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Comparing & Selecting

Alternatives

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
The objective of chapter 6
is to evaluate correctly
capital investment
alternatives when the time
value of money is a key
influence.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Making decisions means
comparing alternatives.
• In this chapter we examine feasible design alternatives.

• The decisions considered are those selecting from among a


set of mutually exclusive alternatives—when selecting one
excludes the choice of any of the others.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
1.
Mutually exclusive
alternatives (MEAs)

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Mutually exclusive alternatives (MEAs)

✘We examine these on the ✘The alternatives must provide


basis of economic comparable “usefulness”:
considerations alone. performance, quality, etc.

✘The basic methods from chapter


✘The alternatives may have
5 provide the basis for economic
different initial investments comparison of the alternatives.
and their annual revenues and
costs may vary.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
For alternatives that have a larger investment than
the base…

If the extra benefits obtained by investing additional capital


are better than those that could be obtained from investment
of the same capital elsewhere in the company at the MARR,
the investment should be made.

(Please note that there are some cautions when considering


more than two alternatives, which will be examined later.)

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
2.
Two Basic Types of
Alternatives

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
There are two basic types of alternatives.

✘ Investment Alternatives ✘ Cost Alternatives


Those with initial (or Those with all negative
front-end) capital investment cash flows, except for a
that produces positive cash possible positive cash flow
flows from increased revenue, from disposal of assets at the
savings through reduced costs, end of the project’s useful life.
or both.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Select the alternative that gives you the most money!

✘For investment alternatives ✘For cost alternatives the


the PW of all cash flows must PW of all cash flows will be
be positive, at the MARR, to be negative. Select the
attractive. Select the alternative with the largest
alternative with the largest (smallest in absolute value)
PW. PW.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
3.

Determining Study
Period
Engineering Economy, 15th Edition
By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Determining the study period.

✘A study period (or ✘MEAs can have ✘The equal life case
planning horizon) is equal lives (in which is straightforward,
the time period over case the study period and was used in the
which MEAs are used is these equal previous two
compared, and it must lives), or they can examples.
be appropriate for have unequal lives,
the decision situation. and at least one does
not match the study
period.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Unequal lives are handled in one of two ways.

✘Repeatability assumption ✘Coterminated assumption: uses a


○The study period is either finite and identical study period
indefinitely long or equal to a for all MEAs. Cash flow
common multiple of the lives of adjustments may be made to
the MEAs. satisfy alternative performance
○The economic consequences needs over the study period.
expected during the MEAs’ life
spans will also happen in
succeeding life spans
(replacements).

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Comparing MEAs with equal lives.
When lives are equal adjustments to cash flows are not required. The MEAs
can be compared by directly comparing their equivalent worth (PW, FW, or
AW) calculated using the MARR. The decision will be the same regardless of
the equivalent worth method you use. For a MARR of 12%, select from among
the MEAs below.
Alternatives

A B C D

Capital investment -$150,000 -$85,000 -$75,000 -$120,000

Annual revenues $28,000 $16,000 $15,000 $22,000

Annual expenses -$1,000 -$550 -$500 -$700

Market Value (EOL) $20,000 $10,000 $6,000 $11,000

Life (years) 10 10 10 10

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Selecting the best alternative.
Present worth analysis  select Alternative A (but C is
close).

Annual worth analysis—the decision is the same.


4.

Using Rates Of
Return
Engineering Economy, 15th Edition
By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Using rates of return is another way to
compare alternatives.

✘The return on ✘Selecting the ✘Remember, the base


investment (rate of alternative with the alternative must be
return) is a popular largest rate of return attractive (rate of
measure of investment can lead to incorrect return greater than
performance. decisions—do not the MARR), and the
compare the IRR of one additional investment in
alternative to the IRR other alternatives must
of another alternative. itself make a
The only legitimate satisfactory rate of
comparison is the IRR to return on that
the MARR. increment.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Use the incremental investment analysis
procedure.

✘Arrange (rank order) ✘Establish a base ✘(Iteratively evaluate


the feasible alternative. differences
alternatives based on ○Cost alternatives—the (incremental cash
increasing capital first alternative is the flows) between
investment. base. alternatives until all
○Investment have been considered.
alternatives—the first
acceptable alternative
IRR>MARR) is the base.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Evaluating incremental cash flows

• Work up the order of ranked alternatives smallest to largest.

• Subtract cash flows of the lower ranked alternative from the higher
ranked.

• Determine if the incremental initial investment in the higher ranked


alternative is attractive (e.g., IRR>MARR, PW, FW, AW all >0). If it is
attractive, it is the “winner.” If not, the lower ranked alternative is the
“winner.” The “loser” from this comparison is removed from
consideration. Continue until all alternatives have been considered.

• This works for both cost and investment alternatives.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Incremental analysis
• is a decision-making technique used in business to determine the true cost
difference between alternatives.

• Initial cost - are those that are incurred during the design and
construction process.

• Net annual income – income after paying taxes or expenses.

• Internal rate of return (IRR) - is the interest rate at which the net
present value of all the cash flows (both positive and negative) from a
project or investment equal zero.

• Minimum acceptable rate of return (MARR) - the minimum rate of


return on a project a manager or company is willing to accept before
starting a project.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Example
Alt. A Alt. B Alt. B-Alt. A

Initial cost -$25,000 -$35,000 -$10,000

Net annual income $7,500 $10,200 $3,200

IRR on total cash flow 15% 14% 11%

Which is preferred using a 5 year study period and MARR=10%?

Alternative B is preferred to A.
Engineering Economy, 15th Edition
By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Comparing MEAs with unequal lives.w

✘The repeatability assumption, ✘If repeatability cannot be used,


when applicable, simplified an appropriate study period must
comparison of alternatives. be selected (the coterminated
assumption). This is most often
used in engineering practice
because product life cycles are
becoming shorter.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
The useful life of an alternative is less than
the study period.

✘Cost alternatives ✘Investment alternatives

○Contracting or leasing for ○Cash flows reinvested at the


remaining years may be MARR at the end of the study
appropriate period

○Repeat part of the useful life ○Replace with another asset, with
and use an estimated market possibly different cash flows,
value to truncate after the study period

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
The useful life of an alternative is greater
than the study period.

✘Truncate the alternative at the ✘The underlying principle in all


end of the study period, using an such analysis is to compare the
estimated market value. MEAs in a decision situation over
the same study (analysis) period.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Equivalent worth methods can be used for
MEAs with unequal lives.

✘For cotermination, use any ✘If repeatability can be assumed,


equivalent worth method using the the MEAs are most easily
cash flows available for the compared by finding the annual
study period. worth (AW) of each alternative
over its own useful life, and
recommending the one having the
most economical value.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
We can use incremental rate of return
analysis on MEAs with unequal lives.
Equate the MEAs annual worths (AW) over their respective lives.
A B

Capital Investment $3,500 $5,000

Annual Cash Flow $1,255 $1,480

Useful Live (years) 4 6

Solving, we find i*=26%, so Alt B is preferred.

Engineering Economy, 15th Edition


By William G. Sullivan, Elin wicks,and C. Patrick Koelling
Group 1
Alegre, Elliezar
Ampo, Susano
Bohol, Jlex
Constantino, Charelle
Gimutao, Desiree Fae
Glor, Blessie Jane
Guevarra, Precious Abby
Salamea, Vens
Perez, Angelo

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