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CHAPTER 9

Bonds and Their Valuation


 Key features of bonds
 Bond valuation
 Measuring yield
 Assessing risk
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What is a Bond?
A long-term debt instrument in which a borrower
agrees to make payments of principal and interest,
on specific dates, to the holders of the bond.

Type of Bond Issuer


• Treasury Bonds  Fed Government
• Corporate Bonds  Corporations
• Municipal Bonds  Local Government
• Foreign Bonds  Foreign Government or Foreign
Corporations

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Key Features of a Bond
• Par value – face amount of the bond, which
is paid at maturity (assume $1,000).
• Coupon interest rate – stated interest rate (generally
fixed) paid by the issuer. Multiply by par value to get
dollar payment of interest.
• Maturity date – years until the bond must be repaid.
• Issue date – when the bond was issued.
• Yield to maturity - rate of return earned on
a bond held until maturity (also called the “promised
yield”).

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Call Provision
Effect of a call provision
• Allows issuer to refund the bond issue if
rates decline (helps the issuer, but hurts the
investor).
• Borrowers are willing to pay more, and
lenders require more, for callable bonds.

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Sinking Fund
What is a sinking fund?
• Provision to pay off a loan over its life rather
than all at maturity.
• Similar to amortization on a term loan.
• Reduces risk to investor, shortens average
maturity.
• But not good for investors if rates decline after
issuance.

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Other Types (Features) of Bonds
• Convertible bond – may be exchanged for common stock
of the firm, at the holder’s option.
• Warrant – long-term option to buy a stated number of
shares of common stock at a specified price.
• Putable bond – allows holder to sell the bond back to the
company prior to maturity.
• Income bond – pays interest only when interest is earned
by the firm.
• Indexed bond – interest rate paid is based upon the rate
of inflation.

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The Value of Bond
0 1 2 N
rd%
...
Bond’s Value INT1 INT2 INTN
M

INT 1 INT INT M


Bond’s 2 N
Value = (1 + r)1 + + ... + +
(1 + r) 2 (1 + r) N (1 + r) N

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The Value of Bond
What is the value of a 10-year, 10% annual coupon
bond, if rd = 10%?

0 1 2 N
rd
...
VB = ? 100 100 100 + 1,000

$100 $100 $1,000


VB  1
 ...  10

(1.10) (1.10) (1.10)10
VB  $90.91  ...  $38.55  $385.54
VB  $1,000

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The Value of Bond
Bond value over time
• What would happen to the value of these three bonds if its
required rate of return remained at 10%:

VB
1,184 13% coupon rate
10% coupon rate.
1,000

816 7% coupon rate


Years
10 5 0 to
Maturity

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The Value of Bond
Bond value over time
• At maturity, the value of any bond must equal its par value.
• If rd remains constant:
– The value of a premium bond would decrease over time, until
it reached $1,000.
– The value of a discount bond would increase over time, until it
reached $1,000.
– A value of a par bond stays at $1,000.

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Bond Yields
Definitions
Annual coupon payment
Current yield (CY) 
Current price

Change in price
Capital gains yield (CGY) 
Beginning price

 Expected   Expected 
Expected total return  YTM      
 CY   CGY 

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Bond Yields
Current yield
• Find the current yield and the capital gains yield for a 14-year, 10%
annual coupon bond that sells for $1,494.93, and has a face value
of $1,000.

Current yield = $100 / $1,494.93


= 0.0669 = 6.69%

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Bond Yields
Yield to Maturity
What is the YTM on a 14-year, 10% annual coupon, $1,000 par
value bond, selling for $1,494.93?
• Must find the rd that solves this model.

INT INT M
VB   ...  
(1 rd )1 (1 rd )N (1 rd )N
100 100 1,000
$1,494.93   ...  
(1 rd )1
(1 rd )14
(1 rd )14
YTM = 5

7-13
Bond Yields
Capital gains yield

YTM = Current yield + Capital gains yield


CGY = YTM – CY
= 5% - 6.69%
= -1.69%
Could also find the expected price one year from now and divide the
change in price by the beginning price, which gives the same answer.

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Bond Yields
Yield to Call
The rate of return earned on a bond if it is called before its maturity
date.
N
INT Call price
Price of Callable Bond   
t 1 (1 rd ) t
(1 rd )N

Suppose you were offered a 14-year, 10% annual coupon, $1,000 par
value bond at a price of $1,494.93. You desired to call them 10 years
after their issue date at a price of $1,100. What is the YTC on bonds?
100 100 1,100
$1,494.93   ...  
(1 rd )1 (1 rd )9 (1 rd )9
YTC = 4.21

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Bond Yields
Yield to Call
When is a call more likely to occur?

• In general, if a bond sells at a premium, then


(1) coupon > rd, so
(2) a call is more likely.

• So, expect to earn:


– YTC on premium bonds.
– YTM on par & discount bonds.

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Semiannual Bonds

1. Multiply years by 2: number of periods = 2n.


2. Divide nominal rate by 2: periodic rate (I/YR) = rd /2.
3. Divide annual coupon by 2: PMT = INT / 2.

Semiannual Bond’s Value

2N
INT/2 M
VB   
t 1 (1  rd /2)t
(1 rd /2)2N

7-17
Semiannual Bonds
Illustrating Semiannual Bonds
What is the value of a 10-year, 10% semiannual coupon bond, if rd
= 13%?

1. Multiply years by 2 : N = 2 × 10 = 20.


2. Divide nominal rate by 2 : rd /2 = 13% / 2 = 6.5%
3. Divide annual coupon by 2 : PMT = 10% × $1,000)/2 = $100 /
2 = $50.

20
$50 $1,000
VB     $836.70
t 1 (1 0,065) (1 0,065)
t 20

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Default risk
• If an issuer defaults, investors receive less than
the promised return.
• Bonds with higher default risk will have higher
market rates: rd = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP.
• If the default risk on the bond increases, its price
will fall and the yield to maturity (YTM = rd) will
increase.

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Evaluating default risk:
Bond ratings

Investment Grade Junk Bonds

Moody’s Aaa Aa A Baa Ba B Caa C


S&P AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC D

• Bond ratings are designed to reflect the


probability of a bond issue going into
default.

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Factors affecting bond ratings
1. Financial performance
– Debt ratio
– TIE ratio
– Current ratio
2. Bond contract provisions
– Secured vs. Unsecured debt
– Senior vs. subordinated debt
– Guarantee and sinking fund provisions
– Debt maturity

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Factors affecting bond ratings
3. Qualitative factors:
 Earnings stability (strength of economy)
 Labor problem
 Stability of the countries
 Potential environmental problem
 Potential antitrust problem
 The complexity of the assets backed by such
loans

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LATIHAN
• Seandainya suatu obligasi korporat yang
memiliki nilai pari Rp1.000.000 dapat dijual
dengan harga Rp1.086.260. Return yang
diharapkan oleh seorang investor adalah 8%.
Berapakah tingkat kupon tahunan obligasi
tersebut, jika hingga jatuh temponya memiliki
masa selama 7 tahun?

7-23

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