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Generating hypothesis
KEY ISSUES IN DESIGNING A
SURVEILLANCE SYSTEM
1. Public health importance of the
disease-i.e mortality,morbidity,cost/socio-
economic impact and preventability.
2. Objectives-(SMART-Specific,Measurable
,Action oriented,Realistic,Time-bound)
3. Case definition-It should be standard
whenever possible, acceptable,
understandable and should have
appropriate diagnostic criteria based on
the level of the health system.
CONTD….
A case may be classified as ‘suspect
'when the diagnosis is made by a
paraprofessional, ‘probable when the
diagnosis is based on clinical diagnosis by
a professional and/or combined with
epidemiological evidence and confirmed
when the clinical diagnosis is sustained
by supporting laboratory diagnosis.
Example of Standard Case
Definition
DENGUE FEVER:
An acute febrile illness
of 2-7 days duration with 2 or more of the
following:
i.e.- Headache, Retro-orbital Pain,Myalgia,
Arthralgia,Rash(initially macular and
blanching, later mobiliform,
Haemorrhagic manifestation)
CONT…..
SUSPECTED: A case compatible with the
clinical description.
PROBABLE: A case compatible with the
clinical description with one or more of the
following:
1)Support serology(reciprocal
haemagglutination –inhibition titre>1280
2)Comparable IgG EIA titre or
positive IgM antibody titre in late acute or
convalescent-phase serum specimens.
CONT…
3)Occurrence at same location
and time as other confirmed case of
dengue fever.
CONFIRMED-A case compatible with the
clinical presentation and laboratory
confirmed.
COND….
4.Data indicators required-The measures used
to monitor a disease, for example number of
cases of malaria reported, rate-number of cases
of ARI in children under 5 years per 100,000
population per year, ratio-proportion of children
with ARI who die etc. To find out data indicator
following should be found out:
COND….
Data set required:-Variables needed,
numerator e.g.-number of cases and deaths,
denominator e.g.-population under surveillance,
live births.
DISADVANTAGES:
1)Being based on hospital data, it is
biased and cannot be expected to fully
reflect the behavior of diseases in the
community in which the centre is
situated.
CONT…
2)Mild cases and atypical cases often
escapes notice.
3)Certain sections or families may not
utilize the facilities or may not have easy
access due to physical or financial
reason.
4)Population at risk is unknown and
incidence rate cannot be calculated.
5)Rural area are excluded from the
system.
CRITERIA TO BE SATISFIED BY
SENTINEL SURVEILLANCE CENTRE
Large attendance of the patients of
targeted disease
Reasonably accurate diagnosis
Recording and reporting facilities
Willingness to submit regular reports
Easy accessibility to general population
Treatment facility not too expensive or
specialized to exclude certain patients.
CONT…..
5)Action as an outcome of the system-
Public health intervention/change in
service
provision/survey/research/legislation/
regulation.
6)Feedback-Two way, critical for motivation,
periodic communication(periodic staff
meetings,newsletter,routine visits).
CONTD….
7)Evaluation-To be done from time to time,
to assess-is the system useful? Has it
achieved the surveillance objectives?
A good network of motivated people is