Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Applied Econometrics
Second edition
Dimitrios Asteriou and
Stephen G. Hall
Applied Econometrics
Applied Econometrics
SIMPLE REGRESSION
300
250
200
150 X
100
50
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Applied Econometrics
• By eye
• Connecting the first with the last observation
• Take the average of the first two and the
average of the two last and connect
• Apply Ordinary Least Squares
Applied Econometrics
Regression Models
Deterministic Regression Model:
Y=0+1X
Probabilistic Regression Model:
Y=0+1X+u
0 and 1 are population parameters
0 and 1 are estimated by sample
statistics b0 and b1
Applied Econometrics
Equation of the Regression Line
Yˆ b0 b1 X
where : b0 = the sample intercept
b1 = the sample slope
Yˆ = the predicted value of Y
Applied Econometrics
Slope and Intercept of the
Regression Line
X Y
X X Y Y XY nXY XY
n
b
X X X n X
2 2 2
1 2
X 2
X
n
Y X
b Y b X n b n
0 1 1
Applied Econometrics
SSXY X X Y Y XY
X Y
n
X X
2
X
SSXX
2
2
X n
SSXY
b1 SSXX
Y X
b Y b X n b n
0 1 1
Applied Econometrics
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200
150
X
Linear (X)
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50
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Applied Econometrics
17
Applied Econometrics