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Everybody would agree today that countries can hardly survive without trade,
and that even if they could live in autarky they would suffer much from it.
Hence, trade as such is not a policy issue. The important question is how much
trade? Should policy makers stand for free trade in all cases or should they
envisage providing domestic industries with some degree of protection? The
relevant debate is whether there should be more, less or no protection.
.
The Case for Protection-1
Protection can be advocated for purely economic reasons or on other grounds
such as equity considerations, national security objectives, the defence of
vulnerable groups, to avoid risks rated as unacceptable, and to defend certain
interest groups because of political calculation. In the agricultural sector,
protection can also be advocated on food security grounds.
Economic arguments
Infant Industry argument
Economic arguments stress the role of industry learning and among the
economic arguments for protection the most influential one is that of the infant
industry. Protection is justified as a temporary measure while a nascent industry
develops and comes to the stage where it will be ready to face international
competition. Several reasons may exist to protect an industry during its infant
phase. Those more frequently quoted are economies of scale, managerial and
technological learning processes, start up costs (e.g. opening marketing
channels, bringing in and adapting technology), and economies external to the
firms but internal to the industry that may take time and may need help to
develop but once developed will allow the industry to stand on its own.
The Case for Protection-2
The term "infant industry" is used to denote a new industry which has prospects of
gaining comparative advantage in the long-term, but which would be unable to survive
in the face of competition from imported goods. This situation can occur when time is
needed either to achieve potential economies of scale, or to acquire potential learning
curve economies. Successful identification of such a situation, followed by the
temporary imposition of a barrier against imports can, in principle, produce substantial
benefits to the country that applies it – a policy known as “import substitution
industrialization”.
Whether such policies succeed depends upon the governments’ skills in picking
winners, with reasonably expectations of both successes and failures. It has been
claimed that South Korea’s automobile industry owes its existence to initial protection
against imports, but a study of infant industry protection in Turkey reveals the absence
of any association between productivity gains and degree of protection, such as might
be expected of a successful import substitution policy.
Another study provides descriptive evidence suggesting that attempts at import
substitution industrialization since the 1970s have usually failed, but the empirical
evidence on the question has been contradictory and inconclusive. It has been argued
that the case against import substitution industrialization is not that it is bound to fail,
but that subsidies and tax incentives do the job better. It has also been pointed out that,
in any case, trade restrictions could not be expected to correct the domestic market
imperfections that often hamper the development of infant industries.
The Case for Protection-3
Market failure argument
Protection is also advocated as an argument considering market failures i.e., when
markets relevant to the activity in question either do not exist or do not function
well. Protecting the industry may allow it to operate under these conditions of
market failure. Thus, for instance, lack or inadequate working of financial markets
in a country may prevent an industry from raising the financial resources needed to
modernize and withstand international competition. Protection may enable the
industry to make the extra profits required to finance its expansion and technical
improvement plans.
Externalities argument
There is a related but separate argument in favor of protecting industries which
generate positive externalities and spillover effects for other groups. An argument
of this nature is used to advocate continued protection to European farmers under
the CAP (Common Agricultural Policy). It is claimed that agriculture is a
multifunctional activity whose contribution is not just food production but also
environmental protection, land stewardship, and preservation of the landscape and
lifestyle of the countryside. By protecting European farmers from foreign
competition, these beneficial side effects of agriculture, for which European
consumers and citizens are believed to be willing to pay, would be preserved.
The Case for Protection-4
Terms of trade effects argument
Another economic argument is that known as optimum tariff theory. In
the case of importing and exporting countries sufficiently large to affect
the world price of the particular commodity, a tariff on imports (or a tax
on exports) may serve to improve the terms of trade in favor of the
country. This is because by restricting imports the tariff will weaken
world demand putting a downward pressure on the price of the imported
commodity. Similarly, by restricting exports the export tax will weaken
world supply putting an upward pressure on the price of the exported
commodity. Of course, gains from protection obtained by a country in
this way are at the expense of its trading partners.
A type of protection often applied in practice, known as contingent
protection, seeks to counteract "unfair" trading practices, in particular
the type of competition that results from export subsidies or from
dumping. Protection is advocated because the price at which the
commodity enters the country reflects distortionary practices on the
exporter's side. Hence, it is not a price that the domestic industry should
be expected to match.
The Case for Protection-5
Food security arguments
Protection can also be advocated for reasons of food security the objective of
which is to ensure availability, stability in food supplies and physical and
economic access all human beings on a permanent basis to the basic foods they
need. Thus, governments may try to ensure through protection that some
minimum level of national production of basic foods is attained.
Trade can contribute to food security in a number of ways: by making up the
difference between production and consumption needs; reducing supply
variability; fostering economic growth; making more efficient use of world
resources; and permitting production to take place in those regions more suited
to it. But reliance on trade may also bring some risks such as uncertainty of
supplies, world market price instability, and increasing environmental stress if
appropriate policies are not in place.
…but there are also risks
In developing countries, export opportunities are usually better for non-food
cash crops. Increased trade opportunities may therefore induce substitution of
food crops by non-food cash crops. This can be favorable for the food security
of producers if they can purchase food in local markets at fair prices. Food
security could, however, be at risk if inefficiencies in the food marketing
system result in high food prices.
The Case for Protection-6
Non-economic reasons
Non-economic reasons involve redistribution of income to either more
vulnerable or, often, more powerful groups.
Social and political reasons for protection are often stronger than purely
economic arguments. In essence, protection seeks to avoid the negative impact
of import competition on the incomes of domestic factor owners. It is also a
way of favoring certain groups considered meritorious of positive
discrimination by the political decision-making process. This is the case with
farmers in many countries, notably in Europe, Japan and the United States.
Through the political process, for social and political reasons, societies in these
countries have decided to give special economic treatment to their farming
sectors, even at the cost of higher food prices to consumers and higher taxes
(and also of reduced opportunities to other countries). This is a luxury that
developing countries could hardly afford.
Sheer political pressure from powerful industrial or labor groups that stand to
lose from free trade is also a common reason for protection.
Producing with the help of protection a more diversified collection of products
than would be the case with free trade specialization may also bring wider
social and political advantages such as improving national defence. This is an
argument typically used for the protection of military and other so-called
"strategic" industries.
The Case Against Protection-1
The main arguments for free trade (as opposed to simply trade) or, equivalently,
the main arguments against protection are four: that protection promotes
inefficiency, that it encourages rent-seeking behavior, that it always implies a
net welfare loss, and that there are usually more direct and efficient non-trade
measures to achieve the desired objective.
The prevalent consensus: Desire for freer trade is now widespread
The consensus nowadays among policy-makers around the world is that trade is
advantageous and that the growth of international exchanges should be
encouraged. The road to increased trade is through progressive reductions in the
level of protection.
There are two methods, not mutually exclusive, to progress along this path. One
is through regional trade agreements, which seek the reduction or elimination
of trade barriers among a limited set of countries, normally (but not always)
adjacent. The other is through multilateral trade negotiations (MTN), like the
ones which have taken place for several decades under GATT and are now
taking place under WTO. These agreements are called multilateral because they
exclude preferential treatment by one country to another country or set of
countries, and are based on the application of the most favored nation (MFN)
clause to all countries entering the agreement.
The Case Against Protection-2
Protection promotes inefficiency
The first argument stresses that by isolating domestic producers, at least in part,
from the pressures of international competition, protection permits inefficient
industries to perpetuate themselves at the expense of domestic consumers and
of the soundness of the growth process. It also checks the dynamic process of
entrepreneurial learning and innovation stimulated by exposure to international
competition. By reducing competition and artificially raising profits, more
firms may be attracted and be able to survive in the protected industries than
would be economically justified, reducing the market share of the remaining
firms and thus preventing the attainment of potential economies of scale.
Protection distracts effort into rent-seeking
It is also argued that protectionist measures are usually granted by political
decision-makers to production sectors on a rather ad hoc and frequently
clientelistic way, and are often not connected to clearly identifiable and
measurable losses from trade. This gives rise to situations where entrepreneurs
and owners of productive factors in general focus their energies in lobbying
decision-makers to obtain administrative concessions which would benefit them
- referred to as rent-seeking behavior. The proponents of free trade argue that
since in most cases the political process makes the above almost unavoidable,
countries are better advised to go for free trade without exceptions or, short of
this, to go for low levels of tariff protection equally and transparently applied to
all industries across the board.
The Case Against Protection-3
Protection is costly to society
Another argument against protection is that it makes society as a whole
poorer in overall terms. Although producers benefit from protection, and
the government benefits from the additional tariff revenue, their gains are
more than counterbalanced by the higher prices consumers must pay for
the protected commodity. If protection takes place through subsidies to
producers or to inputs, then it will be the taxpayers that will lose out.
…and usually more effective alternatives exist
Of course, any cost to society must be weighed against the benefits
which are sought from the protectionist policy. But it is usually the case
that there are more direct and more efficient measures to address the
market deficiencies which lie behind protectionist measures. For
example, if it is desired to encourage infant industries, it would be better
to do this through a targeted industrial subsidy than through trade
protection which benefits all firms whether infant or not.
International Trade-1
International trade is a field in economics that applies microeconomic
models to help understand the international economy. Its content includes
the same tools that are introduced in microeconomics courses, including
supply and demand analysis, firm and consumer behavior, perfectly
competitive, oligopolistic and monopolistic market structures, and the
effects of market distortions. The typical course describes economic
relationships between consumers, firms, factor owners, and the
government.
The objective of an international trade course is to understand the effects
on individuals and businesses because of international trade itself, the
changes in trade policies and the changes in other economic conditions.
International trade is the exchange of goods and services between
countries. Trading globally gives consumers and countries the
opportunity to be exposed to goods and services not available in their
own countries. Almost every kind of product can be found on the
international market: food, clothes, spare parts, oil, jewelry, wine, stocks,
currencies and water. Services are also traded: tourism, banking,
consulting and transportation.
International Trade-2
In a broader sense international trade covers transactions between residents of different
countries. Without international trade, nations would be limited to the goods and
services produced within their own borders. Increasing international trade is crucial to
the continuance of globalization and the factors that have major impact on the
international trading system include industrialization, advanced transportation,
globalization, multinational corporations, and outsourcing.
International trade is in principle not different from domestic trade as the motivation
and the behavior of parties involved in a trade do not change fundamentally regardless
of whether trade is across a border or within the borders of a country. International trade
however, not only involves inward and outward movement of goods and services, but
also results in inflow and outflow of foreign exchange and in addition, international
trade is typically more costly than domestic trade because of tariffs, time costs due to
border delays and costs associated with country differences such as language, the legal
system or culture.
International trade gives rise to a world economy, in which prices, or supply and
demand, affect and are affected by global events. Political change in Asia, for example,
could result in an increase in the cost of labor, thereby increasing the manufacturing
costs for an American sneaker company based in Malaysia, which would then result in
an increase in the price that you have to pay to buy the tennis shoes at your local mall. A
decrease in the cost of labor, on the other hand, would result in you having to pay less
for your new shoes.
International Trade Theory-1
Mercantilism (16-17th century): The approach emerged in England in mid-16th
century and advocated that countries should simultaneously encourage exports
and discourage imports. The main tenet of the approach was: it was in a
country’s best interest to maintain a trade surplus, or to export more than it
imported. Gold and silver were the mainstays of a nation’s wealth and
exporting more meant that a country earned more gold and silver and importing
more meant that it spent more of those. Thus the surplus in trade meant that a
country would accumulate more gold and silver and consequently, increase
national wealth and power.
Neo-Mercantilism: Neo-Mercantilists do not believe or talk about gold and
silver as currency of trade but hold that political and economic power can be
gained through balance of trade surplus.
The Absolute Advantage Theory suggests that countries differ in their ability to
produce goods efficiently and countries should employ their resources and
specialize in the production of goods in which they have absolute advantage
(ability to produce at low costs) and then trade these goods for goods of other
countries in which the later have absolute advantage. For example, eighteenth
century England had an absolute advantage in producing textiles, while France
in that period had an absolute advantage in producing wine, which means
England should produce and sell textiles in exchange of wine produced and
sold by France and such trade is a positive-sum game benefiting both countries.
International Trade Theory-3
Theory of Absolute Advantage (contd)
Assume that Ghana and South Korea both have the same amount of resources (say, 200 units)
that can be used in producing either rice or cocoa. Imagine that in Ghana, it takes 10 units of
resource to produce 1 ton of cocoa and 20 units of resource to produce 1 ton of rice, while in
Korea, it takes 40 units of resource to produce 1 ton of cocoa and 10 units of resource to produce
1 ton of rice. Also, say Ghana and Korea do not specialize and both produce the two products by
using 100 units of resource in each product (by distributing their 200 units in the two products).
In that case, Ghana produces 10 tons of cocoa and 5 tons of rice and Korea – 2.5 tons of cocoa
and 10 tons of rice. But if Ghana specializes in cocoa (because of absolute advantage) and Korea
does so in rice, Ghana could use all 200 units of resource in producing 20 tons of cocoa and
Korea on the other hand, can produce 20 tons of rice
The illustration shows that by specialization, the production and consumption of both
goods can be increased in countries trading in them. Total production cocoa increased
by 20 – 12.5 = 7.5 tons and that of rice by 20 – 15 = 5 tons. The increase in production
of cocoa is shared between Ghana and Korea in amounts of 4 ton and 3.5 ton and that of
rice between them in amounts 1 and 4 ton.
The theory of comparative advantage provides a logical explanation of international
trade as the rational consequence of the comparative advantages that arise from inter-
regional differences - regardless of how those differences arise. Since its exposition by
David Ricardo the techniques of neo-classical economics have been applied to it to
model the patterns of trade that would result from various postulated sources of
comparative advantage. However, extremely restrictive (and often unrealistic)
assumptions have had to be adopted in order to make the problem amenable to
theoretical analysis.
International Trade Theory-5
Comparative Advantage Theory (David Ricardo, Principles of Political
Economy, 1817):
This theory explains what might happen if one country has absolute advantage
in production of all goods. The Absolute Advantage theory suggests that in such
case the country does not derive any benefit from trade. But the theory of
comparative Advantage says, trade is a positive sum game, all countries in trade
benefit and it makes sense for a country to specialize in the production of those
goods that it produces more efficiently and buy/import the goods that it
produces less efficiently.
The consumption after Ghana exports 4 tons of cocoa for 4 tons of Korea’s rice:
Availability for Consumption (ton) Increase in Consumption (ton)
Cocoa Rice Cocoa Rice
Ghana 15 – 4 = 11 3.75 + 4 = 7.75 11 – 10 = 1 7.75 – 7.5 = 0.25
Korea 0+4=4 10 – 4 = 6 4 – 2.5 = 1.5 6–5=1
The illustration shows that by specialization, the production and consumption of both
goods can be increased in countries trading in them. Total production cocoa increased
by 15 – 12.5 = 2.5 tons and that of rice by 13.75 – 12.5 = 1.25 tons. The increase in
production of cocoa is shared between Ghana and Korea in amounts of 1 ton and 1.5
ton and that of rice between them in amounts 0.25 and 1 ton.
International Trade Theory-7
Qualifications and assumptions (in illustration of the theories of absolute and
comparative advantage):
Only two countries are in trade in two goods (in reality, many countries trade in
many commodities);
Transaction costs are not considered;
Differences in prices of resources and in exchange rates in different countries are not
considered;
Resources move freely from production of one good to that of another in a country;
Returns to scale in constant;
Each country has a fixed stock of resources;
Effect of trade on income distribution pattern within a country is not considered*.
*prices that US consumers pay for goods imported from China may not be enough to
produce net gain for the US economy and consumers in the US if the dynamic effect of
free trade lowers real wage rates (or, even job losses) in the US.
Product Life Cycle: The period of time over which an item is developed, brought to market and
eventually removed from the market. First, the idea for a product undergoes research and
development. If the idea is determined to be feasible and potentially profitable, the product will
be produced, marketed and rolled out. Assuming the product becomes successful, its production
will grow until the product becomes widely available. Eventually, demand for the product will
decline and it will become obsolete.
International Trade Theory-13
Porter’s Theory: (Michael E. Porter, 1990, Comparative Advantage of Nations, Harvard Business
Review, March-April 1990)
The Heckscher – Ohlin theory and the Theory of Comparative Advantage can only partially
answer to the following questions:
Why a nation achieves international success in a particular industry?
Why does Japan do so well in automobile industry?
Why does Switzerland excel in the production and export of precision instruments and
pharmaceuticals?
Why do Germany and the US perform superbly in the chemical industry?
Porter explains that there are four attributes that shape the environment in which a nation’s local
firms compete and these attributes promote or impede the creation of competitive advantage.
Firm Strategy,
Structure and Rivalry
Factor Demand
Endowments Conditions
Related and
Support Industries
The effects of tariffs: (a) tariffs are pro-producers and anti-consumers; (b)
tariffs may protect producers from foreign competition, but the restriction of
supply (because of tariffs) may also raise prices at home; (c) tariffs reduce the
overall efficiency of the world economy (encouraging domestic firms to
produce at home may be good, but the good could also be produced efficiently
abroad); and (d) tariffs distort fair competition.
Tariffs-2
Occasionally both a specific and an ad valorem tariff are levied on the same
product simultaneously. This is known as a two-part tariff. For example,
wristwatches imported into the US face the 51 cent specific tariff as well as a
6.25% ad valorem tariff on the case and the strap and a 5.3% ad valorem tariff
on the battery. Perhaps this should be called a three-part tariff!
As the above examples suggest, different tariffs are generally applied to
different commodities. Governments rarely apply the same tariff to all goods
and services imported into the country. One exception to this occurred in 1971
when President Nixon, in a last-ditch effort to save the Bretton Woods, system
of fixed exchange rates, imposed a 10% ad valorem tariff on all imported goods
from IMF member countries. But incidents such as this are uncommon.
Thus, instead of one tariff rate, countries have a tariff schedule which specifies
the tariff collected on every particular good and service. The schedule of tariffs
charged in all import commodity categories is called the Harmonized Tariff
Schedule of the United States (HTS). The commodity classifications are based
on the international Harmonized Commodity Coding and Classification System
(or the Harmonized System) established by the World Customs Organization.
Subsidies-1
Subsidy is a government payment to a domestic producer (cash grants, low interest
loans, tax breaks, government equity participation in domestic firms). Subsidies lower
production costs, kelp domestic producers in competing against foreign imports and
gaining export markets. Subsidies may be granted to agriculture, manufacturing or even
service sectors.
Export subsidies are payments made by the government to encourage the export of
specified products. As with taxes, subsidies can be levied on a specific or ad valorem
basis. The most common product groups where export subsidies are applied are
agricultural and dairy products.
Most countries have income support programs for their nation's farmers. These are
often motivated by national security or self-sufficiency considerations. Farmers'
incomes are maintained by restricting domestic supply, raising domestic demand, or a
combination of the two. One common method is the imposition of price floors on
specified commodities. When there is excess supply at the floor price, however, the
government must stand ready to purchase the excess. These purchases are often stored
for future distribution when there is a shortfall of supply at the floor price. Sometimes
the amount the government must purchase exceeds the available storage capacity. In
this case, the government must either build more storage facilities, at some cost, or
devise an alternative method to dispose of the surplus inventory. It is in these situations,
or to avoid these situations, that export subsidies are sometimes used. By encouraging
exports, the government will reduce the domestic supply and eliminate the need for the
government to purchase the excess.
Subsidies-2
One of the main export subsidy programs in the US is called the Export
Enhancement Program (EEP). Its stated purpose is to help US farmers compete
with farm products from other subsidizing countries, especially the European
Union, in targeted countries. The EEP's major objectives are to challenge unfair
trade practices, to expand U.S. agricultural exports, and to encourage other
countries exporting agricultural commodities to undertake serious negotiations
on agricultural trade problems. As a result of Uruguay round commitments, the
US has established annual export subsidy quantity ceilings by commodity and
maximum budgetary expenditures. Commodities eligible under EEP initiatives
are wheat, wheat flour, semolina, rice, frozen poultry, frozen pork, barley,
barley malt, table eggs, and vegetable oil.
In recent years the US government has made annual outlays of over $1 billion
in its agricultural Export Enhancement Program (EEP) and its Dairy Export
Incentive Program (DEIP). The EU has spent over $4 billion annually to
encourage exports of its agricultural and dairy products.
Import Quotas
Import quota is a direct restriction on the quantity of some goods that may be
imported into a country. Quotas are usually enforced by import licenses to a
group of individuals or firms. The extra profit that producers make when supply
is artificially restricted by import quota is called “quota rent”.
Import quotas are limitations on the quantity of goods that can be imported into
the country during a specified period of time. An import quota is typically set
below the free trade level of imports. In this case it is called a binding quota. If
a quota is set at or above the free trade level of imports then it is referred to as a
non-binding quota. Goods that are illegal within a country effectively have a
quota set equal to zero. Thus many countries have a zero quota on narcotics and
other illicit drugs.
There are two basic types of quotas: absolute quotas and tariff-rate quotas.
Absolute quotas limit the quantity of imports to a specified level during a
specified period of time. Sometimes these quotas are set globally and thus
affect all imports while sometimes they are set only against specified countries.
Absolute quotas are generally administered on a first-come first-served basis.
For this reason, many quotas are filled shortly after the opening of the quota
period. Tariff-rate quotas allow a specified quantity of goods to be imported at a
reduced tariff rate during the specified quota period.
Hybrid of Quota and Tariff; Local Content Requirement
Hybrid of Quota and Tariff
This is also called tariff rate quota and means that a lower tariff rate is applied
to imports within the quota, while higher tariffs are applied on imports over the
quota.