Beruflich Dokumente
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• WHAT is EXPLORATION?
Deliberate, business oriented search for hydrocarbons
Upstream activity targeting the replacement of produced reserves
Exploration
Exploration Development
Development Production
Production
EXPLORATION PROJECT:
Within the frame of a general strategy, the exploration project consists of a
series of studies and operations aiming at the replacement of the produced
reserves. This is achieved through:
1. identification of new targets in a defined area
2. definition of their technical value: reserves and associated geological risk
(POS = probability of success)
3. definition of their economic value (EMV = expected monetary value).
4. drilling of an exploratory well and ensuing possible appraisals
What we are looking for is a peculiar situation, within the basin, where
all the necessary conditions for generation, expulsion, migration and entrapment
of hydrocarbon have materialized in the right chronological
order. This type of geological feature is called “prospect”.
However, this is the last stage of the pre-drilling exploration work. Before
reaching this point, a great deal of work is devoted to basin regional studies,
in order to identify specific areas of interest.
Usually, the objects which are subsequently taken into account during this
quest for new exploration targets are:
10
11
• seismic is largely the most used investigation method in oil and gas
E&P
12
13
14
At first, regional studies and analyses are carried out in order to identify
areas of potential interest. Then, on specific parts of these hydrocarbon
prone area, more in-depth investigations are performed to point out
specific blocks to be targeted for acquisition.
16
Throughout all this process, and until the first exploratory well is
drilled, the technical work is aiming at firming up the play / lead /
prospect potential with an continuously increasing confidence in
the geological model and a constantly reduced degree of uncertainty
about reserves and their economic value, in order to justify further
investments. 17
The ultimate result of the studies carried out during each phase is a
technical and economic evaluation of the hydrocarbons contained in
the area.
18
In any case, the rule is to make full use of all the data and information
available at any moment, in order the achieve the best possible result.
19
A similar tool is available also for the Development (OPDS) and the
production (OPOS) phases. The three systems are linked one to the
other, so that there is no break between activities
20
OPES
OPES OPDS
OPDS OPOS
OPOS
Running
Running
Drill
Drill &
& Handover First Running Production
Opportunities G Handover First Running Production and
and
Opportunities
OpportunitiesGGEE11 Opportunities
GEE22 Pre-drill G
Pre-drill
GE33 Post-drill
Post-drill G
GEE44 Evaluation
Evaluation G1
G1
Concept
Concept
G2
G2
Concept
Concept
G3
G3 Execution
Execution
Handover to
to Acceptance Period
Period G
Gpp11 Production
Production &
& G
Gpp22 Preparation
Preparation to
to
Generation
Generation Evaluation
Evaluation Exploration E
Exploration Selection
Selection Definition
Definition Package
Operations Production Improvement Decommissionin
Evaluation
Evaluation Operations Production Improvement Decommissionin
gg
HC HC
in free
Project
Project Management
Management System
System Value
Value Management
Management System
System Technology
Technology Management
Management System
System
Value driven
OPES
guiding Aligned with best
Flexibility
principles practice
Standardisation of
Team based
terminology
Decision driven
22
To
To evaluate
evaluate specific
specific To
To implement
implement the the To
To confirm the
the presence
presence
To identify
identify generic
generic opportunities
opportunities from
from aa operational
operational programme
programme of
of hydrocarbons
hydrocarbons andand
Objective
exploration
exploration opportunities
opportunities technical/economic
technical/economic aimed
aimed atat detailing
detailing the
the update
update the technical
technical
within
within strategic perspective
perspective and
and decide
decide prospect
prospect and
and evaluating
evaluating evaluation
evaluation according
according to
to
guidelines
guidelines whether
whether to
to proceed
proceed how
how to
to proceed
proceed toto the
the well
well results
results
securing
securing the
the legal
legal right
right drilling
drilling phase
phase
Main Gate
Is
Is the
the acreage
acreage Is
Is the
the prospect
prospect Does
Does the
the
question
Does
Does the
the valuable
valuable enough
enough toto technically
technically and
and discovery
discovery deserve
deserve
opportunity
opportunity deserve
deserve proceed
proceed to to the
the economically
economically mature
mature to
to to
to move
move to
to the
the
further
further license
license proceed
proceed toto the
the Evaluation
Evaluation
investigation?
investigation? acquisition?
acquisition? drilling
drilling phase?
phase? phase?
phase?
23
Monitoring
Data, Opportunities
information and Basin & play Preliminary generation
studies analysis screening DSP
collection submission
Scouting
GE1
Legend
Activity Denomination
Regional geological study
Activity Description
HEM EM E G
Head office
Exploration Drilling &
HEM Exploration EM E Explorationist G G&G R Reservoir W F Facilities H HSEQ
Management Manager Completion
25
Code N. Ste
EA.1 EA.1
Management of
EA.2
Management EA.3
MA
&P
Monitoring Process
of Opportunity Submission
& Preliminary
Opportunity Generation
to Gate 1
Screening Project
26
EA.1.3 Activate the preliminary - Identify, during the monitoring process, EM M PSOS
screening of generic possibilities to develop exploration opportunities. HEM M
exploration opportunities - Define a preliminary “opportunity screening” Responsible
project, identifying structure and breakdown of the Functional
technical activities. Competencies
- Plan the employment of resources assigned to
the project.
- Define the amount of work required, the project
timeline and milestones, reporting schedule and
deliverables.
- Co-ordinate/Manage the process of project
financing (budgeting).
- Issue a Request of cost estimate;
- Issue a Job Order upon approval of the Cost
estimate provided;
- Activate the process of releasing “cost charging
unit(s)” (“commessa”), to fund and to control
specific project activities.
27
OPES Phase I:
- Exploratio
28
29
30
Assurance Review
(AR)
Mandatory formal
reviews aimed at
verifying project quality
and sustainability
31
O T P O T P O T/P
O Opportunity Review
P Project Review
T Technical Review
32
Assurance Reviews
Opportunity
submission
Tools
update
Opportunities
evaluation
Opportunity
validation
are described in the
relevant Best Practice
Both the content and the format of these documents are estabilished
by the OPES system and are fully described in the Best Practices.
34
• Subject of authorisation
• Country overview
Opportunity proposal • Eni presence & Strategy
• Basin/Play summary
• Geological framework
Basin/Play description • Play inventory and play chance
• Volumetrics and risks
• Maps
Technical Annexes • Seismic and/or geological sections
• Geological data
36
Only when the DSP is complete, then we can access the Gate.
Gatekeeper
Decision Support Package
Proceed
Rework
Change
End of Phase
Feedback Report Decision Kill
Makers
37
Business Planning & To provide economic model and “release“ monitoring, in order to provide an
Business independent review on project consistency with company vision, goals and
Controlling
Planning strategy
Administration To provide cost and fiscal control services and define partnering accounting
& Control procedures in accordance with Eni requirements
Human To provide and allocate professional human resources to the project in terms of
Human Resources
Resources skills and competencies in a timely and proper manner
To provide legal counseling and deliver legal services consistent with corporate
Legal &Legal
Contractual vision, goals and strategy, and with the requirements of the legal and
contractual framework
To generate value ensuring that works, goods and services of the appropriate
Procurement quality are made available at the specified place according to required
schedules
39
40
Management System
41
PMS
PMS VMS
VMS TMS
TMS
Document Description
Technical Assurance Review:
PV- Prospect Validation
Activity Denomination
have to be
Inputs Opportunities based on available Output/Deliverables
OPES
• Is the evaluation of the activity technically sound?
data Evaluation phase addressing • Have corporate standards for technical evaluation been adopted?
produced
Agreement (JSA) • Work plan and • Review, discuss and debate proposals
Handbook
• Joint Bidding resources
• If necessary, ask for external expert opinion
Agreement (JBA) • Risk register
• Understand key issues and propose possible solution
update
• If necessary, request modifications and suggest changes
• Stakeholder
• Document key risk/uncertainties and recommendation via Feedback Document
management plan
and when
HEM EM H • HSEQ plan
Output
• PV Feedback Document
Head office
Exploration Drilling & • Validated PRD technical
HEM Exploration EM E Explorationist G G&G R Reservoir W F Facilities H HSEQ
Management Manager Completion
•
•
PMS Handbook
Team Management
Project Administration
VMS
Handbook
Describe
PMS/VMS •
•
Project Planning &
Control
Document and Data
• Value what has to
Assurance
Handbook •
•
Management
H,S,E,Q management
Procurement
• Risk
Assessment
be done for
each task
Management
• Economics • Knowledge
Management
VMS
PMS
Best Best Practices:
Best Practices: Describe
Value how tasks
Practice Economics
Assurance
should be
carried out
42
Project Staffing
ESP.PMS.BP.0001.000
Stakeholder Management
ESP.PMS.BP.0002.000
Internal Interface
ESP.PMS.BP.0003.000
Decision Tree
ESP.PMS.BP.0004.000
ESP.EMS.BP.0001.
EMS
Documents Map
Job Description
ESP.EMS.BP.0002.
43
Drill &
Opportunities Opportunities Pre -drill
G E1 G E2 GE3
Proceed Proceed Proceed
• Key issues & propose solution • Key issues & propose solution the critical issues for the asset
Project • Assess project econ. analysis • Assess project econ. analysis development
using best practices &procedures • PRC Feedback Document using best practices &procedures • PRC Feedback Document • Propose project class and type
PRC Committee – • Require&suggest modifications • Validated PRD economic • Require&suggest modifications • Validated PRD economic
Exploitation Steering Body • Track and document committee • Track and document committee
member’s dissent member’s dissent
• Insert new opportunity in the • Insert new opportunity in the • Define parameters for ranking
exploration portfolio exploration portfolio • Opportunity Feedback Document • Feed and run the ranking tool to
Opportunity • Inventory of drillable prospect
• Evaluate opportunity impact on • Opportunity Feedback Document • Evaluate/re -evaluate opportunity preliminary select prospects
• Opportunities exploration • Projects’ pre -selection
Exploration Body risk, reward, cost timing, • Exploration portfolio profile update impact on risk, reward, cost • (Re)Evaluate opportunity impact
materiality timing, materiality portfolio profile update on risk, reward, cost, timing • Exploration drilling budget proposal
44
• Sanction opportunity consistency • Sanction opportunity consistency • Sanction expl . portf . consistency
• Opportunity Proposal • Investment Proposal • Budget Proposal • HC Discovery Declaration
• PRD Technical • PRD Technical • Post Drill Evaluation Summary
• Country Report (synthetic report) • PRD Economic • Well Result Document
• Basin/Play Description • PRD Economic
• Risk Register • Updated phase 3 PRD
DSP
• Risk Register
• Risk Register • Stakeholder Management Plan • Risk Register
Exploration Manager • Technical Annexes
• HSEQ plan • HSEQ plan update • Stakeholder Management Plan
• Technical Annexes
• To decide if the opportunity is • To decide whether a selected • Commit resources, define project
requirements (manpower basis of tech & economic investment proposal • Commit resources for Drilling and deserves to be evaluated and to
Decision Maker potentially attractive and
deployment, data and studies potential of the opportunity and • Commit resources for license
prospect is drillable and to
Post -drill Evaluation Phase (budget) proceed to the Evaluation phase
class, appoint DPM and start with
consistent with strategy allocate funds in the budget the Evaluation phase
Division
purchase, …) its consistency with strategic acquisition of the OPDS
guidelines
http://wwwdsc.sd.agip.it/ems/
45
46
47
48
Monitoring
Data, Opportunities
information and Basin & play Preliminary generation
studies analysis screening DSP
collection submission
These activity is described in
Scouting the Phase 2 of the OPES
workflow… GE1
Legend
49
MSGBC Basin
50
96 offshore wells
have been drilled
in the NW African margin
from 1966 to 2000
Mauritania 11
Senegal 30
Guinea Bissau 11
51
52
EXPLORATION STATISTICS:
LICENCE HOLDERS:
● “SEVMORNEFTEGAZ”
- SHTOKMANOVSKOYE
- PRIRAZLOMNOYE
● “ARCTICMORNEFTEGAZ”
- VARANDEY & MEDYNSKAYA
- KOLOKOLMORSKOYE
54
Fig.
Eni Exploration & Production 22
Division
Malesia
New country
The result of the technical
evaluation of the area is only
Company name one of the criteria on which
the decision is based.
xx / xx / xxxx
55
STRATEGIC FIT
MATURITY
RESOURCE POT 56
Assuming that our regional basin analysis has produced a geological model
indicating the possibility of an active petroleum system, capable of yelding
the right type of hydrocarbons in a country that matches our corporate
strategic orientation…
…what do we do?
57
To
To evaluate
evaluate specific
specific To
To implement
implement the the To
To confirm the
the presence
presence
To identify
identify generic
generic opportunities
opportunities from
from aa operational
operational programme
programme of
of hydrocarbons
hydrocarbons andand
Objective
exploration
exploration opportunities
opportunities technical/economic
technical/economic aimed
aimed atat detailing
detailing the
the update
update the technical
technical
within
within strategic perspective
perspective and
and decide
decide prospect
prospect and
and evaluating
evaluating evaluation
evaluation according
according to
to
guidelines
guidelines whether
whether to
to proceed
proceed how
how to
to proceed
proceed toto the
the well
well results
results
securing
securing the
the legal
legal right
right drilling
drilling phase
phase
Main Gate
Is
Is the
the acreage
acreage Is
Is the
the prospect
prospect Does
Does the
the
question
Does
Does the
the valuable
valuable enough
enough toto technically
technically and
and discovery
discovery deserve
deserve
opportunity
opportunity deserve
deserve proceed
proceed to to the
the economically
economically mature
mature to
to to
to move
move to
to the
the
further
further license
license proceed
proceed toto the
the Evaluation
Evaluation
investigation?
investigation? acquisition?
acquisition? drilling
drilling phase?
phase? phase?
phase?
Monitoring
Data, Opportunities
information and Basin & play Preliminary generation
studies analysis screening DSP
collection submission
Scouting
GE1
Before accessing the Gate, we still need to have the proposal validated
by the Opportunity Assurance Review called EB – Exploration Body. Only
if the EB’s concurrence is obtained the proposal can be submitted to the
Decision Maker.
59
Perform Perform
Opportunities economic
Collect technical
evaluation set- PV evaluation PRC EB
additional data evaluation
up (Volumetrics & Risk)
(Production profile,
CAPEX, OPEX, EMV)
Opportunities
evaluation DSP
These activity is described in the Phase 2 of the OPES workflow, submission
the “Opportunity Evaluation”.
Objective of the activity is to identify, evaluate and possibly
propose for acquisition assets of economic interest to the
Company GE2
Legend License
acquisition
Preparation Gate Strategic Internal/
Key Activity Decision External
Activity Assurance Guidelines
Decision
61
62
The bid is on competitive basis: each of the companies (that must possess
an adequate level of standards and experience) makes an offer in cash and
work programme, and proposes a scheme for sharing the future production
with the hosting government.
Often, these bids include only part of the blocks in a basin. Other are put
on offer at a later stage, and sometimes the process is repeated several
times. Each offer of exploratory acreage is therefore referred to as a “Bid
Round”.
BIDDING BLOCKS
2005-2010 AND
RESERVES ESTIMATION
(Russian Sources)
64
SIRTE
MURZUQ
KUFRA
65
66
BIBLIOGRAPHY DATA
67
1000
1000
1 00 0
10 00 1000
10 00
20 0
200
10 00
50
2 00 0
2 00 50
20 0
200
2 00
50
20 0 50
50
20 00
20 00
20 00
20 00
2000
2 00 2000
200
2 0 00 20 00
10 00
200
1000
20 00
20 0
20 00
2 00 0
2000
2000
10 00
10 00
20 0
200
20 00
10 0 0
2000
20 0 0
1000
100 0
200
2000
200
1000
20 00
10010 000
20 0 0
20 00
2000
2000
1000
2000
20 0 0
2000
2000
200
10 00
2000
1000
1000
10 00
2000
200 0
2 00
2000
50
20 0 10 00
1000
10 00
200
2000
200
50
1000
1000
1000
3000
10 0
20 0
2 00
200 0
10 0 0
2000
10 00
1000
20 00
2000
200
10 00
20 20000 0
20 0
1000
1000
20 0
2000
2000
2000
10 00
200
300 0
100 0
1000
10100000
20 0
1000
200
30 00
50
2000
20 0
30 0 0
2000
20 0 0
1000
2000
200
20020000
68
NW DSDP 547B SE
Intra Tertiary
Base Tertiary
Albian
Top Jurassic
Triassic
69
70
NW 2 SE
4.0
BED
SEA
Y 3B
IA R
T ERT
E Mk
BAS US
C EO
TA
RE
R AC
INT 3A
k TRIASSIC SALT
SM
E OU
TAC
RE
E RC
W
LO
71
A1
10 km
LC3 - DEPTH MAP
72
73
Perform Perform
Opportunities economic
Collect technical Screening &
evaluation PV evaluation PRC
additional data evaluation Selection
set-up (Volumetrics & Risk)
(Production profile,
CAPEX, OPEX, EMV)
Opportunities
evaluation
DSP
… technical review, submission
… project review,
… and opportunity review! GE2
Licence
acquisition
Only if everithing is ok, then we may proceed with the submission of our
proposal to the Gate.
74
75
Eni
76
77
78
EQ.
GUINEA
GABON
CONGO
79
80
81
82
Main Features
83
84
3 OUT + 1)
cash bonus
“X” will maintain the operatorship and is not interested in a swap with
other exploration blocks
85
The evaluation activities and the Assurance Review process, as well as the
DSP to be produced, are exactly the same we saw before for the bid round:
farm-out is by all means an exploration new venture of Phase 2!
86
87
Take overs can be friendly (the two companies agree on the operation)
or hostile (the target company doesn’t wish to be controlled).
88
PSC C
TANIT
BLOCK 6
18°30 ’ 18°30 ’
PSC BCoppolani-1
COPPOLANI
TARFAIAT EL
BLOCK 5 BLOCK 5 SW
DEEPWATER MANSOUR
18°00 ’ 18°00 ’
MTO-3
BLOCK 4
DEEPWATER BLOCK 4 SW
17°30 ’ 17°30 ’
MTO-1
Loup de Mer-1 TAMZAC
MTO-2
PSC A
BLOCK 3
17°00 ’ 17°00 ’
PSC C
0km 50km
BLOCK 2 Autruche-1
17°30 ’ 17°00 ’ 16°30 ’ 16°00 ’ 15°3016°30
’ ’
89
September 1996
WOODSIDE
10.359 Km 2D ACQUISITION
BRITISH BORNEO
May 2000
WOODSIDE
3.500 Km2 3D ACQUISITION
ENI
90
September 1996
Group led by Only regional studies and farm-out campaign
HARDMAN Sell 70 % of W.I.
August 1998
10.359 Km 2D ACQUISITION
WOODSIDE
40 2D Leads at different levels
BRITISH BORNEO
3.500 Km2 3D ACQUISITION
May 2000
7 2D leads killed
WOODSIDE 4 + 2 2D leads to be re-evaluated
9 2D leads to be upgraded CHINGUETTI-1
ENI 4 3D new leads
April 2001
Perform Perform
Opportunities economic
Collect technical Screening &
evaluation PV evaluation PRC
additional data evaluation Selection
set-up (Volumetrics & Risk)
(Production profile,
CAPEX, OPEX, EMV)
In any case, whichever the method for acreage acquisition, the new
Opportunities
venture must always be evaluated, reviewed and approved according
evaluation
DSP
to OPES workflow and procedures. submission
GE2
92
93
Collect/acquire
additional data
Pre-drill
exploration set-
up
Perform Perform
License
technical economic Portfolio Budget
acquisition PV PRC
evaluation evaluation selection proposal
(Production profile,
(Volumetrics & Risk)
CAPEX, OPEX, EMV)
Legend
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
What we are looking for is a peculiar situation, within the basin, where
all the necessary conditions for generation, expulsion, migration and entrapment
of hydrocarbon have materialized in the right chronological
order. This type of geological feature is called “prospect”.
101
ALFA
ALFA
102
PRODUCTION LICENCES
ENI
CONCESSION
OTHER LICENCES
OPEN ACREAGE
GHADAMES BASIN
103
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 THIRD EXPL. 8
EXPLORATION PERIODS FIRST EXPL. PHASE (5 YEARS) FIRST EXT. SECOND EXT. SECOND EXPL. PHASE EXT. EXT. PHASE
(1,5 YEARS) (2,5 YEARS) (2,5 YEARS) (1 YEAR) (1 YEAR) (2,5 YEARS)
• 1500 KM 2D SEISMIC SURVEY • 500 KM 2D SEISMIC SURVEY • SEISMIC • 500 KM 2D SEISMIC
COMMITMENT • 1000 KM REPROCESSING • 1 WELL
•NO
REPROC SURVEY
BORJ EL KHADRA
• 1 WELL (4000m) 800km • 1 WELL
0,2
FINANCIAL COMMIT. 17 MMUS$ 7 MMUS$ MMUS$ 7 MMUS$
RELINQUISHMENT S= ORIGINAL AREA 5816 Sqkm 80% S=4653 Sqkm *3172 Sqkm
OPERATIONS
SEISMIC
1500 KM 620 KM 544 KM
DRILLING
WELL 1
ENI 25% (Op) ENI BEK 25%, PIONEER 40%,
JOINT VENTURE
PALADIN 10%, ETAP (carried)
1 14-12-1990 4 13-12-1999
2 13-12-1995 5 13-06-2002
3 13-06-1997 6 13-06-2003
7 13-06-2004
8 13-12-2006
104
EROSION
M'RAR
TAHARA In the North eastern part of GHADAMES
A. OUENINE IV
A. OUENINE III Basin the play concept is:
DEVONIAN
A. OUENINE II
A. OUENINE I
OUAN KASA
LOWER
SILURIAN
A
ACACUS • The base Silurian ‘Hot Shales’ represent
TANEZZUFT the main source rock and is distributed
LOWER
PLAY
almost everywhere in the basin
HOT SHALES Ord TWT map
UPPER
JEFFARA
ORDOVICIAN • oil charging occurred probably by vertical
GAS LAY
and lateral migration and the gas,
ORDOVICIAN
MIDDLE
KASBAH LEGUINE
SANRHAR 105
TRIAS GRESEUX
FM.
CUS
AC A
M.
FT F
N NEZU
TA
D.
OR ANTICLINE
107
(HYPERPICNAL FLOW)
OVERPRESSURED
GRANULAR FLOW
Time 2 SEA LEVEL
TRACTIVE-SUSPENSION FACIES
Tens of m
F4 F5 F5a F6
MOUTH BAR
DENSITY FLOW FACIES
F 10 F 10 a
SUSPENSION FACIES
F7 F8 F9
Tanezzuft Fm.
(Hot Shale Mb.)
110
Alfa
prospect
111
Line 1
Depth
Acacus A
Top @ 3081 mssl
Vertical closure
25m
Spill Area Li n
e2
2.9 km²
Prospect
1 km Alfa
112
Acacus A
ALFA
is the
carrier HIGH LOW 113
114
115
The risk is the chance that the prospect will not contain the
expected amount of hydrocarbons, whereas the uncertainty
relates to the expected volume of resources.
116
117
118
For example:
φ =
15 % 35 %
119
min max
120
10,000 trials
A x h x N/G xφ x (1 – WS)
HOIP =
FVF
121
HOIP
122
100
90
PROBABILITY
50
10
123
60
54
30
124
RC COMMERCIAL THRESHOLD
RE ECONOMIC THRESHOLD
PROBABILITY
CHANCE OF GEOLOGICAL SUCCESS
Chance
Chance of of Commercial
Geological
Economic Success
Success
Success
“The
“The Chance
"The Chance
POS of
of Commercial
is the Economic
probabilitySuccess
Success”
of is the
geologicalis the
probability
success,
namely theSome
probability
of finding an
to atmore
accumulation
find
probabilityleast a useful
of
volume concepts…
producible
of finding of producible
hydrocarbon
an accumulation
hydrocarbon
in
at a specific prospect
to allow their
target” sufficent
exploitation
to allow at their
economical
exploitation
conditions
at economical
in a conditions
looking forward
in a full
project
life project
perspective”
perspective”
RC RE
CUMULATIVE RESERVES
125
Lower Risk
RESERVES
Commercial
Under Development
Proved 1P Probable 2P Possible 3P
DISCOVERED IIP
TOTAL PETROLEUM INITIALLY-IN-PLACE (IIP)
Planned for
Development
Project Maturity
CONTINGENT Development Pending
Sub-commercial
RESOURCES
Measured Indicated Inferred Development on Hold
1C 2C 3C
Development
not Viable
UNRECOVERABLE
Higher Risk
Prospect
UNDISCOVERED IIP
commercial
PROSPECTIVE
Potentially
RESOURCES Lead
Low Best High
Estimate Estimate Estimate
Play
UNRECOVERABLE
128
129
130
131
133
135
W E N
Top Creta
Top L.
Albian
Gamma B
Allochtonous Salt
Allochtonous Salt
136
Play • 4 ways closure related to a toe thrust structure at the edge of the salt
basin
Targets • Upper Creta Sands (Basin floor fan/Lower slope sand waves)
• Lower Albian Sands (Basin floor fan/Lower slope sand waves)
POS • 20%
Beta D
Beta B East
LEGEND
Gamma B
Gamma C
Gamma D
138
PROSPECT RESERVES
3 (MMbo)
Gamma B 459
1 Gamma A 264
Gamma B Beta A 163
Gamma C
Gamma D Beta C 107
Total 1445
139
140
Country:
Licence:
Prospect:
Target:
141
Gamma C
Gamma D 4 BETA A 163 0,15 24,45
Collect/acquire
additional data
Pre-drill
exploration
set-up
Licence Perform Perform
economic Budget /
acquisition technical PV PRC
Portfolio
1st Forecast
evaluation evaluation Selection
(Production profile, proposal
(Volumetrics & Risk)
CAPEX, OPEX, EMV)
GE3
After having completed the estimation of
Having obtained the technical validation to the OOIP of the prospect and to its
PoS, we now need to:
All these elements concur to the calculation of a cash flow, from which all the
other indicators of the economic value of the prospect are derived
144
145
Producer
Development Hypothesis
Injector 4 Prod + 3 Inj 146
Producer
Development Hypothesis
Injector 7 Prod + 3 Inj 147
Producer
Development Hypothesis
Injector 10 Prod + 3 Inj 148
70000.0 100000000.0
90000000.0
60000.0
80000000.0
50000.0 70000000.0
60000000.0
40000.0
50000000.0
30000.0
40000000.0
20000.0 30000000.0
20000000.0
10000.0
10000000.0
0.0 0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Time (year) 149
120000.0 250000000.0
100000.0
200000000.0
80000.0
150000000.0
60000.0
100000000.0
40000.0
50000000.0
20000.0
0.0 0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Time (year) 150
160000.0 350000000.0
140000.0 300000000.0
120000.0
250000000.0
100000.0
200000000.0
80000.0
150000000.0
60000.0
100000000.0
40000.0
20000.0 50000000.0
0.0 0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Time (year) 151
152
1 3
2
2
3
Producer 4
Injector
154
70000.0 100000000.0
90000000.0
60000.0
80000000.0
50000.0 70000000.0
60000000.0
40000.0
50000000.0
30000.0
40000000.0
20000.0 30000000.0
20000000.0
10000.0
10000000.0
0.0 0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Time (year) 155
2 3
Producer
4
Injector
156
35000.0 40000000.0
30000.0 35000000.0
30000000.0
25000.0
25000000.0
20000.0
20000000.0
15000.0
15000000.0
10000.0
10000000.0
5000.0 5000000.0
0.0 0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Time (year) 157
5
3
Producer
Injector
158
35000.0 35000000.0
30000.0 30000000.0
25000.0 25000000.0
20000.0 20000000.0
15000.0 15000000.0
10000.0 10000000.0
5000.0 5000000.0
0.0 0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Time (year) 159
5
2
Producer
3
6
Injector
160
35000.0 40000000.0
35000000.0
30000.0
30000000.0
25000.0
25000000.0
20000.0
20000000.0
15000.0
15000000.0
10000.0
10000000.0
5000.0
5000000.0
0.0 0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Time (year) 161
2 1 3
2
3
2 3
5
Producer 1 5
2 3
Injector 1 4
4
6 3
Same number for the same well
Same color for wells in the same level
162
Dry case
164
Development Plan:
Level x
– Producers: 2
Level y
– Water injectors: 2
– Gas Disposal (1)
Level z
165
Level x
166
Level x
Development Plan:
Level y
– Producers: 2 (2 smart completion wells)
– Water injectors: 3
Level z
– Gas Disposal (1)
167
Units: MUSD
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Pre-project 16.0 16.0 16.0
Company 25.8 34.8 43.3
FPSO 81.0 141.2 192.4
Risers and flowlines 73.4 88.5 102.8
Subsea system 60.7 60.7 65.5
Subtotal 257.0 341.2 420.0
Contingency 25.7 34.1 42.0
Drilling & completion 89.7 104.7 127.7
Prospect Total 372.4 480.0 589.7
Opex: fixed costs 2.5% of total capex + variable costs 1.5 USD/bbl of production
Abandonment costs: 10% of total capex at the last year of production
168
Production [bbls]
7 3814411 17.72 225 10000000
200
[MUSD]
8 3145967 16.72
9 2605944 15.91 175 8000000
150
10 1715323 14.57 6000000
125
11 1271723 13.91
100
12 1107846 13.66 4000000
75
13 965086 13.45 50 2000000
14 840723 13.26 25
15 732385 13.10 0 0
16 638009 12.96
11
13
15
17
19
-3
-1
17 555794 12.83 Ye ars
18 484173 12.73
19 421782 12.63
20 172483 48.00 12.26
Total 83017918 480.00 48.00 376.53
169
170
2001 - - - 21,20
2002 - - - 21,20
2003 - - - 21,20
2004 - 18.000 - - 20,78
2005 - 17.000 157.760 - 19,33
2006 - 473.280 - 17,96
2007 46.262 946.550 108.833 17,59
2008 42.234 - 102.791 16,23
2009 34.998 - 91.937 16,24
2010 28.693 82.480 16,25
2011 23.615 74.862 16,25
2012 19.509 68.703 16,26
2013 16.176 63.704 16,27
2014 13.461 59.631 16,27
2015 11.241 56.301 16,28
2016 9.418 53.566 16,28
2017 7.285 50.368 16,29
2018 5.133 47.140 16,29
2019 4.459 46.129 16,30
2020 3.874 45.251 16,31
2021 3.366 44.489 16,31
2022 2.926 43.828 16,32
2023 2.543 43.254 16,32
2024 2.210 42.755 16,33
2025 1.460 41.629 16,34
2026 1.189 41.223 16,34
2027 845 40.707 16,35
2028 290 39.874 16,36
2029 - 16,36
2030 - 16,36
16,36
TOTALE 281.187 - 35.000 1.577.590 1.289.455 - - - -
Dev P1+P2
Second Option
(Software for Risked Net Present Value – EMV - evaluation by scenario) 172
Collect/acquire
additional data
Pre-drill
exploration
set-up
Licence Perform Perform
economic Budget /
acquisition technical PV PRC
Portfolio
1st Forecast
evaluation evaluation Selection
(Volumetrics & Risk)
(Production profile, proposal
CAPEX, OPEX, EMV)
GE3
Now that we have estimated the Expected Monetary Value of our drillable
prospect, before inserting it in the next year budget for drilling we must
have our conclusions validated by the Project and Opportunity Assurance
Reviews
173
To
To identify
identify generic To
To evaluate
evaluate specific
specific To
To implement
implement thethe To
To confirm
confirm the
the
exploration
exploration opportunities
opportunities from
from aa operational
operational programme
programme presence
presence of of
opportunities
opportunities within
within technical/economic
technical/economic aimed
aimed at
at detailing
detailing the
the hydrocarbons
hydrocarbons andand
Objective
strategic
strategic guidelines
guidelines perspective
perspective and
and decide
decide prospect
prospect and
and update
update the technical
whether
whether to proceed
to proceed evaluating
evaluating how
how toto evaluation
evaluation according
according to
to
securing
securing the
the legal
legal right
right proceed
proceed to the drilling
to the drilling well results
well results
phase
phase
Main Gate
Is
Is the
the acreage
acreage Is
Is the
the prospect
prospect Does
Does the
the
question
Does
Does the
the valuable
valuable enough
enough toto technically
technically and
and discovery
discovery deserve
deserve
opportunity
opportunity deserve
deserve proceed
proceed to to the
the economically
economically mature
mature to
to to
to move
move to
to the
the
further
further license
license proceed
proceed toto the
the Evaluation
Evaluation
investigation?
investigation? acquisition?
acquisition? drilling
drilling phase?
phase? phase?
phase?
If everything is ok, we can then submit our prospect to Gate GE3 for
drilling consideration.
174
Project
Drill & PDE Drilling and Completion Post-drill Discovery
Well planning Results
set-up data collection and testing evaluation evaluation (ESB)
Drilling Testing
expenditure expenditure Drill & PDE
authorization authorization DSP
submission
The drilling activitiy and the ensuing evaluation of a possible
discovery are described in the Phase 4 of the OPES workflow.
This Phase, called “Drill & Post-drill evaluation”, is aimed at
verifying the presence of commercial hydrocarbon within the GE4
drillable prospect.
Legend
176
177
1000 m
179
180
181
Eni Operated
Eni Non
Operated
Acreage held by
other
companies
M
C
EB GB GC AT
KC
AC WR LU
182
140
Case 1
120 Case 2
60
40
20
-
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
183
184
140
Case 1
120 Case 2
Gross Production, KBOE/day
100 Case 3
Case 4
80
60
40
20
-
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
185
2750 Case 3
2500
2250 Case 4
2000
1750
1500
1250
1000
750
500
250
0
-250
-500
-750
-1000
-1250
-1500
2010
2012
2014
2028
2016
2018
2020
2024
2026
2004
2006
2008
2022
186
$900
$800
y = 387.15Ln(x) - 1705.5
$700
Eni Net NPV, M$
$600
$500
$400
$300
$200
$100
$0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Gross Reserves, MBOE
Eni Exploration
0.60
& Production
Division
Discovery Decision Tree
188
To
To identify
identify generic To
To evaluate
evaluate specific
specific To
To implement
implement thethe To
To confirm
confirm the
the
exploration
exploration opportunities
opportunities from
from aa operational
operational programme
programme presence
presence of of
opportunities
opportunities within
within technical/economic
technical/economic aimed
aimed at
at detailing
detailing the
the hydrocarbons
hydrocarbons andand
Objective
strategic
strategic guidelines
guidelines perspective
perspective and
and decide
decide prospect
prospect and
and update
update the technical
whether
whether to proceed
to proceed evaluating
evaluating how
how toto evaluation
evaluation according
according to
to
securing
securing the
the legal
legal right
right proceed
proceed to the drilling
to the drilling well results
well results
phase
phase
Main Gate
Is
Is the
the acreage
acreage Is
Is the
the prospect
prospect Does
Does the
the
question
Does
Does the
the valuable
valuable enough
enough toto technically
technically and
and discovery
discovery deserve
deserve
opportunity
opportunity deserve
deserve proceed
proceed to to the
the economically
economically mature
mature to
to to
to move
move to
to the
the
further
further license
license proceed
proceed toto the
the Evaluation
Evaluation
investigation?
investigation? acquisition?
acquisition? drilling
drilling phase?
phase? phase?
phase?
Head-office
Exploitation Decision
OPES / OPDS interaction Exploration
Steering Body Maker
Management
After
After an
an hydrocarbon
hydrocarbon discovery,
discovery, calls
calls the
the
Exploitation
Exploitation Steering
Steering Body
Body
“Rework”
Assesses
Assesses discovery,
discovery, the
the preliminary
preliminary project
project or “Kill”
(including
(including the eventual appraisal plan)
plan) and
and
evaluates
evaluates local constraints
Decides
Decides to
to start
start evaluation
evaluation
Proposes
Proposes project
project type
type and
and class
class
Approves
Approves project type and class and assigns OPDS
development
development project and responsibility
192
Evaluation
Drill & Post-drill Evaluation GEE4 (including appraisal)
Well
Well Results
Results
Discovery
Discovery
Declaration
Declaration
Exploitation
Steering
Body
193
Management
System OPES OPDS
Evaluation phase
Project GE 4 Appraisal
G1
194
195
Appraisal Appraisal
economic Appraisal
Appraisal technical
evaluation AR-A budget GA 1
set-up assessment
(Volumetrics & Risk)
(Production profile, proposal
CAPEX, OPEX, EMV)
The workflow for the appraisal is essentially the same as for the
Phases 3 and 4 of the OPES (AR, DSP, Gate…) 196
198
N S
Gas Sands
Salt
500 m
199
Critical spill
point
Structural spill
point
200
Critical spill
? point
?
1
Structural spill
point
201
2 Critical spill
point
Structural spill
point
202
well-2 well-1
O.D.T.
203
well-2 well-1
?
O.D.T.
W.U.T. O.D.T.
204
2 Critical spill
point
Structural spill
point
205
2 Critical spill
? point
1 ?
Structural spill
point
206
2
2 Critical spill
point
3
1
Structural spill
point
207
well-1 well-3
(projected)
well-1 O.D.T.
Structural S.P.
O.W.C. (?)
S
SE
208
3
1
Structural spill
point
209
2
? ?
3
1
Structural spill
point
210
And so on…
Sometimes, the more wells we drill, the more complicate becomes our
view of the actual geological model.
Luckily, most of the times one or two appraisals are enough to gain a
good understanding of the reservoir. When this happens, then we are
at the beginning of a development project.
211
212