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Corporate Finance

Dr Nguyen Dinh Dat


The content

Chapter 1: Introduction to Corporate Governance and Other ESG


Considerations

Chapter 2: Capital Budgeting

Chapter 3: Cost of Capital

Chapter 4: Measures of Leverage

Chapter 5: Working Capital Management


Chapter 2: Capital Budgeting
I. Introduction
II. The Capital Budgeting Process
III. Basic Principles of Capital Budgeting
IV. Investment Decision Criteria
I. Introduction
What is capital budgeting?
Capital budgeting is the process that companies use for decision-
making on long-term projects.
Why is capital budgeting important?
Capital budgeting is important because:
• It helps decide the future of many corporations. Most capital
investments require huge investments that are not easy to reverse.
• It can be adopted for many other corporate decisions such as
investment in working capital, leasing, and mergers and acquisitions.
• Capital budgeting decisions are consistent with the management goal
of maximizing shareholder value.
II. The Capital Budgeting Process
• There are 4 steps in Capital Budgeting Process

Analyzing Planning Monitoring


Generating ideas individual and capital and post-
proposals budgeting audit
The capital budgeting process
• Step 1- Generating ideas is the most important step in the process.
Investment ideas can come from anywhere within the organization or
outside.
• Step 2 - Analyzing individual proposals is to gather information to
forecast cash flows for each project and then computing the project’s
profitability. Output of this step is a list of profitable projects.
The capital budgeting process
• Step 3 - Planning and capital budgeting is to answer these questions
Do the profitable projects fit in with the company’s long-term
strategy? Is the timing appropriate? Some projects may be profitable
in isolation but not so much when considered along with the other
projects. Scheduling and prioritizing of projects is important.

• Step 4 - Monitoring and post-audit: Post-audit helps in assessing how


effective the capital budgeting process was. How do the actual
revenues, expenses, and cash flows compare against the predictions?
Categories of Capital Budgeting Process

Capital budgeting projects may be divided into the following categories:

• Replacement projects: these are projects where the firm must either:
replace worn out equipment or invest in new equipment that is expected
to lower current production costs and/or increase current sales.
• Expansion projects: these are projects where the firms are constructing a
new plant or expanding capacity of the existing one.
• New products and services: these are projects where the firms are
diversifying current business operations to maintain a competitive edge.
Categories of Capital Budgeting Process

Mandatory projects: these would be projects that are required by the government
or by the regulatory authority

Other projects: Pet projects of senior management or high-uncertainty projects like


R&D projects that are difficult to analyze using the traditional methods.
III. Basic Principles of Capital Budgeting
1. Decisions are based on cash flows
2. Timing of cash flows is vital

-100 300 Project 1

-100 300. Project 2


3. Cash flows are based on opportunity costs.
4. Cash flows are analyzed on an after-tax basis.
5. Financial costs are ignored.
Independent Versus Mutually exclusive Projects

• Independent projects are projects that are unrelated to each other


and allow for each project to be evaluated based on its own
profitability.

• Mutually exclusive means that only one project in a set of possible


projects can be accepted and that the projects compete with each
other.
Project sequencing
• Sometimes projects can only be executed in a sequence.

Project A Project B Project C


Unlimited funds versus Capital Rationing
• Unlimited funds refers to the financial situation in which a firm is able
to accept all independent projects that provide an acceptable return.

• Capital rationing refers to the financial situation in which a firm has


only a fixed number of dollars available for capital expenditures, and
numerous projects compete for these dollars.
4. Investment Decision Criteria
Analysts use several important criteria to evaluate capital
investments. There are four main methods:
- Net present value (NPV)
- Internal rate of return (IRR)
- Payback and discounted payback period
- Profitability index (PI)
Net Present Value (NPV)
• Net present value is the present value of the future after tax cash
flows minus the investment outlay.

Decision rule:
For independent projects: If NPV > 0, accept.
If NPV < 0, reject.
For mutually exclusive projects:
Accept the project with higher and positive NPV.
Example:
• Compute NPV for projects A and B given the following data:
• Cost of capital: 10%
• Expected net after tax cash flows
Year Project A (in $) Project B (in $)
0 -1,000 -1,000
1 500 100
2 400 300
3 300 400
4 100 600
Example:
• = 78.82

= 49.18
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR is the discount rate that makes the present value of future cash flows equal to
the investment outlay. In other words, IRR is the discount rate which makes NPV
equal to 0.
Decision rule:
For independent projects:
If IRR> required rate of return (or cost of capital), accept the project.
If IRR< required rate of return (or cost of capital), reject the project.

For mutually exclusive projects:


Accept the project with higher IRR (as long as IRR > cost of capital)
Example
Compute IRR for projects A and B given the following data.
Cost of Capital = 10%, Expected Net After Tax Cash Flows

Year Project A (in $) Project B (in $)

0 -1000 -1000

1 500 100

2 400 300

3 300 400

4 100 600
Example:
Project A:
Payback Period
The payback period is the number of years it takes to recover the
initial cost of the investment.
Example: 2 projects with an initial cash outlay of $20,000 with
following free cash flows.
Project A Project B

Year Cash Flow Cash Flow

1 $ 8000 $10,000

2 4000 10,000

3 3,000

4 5,000

5 10,000
Payback Period
The payback period is the number of years it takes to recover the
initial cost of the investment.
Example: 2 projects with an initial cash outlay of $20,000 with
following free cash flows.
Project A Project B

Year Cash Flow Balance Cash Flow Balance

1 $ 8000 ($ 12,000) $10,000 ($ 10,000)

2 4000 (8,000) 10,000 0

3 3,000 (5,000)

4 5,000 0

5 10,000 12,000
• Advantages:
- Easy to calculate
- Easy to explain
- Indicator of project liquidity. A project with a small payback period is
more liquid than one with a longer payback period as the initial
investment is recovered more quickly.
• Drawbacks:
- Does not consider cash flows after payback period.
- It does not consider the time value of money as the cash flows are not
discounted at the project’s required rate of return.
- Does not consider the risk of a project.
Discounted Payback Period
Discounted payback method uses the present value of the estimated
cash flows; it gives the number of years to recover the initial
investment in present value terms.

Example: Compute the payback period and the discount payback


period assuming a rate of 10%.
Year 0 1 2 3 4

Cash flows -800 340 340 340 320


Solution:
Year 0 1 2 3 4
Cash flows -800 340 340 340 340

Cumulative -800 -460 -120 200 560


Cash flows
Discounted -800 309.1 280.99 255.45 232.22
Cash flows
Cumulative -800 -490.9 -209.91 45.54 277.76
Discounted
Cash flows

Payback period = Last year with negative cumulative cash flow + unrecovered cost at the
beginning of the next year/ cash flow in the next year.
120
Payback period = 2 + = 2.35 years
340
209.91
Discounted payback period = 2 + = 2.82 years.
255.45
• Drawbacks of discounted payback method:
• Does not consider any cash flows beyond the payback period.
• Poor measure of profitability as there may be negative cash flows after the
• discounted payback period which may result in a negative NPV.
Profitability index
Profitability Index is the present value of a project’s future cash flows
divided by the initial investment.

Investment decision rule for PI:


Invest if PI>1.
Do not invest if PI<1.
Difference between PI and NPV
• Consider two projects A and B. Project A has an initial investment of
$1 million and an NPV of 0.1 million. Project B has an initial
investment of $1 billion and an NPV of 0.2 million. If projects A and
B are mutually exclusive, then project B would be chosen because
of higher NPV. But, if you consider the profitability index, it gives a
different picture.
• PI of project A = 1 +0.1/1 = 1.1
• PI of project A = 1 +0.1/1000 = 1.0002
• Based on PI, project A is more profitable than project B.
NPV Profile
NPV profile is a graph that plots a project’s NPV for different rates.
The NPV is shown on the y-axis with the discount rates on the x-axis.
Given the data below, create the NPV profile for project X.
Year 0 1 2 3 4

Project -400 160 160 160 160

Discount rate NPV ( in $ million) Discount rate NPV ( in $ million)

0 ? 0 240

5 ? 5 167

10 ? 10 107

22 ? 22 0
NPV profile

There are two important points on the graph:


1- The point where the profile goes through the Y-axis (240) is the NPV of the project when the
discount rate is 0. This is equal to the sum of the undiscounted cash flows.
2- The point where the profile goes through the X-axis (22) is where the discount rate is equal
to the IRR of the project.
Crossover
• Draw the NPV profiles for projects X and Y.
Year 0 1 2 3 4

Project X -400 160 160 160 160

Project Y -400 0 0 0 800

Discount Rate (in %) NPV for Project X NPV for Project Y

0 240 400

5 167.35 258.16

10 107.17 146.41

15 56.79 57.4

18.92 22.82 0

20 14.19 -14.19

21.86 0 -37.22
Crossover
Ranking conflicts between NPV and IRR
• For single and independent projects with conventional cash flows,
there is no conflict between NPV and IRR decision rules. However,
for mutually exclusive projects the two criteria may give conflicting
results.
• What is a conventional cash flows?

• The reason for conflict is due to differences in cash flow patterns


and differences in project scale.
Example (Ranking conflict due to differing
cash flow patters)
• The cash flow associated with project X and project Y is shown
below:
Year 0 1 2 3 4

Project X -400 160 160 160 160

Project Y -400 0 0 0 800

1. Which project do you select according to the NPV rule using a rate
of 10%?
2. Which project do you select according to the IRR rule?
3. Show the NPV profile for both projects.
NPV (in $ millions) IRR (in %)

Project X 107.17 21.86

Project Y 146.4 18.92

1. Based on the NPV rule, the project with the highest NPV, project Y
is selected.
2. Based on the IRR rule, the project with the highest IRR, project X is
selected.
3. Whenever NPV and IRR rank two mutually exclusive projects
differently, we must always choose the one with the higher NPV – in
this case, project Y.
Reasons for going with NPV instead of IRR:

• IRR incorrectly assumes that intermediate cash flows can be


reinvested at the IRR rate. Just because project X gives a return of
21.86%, it does not mean the intermediate cash flows can be
reinvested at that rate.
• NPV uses a realistic discount rate assumption of 10%. It is the
opportunity cost of funds. You can easily find other projects to
invest that will give a return of 10%. Hence it is safe to assume that
the intermediate cash flows can be reinvested at this rate. The NPV
assumes that cash flows are reinvested at the required rate of
return.
The Multiple IRR Problem and No IRR Problem
If a project has unconventional cash flows, it can have multiple IRRs,
i.e., there are more than one discount rates that will produce an NPV
equal to zero. The NPV profile of a project with multiple IRRs
intersects the x-axis at more than one point.
Zero IRR
Some projects do not have an IRR, i.e. there is no discount rate that
results in a zero NPV.
Comparison between NPV and IRR
NPV IRR

Advantages Advantages

Direct measure of expected increase in value of the firm. Shows the return on each dollar invested.

Theoretically the best method. Allows us to compare return with the required rate.

Disadvantages Disadvantages

Does not consider project size. Incorrectly assumes that cash flows are reinvested at IRR
rate. The correct assumption is that intermediate cash
flows are reinvested at the required rate.

Might conflict with NPV analysis.

Possibility of multiple IRRs or no IRR for a project.


Relationship between NPV and Stock Price
- The value of a company can be measured as the existing value plus
the present value of its future investments. NPV is a direct measure
of the expected change in the firm’s value from undertaking a
capital project.
- A positive NPV project should cause a proportionate increase in a
company’s stock price. But, if the project’s profitability is less than
expectations, then the stock price may be negatively impacted.
Example
A company is undertaking a project with an NPV of $500 million. The
company currently has 100 million shares outstanding and each share
has a price of $50. What is the likely impact of the project on the stock
price?

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