ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

Ensuring Electricity in Java-Bali

Bandung, November 10th, 2009

Presented by PT PLN (Persero) for Business Forum West Java International Expo 2009
AGENDA
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

1 Present Condition

2 Java-Bali Electricity System – October 2009

3 Electricity Demand Projection 2009-2019

4 Java-Bali Capacity Balance 2009-2019

5 Generation Capacity Addition 2009-2019

6 Transmission and Distribution Development 2009-2019

7 Fuel Mix in Java-Bali System

8 2nd Fast Track Program

9 West Java Grid Development

2
Present Condition
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

National Electrification Ratio 2009 : 65% Category :

NAD
74,91%
> 60 %
Sumut
69,32% 41 - 60 %
Kaltim
Kalteng 68,37% Gorontalo 20 - 40 %
Riau + Kepri 48,70% Sulut
44,33%
54,66% 66,62%
Kalbar Malut
45,65% 47,81%
Sumbar Sumsel
68.72% 49,80% Sulteng
Babel 47,64%
Jambi Sulsel
72,45%
48.85% 54,90%
Jakarta Sultra
Bengkulu 100% Kalsel 38,21% Maluku
50.08% 71,39% Bali
55,36%
Lampung 74,42%
47,66%
Banten Jabar
72,11% Jateng Jatim
64,95% NTT
70,60% 71,08% NTB
Jogya 24.24% Papua + Irjabar
31.99%
79,64% 32,05%

Source: ESDM
3
Java-Bali Electricity System – as of October 2009
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

Bottleneck on
IBT 500/150 kV
SURALAYA
CILEGON
CLGON
GU
TNAGA MKRNG PRIOK M.TAWAR
GU GU
BLRJA RGDLK
KEMBANGAN
BEKASI
CAWANG
SKMDI
CIBATU KSBRU INDMY
RKBTG GANDUL CIBINONG PBRAN HRGLS T.JATI
MENES
JTBRG
DEPOK CKPAY
BUNAR BGBRU SBANG
PWKTA
P
SALAK
CIRATA
ARJWN SRAGI JPARA PATI
P CNJUR RBANG
PDLRG
DAGO BRBES
KBSEN WLERI
PRATU LBSTU SAGULING UBRNG MANDIRANCAN BBKAN KRPYK TBROK KUDUS DWIMA TUBAN
P RCKEK
CGRLG KLNGU GU BLORA SMNEP
UBRUG CKSKA MLBNG KNGAN
GRESIK BKLAN
PWRDI BABAT PMKSN
BANDUNG P
KMJNG P DRJAT
GRUNG CEPU BJGRO
SELATAN UNGARAN GLTMR
GARUT LNGAN SPANG
MNANG KDMBO
SNTSA CAMIS BNJAR KBSEN DIENG
SMDRA MRICA NGBNG
SRGEN
MJNGO
BNTUL
NGAWI KRIAN SBLTN
TASIKMALAYA WSOBO PLOSO
MKRTO
JAJAR
RWALO GBONG WALIN MSPTI
PALUR KTSNO BNGIL
PMPEK MDARI SMANU NGJUK NGORO GRATI
KBMEN WNSRI
GU PWRJO KNTUG MRGEN
CLCAP MNRJO
BNGIL GNDING
WATES
PEDAN SMAN STBDO
WNGIRI MDLAN
TLGNG BNRAN SKLNG PBLGO PAITON
KEDIRI SLRJO
PAKIS BDWSO
KBAGN
BWNGI
KBAGN WLNGI PMRON
PCTAN JMBER
KKTES TUREN LMJNG GLNUK
TLGNG TNGUL BTRTI
NGARA

JAMALI
AMPLA
UBUD
GTENG
ANTRI GNYAR
KAPAL

deficit PBIAN

NSDUA

alert
Deficit in Bali subsystem
and bottleneck on Java-Bali
NDC: Net Dependable Capacity 150 kV submarine cable
PL: Peak Load NDC PL BL
BL: Balance Capacity Balance
 Normal : No load curtailment, operation reserve > biggest unit
 Alert : No load curtailment, operation reserve < biggest unit 4
 Deficit : Rotating load curtailment
 Electricity Demand Projection 2009-2019
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

350,000  Electricity demand projection is calculated

Indonesia per PLN’s region using demand forecast
300,000
modelling to consider economic growth per
250,000 customer sector, electrification ratio target
and big customer waiting list in a region.
200,000
 Electrification ratio and economic growth is
150,000 based on the National Electricity Master
Plan (RUKN), which will increase from 65%
100,000
in 2009 to 91% in 2019. This projection is
50,000 calculated based on the assumption of
economic growth 6.2% per year.
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
 LPEM UI study: For 1%
250,000
GWh
90,000.0
GWh
economic growth need an
200,000
80,000.0
West Java input of electricity growth
70,000.0

Java-Bali 60,000.0
1.5 – 2% (elasticity). PLN
150,000
50,000.0
average elasticity is 1.5.
100,000
40,000.0
 Electricity demand in
30,000.0

20,000.0
Indonesia will increase at
50,000
10,000.0 9.2% per year (Java-Bali
0
- 8.97% and West Java 8.72%).
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

5
 Demand Forecast of West Java
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE
======================= ========== ========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== ===========
Calendar Year 2008*) 2009**) 2010#) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
======================= ========== ========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== ===========

Total Population (10^3) 46,559.2 47,186.9 47,810.5 48,428.9 49,044.3 49,641.1 50,270.9 50,850.2 51,441.9 52,024.3 52,597.5 53,153.2
- Growth Rate (%) 1.38 1.35 1.32 1.29 1.27 1.22 1.27 1.15 1.16 1.13 1.10 1.06
Growth of Total GDP (%) 5.8 4.5 5.8 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8
Electrification Ratio (%) 64.4 66.8 69.8 73.1 76.7 80.4 84.3 88.4 92.5 96.8 100.0 100.0

Energy Sales (GWh) 34,051.0 36,533.1 39,101.6 42,571.2 46,542.5 50,880.6 55,619.3 60,795.6 66,182.9 72,043.9 78,420.1 85,356.6
- Growth Rate (%) 5.30 7.29 7.03 8.87 9.33 9.32 9.31 9.31 8.86 8.86 8.85 8.85
-- Residential 10,710.0 11,440.7 12,201.2 13,390.4 14,691.6 16,115.1 17,672.4 19,376.0 21,152.2 23,087.2 25,195.2 27,491.7
-- Commercial 2,632.3 2,790.0 3,018.1 3,279.0 3,618.8 3,993.6 4,406.8 4,862.3 5,337.6 5,858.8 6,430.4 7,057.2
-- Public 929.0 1,031.0 1,118.4 1,218.2 1,327.0 1,445.4 1,574.4 1,715.0 1,860.4 2,018.2 2,189.4 2,375.0
-- Industrial 19,779.6 21,271.4 22,763.9 24,683.6 26,905.2 29,326.6 31,965.8 34,842.3 37,832.7 41,079.7 44,605.0 48,432.7

Power Contracted (MVA) 13,224.2 13,800.1 14,589.0 15,592.8 16,479.3 17,422.9 18,426.8 19,494.2 20,574.0 21,718.2 22,789.7 23,573.1
-- Residential 5,851.8 6,128.8 6,489.2 6,892.0 7,321.0 7,777.6 8,263.6 8,780.7 9,304.6 9,860.3 10,309.0 10,433.4
-- Commercial 1,569.4 1,593.7 1,704.4 1,831.0 1,968.1 2,116.4 2,276.6 2,449.6 2,626.3 2,816.1 3,019.9 3,238.8
-- Public 556.6 583.0 618.1 658.0 700.9 747.2 796.9 850.2 904.6 962.7 1,024.8 1,091.1
-- Industrial 5,246.4 5,494.7 5,777.4 6,211.8 6,489.3 6,781.7 7,089.7 7,413.7 7,738.5 8,079.1 8,435.9 8,809.7

Number of Customer 8,146,194 8,582,395 9,102,295 9,682,419 10,299,568 10,956,109 11,654,559 12,397,597 13,150,262 13,948,675 14,607,607 14,837,408
-- Residential 7,684,353 8,095,724 8,581,619 9,123,316 9,699,208 10,311,451 10,962,341 11,654,317 12,354,999 13,097,808 13,697,263 13,863,447
-- Commercial 242,218 255,188 274,099 295,578 318,721 343,654 370,514 399,447 428,943 460,586 494,531 530,941
-- Public 208,626 219,797 234,359 250,721 268,224 286,946 306,974 328,397 350,179 373,404 398,166 424,568
-- Industrial 10,997 11,686 12,219 12,803 13,416 14,058 14,731 15,436 16,140 16,877 17,647 18,453

Total Production (GWh) 37,077.7 39,996.8 42,696.2 46,368.0 50,569.9 55,265.4 60,392.9 65,991.9 71,816.4 78,150.9 85,049.1 92,572.1
Energy Requirement (GWh) 37,004.9 39,924.0 42,618.5 46,283.5 50,477.8 55,164.8 60,282.9 65,871.7 71,685.6 78,008.5 84,894.2 92,403.4
Station Use (%) - - - - - - - - - - - -
T & D Losses (%) +) 7.98 8.49 8.25 8.02 7.80 7.77 7.74 7.71 7.68 7.65 7.63 7.63
PS GI&Dis (%) 1) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Load Factor (%) 83.58 83.61 80.33 80.25 80.21 80.18 80.15 80.12 80.09 80.07 80.04 80.02
Peak Load (MW) 5,064 5,461 6,068 6,596 7,197 7,868 8,602 9,403 10,236 11,143 12,130 13,207

======================= ========== ========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== =========== ===========

Annual growth rate of sales = 8.85% (Energy sales in 2009 is about 36.5 TWh and 85.4 TWh in year of 2019)
Electrification ratio = 100% in year of 2018
Additional customer = 650.000 customer/year
Additional peak load = 700 MW/year
Java-Bali Capacity Balance 2009-2019
No. Supply and Demand 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 E L2016
E C T R I 2017
C I T Y F O2018
R A B E 2019
TTER LIFE
1 Demand
Energy Sales GWh 106,956 115,099 125,199 136,807 149,618 163,688 179,053 195,314 213,020 232,167 252,547
Growth % 5.7 7.6 8.8 9.3 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.8
Production GWh 123,066 132,867 145,113 158,410 173,097 189,215 206,801 225,396 245,150 267,184 290,639
Load Factor % 79.5 77.5 76.5 75.5 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0
Peak Load MW 17,671 19,571 21,654 23,951 26,347 28,800 31,477 34,307 37,314 40,667 44,237
2 Supply MW
Installed Capacity 21,936 21,503 21,425 21,425 21,425 21,425 21,425 21,425 21,425 21,425 21,425
PLN 18,071 17,638 17,560 17,560 17,560 17,560 17,560 17,560 17,560 17,560 17,560
IPP 3,865 3,865 3,865 3,865 3,865 3,865 3,865 3,865 3,865 3,865 3,865
Retired -300 -433 -78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Capacity Addition
3.1 PLN
Ongoing Project MW 1,445 4,084 2,036 243 1,360 - - - - - -
Plan
Upper Cisokan PS PS - - - - - 500 500 - - - -
Muara Tawar Add-On 2,3,4 CCPP - - 150 - 1,050 - - - - - -
Bojanegara (LNG Terminal) CCPP - - - - - - - - 750 1,500 -
New CCPP CCPP - - - - - - - - - 750 -
New GTPP GTPP - - - - - - 600 600 600 600 600
New SCPP (Indramayu) SCPP - - - - - 1,000 1,000 - - - 4,000
GeoPP FTP2 - PLN GeoPP - - - - 60 220 260 110 110 - -
Kesamben HEPP - - - - - - - - 37 - -
Kalikonto-2 HEPP - - - - - - - 62 - - -
Matenggeng PS PS - - - - - - - - 443 443 -
Grindulu PS PS - - - - - - - - - 500 500
3.2 IPP
Ongoing Project MW 110 150 660 2,250 250 - - - - - -
Plan
Banten SCPP - - - - - - 660 - - - -
Madura (2x300 MW) SCPP - - - - - 600 - - -
East Bali SCPP - - - - 200 - - - - - -
Sumatera Mine Mouth SCPP - - - - - - - 1,800 1,200 - -
Central Java SCPP (Infrastructure) SCPP - - - - - 1,000 1,000 - - - -
GeoPP FTP2 - IPP GeoPP - - - 175 310 445 55 235 330 545 370
Rajamandala HEPP - - - - - - - 30 - - -
Jatigede HEPP - - - - - - - - 110 - -
Cikotok HEPP - 4 - - - - - - - - -
Girimukti, Cianjur HEPP - 8 - - - - - - - - -
4 Total Supply 23,551 27,364 30,133 32,801 36,031 39,196 43,271 46,708 50,287 54,625 60,095
5 Reserve Margin % 33 40 39 37 37 36 37 36 35 34 36
6 Potential Project 7
West Java SCPP (Ex. Tj Jati A) SCPP - - - - - - 660 - - - -
Generation Capacity Addition in Java-Bali System [2009-2019]
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

8,000
 Capacity addition in Java-Bali up to 2019 = 38,600 MW
MW or 3.500 MW per year.
7,000
 PLN = 26.100 MW, and IPP = 12.500 MW
907
 Ongoing Project = 12.600 MW (PLN = 9.200 MW, IPP =
6,000 3.400 MW]
1,116
5,000 2,430
475
4,000 2,568 IPP
1,261 2,680 2,465
3,441 PLN
3,000 2,983 6,093

4,650
2,000 4,241
117 3,748
3,152
2,789
2,391 2,438
1,000
1,699 1,470 1,600

-
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Source: Draft RUPTL 2010-2019 8

2nd Fast Track Program
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

MW
Region Hydro Combine Geothermal Steam Total
Electric Cycle Turbine
Java 1,000 1,200 1,525 2,000 5,725
Outside Java 174 426 2,058 2,294 4,952
Total 1,174 1,626 3,583 4,294 10,677
Portion 11% 15% 34% 40% 100%

PLN + IPP PLN IPP

Type of Power
Plant Capacity Capacity Investment Capacity Investment
(MW) (MW) (Mil. USD) (MW) (Mil. USD)
Steam turbine 4,294 3,064 4,039 1,230 2,031
Combine cycle 1,626 1,200 1,020 426 362
Geothermal 3,583 977 1,537 2,606 6,057
Hydro electric 1,174 1,174 1,010
Total 10,677 6,415 7,605 4,262 8,450

9
Transmission and Distribution Development in Java-Bali System
2009-2019
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE
1,200

Transmissions (kms)  T/L development = 6.600 km

1,000
 Substation = 77.000 MVA
800  Distribution
 Medium Voltage = 98.000 km
600

 Low voltage = 174.000 km

400
 Dist. Transformer = 21.000 MVA
200  New Customers = 17.000.000
kms MVA
-
35,000 3,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Distribution
500 kV AC 500 kV DC 150 kV 70 kV 30,000
2,500
12,000
25,000
Substations (MVA) 2,000
10,000
20,000
1,500
8,000 15,000

1,000
10,000
6,000

500
5,000
4,000

0 0
2,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Jaringan TM Jaringan TR Trafo Distribusi

-
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

500/150 kV 150/70 kV 150/20 kV 70/20 kV Source: Draft RUPTL 2010-2019 10

Fuel Mix in Java-Bali System
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

2009 2019 Hydro

2%
Pumped
Storage
2%
Hydro
6%
Coal Geothermal HSD
51% Geothermal 13% (Oil)
7% Coal 2%
58%
HSD (Oil) MFO
7% (Oil)
Gas 0%
MFO (Oil) 18%
Gas 6%
23%
LNG
5%

Energy Production: 123.1 TWh Energy Production: 290.6 TWh

Source: Draft RUPTL 2010-2019 11

West Java Sub-system – Coverage Area
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

 Bandung Raya : Bandung City

 Cirata : Purwakarta, Subang, Indramayu,
Padalarang
 Tasikmalaya : Tasikmalaya, Garut, Banjar, Ciamis
 Cirebon : Cirebon, Jatibarang
 Cibatu : Bekasi Industrial Area, Tambun Cikarang
and Karawang
 Bogor : Kota Bogor, Puncak Area, Sukabumi,
Cianjur

12
 West Java Grid
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

RGDLK
Cirata
GU MTWAR
TGHRG
KSBLM
BKASI PNDLI PLTU I
i
KSBRU JAB-UT
PNDLI
DWUAN P
Cibatu
SKTNI KRTMR
BKUTR CKLDO
BKASI INBRN
PRURI INDMY
MLIGI
FAJAR
PRMYA CURUG
KRPYG SKMDI
PDKLP SOUTH HRGLS
MKSRI PYNYG TLJBE
JBEKA PBRAN
JTLHR JTBRG
TMBUN
A CGNEA CKDNG

GDMKR
CBATU
INDRM SBANG Cirebon CKRNG

Ke Jtrgn PNCOL TYGRI PWKTA

CRATA ARJWN

CIBNG A GHEJO
CKPAY SRAGI PLTU
KDPTN
P KANCI
PLMAN
f PDLRG DAGO SMDNG
I
DEPOK i
CNJUR A CBBAT
DGPKR
A PRKAN
BOGOR SGLNG
RCKEK
LGDAR UBRNG BBKAN BRBES
CBRUM
UJBRG MDCAN
I

BDTMR KNGAN
KRCDG
CGRLG
MJLYA MLBNG CKJNG
RCKBA CKSKA

PTUHA P PASIA
BDSLN
A
CKLNG P KMJNG

A WYNDU
GARUT
Tasikmalaya
LMJAN
P DRJAT
P
CAMIS BNJAR
TSMYA
STOSA
P DRJAS

MNANG

Bandung SMDRA TSMYA-7

Raya
PEDAN
PMPEK

PGDRN

13
Strengthening of West Java Grid [1/2]
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

 Bandung Raya Sub System to supply Bandung City

Bandung Selatan Substation , 500 kV, 2x500 MVA (existing)
Kamojang Geothermal = 200 MW,
Darajat Geothermal = 275 MW
Wayang Windu Geothetmal = 220 MW
Ujung Berung Substation 500 kV, 2x 500 MVA (2012)
 Cirata Sub System to supply: Purwakarta, Subang, Indramayu,
Padalarang
Cirata Substation, 500 kV, 2x500 MVA
Indramayu Steam Coal Power Plant 3 x 300 MW (2010)
 Tasikmalaya Sub System to supply: Tasikmalaya, Garut, Banjar, Ciamis
GITET Tasikmalaya 1x500 MVA

14
Strengthening of West Java Grid [2/2]
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

 Cirebon Sub System to supply : Cirebon, Jatibarang

GITET Mandirancan 1x500 MVA
IBT-2 Mandirancan 1x500 MVA (2010)
PLTU IPP Cirebon 1x660 MW (2011)
 Cibatu Sub System to supply : Bekasi Industrial Area , Tambun,
Cikarang and Karawang
GITET Cibatu 3x500 MVA
IBT-4 Cibatu 1x500 MVA (2011)
PLTGU IPP Cikarang Listrindo
 Bogor Sub System to supply Kota Bogor, Puncak Area, Sukabumi,
Cianjur
PLTP Gunung Salak 300 MW
PLTU Pelabuhan Ratu 2x300 MW (2011)

15
West Java Grid
ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE
P
MTWAR-7
P
BKASI-7
P P
BKASI SKTNI KSBRU JABUT JTBAR KANCI
Sub Sistem
DWUAN Cirebon
Sub PBRAN SKMDI HRGLS
Sub Cirata MW MW
Sistem P Pwkta
Cikrng- CBATU
CKMPY
JTLHR ARJWN SRAGI
Cbatu
GHEJO MW
CBATU-7 CRATA PWKTA

PDLRG BDUTR UJBRG RCKEK MDRCN

CRATA-7
MW
P UJBRG5 UJBRG7
P 280 MDRCN-7
MW
PTUHA LGDAR KRCDG CKSKA
Sub Sistem
Sub
Bandung Raya 369
Sistem 190
MW
Bogor- CNJUR CGRLG1
Skbmi
MW 200 Sub Sistem Tasik-
P MW Garut-Bnjar
136 MW 58 MW
JABSEL BDSLN KMJNG GARUT TSMYA CAMIS BNJAR
20 MW 63 MW 75 MW 47 MW
P 450 MW 163 MW
P WYNDU 0 MW
SGLNG-7 BDSLN-7 220 MW DRJAT
P TSBRU
P 275 MW
250 MW

TSBRU-7

16
 ELECTRICITY FOR A BETTER LIFE

Thank
Thank You…
You…

17