Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Gershon Feder
Senior Research
Manager
DECRG
May 2006
Agriculture and Rural Sector
Perspective
0
Africa Asia Latin America
and the Caribbean
Poverty impact of a 10% increase
in yield, India
Poverty
reduction
20
19%
10
4%
0
Short-run Long-run
Rural growth and poverty reduction
Investment Uganda
Agriculture R&D 58
Education 13
Feeder Roads 34
Tarmac Roads 10
Health 5
Challenges of collecting data on public
agric spending: off budget funding
National Governments ODA
% of total
% of total Ag % of % of Ag. Ag
Country exp. GDP GDP spending
Benin 4 35 2 14
Burkina Faso 15 38 11 11
Cameroon 4 43 2 29
Cote d'Ivoire 5 25 4 9
Ethiopia 6 52 4 22
Ghana 1 35 0 64
Guinea 6 24 5 45
Kenya 3 28 23 12
Madagascar 12 29 7 23
Malawi 6 39 6 39
Mali 11 38 8 33
Niger 1 40 1 92
Nigeria 3 26 5 1
Uganda 2 31 2 80
Zambia 5 22 8 21
Investment in infrastructure serving
agriculture will contribute not only to
agricultural expansion, but also to
yield increases and poverty alleviation
Number of
Rate of return poor lifted
Investment in India China India* China**
Agricultural sector
– Ag GDP down to 20%, but 58% of labor force still
employed in agriculture
– Rural poverty- 26% 1999/00 (195 million people)
Major concern: slowdown in agric growth
– From 3.4% during 1985/86 to 1994/95 to 1.8% in
1995/96 to 2002/03
– GOI’s goal: raise it to 4% per year
PER helps identify one of the key constraints—
declining public investments in agriculture
Trends in Agric Public Expenditures
India Public Ag Investments vs
Subsidies as % of Agric GDP
28000
Categorize by
24000 state/province,
Rice Subsidy Wheat Subsidy region, crop
20000
category, farm size,
Rs million
16000
income group,
12000 ethnic/social group,
8000
etc
4000 E.g. subsidies,
expen. on agric
0
services,
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An
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PER and Benefit Incidence
20.0% Health
15.0%
Education
10.0%
5.0%
Agriculture and Fishing
0.0%
8 9 0 1 2 3 4 Transport and
9 9 0 0 0 0 0
19 19 20 20 20 20 20 communication
Total and Foreign-financed Investment in Agriculture,
1998 Billion Mt)
300 266
250 219
200 174
148
150 129
108
100 84 73 80
50 24 29
8 3 8
0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004