TUGAS

PERENCANA AN
N A O K I S AT RY O A N G G I T O
(07111640000011)
DATA PEMBANGKIT

Unit Kapasitas FOR

1 50 0.01
2 50 0.01
3 60 0.02
4 60 0.02
Dengan Beban Puncak 170 MW

Hitunglah:
a) LOLE
b) LOEE
c) EIR
 TABEL PROBABILITAS
Capacity
Total Keterangan:
Unit 1 Unit 2 Unit 3 Unit 4 out of Capacity Individual Cumulative
Time tk LOLP (%) 1=Pembangkit Bekerja
(50 MW) (50 MW) (60 MW) (60 MW) service in Service Probability Probability
(%)
(MW) 0=Pembangkit Mati
1 1 1 1 0 220 0.94128804 1 0 0
0 1 1 1 50 170 0.00950796 0.05871196 0 0
1 0 1 1 50 170 0.00950796 0.049204 0 0
1 1 0 1 60 160 0.01920996 0.03969604 9.433962 0.181226
1 1 1 0 60 160 0.01920996 0.02048608 9.433962 0.181226
0 0 1 1 100 120 0.00009604 0.00127612 47.16981 0.00453
0 1 0 1 110 110 0.00019404 0.00118008 56.60377 0.010983
1 0 0 1 110 110 0.00019404 0.00098604 56.60377 0.010983
0 1 1 0 110 110 0.00019404 0.000792 56.60377 0.010983
1 0 1 0 110 110 0.00019404 0.00059796 56.60377 0.010983
1 1 0 0 120 100 0.00039204 0.00040392 66.03774 0.025889
0 0 0 1 160 60 0.00000196 0.00001188 100 0.000196
0 0 1 0 160 60 0.00000196 0.00000992 100 0.000196
0 1 0 0 170 50 0.00000396 0.00000796 100 0.000396
1 0 0 0 170 50 0.00000396 0.000004 100 0.000396
0 0 0 0 220 0 0.00000004 0.00000004 100 0.000004
TABEL SEDERHANA
Capacity
out of Capacity Individual Total Time
LOLP (%)
service in Service Probability tk (%)
(MW)

0 220 0.94128804 0 0
50 170 0.00950796 0 0
60 160 0.01920996 9.433962 0.181226
100 120 0.00009604 47.16981 0.00453
110 110 0.00019404 56.60377 0.010983
120 100 0.00039204 66.03774 0.025889
160 60 0.00000196 100 0.000196
170 50 0.00000396 100 0.000396
220 0 0.00000004 100 0.000004
MENGHITUNG LOLE (LOSS OF LOADS
EXPECTATION)
• Total LOLP = 0.223225

365
• LOLE = 0.223225 x
100
= 0.814771 Hari/Tahun
KURVA DURASI BEBAN
LOAD DURATION CURVE • Keterangan:
Installed Capacity = 220 MW
220 • Ok = Capacity

O = 50 MW
O1 = 60 MW
210
Outage
200

O2 = 100 MW
190 • tk = Percent of Time

O3 = 110 MW
180
Load

O3 = 120 MW
170
160
150 t1 = 9.433962%
140
Capacity in service

130
t2 = 47.16981 %
120
110
t3 = 56.60377 %
100
t4 = 66.03774 %
90
y = -1.06x + 170
80
70
64
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Time (%)
MENGHITUNG E K

• EK merupakan Area yang

berada dibawah kurva
seperti yang ditunjukkan
pada gambar disamping.
• E merupakan Total jumlah
Area yang berada dibawah
kurva dari waktu 0-100%
maka:

(64+170)
E= 𝑥100 = 11700
2
MENGHITUNG EIR (ENERGY INDEX OF
RELIABILITY)
• EENS = EK.PK • LOEEPU =
𝐿𝑂𝐸𝐸
𝐸
(Expected Energy
not Supplied)

• LOEE = σ𝑛𝑘=1 𝐸𝑘. 𝑃𝑘

• EIR = 1-LOEEPU
(Loss of Energy
Expectation)
TABEL HASIL PERHITUNGAN EIR
Expected • LOEE = 2.324748981
Capacity Energy
Energy not
out of Capacity Individual Total Time Curtailed
LOLP (%) Supplied LOEEPU
service in Service Probability tk (%) or Ek
(Ek*Pk)
(MW) (MWh) 2.324748981
(MWh) • LOEEPU =
11700
0 220 0.94128804 0 0 0 0 0
= 0.000198696
50 170 0.00950796 0 0 0 0 0
60 160 0.01920996 9.433962 0.181226 47.169811 0.906130189 7.7447E-05
100 120 0.00009604 47.16981 0.00453 1179.2453 0.113254717 9.67989E-06
110 110 0.00019404 56.60377 0.010983 1698.1132 0.329501887 2.81626E-05 • EIR =
120 100 0.00039204 66.03774 0.025889 2311.3208 0.906130189 7.7447E-05
160 60 0.00000196 100 0.000196 11700 0.022932 0.00000196 1- 0.000198696
170 50 0.00000396 100 0.000396 11700 0.046332 0.00000396 = 0.999801304
220 0 0.00000004 100 0.000004 11700 0.000468 0.00000004