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Selection of dairy cattle

for lifetime profit

Paul M. VanRaden
Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory
Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD
paul@aipl.arsusda.gov

2002
Objectives

 Document USA Net Merit index


 Discuss traits to include,
estimation of economic values
 Compare current national
selection indexes
 Begin with table from Holstein
International (February 1999, p 71)

2002
NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (2) P.M. VanRaden
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NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (3) P.M. VanRaden
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NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (4) P.M. VanRaden
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NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (5) P.M. VanRaden
Expression of Economic Indexes

 Report proportion of emphasis


(relative value / Σ |relative values|)
 Reformat into two-way table of
traits by countries (Bennet
Cassell’s idea)
 Also display history of USA
indexes (table of traits by years)

2002
NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (6) P.M. VanRaden
Relative emphasis on traits in USDA economic indexes
(PD$, MFP$, CY$, and NM$) and Holstein Association TPI
across time
Year Introduced and Index Name
1971 1976 1977 1980 1984 1987 1989 1992 1994 1997 2000 2000
Trait PD$ TPI MFP$ TPI CY$ TPI TPI TPI NM$ TPI TPI NM$
Protein 27 53 40 34 50 43 50 41 36
Fat 48 46 45 40 34 17 25 17 16 21
Milk 52 60 27 60 -2 6 5
% Fat 20
Longevity 20 13 14
SCS 6 1 9
Udder 17 17 11 9 7
Feet / legs 5 5 4
Size -4
Final Score 40 20 20 17 17 17 14

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NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (7) P.M. VanRaden
Relative emphasis in selection indexes for other countries
with many Holsteins

Country (Interbull Code)


USA DEU FRA NZL NLD CAN GBR AUS ITA DNK SWE ESP
% of Interbull
Population 17.4 15.3 12.3 10.6 9.3 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.1 1.5 1.2
Index Name NM$ RZG ISU BW DPS LPI PLI APR PFT S–I TMI ICO
Trait
Protein 36 45 35 42 35 43 57 36 42 21 21 51
Fat 21 11 10 13 8 14 11 12 12 10 4 10
Milk 5 -22 -14 -19 -20 -3 -4
% Protein 2 3 5
% Fat 2 2
Longevity 14 6 13 10 12 8 15 12 8 6 6
SCS / mastitis 9 14 13 11 3 7 10 15 12
Fertility 1 13 7 9 10
Other diseases 2 3

2002
NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (8) P.M. VanRaden
Relative emphasis in selection indexes for other countries
with many Holsteins (cont.)

Country (Interbull Code)


USA DEU FRA NZL NLD CAN GBR AUS ITA DNK SWE ESP
% of Interbull
Population 17.4 15.3 12.3 10.6 9.3 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.1 1.5 1.2
Index Name NM$ RZG ISU BW DPS LPI PLI APR PFT S–I TMI ICO
Trait
Udder traits 7 8 8 17 13 9 12 17
Feet / legs 4 5 1 3 11 6 5 9 8
Size -4 2 2 -13 4 -4 2
Dairy character 3
Rump 2 1
Final score 4 2 9
Calving ease 3 10 6 12
Growth / meat 4 6
Milking Speed <1 4 6
Temperament 5 2 3

2002
NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (9) P.M. VanRaden
Questions

 Do cow shows and judging


contests help or harm education?
 What is feed cost for protein, fat?
 Does milk volume have negative
value only because of quotas?
• Milk volume quotas in Europe?
• People quotas in Australia, NZ?

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NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (10) P.M. VanRaden
Prices of Milk and Water
 Cost to USA consumers ($ / liter)
• American bottled water 0.16
• Canadian spring water 0.51
• Skim milk 0.66
• 2% milk 0.68
• 3.5% (whole) milk 0.72
• French Alps water 1.35
 Milk requires water, cheese does not

2002
NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (11) P.M. VanRaden
Conclusions

 Many traits in addition to yield


contribute to dairy cattle profit
 Longevity, fertility, and health
traits have high value
 Direction unclear for some traits
 Indexes have improved rapidly in
recent years

2002
NAAB Dairy Trade Mission – Lifetime Profit (12) P.M. VanRaden

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