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Welcome to Analyze
“X” Sifting
Inferential Statistics
Analyzing Results
Hypothesis Testing ND P2
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Test of Means (t-tests)
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1 Sample t
Target μsample
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1 Sample t-test Sample Size
Population Target
S
SE Mean
n
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Sample Size
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Sample Size
1-Sample t Test
Sample
The various sample sizes
Size Power Difference
show how much of a
10 0.9 1.15456
difference can be detected
15 0.9 0.90087
assuming a Standard
20 0.9 0.76446
Deviation = 1.
25 0.9 0.67590
30 0.9 0.61245
35 0.9 0.56408
40 0.9 0.52564
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1-Sample t Example
1. Practical Problem:
• We are considering changing suppliers for a part we currently purchase
from a supplier that charges us a premium for the hardening process.
• The proposed new supplier has provided us with a sample of their
product. They have stated they can maintain a given characteristic of 5
on their product.
• We want to test the samples to determine if their claim is accurate.
2. Statistical Problem:
Ho: μN.S. = 5
Ha: μN.S. ≠ 5
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Example
4. Sample Size:
• Open the MINITABTM worksheet: “Exh_Stat.MTW”.
• Use the C1 column: Values
– In this case, the new supplier sent 9
samples for evaluation.
– How much of a difference can be
detected with this sample?
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1-Sample t Example
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Example: Follow the Road Map
60
50
40
30
20
10
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1-Sample t Example
Click “Graphs”
-Select all 3
Click “Options…”
- In CI enter ’95’
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Histogram of Values
Histogram of Values
(with Ho and 95% t-confidence interval for the mean)
2.0
1.5
Frequency
1.0
0.5
0.0 _
X
Ho
Boxplot of Values
(with Ho and 95% t-confidence interval for the mean)
_
X
Ho
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Individual Value Plot (Dot Plot)
_
X
Ho
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Session Window
Ho Ha
n
(X i X) 2
One-Sample T: Values
s
i 1 n 1
Test of mu = 5 vs not = 5 S
SE Mean
n
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Evaluating the Results
Since the P-value of 0.034 is less than 0.05 reject the null hypothesis.
X Ho
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Manual Calculation of 1- Sample t
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Manual Calculation of 1- Sample t
degrees of T - Distribution
freedom
.600 .700 .800 .900 .950 .975 .990 .995
1 0.325 0.727 1.376 3.078 6.314 12.706 31.821 63.657
2 0.289 0.617 1.061 1.886 2.920 4.303 6.965 9.925
3 0.277 0.584 0.978 1.638 2.353 3.182 4.541 5.841
4 0.271 0.569 0.941 1.533 2.132 2.776 3.747 4.604
5 0.267 0.559 0.920 1.476 2.015 2.571 3.365 4.032
m
-2.56
The data supports the alternative -2.306 2.306
hypothesis that the estimate for the
Mean of the population is not 5.0. α/2=.025 α/2 =.025
0
Critical Regions
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Confidence Intervals for Two-Sided t-test
s s
X t α/2,n 1 μ X t α/2,n 1
n n
or
X t crit SE mean 4.788 2.306 * .0824
4.5989 to 4.9789
4.5989 X Ho
4.9789
4.7889
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1-Sample t Exercise
3. Are we on Target?
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1-Sample t Exercise: Solution
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1-Sample t Exercise: Solution
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1-Sample t Exercise: Solution
Frequency
confidence level of the 4
population Mean.
2
0 _
Because the null Ho
X
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1-Sample t Exercise: Solution
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Hypothesis Testing Roadmap
Normal
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2 Sample t-test
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Sample Size
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2-Sample t Example
1. Practical Problem:
• We have conducted a study in order to determine the effectiveness
of a new heating system. We have installed two different types of
dampers in home ( Damper = 1 and Damper = 2).
• We want to compare the BTU.In data from the two types of
dampers to determine if there is any difference between the two
products.
2. Statistical Problem:
Ho: μ1 = μ2
Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2
3. 2-Sample t-test (population Standard Deviations unknown).
α = 0.05 β = 0.10
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2 Sample t Example
4. Sample Size:
• Open the MINITABTM worksheet: “Furnace.MTW”
• Scroll through the data to see how the data is coded.
• In order to work with the data in the BTU.In column we will need
to unstack the data by damper type.
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2 Sample t Example
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2 Sample t Example
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2 Sample t Example
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Example: Follow the Roadmap…
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Normality Test – Is the Data Normal?
60
50
40
30
20
10
1
5 10 15 20
BTU.In_1
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Normality Test – Is the Data Normal?
60
50
40
30
20
10
1
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
BTU.In_2
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Test of equal Variance (Bartlett’s Test)
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Test of Equal Variance
1
Damper
5 10 15 20
BTU.In
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2 Sample t-test Equal Variance
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Box Plot
15
BTU.In
10
1 2
Damper
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Minitab Session Window
Calculated
Average n
(X i X) 2
s
i 1 n 1
S
SE Mean
n
Ho: μ1 = μ2
Ha: μ1≠ or < or > μ2
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Exercise
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
2. Statistical Problem:
Ho: μ1 = μ2
Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
• Clor.Lev_Post_1 =
Distributor 1
• Clor.Lev_Post_2 =
Distributor 2
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
In this case:
.7339 rounded to.734
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
Follow the path: “Stat > Basic Statistics > Normality Test…”
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
MINITABTM Path:
“Stat > ANOVA > Test
for Equal Variances…”
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
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2 Sample T-Test: Solution
Hmm, we’re
a lot alike!
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Hypothesis Testing Roadmap
Normal
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Unequal Variance Example
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Normality Test
Percent
60
Sample three columns. 50
40
30
20
10
5
60
50
40
30
20
Our data sets are
10
5
Normally Distributed.
1
0.1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sample 1
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Test for Equal Variance
Standard Deviation
Stat>ANOVA>Test of Equal Variance
of Samples
Test for Equal Variances for Stacked
F-Test
Test Statistic 0.11
1 P-Value 0.000
Levene's Test
C4
Test Statistic 67.07
We use F-Test Statistic P-Value 0.000
because our data is 2
Normally Distributed.
1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
P-value is less than 0.05 95% Bonferroni Confidence Intervals for StDevs
so our variances are not
equal.
1
C4
Medians of Samples -5 0 5 10 15
Stacked
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2-Sample t-test Unequal Variance
UNCHECK
“Assume equal
variances” box.
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2-Sample t-test Unequal Variance
Boxplot of Stacked by C4
15 Indicates
Sample
Means
10
Stacked
-5
1 2
C4
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2-Sample t-test Unequal Variance
15
Indicates
10 Sample
Means
Stacked
-5
1 2
C4
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2-Sample t-test Unequal Variance
Two-Sample T-Test
(Variances Not Equal)
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Hypothesis Testing Roadmap
Normal
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Paired t-test
• A Paired t-test is used to compare the Means of two measurements from the
same samples generally used as a before and after test.
Stat > Basic Statistics > Paired t
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Example
1. Practical Problem:
• We are interested in changing the sole material for a popular
brand of shoes for children.
• In order to account for variation in activity of children wearing the
shoes each child will wear one shoe of each type of sole
material. The sole material will be randomly assigned to either
the left or right shoe.
2. Statistical Problem:
Ho: μδ = 0
Ha: μδ ≠ 0
3. Paired t-test (comparing data that must remain paired).
α = 0.05 β = 0.10
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Example
4. Sample Size:
• How much of a difference can be detected with 10 samples?
Open Minitab Worksheet “EXH_STAT DELTA.MTW”
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Paired t-test Example
Now that’s a
tee test!
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Paired t-test Example
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Analyzing the Delta
60
50
40
30
20
10
1
-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5
AB Delta
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1-Sample t
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Box Plot
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Paired T-Test
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Paired T-Test
Boxplot of Differences
(with Ho and 95% t-confidence interval for the mean)
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Paired T-Test
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Paired t-test Exercise
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Paired t-test Exercise: Solution
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Paired t-test Exercise: Solution
Median
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Paired t-test Exercise: Solution
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Paired t-test Exercise: Solution
Even though the Mean difference is 0.23 we have a 95% confidence interval that
includes zero so we know the 1-sample t-test’s null hypothesis was “failed to be
rejected”. We cannot conclude the two labs have a difference in lab results.
Histogram of TX_MX-Diff
(with Ho and 95% t-confidence interval for the mean)
3
Frequency
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Hypothesis Testing Roadmap
Normal
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Summary
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A Simple, Fresh, Clean Approach to Lean Six Sigma
Project Tracking and Program Management.
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