel II Framework specifies a


minimum set of data to be collected in association with a loss
event. This minimum set of data includes:

date of the risk event


cause of the risk event
description of the risk event
any recovery of gross loss made
date of any recoveries
business unit in which the event occurred.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.1 Internal loss data criteria and associated factors

It is recommended that the internal losses database include at least


two additional data types. Banks are required to map their own risk
definitions into Basel event-loss categories.

To simplify this mapping process any loss database should include


the risk loss category and sub-category that each event is assigned
to.

The new Accord requires banks to manage operational risk as well


as measure it. To help improve their operational risk management
some banks find it useful to record any actions taken to mitigate the
risk and prevent the event recurring.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.2 Operational risk loss event type

The Basel II Capital Accord does not assume that banks


will collect and structure their operational loss data in
identical ways.
Nor does it assume that internal structures of banks are
identical. It is likely that a banks internal loss data
structure will reflect the definition of operational risk, the
event types, and the business structure adopted by the
bank.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.2 Operational risk loss event type

To provide a common approach the Basel II Framework stipulates


that a bank must be able to map its internal operational risk
definitions to:

a standard set of loss event types


the Standardised Approach business lines.

By using a standard set of loss event type classifications Basel has


provided a process for mapping a banks actual losses to the
Advanced Measurement Approach.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.2 Operational risk loss event type

The Basel II Framework sets out a three-tier approach to defining


each of the risk loss event types:

Level 1 the Event type category

Level 2 the Categories

Level 3 the Activity examples.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.2 Operational risk loss event type

The mapping of operational risk classes and business lines to the


Basel risk loss event type classifications and business lines has
three purposes:

it provides a standard set of definitions so that the capital costs


across different banks are calculated on a like-for-like basis

it ensures the Advanced Measurement Approach is


comprehensive and captures all material activities and exposures

it assists the supervisor in validating the banks internal model


under the Advanced Measurement Approach.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.2 Operational risk loss event type

The Basel event type classifications

The Basel II Accord provides a definition for each of the event type
categories. Table 6.1 gives the Level 1 (Event type category) and
the Level 2 (Categories) defined in the Advanced Measurement
Approach:

Event type category (Level 1) Categories (Level 2)


Internal fraud Unauthorized activity
Theft & fraud (internal)
External fraud Theft & fraud (external)
Systems security
Employment practices & workplace Employee relations
safety Safe environment
Diversity & discrimination

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.2 Operational risk loss event type


Event type category (Level 1) Categories (Level 2)
Clients, products and business Suitability, disclosure and fiduciary
practices Improper business or market practices
Product flaws
Selection, sponsorship and exposure
Advisory activities
Damage due to physical assets Disasters and other events
Business disruption and system Systems
failures
Execution, delivery and process Transaction capture, execution and
management maintenance
Monitoring and reporting
Customer intake and documentation
Customer/client account management
Trade counterparties
Vendors and suppliers

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.2 Operational risk loss event type example

Each Level 2 category is broken down further to a Level 3 activity.


Let us look at Internal Fraud from the above list as an example:

Event type category (Level 1) Definition


Internal fraud Within Basel II internal fraud is defined as
losses due to acts of a type intended to
defraud, misappropriate property or circumvent
regulations, the law or company policy,
excluding diversity/discrimination events, which
involves at least one internal party.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.2 Operational risk loss event type example

Categories (Level 2) Definition


Unauthorized activity This loss event type includes intentional actions
Theft & fraud (internal) by internal employees, usually for some
personal gain.
If an employee incorrectly records a transaction
due to error the it is not internal fraud.
If an employee deliberately fails to record a
transaction, for personal gain, then this is fraud.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.2 Operational risk loss event type example

Activities (Level 3) Examples


Unauthorized activity Transactions not reported (intentional)
Transaction type unauthorized (with monetary loss)
Mismarking of position (intentional)
Theft & fraud (internal) Fraud / credit fraud / worthless deposits
Theft / extortion / embezzlement / robbery
Misappropriation of assets
Malicious destruction of assets
Forgery
Check kiting
Smuggling
Account take-over / impersonation / etc.
Tax non-compliance / evasion (willful)
Bribes / kickbacks
Insider trading (not on the firms account)

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

There are inherent problems in using internal data as an input into


the Advanced Measurement Approach.

For example the quality and appropriateness of the data will


directly impact on the accuracy of the Approachs calculations.

These issues mean that a bank should use internal data with
caution and support it with the banks operational risk experience.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

The main challenges in using internal data in the Advanced


Measurement Approach are:

identifying operational risk losses


accuracy
updating loss events
near misses
lack of data
inflation
quality of data
extreme events.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

Identifying operational risk losses

For some operational risk events it is difficult to quantify the losses,


particularly if there are indirect losses.

In addition banks must be careful regarding how events that cross


risk types and operational risk categories are allocated. (These are
known as boundary events.)

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues examples

Due to a failure of an internal process Bank K over lends to a


customer and suffers large losses when the customer defaults on
the loan.

Are these losses due to credit risk (the failure of the customer to
pay back the loan) or are they operational risk losses (the failure of
the internal processes)?

A bank clerk working for Bank L allows a customer to withdraw


funds immediately after depositing a check, before the funds have
been cleared. The checks are later found to be forged.

Are these losses due to an external fraud event or an internal


process failure because the clerk did not follow the bank policy of
waiting for a check to clear before paying out funds?

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

Accuracy of using internal data in predictive models

Historical data cannot be used to predict future events with any


degree of certainty. There is no guarantee that the operational
losses suffered by a bank over the last five years will provide an
indication of its future losses. Not only could the structure and
business of the bank have changed, but if controls and operational
risk management are improved, the chance of events recurring
would be reduced.

Thus, models used under the Advanced Measurement Approach


must make allowances for changes within a bank and add an
element of chance (randomness) to account for external events
beyond the banks control.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

Updating loss events

It is possible that losses resulting from operational risk events could


be reduced (or actually increase) over time. Some of the losses
may be recovered, for example insurance payments, recovery of
fraud, or payments from legal actions.

Thus, internal loss data must be reviewed regularly and kept up to


date. Consequently banks need to implement processes to track
these recoveries and update their loss databases as appropriate.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

Near misses

It has already been stated that for completeness it is necessary to


include operational risk near miss data in a banks internal loss
records.

However, near misses will either result in a profit or have no impact.


Thus recording the actual result of near misses in the Advanced
Measurement Approach calculations will skew the results.

It is therefore necessary for banks to estimate the potential losses


from near miss events for inclusion in their models.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

Lack of data

Not all banks will have comprehensive five-year (or even three-
year) records of all operational risk losses. The lack of appropriate
data can have severe effects on the statistically based Advanced
Measurement Approach methodologies.

These methods require sufficient data to make their results valid;


insufficient data significantly reduces the usefulness of the results.

Therefore banks that want to move to the Advanced Measurement


Approach will need to plan well in advance in order to collect the
required data.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

Inflation

Historical loss data will need to be adjusted to account for inflation


and other changes.

For example the nature of operational risk is changing and that


some events are increasing in their severity. Thus five-year old data
may need to be adjusted to account for these changes in order to
avoid becoming invalid.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

Quality of data

Any system based on data inputs is highly dependent on the quality


of the data. An adage from the information technology industry
sums up the potential problems well: garbage in equals garbage
out.

Therefore banks need comprehensive processes and incentives to


ensure the quality of their data, not only on initial input but also
throughout the datas five-year life time.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.3 Internal data issues

Extreme events

The Basel II Accord states that for a banks internal model to be


used under the Advanced Measurement Approach it must be
capable of identifying extreme or catastrophic events.

It is unlikely that a bank will hold sufficient (if any) internal loss data
to calculate these extreme events with any accuracy. Thus banks
will need to rely on external data and scenario analysis.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.4 Sundry loss accounts as a source of historical


data

One source of data for historical operational risk losses is a banks


sundry profit and loss accounts.

A sundry profit/loss is made from miscellaneous


unspecified activities.
Typically a banks financial statements will include
accounts to record the profits and losses from its
business activities. If it makes profits/losses from other
activities it records these in its sundry profit/loss accounts.

Sundry losses can include losses from a failure of an


internal process or activity. This is, of course, a loss due
to an operational risk event.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.4 Sundry loss accounts as a source of historical


data

Banks have been collecting and reporting operational risk losses in


sundry loss accounts for years.

It is not uncommon to see entries in sundry loss accounts that are


related to fraud, theft, systems malfunction, or customer errors.
Both profit and loss accounts should be used to include near miss
events.

In the UK the mapping process may be simplified by utilizing the


operational risk categories defined by the Financial Services
Agency (FSA).

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.4 Sundry loss accounts as a source of historical


data

The FSA breaks down operational risk into the following categories:

Business Risk
Crime Risk
Disaster Risk
IT Risk
Legal Risk
Reputational Risk
Systems and Operational Risk.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.4 Sundry loss accounts as a source of historical


data

A number of these categories are commonly used in defining


entries in sundry profit and loss accounts in banks.

Thus it is possible for a bank to establish a standard process for


mapping sundry losses to Basel risk event types via the FSA
categories. Banks using the data may, however, need to create
rigorous processes for ensuring it is recorded correctly.

In banking it is common to find that while losses have no owners


profits are likely to have many.

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6.2 Internal loss data

6.2.4 Sundry loss accounts as a source of historical


data example

Bank Js Treasury over books a hedging transaction when a


dealing ticket to purchase USD 10 million with GBP, is accidentally
entered into the trading system as USD100 million. The mistake is
quickly noticed and USD 90 million is rapidly sold. However during
this time the US dollar has strengthened against sterling and the
transaction has made a profit.

Does Bank J record this as a sundry profit or a trading profit?

As this is a near miss operational risk event it should record this as


a sundry profit.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3 External loss data

It is extremely unlikely that a bank will have internal historical loss


data for every potential future operational risk event. This is
particularly true when considering low frequency/high severity
events.

Just because a bank has not suffered a loss due to a fire or flood
does not mean it will continue to avoid these losses in the future.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3 External loss data

The Advanced Measurement Approach requires banks to predict


expected and unexpected losses when calculating operational risk
capital.

When estimating unexpected losses it is highly probable that a


bank will have little or no data on extreme events on which to base
its predictions.

To calculate unexpected losses that include potential events, and


not just those the bank has already experienced, a bank is required
to supplement the internal data with relevant external data.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.1 External risk loss data criteria and content

The Basel II Framework stipulates that a bank must have a clear


process for using external data. This process must show the
supervisor where the data has been used and how it has been
incorporated into the Advanced Measurement Approach model.

External loss data must include:

actual loss amounts


information on the scale of the business operation where the
event occurred
event causes
circumstances of the event
information to assist a bank with assessing the relevance of a
particular loss event.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.2 Sources of external data

Historically banks have been cautious about releasing loss data


due to the potential reputational damage of incidents. This has
meant that comprehensive operational risk data on the banking
industry has been limited.

However, as the Basel II Accord has developed, and the need for
external data highlighted, the availability has improved. Two main
sources of external data for banks have been developed. They are
external public data and external pooled data.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.2 Sources of external data

External public data is data collected from publicly


available reports and other sources.
Usually this kind of data will be collated by a company
and sold on to banks. It may be included within a
commercial operational risk software package.
External public data will contain a greater number of
extreme events than a banks own internal data.
However, due to a number of issues such as quality, the
data may require substantial cleaning before it can be
used in an Advanced Measurement Approach model.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.2 Sources of external data

External pooled data is data collated by a consortium of


banks or financial organizations. An example of pooled
data is GOLD the loss collection database complied by
the British Bankers Association.

External pooled data differs from external public data in that:

it contains both public and non-public data shared by the


consortium
the data is likely to be more relevant to the peer group that
shares the data
the consortium banks agree to share their relevant internal losses
there is a degree of confidentiality between sharing banks.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.2 Sources of external data

In addition, the pooled data is likely to be recorded at a different


minimum loss level to public data. Public data tends to record only
those events with losses over USD 1 million while the pooled data
threshold is lower.

The threshold level for pooled data tends to be set at a level agreed
by the particular consortium.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.3 External data issues

The use of external data is subject to a range of issues similar to


those encountered in internal data. However, as a bank has no
control over issues such as quality and completeness, the impact
and severity of the issues encountered can be greater than is the
case with internal data.

The main areas of concern with using external data in the


Advanced Measurement Approach are:

accuracy
inflation
quality
relevance
incomplete data sets.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.3 External data issues

Relevance

External data is collated from a wide range of banks with many


different risk profiles. Consequently there is no guarantee that the
external data used by a particular bank will be relevant. The scale
of losses and probability of an event will be highly dependent on a
banks risk controls, risk profile, business and size.

When using external data as an input into Advanced Measurement


Approach models banks will need to adjust the data to give it
relevance.

For example, the amount of loss may be scaled (up or down) to


reflect the size of the bank using the external data. The Basel II
Accord stipulates that external data must contain information to
assist banks in assessing the relevance of an event.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.3 External data issues

Incomplete data sets

External data sets are likely to be incomplete as the data might


have been gathered from several different inconsistent sources.
The data may also be limited by how much information a bank is
willing to disclose.

Operational risk events have an impact on a banks reputation.


Consequently banks are hesitant to put information on these types
of losses into the public domain.

Incompleteness of data is a problem more often associated with


external public data than external pooled data.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.3 External data issues

Incomplete data sets

Assuming that an external loss database is complete can also


adversely affect the accuracy of a banks operational risk model.
The Advanced Measurement Approach models predict expected
and unexpected losses using a combination of the impact and
frequency of historical events.

There is no guarantee that the pooled data supplied by a member


bank has been reported according to the common format agreed by
the consortium.

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6.3 External loss data

6.3.3 External data issues

Incomplete data sets

For example the threshold for loss events for the pooled data may
have been agreed at USD 25,000, but due to overhead constraints,
a member bank could set its internal threshold at USD 30,000.

Thus the collated number of events with losses under USD 30,000
will be less than the number that have actually occurred.

Therefore, any bank using this pooled data as an input into its
Advanced Measurement Approach model would be unaware of the
inaccuracy, skewing its risk measurement results.

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6.4 Business factors and internal controls

6.4 Business factors and internal controls

In addition to using internal and external data the Basel II Accord


states that Advanced Measurement Approach calculations must
reflect business factors and internal controls.

Business factors include details about the market, staff, customers,


and economy, as well as the overall environment in which a bank
operates.

Examples of business factors are key risk indicators, economic


reports, industry reports and risk assessments. They are used to
indicate the risk profile of a bank and to help determine the
likelihood of an event occurring.

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6.4 Business factors and internal controls

6.4 Business factors and internal controls

The Advanced Measurement Approach calculates operational risk


capital by combining the probability of an event with its potential
losses.

The business factors and internal controls are input into the
Advanced Measurement Approach as indicators of the risk profile
of a bank and help determine the probability of an event occurring.

For example, if the internal controls of a banks business unit


improve, then it is logical to assume that the possibility of incurring
losses due to process failure should be reduced.

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6.4 Business factors and internal controls

6.4 Business factors and internal controls

The inclusion of business factors and internal controls ensures that


the Advanced Measurement Approach is forward looking.

Section 6.2 highlighted that one problem of using historical data in


the Advanced Measurement Approach calculations is in using the
past to predict the future. There is no guarantee that a banks
historical losses will be repeated.

Updating the model as the business environment and controls


change helps to address this problem. Using these factors enables
a bank to compare its predicted results/assessment of risk
indicators with actual losses.

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6.4 Business factors and internal controls

6.4.1 Key risk indicators

Key risk indicators (KRI) are an important business


environment factor used in operational risk measurement
and management. In operational risk, key risk indicators
are a measure of the amount of risk in a vital process or
procedure. Examples of key risk indicators are:

system downtime
staff turnover
payments made as compensation for errors
transaction volumes
process failure and error reporting
customer complaints
service level agreement (SLA) performance metrics
audit reports.

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6.4 Business factors and internal controls

6.4.1 Key risk indicators

The use of key risk indicators is of greatest importance when


looking at major processes and the vulnerability of the banks
operations to process failures, (e.g. single points of failure or
measures of stress).

These business factors are based on management experience and


observations of actual business activities and trends.

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6.4 Business factors and internal controls

6.4.1 Key risk indicators

The use of KRIs is becoming more accepted, although there are


still issues relating to the number of key risk indicators used in a
risk measurement model.

One question is whether they are intended as explanatory


variables within the models. In statistics, explanatory variables are
normally used to test some aspect of a model or hypothesis.

Statisticians (and hence Advanced Measurement Approach model


developers) usually minimize the number of explanatory variables
in any model. However, the KRI approach often results in a
profusion of KRIs.

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6.4 Business factors and internal controls

6.4.1 Key risk indicators

The Basel II Accord criteria for the Advanced Measurement


Approach require a bank to implement an operational risk
management framework as well as determining risk capital.

One requirement of this framework is that a banks senior


management must respond to operational risk events, both
potential and actual.

KRIs provide early warnings of risk events, highlighting potential


trouble spots for management action. Thus banks commonly use
threshold trigger levels on KRIs. When a KRI reaches its threshold
level management intervention is triggered.

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6.4 Business factors and internal controls

6.4.1 Key risk indicators example

Bank W uses the availability time of its central processing system


as a key risk indicator. As part of its operational risk management
policy the bank has set a threshold level of 99.0% availability for
any given month. If the processing systems availability in a given
month drops below 99% management intervention is required.

Bank Ws management considers that for its current level of


business, the operational losses associated with less than 2%
system down time are minimal and acceptable. However, down
time above 2% is unacceptable. The threshold is set at 1% to
permit management to resolve the problems before severe losses
are incurred.

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6.5 Scenario analysis

6.5 Scenario analysis

Within the Advanced Measurement Approach, the Basel


Framework requires banks to support the use of internal and
external data with scenario analysis.

Using historical internal and external data introduces a number of


issues into the internal models, most notably accuracy, relevance
and completeness.

Under the Advanced Measurement Approach banks are required to


validate their measurement models and to complement the data by
running scenarios of potential operational risk events.

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6.5 Scenario analysis

6.5 Scenario analysis

These scenario tests are what if exercises combining external and


internal data, control factors and expert opinion to understand the
potential impact on the bank of extreme low frequency/high severity
events.

Under Basel II banks are required to understand the impact of


multiple extreme events occurring simultaneously. Scenario
analysis allows a bank to understand its own risk profiles and can
indicate the accuracy of the measurement models.

Once a bank runs a scenario it utilizes the results as input for its
risk capital models.

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6.5 Scenario analysis

6.5 Scenario analysis example

Bank H has implemented a business continuity plan that covers its


trading operation. In the event of a serious problem that prevents it
from trading at its current location, the continuity plan states key
staff will be moved to another temporary location and continue
trading.

As part of Bank Hs use of the Advanced Measurement Approach it


runs an operational risk scenario. This scenario looks at the
situation where trading is stopped due to a flood caused by a burst
water pipe.

At the same time there is a building fire near the banks business
resumption site thus preventing staff from entering the temporary
trading building.

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6.5 Scenario analysis

6.5 Scenario analysis example

Bank H finds that this scenario has catastrophic results because it


has no alternative to the resumption site and its traders wouldnt be
able to trade.

Bank Hs management takes two actions. First it updates its capital


calculation model to account for this tail event. Second, senior
management enters into an agreement with Bank K (a peer group
member) for it to provide back up resumption facilities in the
unlikely event that Bank H cannot access its resumption site.

Once this agreement is in place Bank H reruns the scenario and


finds that its impact is now negligible and readjusts it capital
calculation model.

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6.5 Scenario analysis

6.5 Scenario analysis

When a bank uses scenario analysis to support its Advanced


Measurement Approach models it draws on expert opinion.

This can be drawn internally from a banks own experiences or


from external sources, such as industry experts and other banks.

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6.6 The use of insurance to reduce operational risk

6.6 The use of insurance to reduce operational risk

The Advanced Measurement Approach has been modified as a


result of the Quantitative Impact Studies (QIS) process. The main
change to the Advanced Measurement Approach, resulting from
QIS3, is allowing financial institutions to use insurance as an
operational risk mitigation factor.

Banks can reduce their operational risk capital charge by up to 20%


by having the appropriate insurance.

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6.6 The use of insurance to reduce operational risk

6.6 The use of insurance to reduce operational risk

The use of insurance as a risk mitigation factor is subject to a


number of Basel II criteria. These include:

the insurance policy must have a duration of at least one year


the policy must be with a provider of A quality credit standing or
better
the policy must have a notice period of 90 days or more
the policy must be provided by a third party
the use of insurance as a mitigating factor must be clear, well
documented, well reported and based on sound reasoning
the reduction in risk capital must reflect the level of insurance and
be consistent with the actual likelihood and level of loss.

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