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Republic, but
Republic, official Republic, usually commonly
Constitutional
Political government Republic pluralist parties backed by considered as a
monarchy system military military dictator
system
ri Morocco
Egypt
6.01%
3.12%
4.77%
1.60%
4.91%
3.92%
-1.45%
9.20%
2.46%
6.64%
e Tunisia
Combined
-12.89%
2.07%
13.76%
4.34%
9.72%
4.56%
6.38%
4.72%
1.77%
4.30%
s
West Africa (WAEMU): 8 countries
World Bank Governance indicators and scale of
microcredit
World Bank Correlation
Governance Senegal Mali Benin Burkina Faso Togo Cote D'Ivoire Niger Guinea-Bissau with mirocredit P-value – 1 tail
Indicators 2007 scale
Percentile Rank 48.1 56.3 56.7 38.5 14.4 11.1 36.1 32.7 0.48 0.113
Voice and
Accountability Score (-2.5 to
+2.5) -0.02 0.26 0.32 -0.31 -1.16 -1.26 -0.38 -0.51 0.46 0.125
Percentile Rank 37.5 38.9 58.7 46.2 26.9 3.4 26.4 29.8 0.42 0.151
Political
stability Score (-2.5 to
+2.5) -0.18 -0.13 0.38 0.09 -0.52 -2.12 -0.55 -0.41 0.39 0.169
Percentile Rank 45.2 45.7 36.2 41 18.6 2.4 20 6.2 0.75 0.016**
Rule of law
Score (-2.5 to -0.39 -0.37 -0.56 -0.48 -0.94 -1.54 -0.89 -1.36 0.71 0.024**
+2.5)
Percentile Rank 37.7 45.4 39.6 46.9 13.5 7.2 18.4 6.8 0.62 0.052*
Control of
corruption Score (-2.5 to
+2.5) -0.51 -0.43 -0.49 -0.4 -0.98 -1.09 -0.89 -1.11 0.65 0.039**
Microcredit
Scale (Gross $000 270595 114669 113874 88909 86083 32760 13789 223
loan portfolio)
4 WHAT MADE MICROCREDIT
SUCCESSFUL?
45000000
40000000
35000000
30000000
25000000
20000000
15000000
10000000
5000000
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
4 WHAT MADE MICROCREDIT
SUCCESSFUL?
20000000
Gram
een
15000000 BR
AC
AS
10000000 A
5000000
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Risk and Return in B'Desh Top three
At that time ASA was the best!
Bangladest: Top Three MFIs 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Yield %
ASA 30.6% 28.5% 24.7% 26.2% 25.8% High
BRAC 28.0% 29.2% 25.5% 26.8% 25.9%
Grameen Bank 22.9% 19.5% 20.0% 19.8%
Loan Loss Rate %
ASA 0.24% 0.83% 0.52% -0.03% 0.36% Low
BRAC 1.35% 2.17% 4.60% 1.77% 2.25%
Grameen Bank -0.06% -0.67% -0.56% -0.47% 0.64%
Operating Expense as % of loan portfolio
ASA 8.07% 9.44% 15.06% 13.13% 9.79%
BRAC 14.40% 13.22% 11.06% 11.65% 10.19% Low
Grameen Bank 9.29% 11.17% 10.87% 11.84% 11.31%
Return on Assets %
ASA 15.44% 14.54% 5.85% 9.78% 11.41%
BRAC 3.40% 6.97% 2.33% 3.92% 5.81% High
Grameen Bank 0.19% 2.46% 1.66% 0.52% 0.86%
Different kinds of risks in
Microfinance
Financial Risks Operational Risks Strategic Risks
Credit Risks Transaction Risks Governance Risks
Transaction Human Capacity Mission Drif
Portfolio Information Technology Corporate Governance
Liquidity Risks Fraud / Integrity Risks Reputation Risks
Undeliverable Social
Lack of Funding Staff perpetrated fraud Expectations
Excess Funding Management Appropriation Transparency
Market Risks Legal & Compliance Risks External Business Risks
Interest Rate Inappropriate Regulation Competition
Foreign Exchange Insufficient legal advisors Political Interference
Example of an indirect risk:
inappropriate regulation
• Demonetization in India (November 2016)
• Wiped out many micro businesses since customers could not pay them
• They in turn could not pay MFI
• So MFI could not grow
• The negative impact seems to be over by last quarter of 2017
• https://www.syminvest.com/news/india-looking-beyond--
how-micro-finance-institutions-are-wiping-out-demonetisation-pang
s/2018/1/9/7276
5 UNSUSTAINABLE GROWTH OF
MICROCREDIT
Existing
Donors
borrowers
Compartamos
Potential
Regulators
Borrowers
Employees
Compartamos stakeholders
Shareholders
Interest Donors
Potential
Borrowers
Regulators
Low
E
r*
Usury
ru ceiling
Unsatisfied
demand
Demand
Loan
b a c Amount
6 ENABLING INSTITUTIONS TO
PROTECT MICROCREDIT
6.2 TRANSPARENCY
Countries difer on
The whole truth Legisltaton requires
which cost
(Efectve Annual APR even if they call
components to
Rates) is never it Global Efectve
include in
revealed rates
calculatons
PART 2: INSTITUTIONAL STUDY OF MICROCREDIT: SUCCESSES AND FAILURES
The whole truth (Effective Annual
Rates) is never revealed
Table 2.7: Comparison of adjustments to be made in calculations of interest rates in different countries
United United
France Tunisia Morocco
States Kingdom
Drawdowns
Repayments x x x
Charges x x x
Interest x x x x
Commissions x X x
Taxes x x
Fees in connection with the credit
x X x
agreement known to the creditor
Costs in respect of compulsive ancillary
x x x X
services relating to the credit agreement
when their
amount can
be given
Legal officer’s fees accurately x
upon final
conclusion of
the contract
6 ENABLING INSTITUTIONS TO
PROTECT MICROCREDIT
6.3 RELIGION
The support and
Hinduism diferent from
permissiveness allowed by
Literature survey showed the three monotheistc
Hinduism may explain the
many unexplored areas in religions because in
success of microfnance in
religion and microfnance venerates money and
India but does not explain
permits high interest rates
the suicides.
50 12.00 10
51 12.00 10
52 12.00 10
calculations Total payments
Of which, interest
624
104
624
104
624
104
624
104
624
104
624
104
624
104
Principal 520 520 520 520 520 520 520
number of periods in
year 52 52 26 26 12 12 1
IRR (for each period 0.71% 0.87% 1.40% 1.70% 2.92% 3.47% 20.00%
Annualized APR 37.02% 45.21% 36.41% 44.07% 35.07% 41.64% 20.00%
Annualized EAR 44.61% 56.86% 43.56% 54.81% 41.30% 50.58% 20.00%
Note: Rows 28 to 49 are hidden since they have the same repayment