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yi
x?
y ny
So ˆy x x i 1
n x
x
x nx
i
i 1
Ratio Estimation
in an SRS
Parameters of interest that want to estimate:
y population total
y population mean
y
R population ratio
x
( x x )( y y )
i i
i 1
( N 1) x y
y
Estimation of the Ratio R
x
n
yi
y
r i 1
n
x
i 1
xi
Estimated variance of r :
n
yi
1 n 1 sr2
Vˆ (r ) Vˆ i 1
2
n
N x n
xi
i 1
n
i i
( y rx ) 2
where sr2 i 1
n 1
Example: (Food additive)
A researcher was investigating a new food additive
for cattle. Midway through the two-month study, she
was interested in estimating the ratio of present
weight to pre-study weight for the entire herd of N =
500 steers. A simple random sample of n = 12 steers
was selected from the herd and weighed. These data
and pre-study weights are presented in the
accompanying table for all cattle sampled. Assume the
pre-study total x = 440,000 pounds.
Estimate the ratio of present weight to pre-study
weight of the herd, and provide an estimate of the
standard error for your answer.
10
Solution:
12
The estimate of the ratio R of the present weight to pre-study
weight for the herd is:
Solution: y 954.8333
r 1.134119
x 841.9167
n 1 sr2
Vˆ (r ) 1 2
N x n
12 1 8,848.646
1
500 8802 12
0.000929
SD (rˆ) 0.000929 .0305
95% CI for R:
On average, a steer is about
r 1.96 SD(rˆ) 1.134 1.96(.0305)
7.4% to 19.4% heavier
1.134 .0598 (1.0742,1.1938)
13
RatioEstimator of the Population Total y
n
yi
y
ˆy i 1
n x x x r x
i 1
xi
2 n sr2
N 1
N n
n
i i
( y rx ) 2
where sr2 i 1
n 1
Example: (Food additive) (cont.)
Estimate the current total weight y of the herd.
ˆy r x 1.1341(440, 000) 499, 000
n sr2
SD(ˆy ) Vˆ (ˆy ) N 1
2
N n
12 8848.646
500 1 2
13, 413 lbs
500 12
95% CI for y :
499, 000 1.96(13, 413) 499, 000 26289
(472, 711, 525, 289)
Example: (Food additive) (cont.)
Since in this particular example we know
N 500, we could also use
ˆy Ny 500(954.833) 477, 417
n s 2
SDˆ (ˆy ) Vˆ (ˆy ) N 1
2
N n
12 46,636
500 1 2
30,794
500 12
95% CI:
477,417 1.96(30,794)=477,417 60,356
(417,061 , 537,773)
Example: (Food additive) (cont.)
ˆy r x ˆy Ny
ˆy 499,000 ˆy 477, 417
SDˆ (ˆy ) 13, 413 SDˆ (ˆy ) 30, 794
(472,711 , 525, 289) (417, 061 , 537, 773)
RatioEstimator of the Population Mean y
n
yi
y
ˆ y i 1
n x x
x rx
i 1
xi
Estimated variance of ˆ y :
n 1 sr2
Vˆ ( ˆ y ) Vˆ (r )
2 2
1
x x
N
x2 n
n sr2
1
N n
n
i
( y rxi ) 2
where sr2 i 1
n 1
Example: (Food additive) (cont.)
Estimate the current mean weight y of the herd.
ˆ y r x 1.1341(880) 998
n sr2
SD(ˆ y ) Vˆ (ˆ y ) 1
N n
12 8848.646
1 26.83 lbs
500 12
95% CI for y :
998 1.96(26.83) 998 52.59
(945.41, 1050.59)
Example: (Food additive) (cont.)
ˆ y r x ˆ y y
ˆ y 998 ˆ y 954.833
2
n s
SDˆ ( ˆ y ) 1
SDˆ ( ˆ y ) 26.83 N n
12 46636
(945.41, 1050.59) 1
500 12
61.59
(834.12 , 1075.55)