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Quantity Demanded
• Quantity demanded is the amount (number of units) of a product
that a household would buy in a given time period if it could buy all
it wanted at the current market price.
2002 Prentice Hall Business publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Kari Case, Ray Fair
• Quantity supplied represents the number of units of a product that a firm would be
willing and able to offer for sale at a particular price during a given time period.
2002 Prentice Hall Business publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Kari Case, Ray Fair
• When supply and demand both increase, quantity will increase, but
price may go up or down.
2002 Prentice Hall Business publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Kari Case, Ray Fair
By type: By function:
• Development costs
• Capital costs
• Operational costs
• Operating costs
• Maintenance costs
By behaviour: By time:
Fixed costs Recurring costs
Variable costs Non-recurring costs
5/21/2019 18
Time Value of Money
• An important concept in engineering economy
• Money can “make” money if invested.
• The change in the amount of money over a
given time period is called the time value of
money.
• Cash Flows
22
The Cash Flow Diagram: CFD
23
Net Cash Flows
• A NET CASH FLOW is
• Cash Inflows – Cash Outflows
•(for a given time period)
• We normally assume that all cash flows occur:
•At the END of a given time period
•End-of-Period Assumption
24
Interest Rate
• INTEREST - THE AMOUNT PAID TO USE MONEY.
– INVESTMENT
• INTEREST = VALUE NOW - ORIGINAL AMOUNT
– LOAN
• INTEREST = TOTAL OWED NOW - ORIGINAL AMOUNT
• INTEREST RATE - INTEREST PER TIME UNIT
26
Interest Rate - Notation
•Notation
•I = the interest amount is $
•i = the interest rate (%/interest period)
•N = No. of interest periods (1 for this problem)
•Interest – Borrowing
•The interest rate (i) is 7% per year
•The interest amount is $700 over one year
•The $700 represents the return to the lender for the use of funds
for one year
•7% is the interest rate charged to the borrower
27
Interest – Example
•Borrow $20,000 for 1 year at 9% interest per year
•i = 0.09 per year and N = 1 Year
•Pay $20,000 + (0.09)($20,000) at end of 1 year
•Interest (I) = (0.09)($20,000) = $1,800
•Total Amt Paid in one year:
28
Economic Equivalence
•Two sums of money at different points in time can be made
economically equivalent if:
• We consider an interest rate and,
• number of Time periods between the two sums
$20,000 is
received here
T=0 t = 1 Yr
$21,800 paid
back here
$20,000 now is economically equivalent to $21,800 one year from now IF the interest rate is set to equal
9%/year 29
Equivalence Illustrated
•$20,000 now is not equal in magnitude to $21,800 1 year from now
•But, $20,000 now is economically equivalent to $21,800 one year from now
if the interest rate in 9% per year.
•To have economic equivalence you must specify:
•timing of the cash flows
•interest rate (i% per interest period)
30
Simple and Compound Interest
•Two “types” of interest calculations
•Simple Interest
•Compound Interest
•Compound Interest is more common worldwide
and applies to most analysis situations
31
Simple and Compound Interest
• Simple Interest is calculated on the principal amount only
•Easy (simple) to calculate
•Simple Interest is:
•(principal)(interest rate)(time); $I = (P)(i)(n)
• Borrow $1000 for 3 years at 5% per year
• Let “P” = the principal sum
• i = the interest rate (5%/year)
• Let N = number of years (3)
•Total Interest over 3 Years...
32
For One Year
•$50.00 interest accrues but not paid
•“Accrued” means “owed but not yet paid”
•First Year:
P=$1,000
1 2 3
I1=$50.00
33
End of 3 Years
•$150 of interest has accrued
P=$1,000
1 2 3
34
Compound Interest
•Compound Interest is different
•In this application, compounding means to
compute the interest owed at the end of the
period and then add it to the unpaid balance of
the loan
•Interest “earns interest”
35
Compound Interest Cash Flow
P=$1,000
Owe at t = 3 years:
$1,000 + 50.00 + 52.50 +
1 2 3 55.13 = $1157.63
I1=$50.00
I2=$52.50
I3=$55.13
36
Compound Interest: Calculated
37
Compound Interest: t = 2
38
Compound Interest: t = 3
• New Principal sum: $1,102.50
•I3 = $1102.50 (0.05) = $55.125 = $55.13
•Add to the beginning of year principal yields:
•$1102.50 + 55.13 = $1157.63
•This is the loan payoff at the end of 3 years
•Note how the interest amounts were added to form a new principal sum with
interest calculated on that new amount
39
5/21/2019 40
Terminology and Symbols
P = value or amount of money at a time designated as
the present or time 0.
F = value or amount of money at some future time.
A = series of consecutive, equal, end-of-period amounts
of money.
n = number of interest periods; years
i = interest rate or rate of return per time period;
percent per year, percent per month
t = time, stated in periods; years, months, days, etc
41
P and F
• The symbols P and F represent one-time occurrences:
0 1 2 … … n-1 n
$P
42
Annual Amounts
• It is important to note that the symbol A always represents a
uniform amount (i.e., the same amount each period) that extends
through consecutive interest periods.
•Cash Flow diagram for annual amounts might look like the
following:
$A $A $A $A $A
…………
0 1 2 3 .. N-1 n
43
The MARR
• Firms will set a minimum interest rate that the financial managers of the
firm require that all accepted projects must meet or exceed.
•The rate, once established by the firm is termed the Minimum Attractive
Rate of Return (MARR)
•The MARR is expressed as a per cent per year
•In some circles, the MARR is termed the Hurdle Rate
44
Example 1.17
• A father wants to deposit an unknown lump-sum amount into an
investment opportunity 2 years from now that is large enough to withdraw
$4000 per year for state university tuition for 5 years starting 3 years from
now.
•If the rate of return is estimated to be 15.5% per year, construct the cash
flow diagram.
45
Interest Formulas
A uniform series of payments or receipts represents:
A A A A
| | | |
F = 0..1..2..3..4 + 0..1..2..3..4 + 0..1..2..3..4 + 0..1..2..3..4
| | | |A
| | | A(1+i)1
| | A(1+i)2
5/21/2019 | A(1+i)3 46
Uniform series (contin.)
i F = A(1+i)4 - A
1 i 1
n
In general, F A
i
\ uniform series
compound-amount factor
5/21/2019 47
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.3
Uniform series (contin.)
i
A F
1 i 1
n
\ uniform series
sinking-fund factor
1 i n 1
P1 i n
A uniform series
i present-worth factor
1 i 1n /
P A n
i1 i
This expression is used to calculate the present worth, given
the regular annuity payment.
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.6
Uniform series (contin.)
i 1 i n
A P
1 i 1
n
\ uniform series
capital-recovery factor
Important relationships:
The uniform series present-worth factor equals the sum of the n terms of the
single payment, present-worth factor:
The uniform series compound-amount factor equals 1 plus the sum of (n-1)
terms of the single payment, compound-amount factor:
[A/P, i, n] = [A/F, i, n] + i
Proof:
i 1 i n i
i
1 i 1 1 i 1
n n
i 1 i i i 1 i i i 1 i
n n n
1 i n ni 1 1
P G
1 i
2 n
i
1 i n ni 1
P G
i 1 i
2 n
\ arithmetic gradient
present-worth factor
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.13
Arithmetic Gradient series (contin.)
1 i n ni 1 i
A G
1 i 1
2 n
i
1 i n ni 1
A G
i 1 i 1
n
\ arithmetic gradient
uniform-series factor
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.17
The nominal interest rate (per yr), r, is the annual interest rate
without including effects of any compounding during the year.
(Note: This is what we have considered thus far in the class.)
The effective interest rate (per yr), ia , is the annual interest rate
including effects of any compounding during the year.
Effective interest rate per year, given the nominal interest rate
per year (r) :
ia = [1 + (r/m)]m - 1
Effective interest rate per year, given the effective interest rate
per compounding subperiod (i = r/m) :
ia = (1 + i)m - 1
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.19
Continuous Compounding:
Contin. compounding e rn 1
F A r
compound amount (future worth) e 1
er 1
Contin. compounding A F rn
sinking fund e 1
Contin. compounding e rn 1
P A rn r
present worth e (e 1)
Contin. compounding e rn (e r 1)
A P
capital recovery e 1
rn
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.21
Example:
Our consulting firm will need to purchase two new vehicles three years from
now at a total cost expected to be $50,000. We decide to take some of our
cash reserves and purchase a 3-yr. CD to set aside funds now for this future
purchase. The bank is offering two types of CD’s, one that pays 5.2% annual
interest compounded quarterly and the other that pays 5% annual interest
compounded continuously. Which one will require the smaller initial deposit
and thus preserve as much as possible of our current cash reserves?
P2 = $50,000(1.05127)-3 = $43,036
Interest Formulas
A uniform series of payments or receipts represents:
A A A A
| | | |
F = 0..1..2..3..4 + 0..1..2..3..4 + 0..1..2..3..4 + 0..1..2..3..4
| | | |A
| | | A(1+i)1
| | A(1+i)2
| A(1+i)3
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.2
Uniform series (contin.)
i F = A(1+i)4 - A
In general, 1 i n 1
F A
i
\ uniform series
compound-amount factor
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.3
Uniform series (contin.)
i
A F
1 i 1
n
\ uniform series
sinking-fund factor
1 i n 1
P1 i
n
A
i uniform series
present-worth factor
1 i 1
P A
n
/
n
i1 i
Example:
Our consulting firm would like to purchase a used testing machine from an
independent testing/inspection lab, and we make two offers: 1) a lump-sum of
$40,000 or 2) monthly payments of $1200 over 3 years at a 6% annual interest
rate. Which option do you think the testing lab would prefer, assuming it has
to replace the sold machine?
The lab would prefer the $40k payment now, because it is greater than
the present worth of the proposed loan terms.
i 1 i n
A P
1 i 1
n
\ uniform series
capital-recovery factor
Example:
Important relationships:
The uniform series present-worth factor equals the sum of the n terms of the
single payment, present-worth factor:
The uniform series compound-amount factor equals 1 plus the sum of (n-1)
terms of the single payment, compound-amount factor:
[A/P, i, n] = [A/F, i, n] + i
Proof:
i 1 i n i
i
1 i 1 1 i 1
n n
i 1 i i i 1 i i i 1 i
n n n
1 i n ni 1 1
P G
1 i
2 n
i
1 i n ni 1
P G
i 1 i
2 n
\ arithmetic gradient
present-worth factor
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.12
Example:
Our firm has purchased a photocopy machine that will require increasing service/
maintenance costs over the next six years (at which time we will sell it and buy a new
one). Such costs at the end of yr. 1 will be $100 and thereafter increase by $50 each
subsequent year (total is $1350). Our plan is to make these payments by using
amounts based on an initial cash deposit in an investment account in the local credit
union paying 4% annual interest. What is the required initial deposit?
250
|
200
150 | |
100 100 100 100 100 100 100 | | |
| | | | | | 50 | | | |
| | | | | | 0 | | | | |
0....1….2…..3….4…..5….6 + 0....1….2….3…..4….5…..6
| |
| |
| PA | PG
1 i n ni 1 i
A G
1 i 1
2 n
i
1 i n ni 1
A G
i 1 i 1
n
\ arithmetic gradient
uniform-series factor
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.14
Example:
For the photocopy machine maintenance program previously investigated, let us now
consider what the equivalent uniform annual maintenance cost would be (assume the
same 4% interest rate).
250
200 |
150 | |
100 100 100 100 100 100 100 | | |
| | | | | | 50 | | | |
| | | | | | 0 | | | | |
0....1….2…..3….4…..5….6 + 0....1….2….3…..4….5…..6
Consider a 4-yr period with costs increasing at 5% per year and given an
initial cost in year 1 of $100:
1 $100 = $100.00
2 100+100(5%) = 100(1+.05)1 = 105.00
3 105+105(5%) = 100(1+.05)2 = 110.25
4 110.25+110.25(5%) = 100(1+.05)3 = 115.76
In general, An = A1(1+g)n-1
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.16
Geometric series (contin.)
Note the compounding present-worth expression for a given future cash flow:
1
Pn An n
1 i
Substitute in the geometric gradient expression for An and drop n-th notation:
n 1
P A1 1 g 1
1 i n
n
For..i g ,...P A1
1 i
1 1 g n 1 i n
For..i g ,...P A1
ig
\ geometric series
present-worth factor
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.17
The nominal interest rate (per yr), r, is the annual interest rate
without including effects of any compounding during the year.
(Note: This is what we have considered thus far in the class.)
The effective interest rate (per yr), ia , is the annual interest rate
including effects of any compounding during the year.
Effective interest rate per year, given the nominal interest rate
per year (r) :
ia = [1 + (r/m)]m - 1
Effective interest rate per year, given the effective interest rate
per compounding subperiod (i = r/m) :
ia = (1 + i)m - 1
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.19
Continuous Compounding:
Contin. compounding e rn 1
F A r
compound amount (future worth) e 1
er 1
Contin. compounding A F rn
sinking fund e 1
Contin. compounding e rn 1
P A rn r
present worth e (e 1)
Contin. compounding e rn (e r 1)
A P
capital recovery e 1
rn
Engr 360 Engineering Econ. 4.21
Example:
Our consulting firm will need to purchase two new vehicles three years from
now at a total cost expected to be $50,000. We decide to take some of our
cash reserves and purchase a 3-yr. CD to set aside funds now for this future
purchase. The bank is offering two types of CD’s, one that pays 5.2% annual
interest compounded quarterly and the other that pays 5% annual interest
compounded continuously. Which one will require the smaller initial deposit
and thus preserve as much as possible of our current cash reserves?
P2 = $50,000(1.05127)-3 = $43,036