Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
2
New
New Roof Carpet
$10,000 $4,000
Siding
Replace
Windows $8,000
$5,000
New
Furnace Landscaping
$8,000 $3,000
3
Asset management for a car
New Car
• Flush radiator
• Wash/wax regularly
• Change belts,
4
Asset management for a car
Aging Car
• Charge AC
• Repaint
• Engine overhaul
• New tires
5
Asset management for a car
Old Car
6
Not worried about scratches on this one!
7
Innovative Repair Strategies
8
Pavement Management
1.Inventory
2.Condition Measure
3.Prediction of Future Condition
4.Tools / Metrics for Managing Network
10
Inventory – What do I own?
11
Inventory – What do I own?
12
Inventory – Basics
• Pavement Type
• Asphalt
• Concrete
• Sealcoat
• Composite
• How many lane miles of each?
• How wide are the lanes?
• Where are they? – Map
13
Inventory – Others
15
Condition – Picking A System
• Sustainable
• Can I afford to collect the data?
• Can my staff collect that data or do I have to hire it out?
• Can I collect enough data to give me suitable information?
16
Condition Rating – Types of Systems
Index System
Set of criteria which relates physical measurements of distress
extent and observer opinion of severity to a numeric rating.
18
Index Rating
19
Condition Rating – Types of Systems
20
Why Rate Roads?
21
Prediction – What Shape WILL it be in?
22
Predicting the Future Condition
23
Predicting the Future
Rules of thumb
• New asphalt pavement last 14 years
Concerns
• No calibration
24
Predicting the Future
Traffic Volume
• Design ESALS
Concerns
25
Modeling Historical Data
26
Modeling Historical Data
Constrained polynomial
• Fit progressively higher order polynomials
27
Early Estimation - Prescriptive
10
9
8
PASER RATING
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
1 5 10 15 20 25 30
Years Since Construction
Modeling Curve Form Fitting
10
9
8
PASER RATING
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
1 5 10 15 20 25 30
Years Since Construction
Polynomial Fitting
10
9
8
PASER RATING
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
1 5 10 15 20 25 30
Years Since Construction
Network Management Tools –
Getting Asset Where You Want It To Be
31
Network Level Vs. Project Level
32
Service Cycle
• EXAMPLE
• 500 lane mile road network
• Do 10 lane miles of work each year
• Takes 500/10 = 50 years to touch all of the network
• Asphalt pavement only last 15 years
33
Historical Distribution
45
40
35
30
Lane Miles
25
20
15
10
5
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
PASER Rating
34
Winning or Loosing?
45
40
35
30
Lane Miles
25
20
15
10
5
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
PASER Rating
35
NCPP Network Condition Health
• How it works . . .
• Programmed Activity (reconstruction, chip seal, etc.)
• Fix Cost (per lane mile)
• Extended Service Life (ESL)
• # of Lane Miles Fixed
• Result
• Lane Mile/ Years per Fix
• Total for Entire Network
36
NCPP Process
COSTS
TOTAL _________________
37
NCPP Process
COSTS
TOTAL _________________
38
NCPP Process
TOTAL _________________
39
NCPP Process
TOTAL _________________
40
NCPP Network Condition Health
MI Example—625 Lane Mile Network
Programmed Fix Cost ESL # of Lane Lane Total Cost
Activity per Lane Years Miles of Fix Mile
Mile Years
204 $3,732,800
41
Network Level Strategy Analysis
Using Computer Models
42
Is It A Management System? GIS
43
Is It A Management System?
GASB 34
• Accounting method
44
Systems Management Adoption
o The time spent supporting the system must be less that the
value it provides.
45
RSL Miles
Roadsoft Strategy Evaluation 15 1.40
14 4.40
13 10.37
Segments with similar RSL summed 12 13.01
by mileage 11 11.99
10 2.10
Analysis by singular pavement type 9 8.66
8 25.43
Network level (segment history lost) 7 22.45
6 10.88
5 9.54
4 1.32
3 28.11
2 43.55
1 52.34
0 11.89
RSL 2006 2007 2008
Deterioration 15 1.40 0 0
14 4.40 1.40 0
13 10.37 4.40 1.40
12 13.01 10.37 4.40
Each Year of simulation 11 11.99 13.01 10.37
subtracts one year of RSL
10 2.10 11.99 13.01
Treatment 0
0
6
15 1 20 0
.
• User specified treatments 4
0
• Cost
14 4 1.40 20
• “Trigger“ range .
• “Reset” range 4
•
0
Treatments only applied to 13 1 4.40 1.40
Trigger range 0
• No candidates, no treatment
.
3
7
12 1 10.37 4.40
3
{
.
0
20 MI 1
Reconstruct 11 1 13.01 10.37
1