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TECHNIQUE
Decision making is the most complex, but essential human activity. Several tools
have been developed for facilitating decision making – whether in ordinary course of life or
business. Good decisions are always applauded. Decisions determine the destiny of
individuals or organizations.
Decisions can be based on both qualitative aspects and quantitative data. Certain
situations warrant the introduction of elements of quantities which support judgment and
intuition. Many of the decision circumstances of business organizations necessitate planning
and evaluation of alternatives. Thus emerged the subject of quantitative techniques.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Business is becoming more and more complex and requires effective management to
succeed. Managing complexity requires many professional skills including quantitative
analysis. Business environment is being globalized, competitors are increasing, demand is
getting diverse, and employees becoming more mobile and demanding. As a consequence,
effective decision making is more crucial than ever before.
On the other hand, managers have more access to larger and more detailed data base
that are potential sources of information. However, to achieve this potential, it is required that
managers know how to convert data into information. This is one of the reasons why
quantitative techniques are being more and more focused.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Definitions
Definitions
Features
Descriptions of quantitative techniques reveal following characteristics or features.
Measurement
Measurement is the basis of quantitative technique. Measurement is assigning
numbers to concepts and phenomena. Measurement generates necessary data.
Numerical analysis
Another basic feature of quantitative techniques is numerical expression of variables
and analysis thereto. Even qualitative characteristics or phenomenon can be transformed to
numbers and symbols using quantitative techniques.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Scientific method
Quantitative techniques for decision making are examples for the use of scientific
methods of management. It offers a systematic and objective experimentation, observation
and evaluation of best strategies.
Decision making
It is a support system in decision making process. It provides decision makers with
appropriate tools of evaluation and presentation.
Options
Quantitative techniques should evaluate and reveal alternative strategies or options.
There is no scope for decision where there is a single option.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Improvement
Quantitative techniques should replace personal judgment and intuition. It should lead
to improved and quality decisions.
Quantification
Critical factors affecting a decision situation is transformed into quantitative or
numerical form. It is easy to comprehend, understand and delegate an issue in numerical
form.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Analysis
Quantitative techniques enable scientific and systematic study of any issue. It probes
deep into the factors influencing the problem and helps to express the situation in a
comprehensive form.
Decision making
Quantitative techniques facilitate the process of decision making. It sets out all possible
alternatives and enables a feasibility study of each so that the optimal alternative can be
chosen
Deployment of resources
Quantitative techniques, if properly applied, leads to optimal allocation of available
limited resources. It avoids wastages and less efficient usage of resources, and leads to
conservation of resources.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Sequencing
Certain projects may involve several complex activities , to be performed in a
sequential order. Quantitative techniques aids in determining optimal sequence of performing
a set of jobs, so as to minimize total process time.
Optimize service
In service sector, quantitative techniques is the only option for addressing questions
like waiting time, service time, traffic intensity, idle time etc.
Role of quantitative techniques in decision making
Quantitative techniques have been increasingly used in decision making relating to
solution of complex problems of business and industry. Quantitative techniques are now
recognized as an effective tool for solving managerial problems. Its role is vital due to
following reasons,
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Better control
Management of bigger organizations find it much costlier to provide continuous
executive supervision over routine decisions. A Quantitative techniques approach directs the
executives to devote their attention to more pressing matters. For example quantitative
techniques approach deals with production scheduling and inventory control.
Better coordination
Sometimes quantitative techniques have been very useful in maintaining the orderly
situation out of chaos. For example, quantitative techniques based planning model becomes a
vehicle for coordinating possibilities of marketing decisions with the limitations imposed on
manufacturing capabilities.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Better system
Quantitative techniques study is also initiated to analyze a particular problem of
decision making such as establishing a new warehouse. Later quantitative techniques
approach can be further developed into a system to be employed repeatedly. Consequently
the cost of undertaking the first application may improve the profits.
Better decisions
Quantitative techniques models frequently yield actions that do improve an intuitive
decision making. Sometimes a situation may be so complicated that the human mind can
never hope to assimilate all the important factors without the help of quantitative techniques
and computer analysis.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Quantitative approach
This approach involves generation and analysis of data in numerical form. Data
obtained a s per quantitative approach can be subjected to rigorous quantitative analysis in a
formal fashion. This will reveal almost all inherent characteristics of the variable under study.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Qualitative approach
Profit maximization
Quantitative techniques are invaluable in assessing the relative profitability of
alternative choices and identifying the most profitable course of action. What should be the
relative mix of different products, which site to choose for location out of alternative sites,
which arrangement of orders in terms of time and quantity, will give maximum profits. Such
question can be answered with the help of quantitative techniques.
Cost minimization
Quantitative techniques are helpful in tackling cost minimization problems. For
example waiting line theory enables a manager to minimize waiting and servicing costs.
Their techniques help business managers in taking a correct decision through analysis of
feasibility of adding facilities.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Forecasting
Quantitative techniques are useful in demand forecasting. They provide a scientific
basis of coping with the uncertainties of future demand. Demand forecasts serve as the basis
for capacity planning. Quantitative technique enables a manager to adopt the minimum risk
plan. Inventory control
Inventory planning techniques help in deciding when to buy and how much to buy. It
enables management to arrive at appropriate balance between the costs and benefits of
holding stocks. The integrated production models technique is very useful in minimizing
costs of inventory, production and workforce. Statistical quality controls help us to determine
whether the production process is under control or not.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Applications of quantitative techniques in business operations
Quantitative techniques are widely applied for solving decision problems of routine
operations of business organizations. It is especially useful for business managers, economist,
statisticians, administrators, technicians and others in the field of business, agriculture,
industry services and defense. It has specific applications in the following functional areas of
business organizations.
Planning
In planning, quantitative techniques are applied to determine size and location of
plant, product development, factory construction, installation of equipment and machineries
etc.
Purchasing
Quantitative techniques are applied in make or buy decisions, vendor development,
vendor rating, purchasing at varying prices, standardization and variety reduction, logistics
management
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Manufacturing
Quantitative techniques address questions like product mix, production planning,
quality control, job sequencing, and optimum run sizes.
Marketing
Marketing problems like demand forecasting, pricing competitive strategies, optimal
media planning and sales management can be solved through application appropriate
quantitative techniques.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Mathematical techniques
They are quantitative techniques in which numerical data are used along with the
principles of mathematics such as integration, calculus etc. They include permutations,
combinations, set theory, matrix analysis, differentials integration etc.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Permutations and combinations
Permutation is mathematical device of finding possible number of arrangements or
groups which can be made of a certain number of items from a set of observations. They are
groupings considering order of arrangements. Combinations are number of selections or
subsets which can be made of a certain number of items from a set of observations, without
considering order. Both combinations and permutations help in ascertaining total number of
possible cases.
Set theory
It is a modern mathematical device which solves the various types of critical
problems on the basis of sets and their operations like Union, intersection etc.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Matrix Algebra
Matrix is an orderly arrangement of certain given numbers or symbols in rows and
columns. Matrix analysis is thus a mathematical device of finding out the results of different
types of algebraic operations on the basis of relevant matrices. This is useful to find values of
unknown numbers connected with a number of simultaneous equations.
Differentials
Differential is a mathematical process of finding out changes in the dependent
variable with reference to a small change in the independent variable. It involves differential
coefficients of dependent variables with or without variables.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Integration
It is a technique just reversing the process of differentiation. It involves the formula
f(x) dx where f(x) is the function to be integrated
Statistical techniques
They are techniques which are used in conducting statistical inquiry concerning a
certain phenomenon. They include all the statistical methods beginning from the collection of
data till interpretation of those collected data. Important statistical techniques include
collection of data, classification and tabulation, measures of central tendency, measures of
dispersion, skewness and kurtosis, correlation, regression, interpolation and extrapolation,
index numbers, time series analysis, statistical quality control, ratio analysis , probability
theory, sampling technique, variance analysis, theory of attributes etc.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS
Programming techniques
These techniques focus on model building, and are widely applied by decision makers
relating to business operations. In programming, problem is formulated in numerical form,
and a suitable model is fitted to the problem and finally a solution is derived. Prominent
programming techniques include linear programming, queuing theory, inventory theory,
theory of games, decision theory, network programming, simulation, replacement non linear
programming, dynamic programming integer programming etc.
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR
MANAGERIAL DECISIONS