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The document discusses fundamental analysis for evaluating investment opportunities. It involves analyzing economic, industry and company-specific factors. The economic analysis examines macroeconomic trends, while industry analysis considers competition and growth opportunities within a sector. Company analysis evaluates the financial health, management and competitive positioning of a specific firm. Fundamental analysis helps identify undervalued stocks by estimating a company's intrinsic value based on forecasted cash flows.
The document discusses fundamental analysis for evaluating investment opportunities. It involves analyzing economic, industry and company-specific factors. The economic analysis examines macroeconomic trends, while industry analysis considers competition and growth opportunities within a sector. Company analysis evaluates the financial health, management and competitive positioning of a specific firm. Fundamental analysis helps identify undervalued stocks by estimating a company's intrinsic value based on forecasted cash flows.
The document discusses fundamental analysis for evaluating investment opportunities. It involves analyzing economic, industry and company-specific factors. The economic analysis examines macroeconomic trends, while industry analysis considers competition and growth opportunities within a sector. Company analysis evaluates the financial health, management and competitive positioning of a specific firm. Fundamental analysis helps identify undervalued stocks by estimating a company's intrinsic value based on forecasted cash flows.
can differ from its IV. An investor can take benefit of this market disequilibrium & benefit from the price mismatch by buying under- valued securities & selling over-valued securities. Each stock has an intrinsic value which is measured by finding the present value of all future cash flows from the security(dividend, rights, bonus, capital appreciation). Thus, IV can be determined by discounting the prospective cash flows using the rate of return required by the investor as the discount rate. The future cash flows are affected by various factors in the business environment, specifically, the economy, the industry & the company factors. Thus, FA studies the economic, industry & company factors to find out the intrinsic worth of securities. It helps the investors in taking investment decisions. • Step 1: Economic Analysis – State of overall economy • Step 2: Industry Analysis – Outlook for specific industry – Level of competition in industry • Step 3: Company Analysis – Financial condition of specific company – Historical behavior of specific company’s stock – Qualitative analysis like type & track record of management,etc. Gross Domestic Product (GDP): market value of all goods and services produced in a country over the period of a year
Industrial Production: measure of the
activity/output in the industrial or productive segment of the economy Government Fiscal Policy › Taxes › Government spending › Debt management Monetary Policy › Money supply › Interest rates Other Factors › Inflation › Consumer spending › Business investments › Foreign trade › Currency exchange rates Evaluate the competitive position of a particular industry in relation to other industries › Looking for new opportunities & growth potential Identifycompanies within the industry that look promising › Looking for strong market positions, pricing leadership, economies of scale, etc. • What is the nature of the industry? • Is the industry regulated? • What role does labor play in the industry? • How important are technological developments? • Which economic forces have the most impact on the industry (e.g., interest rates, foreign trade)? • What are the important financial and operating considerations (e.g., access to capital)? Growth Cycle reflects the vitality of an industry or a company over time. Initial Development: industry is new and risks are very high Rapid Expansion: product acceptance is growing and investors become very interested Mature Growth: expansion comes from growth in the economy and returns are more predictable Stability or Decline: demand for product is diminishing and investors avoid this stage Evaluate the financial condition and operating results of a specific company › Competitive position, Composition and growth in sales › Profit margins and dynamics of earnings › Asset mix (i.e. cash balance, inventory, accounts receivable, fixed assets) › Financing mix ( i.e. debt, stock) Summary of a company’s assets, liabilities, and shareholders’ equity at a point in time › Assets: what the company owns (i.e. cash, inventory, accounts receivable, equipment, buildings, land) › Liabilities: what the company owes (i.e. bills, debt) › Equity: capital the stockholders have invested in the company Summary of a company’s operating results over a specific period of time, usually one year › Revenues: funds received for providing products and/or services › Expenses: funds used to pay for materials, labor, and other business costs › Profit/Loss: revenues less expenses Summary of a company’s cash flows and other events that caused changes in company’s cash › Sources of Cash: proceeds from sale of products/ services, sales of equipment, borrowing money, sale of stock › Use of Cash: payment of wages and/or materials, payment of operating expenses, purchases of equipment, payment of debt, payment of dividends Comparative Analysis : in order to compare financial performance of a firm with the industry averages and other peers in the industry. Trend Analysis : to identify the trends in the working of the company over the past years Common-size Statement Analysis : in order to compare performance of a firm or two firms over time. Ratio analysis : finding the ratios between different items of the balance sheet, revenue statements & their combinations. Liquidity Ratios: the company’s ability to meet day-to-day operating expenses and satisfy short- term obligations as they become due Activity Ratios: how well the company is managing its assets Leverage Ratios: amount of debt used by the company Profitability Ratios: measures how successful the company is at creating profits Common Stock Ratios: converts key financial information into per-share basis to simplify financial analysis Current Ratio: how many rupees of short- term assets are available for every rupee of short-term liabilities owed Quick ratio : how many quick assets are available for paying off quick liabilities. Quick assets are ones which can be easily convertible to cash. Gross profit ratio Net Profit ratio Operating profit ratio Return on assets Return on Net Worth Return on equity Return on cap emp Stock turnover ratio Debtors turnover ratio / Average Collection period Creditors turnover ratio / Average Payment period Total Assets Turnover ratio Fixed assets turnover ratio Interest coverage raatio Net working capital turnover ratio Debt – equity ratio Interest coverage ratio Capital gearing ratio Debt service coverage ratio Earning per share Price earnings ratio Price earnings growth ratio Dividend per share Dividend payout ratio Dividend yield ratio Book value per share Price to book value raatio Net Profit s Net Profit s Sales Total Assets ROE Equity Sales Total Assets Equity Ratio 1 Ratio 2 Ratio 3 Fundamental analysis helps to identify which shares to buy based on the facts, figures & findings about economy, industry & company. Technical analysis helps to determine the right time to buy or sell securities in the market, based on historical stock prices, charts, patterns & indicators. THANK YOU