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DMAIC
- Moving towards defect free processes
Alexiv Villas
Oct 6-7, 2010
WWW.ECCINTERNATIONAL.COM
Measure Phase
Outcomes
• Operational
Definitions
• Measurement
System Analysis
• Data Collection
Formats and Plans
• Process Baseline
• Capability
• Specification limits,
• target, defect
definition for project
Y(s)
3
Why to Measure
We can’t control it
4
Science of Six Sigma
When you measure what you are speaking about and express
in numbers, you know something about it.
5
Data Collection Plan
6
What is Data
7
Knowledge is Power
8
Use of Statistics
Data
Statistics
convert
to
Usable
Information
9
Data Collection Plan
• Define a Metric
• Stick to procedure/plan
10
Operational Definition
Clarity is more important when developing and selecting the measures that
will be used to determine the SIGMA PERFORMANCE of the process.
11
Operational Definition
Example :
the total number of defective invoices (any invoice with any defect)
Or
Each of these cases may require a very different approach for gathering
the data.
12
Operational Definition
13
Example of Operational Definition.
14
Exercise: Operational Definition
15
Develop Measurement Plan
Measurement Plan
Determining current process performance usually requires the collection
of data. When developing a measurement plan ensure that:
– The data collected id meaningful
– The data collected is valid
– All relevant data is collected concurrently
16
Data Classification
Before data collections starts, classify the data into different types:
continuous or discrete.
17
Types of Data
Example
% of applications with or without
errors.
Time (in hours) to process an
Number of errors in an application.
application
Customer satisfaction rating of
call center service
18
Continuous Data
Data generated by
– Physically measuring the characteristic
– Generally using an instrument
– Assigning an unique value to each item
19
Discrete Data
Data generated by
Examples :
• Gender, Shade Variation, etc.
• Escalations, Repeat Calls, Defective Transactions, Defects in
Transactions etc.
20
Discrete : Binary Data (Binomial)
• Classifying the items into only two groups based on some criteria
• All the items classified into a group will have same value
Examples :
21
Binary Data : Example
(Month wise Escalation of Transactions)
22
Discrete : Count Data (Poisson)
Data generated by
• Counting the exact number of occurrences of the characteristics in a
group of items
Examples :
23
Count Data : Example
(Data on Defects found during Transaction Audit)
24
Data Measurement Plan Format
Performance Operational definition Data Sample Who Data How Other data that
Measure Source size Will Collectio Will should be collected at
& Collect n Date the same time
locatio The Period Be
n Data collected
Time to Date and time of Client 256 Raju 1-Aug-05 Random Type of transaction,
process a transaction was download server Simita to 31- selection Day of Week, Agent
transaction from client server by an system Aug-05 Name
agent to the date and time time.
of the PROCESSED
transaction was submitted
in client sever
The data is being calculated to measure the performance is called PERFORMANCE DATA.
On the other hand, CAUSE DATA, focus on why the process performs as it does. Cause data
supports the problem solving by helping to isolate root causes of the problems.
Most of the times, however, we won’t know enough about potential causes until we have
determined our processes current performance level. Be prepared to document current
performance first, then brainstorm potential causes and collect additional data related to those
causes at a later date.
25
Data Collection
Use various tools like check sheets to record and grouping of the data.
26
Sampling
27
Sampling Objectives
28
Basic Definitions and Symbols
29
Sampling Definition
x x x
x
x x x x
x
x x x x x
x x
x x x x
x x
x x x
x x
x x
N = 5000 n = 100
Example:
Estimating the average height of students in a college by measuring the
heights of only 250 students (250 is a subset of entire students
population).
30
Sample …….. When?
When to ……..
• Collecting all the data is impractical or too costly
When not to ……
• A subset of data may not accurately depict the process, leading to a
wrong conclusion (every unit is unique-e.g., structured deals)
31
Kinds of Sampling
Random Sampling
• This sampling ensures that the
characteristics of the population are
collected with equal possibility.
Stratified Sampling
• Make stratifying plan for population
characteristics. Group A Group B
• Select the sample among each
stratified group.
32
Frequency of Sampling
33
Sampling Methodology
34
Methodology: Example
35
Measure Phase
Six Sigma Statistics
36
Six Sigma Statistics
Welcome to Measure
Process Discovery
Basic Statistics
Descriptive Statistics
Normal Distribution
Assessing Normality
Graphing Techniques
Process Capability
37
Purpose of Basic Statistics
The purpose of Basic Statistics is to:
• Provide a numerical summary of the data being analyzed.
– Data (n)
• Factual information organized for analysis.
• Numerical or other information represented in a form suitable
for processing by computer
• Values from scientific experiments.
• Provide the basis for making inferences about the future.
• Provide the foundation for assessing process capability.
• Provide a common language to be used throughout an organization to
describe processes.
Relax….it won’t
be that bad!
38
Statistical Notation – Cheat Sheet
The Standard Deviation of population data For each, all, individual values
39
Parameters vs. Statistics
Population: All the items that have the “property of interest” under study.
Population
Sample
Sample
Sample
40
Types of Data
Attribute Data (Qualitative)
– Is always binary, there are only two possible values (0, 1)
• Yes, No
• Go, No go
• Pass/Fail
Variable Data (Quantitative)
– Discrete (Count) Data
• Can be categorized in a classification and is based on counts.
– Number of defects
– Number of defective units
– Number of customer returns
– Continuous Data
• Can be measured on a continuum, it has decimal subdivisions that are
meaningful
– Time, Pressure, Conveyor Speed, Material feed rate
– Money
– Pressure
– Conveyor Speed
– Material feed rate
41
Discrete Variables
42
Continuous Variables
The length of prison time served for individuals All the real numbers between a and b, where a is
convicted of first degree murder the smallest amount of time served and b is the
largest.
The household income for households with All the real numbers between a and $30,000,
incomes less than or equal to $30,000 where a is the smallest household income in the
population
The blood glucose reading for those individuals All real numbers between 200 and b, where b is
having glucose readings equal to or greater than the largest glucose reading in all such individuals
200
43
Definitions of Scaled Data
• Understanding the nature of data and how to represent it can affect the types
of statistical tests possible.
• Interval Scale – data can be arranged in some order and for which
differences in data values are meaningful. The data can be arranged in an
ordering scheme and differences can be interpreted.
• Ratio Scale – data that can be ranked and for which all arithmetic operations
including division can be performed. (division by zero is of course excluded)
Ratio level data has an absolute zero and a value of zero indicates a
complete absence of the characteristic of interest.
44
Nominal Scale
46
Interval Scale
47
Ratio Scale
48
Converting Attribute Data to Continuous Data
49
Descriptive Statistics
50
Descriptive Statistics
51
Measures of Location
Mean is:
• Commonly referred to as the average.
• The arithmetic balance point of a distribution of data.
Stat>Basic Statistics>Display Descriptive Statistics…>Graphs…
>Histogram of data, with normal curve
60
50
Frequency
40
Descriptive Statistics: Data
30
Variable N N* Mean SE Mean StDev Minimum Q1
20 Median Q3
Data 200 0 4.9999 0.000712 0.0101 4.9700 4.9900
10 5.0000 5.0100
0 Variable Maximum
4.97 4.98 4.99 5.00 5.01 5.02 Data 5.0200
Data
52
Measures of Location
Median is:
• The mid-point, or 50th percentile, of a distribution of data.
• Arrange the data from low to high, or high to low.
– It is the single middle value in the ordered list if there is an odd
number of observations
– It is the average of the two middle values in the ordered list if there
are an even number of observations
60
50
Frequency
0
4.97 4.98 4.99 5.00 5.01 5.02
Data
53
Measures of Location
Trimmed Mean is a:
Compromise between the Mean and Median.
• The Trimmed Mean is calculated by eliminating a specified percentage
of the smallest and largest observations from the data set and then
calculating the average of the remaining observations
• Useful for data with potential extreme values.
Variable Q3 Maximum
Data 5.0100 5.0200
54
Measures of Location
Mode is:
The most frequently occurring value in a distribution of data.
Mode = 5
60
50
Frequency
40
30
20
10
0
4.97 4.98 4.99 5.00 5.01 5.02
Data
55
Measures of Variation
Range is the:
Difference between the largest observation and the smallest
observation in the data set.
• A small range would indicate a small amount of variability and a large
range a large amount of variability.
Variable Maximum
Data 5.0200
56
Measures of Variation
Standard Deviation is:
Equivalent of the average deviation of values from the Mean for a
distribution of data.
A “unit of measure” for distances from the Mean.
Use when data are symmetrical.
Sample Population
Variable Maximum
Data 5.0200
57
Measures of Variation
Variance is the:
Average squared deviation of each individual data point from the
Mean.
Sample Population
58
Normal Distribution
The Normal Distribution is the most recognized distribution in
statistics.
59
The Normal Curve
60
Normal Distribution
Each combination of Mean and Standard Deviation generates a
unique Normal curve:
– Has a μ = 0, and σ = 1
61
Normal Distribution
The area under the curve between any 2 points represents the
proportion of the distribution between those points.
m x
Convert any raw score to a Z-score using the formula:
-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6
63
The Empirical Rule (cont.)
No matter what the shape of your distribution is, as you travel 3 Standard
Deviations from the Mean, the probability of occurrence beyond that point
begins to converge to a very low number.
64
Why Assess Normality?
While many processes in nature behave according to the normal
distribution, many processes in business, particularly in the areas
of service and transactions, do not
So understanding just how “Normal” the data are will impact how
we look at the data.
65
Tools for Assessing Normality
66
Goodness-of-Fit
The Anderson-Darling test uses an empirical density function.
0
3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5
Raw Data Scale
67
The Normal Probability Plot
Probability Plot of Amount
Normal
99.9
Mean 84.69
StDev 7.913
99 N 70
AD 0.265
95 P-Value 0.684
90
80
70
Percent
60
50
40
30
20
10
5
0.1
60 70 80 90 100 110
Amount
68
Descriptive Statistics
69
Anderson-Darling Caveat
Use the Anderson Darling column to generate these graphs.
Summary for Anderson Darling
Probability Plot of Anderson Darling
A nderson-Darling N ormality Test
Normal
A -S quared 0.18
99.9 P -V alue 0.921
Mean 50.03
M ean 50.031
StDev 4.951
99 S tDev 4.951
N 500 V ariance 24.511
AD 0.177 S kew ness -0.061788
95 P-Value 0.921 Kurtosis -0.180064
90 N 500
80 M inimum 35.727
70 1st Q uartile 46.800
Percent
60 M edian 50.006
50 3rd Q uartile 53.218
40 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 M aximum 62.823
30
95% C onfidence Interv al for M ean
20
49.596 50.466
10 95% C onfidence Interv al for M edian
5 49.663 50.500
95% C onfidence Interv al for S tDev
1 9 5 % C onfidence Inter vals
4.662 5.278
Mean
0.1
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 Median
In this case, both the Histogram and the Normality Plot look very “normal”. However, because
the sample size is so large, the Anderson-Darling test is very sensitive and any slight deviation
from Normal will cause the P-value to be very low. Again, the topic of sensitivity will be covered
in greater detail in the Analyze Phase.
For now, just assume that if N > 100 and the data look
Normal, then they probably are.
70
If the Data Are Not Normal, Don’t Panic!
• There are lots of meaningful statistical tools you can use to analyze
your data (more on that later).
• It just means you may have to think about your data in a slightly
different way.
72
Isolating Special Causes from Common
Causes
If we know that the basic structure of the data should follow a Normal
Distribution, but plots from our data shows otherwise; we know the
data contain Special Causes.
73
Introduction to Graphing
The purpose of Graphing is to:
• Identify potential relationships between variables.
• Identify risk in meeting the critical needs of the Customer,
Business and People.
• Provide insight into the nature of the X’s which may or may not
control Y.
• Show the results of passive data collection.
74
Data Sources
Data sources are suggested by many of the tools that have
been covered so far:
– Process Map
– X-Y Matrix
– Fishbone Diagrams
– FMEA
Examples are:
1. Time 3. Operator
Shift Training
Day of the week Experience
Week of the month Skill
Season of the year Adherence to
procedures
2. Location/position
Facility 4. Any other sources?
Region
Office 75
Graphical Concepts
40
30
Frequency
20
10
0
98 99 100 101 102 103
Histogram
3 3
2 2
1 1
Frequency
0 0
H3_20 H4_20
8 8
6 6
4 4
2 2
0 0
98 99 100 101 102
78
Variation on a Histogram
Using the worksheet “Graphing Data.mtw” create a simple
Histogram for the data column called granular.
Histogram of Granular
25
20
15
Frequency
10
0
44 46 48 50 52 54 56
Granular
79
Dot Plot
The Dot Plot can be a useful alternative to the Histogram especially if
you want to see individual values or you want to brush the data.
Dotplot of Granular
44 46 48 50 52 54 56
Granular
80
Box Plot
Box Plots summarize data about the shape, dispersion and center of the
data and also help spot outliers.
75th Percentile
Middle
50% of 50th Percentile (Median)
Data
Mean
25th Percentile
Outlier
*
Upper Limit: Q3+1.5(Q3-Q1)
Upper Whisker
Box
Q2: Median 50th Percentile
Lower Whisker
82
Box Plot Examples
Boxplot of Glucoselevel vs SubjectID
225
What can you tell
200
about the data
175 expressed in a Box
Glucoselevel
150 Plots?
125
100
75
Cholesterol Levels
50
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8350 9
SubjectID
300
Plot! 100
2-Day 4-Day 14-Day
83
Box Plot Example
84
Box Plot Example
The data shows the setup cycle time to complete “Lockout – Tagout”
for 3 individuals in the department.
17.5
15.0
12.5
Data
10.0
7.5
5.0
85
Individual Value Plot Enhancement
The individual value plot shows the individual data points that
are represented in the Box Plot.
17.5
15.0
12.5
Data
10.0
7.5
5.0
86
Attribute Y Box Plot
Box Plot with an Attribute Y (pass/fail) and a Continuous X
Graph> Box Plot…One Y, With Groups…Scale…Transpose value and
category scales
87
Attribute Y Box Plot
Pass/Fail 1
88
Individual Value Plot
The Individual Value Plot when used with a Categorical X or Y
enhances the information provided in the Box Plot:
– Recall the inherent problem with the Box Plot when a
bimodal distribution exists (Box Plot looks perfectly
symmetrical)
– The Individual Value Plot will highlight the problem
Stat>ANOVA> One-Way (Unstacked )>Graphs…Individual value plot, Box Plots of data
Boxplot of Weibull, Normal, Bi Modal Individual Value Plot of Weibull, Normal, Bi Modal
30 30
25 25
20 20
Data
Data
15 15
10 10
5 5
0 0
89
Jitter Example
Once your graph is created, click once on any of the data points (that
action should select all the data points).
Then go to MINITAB™ menu path: “Editor> Edit Individual
Symbols…Jitter…”
Increase the Jitter in the x-direction to .075, click OK, then click
anywhere on the graph except on the data points to see the results of
the change.
Individual Value Plot of Weibull, Normal, Bi Modal
30
25
20
Data
15
10
90
Time Series Plot
Time Series Plots allow you to examine data over time.
Depending on the shape and frequency of patterns in the
plot, several X’s can be found as critical or eliminated.
Graph> Time Series Plot> Simple...
602
601
600
Time 1
599
598
597
1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Index
91
Time Series Example
Looking at the Time Series Plot below, the response appears to be
very dynamic.
602
601
600
Time 1
599
598
597
1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Index
92
Time Series Example (Cont.)
Let’s look at some other Time Series Plots.
What is happening within each plot?
What is different between the two plots?
Graph> Time Series Plot> Multiple...(use variables Time 2 and Time 3)
603
602
601
Data
600
599
598
597
596
1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Index
93
Curve Fitting Time Series
MINITAB™ allows you to add a smoothed line to your time series
based on a smoothing technique called Lowess.
Lowess means Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoother.
Graph> Time Series Plot> Simple…(select variable Time 3)…Data View…Smoother…Lowess
604
603
602
601
Time 3
600
599
598
597
596
1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Index
94
Summary
95
Measure Phase
Measurement System Analysis
96
Measurement System Analysis
Welcome to Measure
Process Discovery
Basics of MSA
Variables MSA
Attribute MSA
Process Capability
97
Introduction to MSA
So far we have learned that the heart and soul of Six Sigma is
that it is a data-driven methodology.
– How do you know that the data you have used is
accurate and precise?
– How do know if a measurement is a repeatable and
reproducible?
98
Measurement System Analysis
Item to be Reference
Measured Measurement
Operator Measurement Equipment
Process
Procedure
Environment
The item to be measured can be a physical part, document or a scenario for customer service.
Operator can refer to a person or can be different instruments measuring the same products.
Reference is a standard that is used to calibrate the equipment.
Procedure is the method used to perform the test.
Equipment is the device used to measure the product.
Environment is the surroundings where the measures are performed.
99
Measurement Purpose
The question…
What do I need to know?
100
Purpose
The purpose of MSA is to assess the error due to measurement
systems.
101
Accuracy and Precision
Accurate but not precise - On Precise but not accurate - The
average, the shots are in the average is not on the center, but
center of the target but there is a the variability is small
lot of variability
102
MSA Uses
MSA can be used to:
103
Why MSA?
104
Appropriate Measures
105
Poor Measures
106
Examples of What to Measure
Examples of what and when to measure:
• Primary and secondary metrics
• Decision points in Process Maps
• Any and all gauges, measurement devices, instruments, etc
• “X’s” in the process
• Prior to Hypothesis Testing
• Prior to modeling
• Prior to planning designed experiments
• Before and after process changes
• To qualify operators
Observed Variation
Precision Accuracy
All measurement systems have error. If you don’t know how much of the variation
you observe is contributed by your measurement system, you cannot make
confident decisions.
If you were one speeding ticket away from losing your license, how fast
would you be willing to drive in a school zone?
109
Repeatability
Repeatability is the variation in measurements obtained with one
measurement instrument used several times by one appraiser while
measuring the identical characteristic on the same part.
Repeatability
For example:
– Manufacturing: One person measures the purity of multiple
samples of the same vial and gets different purity measures.
– Transactional: One person evaluates a contract multiple times
(over a period of time) and makes different determinations of
errors.
110
Reproducibility
Reproducibility is the variation in the average of the measurements made
by different appraisers using the same measuring instrument when
measuring the identical characteristic on the same part.
Reproducibility
Y Operator A
Operator B
For example:
– Manufacturing: Different people perform purity test on samples
from the same vial and get different results.
– Transactional: Different people evaluate the same contract and
make different determinations.
111
Time Estimate Exercise
112
Accuracy
An accurate measurement is the difference between the observed average
of the measurement and a reference value.
– When a metric or measurement system consistently over or under
estimates the value of an attribute, it is said to be “inaccurate”
Accuracy can be assessed in several ways:
– Measurement of a known standard
– Comparison with another known measurement method
– Prediction of a theoretical value
What happens if we don’t have standards, comparisons or theories?
True
Average
Accuracy
Warning, do not assume your
metrology reference is gospel.
Measurement
113
Accuracy Against a Known Standard
In transactional processes, the measurement system can consist of a
database query.
– For example, you may be interested in measuring product returns
where you will want to analyze the details of the returns over
some time period.
– The query will provide you all the transaction details.
However, before you invest a lot of time analyzing the data, you must
ensure the data has integrity.
– The analysis should include a comparison with known reference
points.
– For the example of product returns, the transaction details should
add up to the same number that appears on financial reports,
such as the income statement.
114
Accuracy vs. Precision
ACCURATE PRECISE BOTH
+ =
115
Bias
Bias is defined as the deviation of the measured value from the actual
value.
Bias Bias
116
Stability
Stability of a gauge is defined as error (measured in terms of Standard
Deviation) as a function of time. Environmental conditions such as
cleanliness, noise, vibration, lighting, chemical, wear and tear or other
factors usually influence gauge instability. Ideally, gauges can be
maintained to give a high degree of Stability but can never be eliminated
unlike Reproducibility. Gage Stability studies would be the first exercise
past calibration procedures.
Control Charts are commonly used to track the Stability of a
measurement system over time.
Drift
117
Linearity
Linearity is defined as the difference in Bias values throughout the
measurement range in which the gauge is intended to be used. This tells
you how accurate your measurements are through the expected range of
the measurements. It answers the question, "Does my gage have the
same accuracy for all sizes of objects being measured?"
+e
B i a s (y)
% Linearity = |Slope| * 100
0.00
*
-e
*
*
Reference Value (x)
y = a + b.x
y: Bias, x: Ref. Value
a: Slope, b: Intercept
118
Types of MSA’s
MSA’s fall into two categories:
– Attribute
– Variable
Attribute Variable
– Pass/Fail – Continuous scale
– Go/No Go – Discrete scale
– Document Preparation – Critical dimensions
– Surface imperfections – Pull strength
– Customer Service Response – Warp
119
Variable MSA’s
MINITAB™ calculates a column of variance components (VarComp) which are used to
calculate % Gage R&R using the ANOVA Method.
Estimates for a Gage R&R study are obtained by calculating the variance components for
each term and for error. Repeatability, Operator and Operator*Part components are
summed to obtain a total Variability due to the measuring system.
We use variance components to assess the Variation contributed by each source of
measurement error relative to the total Variation.
121
Session Window Cheat Sheet
Session Window explanations
122
Number of Distinct Categories
The number of distinct categories tells you how many separate
groups of parts the system is able to distinguish.
Recommended
5 or more Categories
123
AIAG Standards for Gage Acceptance
Here are the Automotive Industry Action Group’s definitions
for Gage acceptance.
% Tolerance
or % Contribution System is…
% Study Variance
124
MINITABTM Graphic Output Cheat Sheet
Gage name: Sample Study - Caliper
Date of study: 2-10-01
Gage R&R (ANOVA) for Data Reported by: B Wheat
Tolerance:
Misc:
%Tolerance
50 0.625
0 0.620
Gage R&R Repeat Reprod Part-to-Part Part 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
UCL=0.005936
measurement system into specific sources. Each
0.005
cluster
0.625 of bars represents a source of variation. By
0.000
R=0.001817
LCL=0
default, each cluster will have two bars, corresponding
0.620
0 to %Contribution
Operator 1 and2 %StudyVar. 3
If you add a
Xbar Chart by Operator tolerance and/or historical
Operator*Part sigma, bars for % Tolerance
Interaction
1 2 3 Operator
0.632
0.631
UCL=0.6316 and/or
0.631
0.630
%Process are added. 1
Sample Mean
0.630 2
0.629
Average
0.629 3
0.628 Mean=0.6282 0.628
0.627
0.626
In a good measurement system, the largest component
0.627
0.626
0.625
0.624
LCL=0.6248 of Variation is Part-to-Part variation. If instead you
0.625
0.624
0 havePartlarge1 amounts
2 3 4 5 of
6 Variation
7 8 9 10 attributed to Gage
125
MINITABTM Graphic Output Cheat Sheet
Gage name: Sample Study - Caliper
Date of study: 2-10-01
Gage R&R (ANOVA) for Data Reported by: B Wheat
Tolerance:
Misc:
%Tolerance
50 0.625
UCL=0.005936
and smallest measurements on each part for each operator.
0.005 If the measurements are the same then the range = 0.
0.625
R=0.001817 - The Center Line, is the grand average for the process.
0.000 LCL=0 - The Control Limits represent the amount of variation
0.620
0 expected
Operator 1 for the subgroup
2 ranges. 3These limits are
Xbar Chart by Operator calculated Operator*Part
using the variation within subgroups.
Interaction
1 2 3 Operator
0.632 UCL=0.6316 0.631
0.631 1
If any of the points on the graph go above 2the upper Control
0.630
Sample Mean
0.630
0.629
Average
0.629
Mean=0.6282
Limit (UCL), then that operator is having problems
0.628
3
0.628
0.627 consistently measuring parts. The Upper Control Limit value
0.627
0.626 0.626
0.625 LCL=0.6248
takes into account the number of measurements by an
0.625
0.624 operator on a part and the variability between parts. If the
0.624
0 Part 1
operators 2
are3 4 5 6
measuring 7 8 9 10
consistently, then these ranges
should be small relative to the data and the points should
stay in control.
126
MINITABTM Graphic Output Cheat Sheet
Gage name: Sample Study - Caliper
Date of study: 2-10-01
Gage R&R (ANOVA) for Data Reported by: B Wheat
Tolerance:
Misc:
%Tolerance
50 MINITABTM provides an R Chart and Xbar Chart by Operator.
0.625
The Xbar Chart compares the part-to-part variation to
repeatability. The Xbar chart consists of the following:
0 0.620
Gage R&R Repeat Reprod Part-to-Part Part 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
- The plotted points are the average measurement on each
R Chart by Operator By Operator
0.010 1 2 3 part for each operator.
- The Center Line is the overall average for all part
0.630
Sample Range
0.630
0.629
Average
0.629 3
0.628 Mean=0.6282 many points are above the Upper Control Limit and/or below
0.628
0.627 0.627
0.626
the Lower Control Limit.
0.626
0.625 LCL=0.6248 0.625
0.624 0.624
0
In this case there are only a few points out of control which
Part 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
indicates the measurement system is inadequate.
127
MINITABTM Graphic Output Cheat Sheet
Gage name: Sample Study - Caliper
Date of study: 2-10-01
Gage R&R (ANOVA) for Data Reported by: B Wheat
Tolerance:
MINITABTM provides an interaction chart that shows Misc:
%Tolerance
50 0.625
Ideally, the lines will follow the same pattern and the
part averages will
0 vary enough that differences 0.620
Gage R&R Repeat Reprod Part-to-Part Part 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
between parts are clear.
R Chart by Operator By Operator
0.010 1 2 3
0.630
Sample Range
UCL=0.005936
Pattern0.005 Means… 0.625
R=0.001817
0.000 LCL=0
Lines are virtually identical Operators are measuring the 0.620
0 Operator 1 2 3
parts the same
Xbar Chart by Operator Operator*Part Interaction
One line is consistently That
1 operator
2 is measuring
3 Operator
0.632 UCL=0.6316 0.631
0.631 1
higher or lower than the parts consistently higher or 0.630
Sample Mean
0.630 2
0.629
Average
3
others 0.629
0.628
lower than the others Mean=0.6282 0.628
0.627 0.627
Lines are not parallel
0.626 or they The operators ability to 0.626
0.625 LCL=0.6248 0.625
cross 0.624 measure a part depends on 0.624
0 which part is being measured Part 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
128
MINITABTM Graphic Output Cheat Sheet
Gage name: Sample Study - Caliper
MINITABTM generates
Gage a “by operator”
R&R (ANOVA) for Data chart that
Date of study:
Reported by:
2-10-01
B Wheat
helps us determine whether the measurements are Tolerance:
Misc:
variability are consistent across operator.
Components of Variation By Part
100
The by operator graph shows all the study %Contribution
%Study Var
0.630
%Tolerance
50
represent the measurements; the circle-cross 0.625
UCL=0.005936
Parallel to the
0.005x-axis The operators are 0.625
measuring the partsR=0.001817
0.000 similarly LCL=0 0.620
0 Operator 1 2 3
Not parallel to the x-axis The operators are
Xbar Chart by Operator
measuring the parts Operator*Part Interaction
1 2 3 Operator
0.632
0.631 differently UCL=0.6316 0.631
0.630
1
Sample Mean
0.630 2
0.629
Average
0.629 3
0.628 Mean=0.6282 0.628
0.627 0.627
You can also assess whether the overall Variability
0.626 0.626
0.625 LCL=0.6248 0.625
in part measurement is the same using this graph.
0.624 0.624
Is the spread in the0 measurements similar? Or is Part 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
129
MINITABTM Graphic Output Cheat Sheet
Gage name: Sample Study - Caliper
Date of study: 2-10-01
Gage R&R (ANOVA) for Data Reported by: B Wheat
Tolerance:
Misc:
MINITABTM allows us to analyze all of the
Components
measurements taken in theofstudy
Variationarranged By Part
100
by part. The measurements are represented %Contribution
%Study Var
0.630
%Tolerance
50
symbol. The red line connects the average 0.625
0.630 2
0.629
Average
0.629 3
0.628 Mean=0.6282 0.628
0.627 0.627
0.626 0.626
0.625 LCL=0.6248 0.625
0.624 0.624
0 Part 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
130
Practical Conclusions
For this example, the measuring system contributes a great deal to the overall
Variation, as confirmed by both the Gage R&R table and graphs.
The Variation due to the measurement system, as a percent of study Variation is
causing 92.21% of the Variation seen in the process.
By AIAG Standards this gage should not be used. By all standards, the
data being produced by this gage is not valid for analysis.
% Tolerance
or % Contribution System is…
% Study Variance
131
Repeatability and Reproducibility Problems
Repeatability Problems:
• Calibrate or replace gage.
• If only occurring with one operator, re-train.
Reproducibility Problems:
• Measurement machines
– Similar machines
• Ensure all have been calibrated and that the standard measurement method
is being utilized.
– Dissimilar machines
• One machine is superior.
• Operators
– Training and skill level of the operators must be assessed.
– Operators should be observed to ensure that standard procedures are followed.
• Operator/machine by part interactions
– Understand why the operator/machine had problems measuring some parts and
not others.
• Re-measure the problem parts
• Problem could be a result of gage linearity
• Problem could be fixture problem
• Problem could be poor gage design
132
Design Types
Crossed Design
• A Crossed Design is used only in non-destructive testing and assumes that all the
parts can be measured multiple times by either operators or multiple machines.
– Gives the ability to separate part-to-part Variation from measurement system
Variation.
– Assesses Repeatability and Reproducibility.
– Assesses the interaction between the operator and the part.
Nested Design
• A Nested Design is used for destructive testing (we will learn about this in MBB
training) and also situations where it is not possible to have all operators or machines
measure all the parts multiple times.
– Destructive testing assumes that all the parts within a single batch are identical
enough to claim they are the same.
– Nested designs are used to test measurement systems where it is not possible
(or desirable) to send operators with parts to different locations.
– Do not include all possible combinations of factors.
– Uses slightly different mathematical model than the Crossed Design.
133
Gage R & R Study
Gage R&R Study
– Is a set of trials conducted to assess the Repeatability and Reproducibility of
the measurement system.
– Multiple people measure the same characteristic of the same set of multiple
units multiple times (a crossed study)
134
Variable Gage R & R Steps
Step 1: Call a team meeting and introduce the concepts of the Gage R&R
Step 2: Select parts for the study across the range of interest
– If the intent is to evaluate the measurement system throughout the process range,
select parts throughout the range
– If only a small improvement is being made to the process, the range of interest is
now the improvement range
Step 3: Identify the inspectors or equipment you plan to use for the analysis
– In the case of inspectors, explain the purpose of the analysis and that the inspection
system is being evaluated not the people
Step 4: Calibrate the gage or gages for the study
– Remember Linearity, Stability and Bias
Step 5: Have the first inspector measure all the samples once in random order
Step 6: Have the second inspector measure all the samples in random order
– Continue this process until all the operators have measured all the parts one time
– This completes the first replicate
Step 7: Repeat steps 5 and 6 for the required number of replicates
– Ensure there is always a delay between the first and second inspection
Step 8: Enter the data into MINITABTM and analyze your results
Step 9: Draw conclusions and make changes if necessary
135
Gage R & R Study
Trial 1
Operator 1
P Trial 2
a
r Trial 1
t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Operator 2
s Trial 2
Trial 1
Operator 3
Trial 2
136
Data Collection Sheet
Create a data collection sheet for:
– 10 parts
– 3 operators
– 2 trials
137
Data Collection Sheet
138
The Data Collection Sheet
139
Gage R & R
Open the file “Gageaiag2.MTW” to view the worksheet.
Variables:
– Part
– Operator
– Response
140
Gage R & R
141
Graphical Output
Looking at the “Components of Variation” chart, the Part to Part Variation needs to be
larger than Gage Variation.
If in the “Components of Variation” chart the “Gage R&R” bars are larger than the “Part-to-
Part” bars, then all your measurement Variation is in the measuring tool i.e.… “maybe the
gage needs to be replaced”. The same concept applies to the “Response by Operator”
chart. If there is extreme Variation within operators, then the training of the operators is
suspect.
Part to Part
Variation needs to
be larger than Gage
Variation
Operator
Error
142
Session Window
143
Session Window
144
Signal Averaging
Signal Averaging can be used to reduce Repeatability error when a
better gage is not available.
– Uses average of repeat measurements.
– Uses Central Limit theorem to estimate how many repeat
measures are necessary.
145
Signal Averaging Example
Suppose SV/Tolerance is 35%.
Suppose the Standard Deviation for one part measured by one person
many times is 9.5.
146
Signal Averaging Example
Determine sample size:
147
Paper Cutting Exercise
Exercise objective: Perform and Analyze a variable MSA
Study.
148
Attribute MSA
A methodology used to assess Attribute Measurement Systems.
An Attribute MSA is similar in many ways to the continuous MSA, including the
purposes. Do you have any visual inspections in your processes? In your experience
how effective have they been?
150
Visual Inspection Test
Take 60 Seconds and count the number of times “F” appears in this
paragraph?
The Necessity of Training Farm Hands for First Class Farms in the Fatherly
Handling of Farm Live Stock is Foremost in the Eyes of Farm Owners. Since
the Forefathers of the Farm Owners Trained the Farm Hands for First Class
Farms in the Fatherly Handling of Farm Live Stock, the Farm Owners Feel
they should carry on with the Family Tradition of Training Farm Hands of First
Class Farmers in the Fatherly Handling of Farm Live Stock Because they
Believe it is the Basis of Good Fundamental Farm Management.
151
How can we Improve Visual Inspection?
Visual Inspection can be improved by:
• Operator Training & Certification
• Develop Visual Aids/Boundary Samples
• Establish Standards
• Establish Set-Up Procedures
• Establish Evaluation Procedures
– Evaluation of the same location on each part.
– Each evaluation performed under the same lighting.
– Ensure all evaluations are made with the same standard.
152
Excel Attribute R & R Template
SCORING REPORT
DATE: 5/10/2006
5
Attribute Legend (used in computations) NAME: Joe Smith
1 pass PRODUCT: My Gadget All operators
2 fail BUSINESS: Unit 1 agree within and All Operators
between each agree with
Other standard
Known Population Operator #1 Operator #2 Operator #3 Y/N Y/N
Sample # Attribute Try #1 Try #2 Try #1 Try #2 Try #1 Try #2 Agree Agree
1 pass pass pass pass pass fail fail N N
2 pass pass pass pass pass fail fail N N
3 fail fail fail fail pass fail fail N N
4 fail fail fail fail fail fail fail Y Y
5 fail fail fail pass fail fail fail N N
6 pass pass pass pass pass pass pass Y Y
7 pass fail fail fail fail fail fail Y N
8 pass pass pass pass pass pass pass Y Y
9 fail pass pass pass pass pass pass Y N
10 fail pass pass fail fail fail fail N N
11 pass pass pass pass pass pass pass Y Y
12 pass pass pass pass pass pass pass Y Y
153
Attribute: Precision Assessment Deliverable
Repeatability
Reproducibility R
A
C A
T
154
Statistical Report
155
M&M Exercise
Exercise objective: Perform and Analyze an Attribute MSA Study.
156
Summary
157
Measure Phase
Process Capability
158
Process Capability
Welcome to Measure
Process Discovery
Process Capability
Continuous Capability
Concept of Stability
Attribute Capability
159
Understanding Process Capability
Process Capability:
160
Capability as a Statistical Problem
Define a Practical
Problem
Create a
Statistical Problem
Correct the
Statistical Problem
161
Capability Analysis
The X’s The Y’s
(Inputs)
Y = f(X) (Process Function) Variation – “Voice of
(Outputs)
the Process”
Frequency
Op i Verified Op i + 1
? Data for
Y1…Yn
X1
Y1 10.16
10.11
10.16 9.87
X2 Off-Line 10.05
10.11 9.99
10.16
9.87 10.11
Analysis Scrap 10.33
10.05 10.12
9.99 10.05
Correction 10.44
10.33 10.43
10.12 10.33
X3 Y2 9.86
10.44 10.21
10.43 10.44
10.01
10.21 9.86
9.80 9.90 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.5
10.07
9.86
10.29
10.07 10.15
10.01 10.07
10.36
10.29 10.44
10.15 10.29
10.03
10.44 10.36
X4 10.36
10.33
10.03
10.15
10.33
Yes No Y3 10.15
X5 Correctable
?
Requirements – “Voice
Critical X(s): of the Customer”
Data - VOP
Any variable(s) 10.16
10.11 9.87 10.16
LSL = 9.96 USL = 10.44
which exerts an 10.05
10.33
9.99
10.12
10.43
10.11
10.05
10.44 10.33
undue influence on 9.86
10.07
10.21
10.01
10.44
9.86
10.15
the important 10.29
10.36 10.44
10.03
10.07
10.29
outputs (CTQ’s) of a
10.36
10.33
10.15
9.70 9.80 9.90 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.6
Percent Composition
162
Process Output Categories
Target Target
Capable and
on target
Average
LSL USL
Target
163
Problem Solving Options – Shift the Mean
This involves finding the variables that will shift the process over to
the target. This is usually the easiest option.
USL
LSL
Shift
164
Problem Solving Options – Reduce Variation
LSL USL
165
Problem Solving Options – Shift Mean &
Reduce Variation
USL
LSL Shift & Reduce
166
Problem Solving Options
Move Spec
167
Capability Studies
Capability Studies:
• Are intended to be regular, periodic, estimations of a process’s ability to
meet its requirements.
• Can be conducted on both Discrete and Continuous Data.
• Are most meaningful when conducted on stable, predictable processes.
• Are commonly reported as Sigma Level which is optimal (short term)
performance.
• Require a thorough understanding of the following:
– Customer’s or business’s specification limits
– Nature of long-term vs. short-term data
– Mean and Standard Deviation of the process
– Assessment of the Normality of the data (Continuous Data only)
– Procedure for determining Sigma level
168
Steps to Capability
#1 Verify Customer
Requirements
#2 Validate
Specification
Limits
#3 Collect Sample
Data
#4 Determine
Data Type
(LT or ST)
#5 Check data
for normality
#6 Calculate
Z-Score, PPM,
Yield, Capability
Cp, Cpk, Pp, Ppk
#7
169
Verifying the Specifications
Questions to consider:
170
Data Collection
Capability Studies should include “all” observations (100% sampling) for a specified period.
Short-term data: Long-term data:
•Collected across a narrow •Is collected across a broader inference
inference space. space.
•Daily, weekly; for one shift, •Monthly, quarterly; across multiple
machine, operator, etc. shifts, machines, operators, etc
•Is potentially free of special cause •Subject to both common and special
variation. causes of variation.
•Often reflects the optimal •More representative of process
performance level. performance over a period of time.
•Typically consists of 30 – 50 data •Typically consists of at least 100 – 200
points. data points.
Lot 1 Lot 5
Fill Quantity
Lot 3
Lot 2
Lot 4
Short-term studies
Long-term study
171
Baseline Performance
Process Baseline: The
average, long-term performance
level of a process when all input
variables are unconstrained.
Long-term
baseline
Short Term
4
Performance
` 3
2
1
LSL TARGET USL
172
Components of Variation
Even stable processes will drift and shift over time by as much as 1.5
Standard Deviations on the average.
Long Term
Overall Variation
Short Term
Between Group Variation
Short Term
Within Group Variation
173
Sum of the Squares Formulas
Precision
Shift (short-term capability)
x
x x
x
x x
x x x
x x
x
x x x Time
x x
x x x x
x x x
x
174
Stability
A Stable Process is consistent over time. Time Series Plots and Control
Charts are the typical graphs used to determine stability.
60
PC Data
50
Tic toc…
40
tic toc…
30
1 48 96 144 192 240 288 336 384 432 480
Index
175
Measures of Capability
Mathematically Cpk and Ppk are the same and Cp and Pp are the
same.
The only difference is the source of the data, Short-term and Long-
term, respectively.
Hope
– Cp and Pp
• What is Possible if your process is perfectly Centered
• The Best your process can be
• Process Potential (Entitlement)
Reality
– Cpk and Ppk
• The Reality of your process performance
• How the process is actually running
• Process Capability relative to specification limits
176
Capability Formulas
Sample Mean
177
MINITAB™ Example
Open worksheet “Camshaft.mtw”. Check for Normality.
178
MINITAB™ Example
Create a Capability Analysis for both suppliers, assume long-term
data.
Note the subgroup size for this example is 5.
LSL=598 USL=602
179
MINITAB™ Example
LSL USL
P rocess Data Within
LS L 598 Ov erall
Target *
USL 602 P otential (Within) C apability
S ample M ean 599.115 Cp 1.19
S ample N 100 C P L 0.66
S tDev (Within) 0.559239 C P U 1.72
S tDev (O v erall) 0.604106 C pk 0.66
O v erall C apability
Pp 1.10
PPL 0.62
PPU 1.59
P pk 0.62
C pm *
180
MINITAB™ Example
LSL USL
P rocess Data Within
LS L 598 Ov erall
Target *
USL 602 P otential (Within) C apability
S ample M ean 600.061 Cp 0.66
S ample N 100 C P L 0.68
S tDev (Within) 1.00606 C P U 0.64
S tDev (O v erall) 1.14898 C pk 0.64
O v erall C apability
Pp 0.58
PPL 0.60
PPU 0.56
P pk 0.56
C pm *
181
MINITAB™ Example
MINITAB™ has a selection to calculate Benchmark Z’s or Sigma levels
along with the Cp and Pp statistics. By selecting these the graph will
display the “Sigma Level” of your process!
182
MINITAB™ Example
LSL USL
P rocess Data Within
LS L 598 Ov erall
Target *
USL 602 P otential (Within) C apability
S ample M ean 599.115 Z.Bench 1.99
S ample N 100 Z.LS L 1.99
S tDev (Within) 0.559239 Z.U S L 5.16
S tDev (O v erall) 0.604106 C pk 0.66
O v erall C apability
Z.Bench 1.85
Z.LS L 1.85
Z.U S L 4.78
P pk 0.62
C pm *
183
MINITAB™ Example
LSL USL
P rocess Data Within
LS L 598 Ov erall
Target *
USL 602 P otential (Within) C apability
S ample M ean 600.061 Z.Bench 1.67
S ample N 100 Z.LS L 2.05
S tDev (Within) 1.00606 Z.U S L 1.93
S tDev (O v erall) 1.14898 C pk 0.64
O v erall C apability
Z.Bench 1.39
Z.LS L 1.79
Z.U S L 1.69
P pk 0.56
C pm *
184
Example Short Term
Option 1 Option 2
185
Continuous Variable Caveats
Capability indices assume Normally Distributed data.
Always perform a Normality test before assessing capability.
Process Capability
LSL USL
Process Data Within
LSL 35.00000 Overall
Target *
Potential (Within) Capability
USL 65.00000
Z.Bench 2.54
Sample Mean 50.19214
Sample N 150 Z.LSL 2.81
Z.USL 2.74
StDev(Within) 5.40199
Cpk 0.91
StDev(Overall) 20.93958
CCpk 0.93
Overall Capability
Z.Bench 0.07
Z.LSL 0.73
Z.USL 0.71
Ppk 0.24
Cpm * Probability Plot
99.9
Mean 50.19
StDev 20.90
99 N 150
AD 11.238
95 P-Value <0.005
0 15 30 45 60 75 90 90
80
70
Observed Performance Exp. Within Performance Exp. Overall Performance
Percent
60
50
PPM < LSL 413333.33 PPM < LSL 2459.27 PPM < LSL 234065.73 40
30
PPM > USL 453333.33 PPM > USL 3060.91 PPM > USL 239730.12 20
0.1
0 25 50 75 100 125
186
Capability Steps
#2 Validate
Specification
Limits
#3 Collect Sample
Data
#4 Determine
Data Type
(LT or ST)
#5 Check data
for Normality
#6 Calculate
Z-Score, PPM,
Yield, Capability
Cp, Cpk, Pp, Ppk
#7
187
Attribute Capability Steps
Select Output for
Improvement Notice the difference when we come
to step 5…
#1 Verify Customer
Requirements
Validate
#2 Specification
Limits
#3 Collect Sample
Data
#4
Calculate
DPU
#5
Find Z-Score
#6 Convert Z-Score
to Cp & Cpk
#7
188
Z Scores
Z Score is a measure of the distance in Standard Deviations of a sample from
the Mean.
The Z Score effectively transforms the actual data into standard normal units.
By referring to a standard Z table you can estimate the area under the Normal
curve.
– Given an average of 50 with a Standard Deviation of 3 what is the
proportion beyond the upper spec limit of 54?
50
54
189
Z Table
190
Attribute Capability
Attribute data is always long-term in the shifted condition since it requires so
many samples to get a good estimate with reasonable confidence.
5 0.3 232.7
6 0.0 3.4
191
Attribute Capability
By viewing these formulas you can see there is a relationship between
them.
192
Attribute Capability Example
A total of 20,000 calls came in during the month but 2,500 of them
“dropped” before they were answered (the caller hung up).
193
Attribute Capability Example
1. Calculate DPU
2. Look up DPU value on the Z-Table
3. Find Z-Score
4. Convert Z Score to Cpk, Ppk
Example:
Look up ZLT
ZLT = 1.11
Convert ZLT to ZST = 1.11+1.5 = 1.61
194
Attribute Capability
1. Calculate DPU
2. Look up DPU value on the Z-Table
3. Find Z Score
4. Convert Z Score to Cpk, Ppk
Example:
Look up ZLT
ZLT = 1.11
Convert ZLT to ZST = 1.11+1.5 = 1.61
195
Summary
196
Measure Phase
Wrap Up and Action Items
197
Measure Phase Overview - The Goal
The goal of the Measure Phase is to:
198
Six Sigma Behaviors
199
Measure Phase Deliverables
Listed below are the Measure Deliverables that each candidate should
present in a Power Point presentation to their mentor and project
champion.
It won’t all be
smooth
sailing…..
201
DMAIC Roadmap
Process Owner
Champion/
Estimate COPQ
Establish Team
Measure
202
Measure Phase
Detailed Problem Statement Determined
Select the Vital Few X’s Causing Problems (X-Y Matrix, FMEA)
Y
Repeatable &
Reproducible?
N
203
Measure Phase Checklist
Measure Questions
Identify critical X’s and potential failure modes
• Is the “as is” Process Map created?
• Are the decision points identified?
• Where are the data collection points?
• Is there an analysis of the measurement system?
• Where did you get the data?
Identify critical X’s and potential failure modes
• Is there a completed X-Y Matrix?
• Who participated in these activities?
• Is there a completed FMEA?
• Has the Problem Statement changed?
• Have you identified more COPQ?
Stability Assessment
• is the “Voice of the Process” stable?
• If not, have the special causes been acknowledged?
• Can the good signals be incorporated into the process?
• Can the bad signals be removed from the process?
• How stable can you make the process?
Capability Assessment
• What is the short-term and long-term Capability of the process?
• What is the problem, one of centering, spread or some combination?
General Questions
• Are there any issues or barriers that prevent you from completing this phase?
• Do you have adequate resources to complete the project?
204
Planning for Action
WHAT WHO WHEN WHY WHY NOT HOW
Identify the complexity of the process
Focus on the problem solving process
Define Characteristics of Data
Validate Financial Benefits
Balance and Focus Resources
205
Summary
206
Thank you!!!
QUESTIONS
AND
DISCUSSIONS
207