TH Supports NATO’s Enhanced

Forward Presence
Asian’s getting worse, crimia getting harms by Russia. Unnecessary war. We provoke Russia that’s why we lost
Send the troops to Soutern European. crimia. We are only sending the troops if the aggression
1. Rusia worse in aggression. is there, not provoking them.
Massive intensive to invade: Rebuttals:
Resources: Oil Defence: there are mechanism based on international
terrority to attack other countries, poor countries can
Interest to get the land. defence themselves.
Russia wants to take the advandtage the Devision of Currently is in a bad economic state, investment to
eastern and western europes to maintain international economy and market is prioritized than to the military.
recognation. They want to fix the internal political problems.
Harms: civils are killed and massive chaos, civils in crimia Economic sanction are still powerful: Gas export is
ara arrested. declining.
2. Negotiation failed: 1. Security dilemma.
a. Russia make a good relation with china. Russia doesn’t attack other countries yet, investtment to
b. We send the troops and train them from military insecure each other. This provocation, feeling of
aggression of Russia. threaten. Military activity is close approximaty too close
c. Russia doesnt have a nerve to against all to Russia, missile test training. Russia think to prepare
members of NATO. them selves from Nato’a attack. We create insecurity
toward Russia.
2. What is focus of Nato
US taking its troops, Nato has limited budgets, we dont
have investment to our internal economic problems to
prevent the right wings.
 TH Supports NATO’s Enhanced
Forward Presence
Economic sanction is not working at all. Economic
decreased only 10%. We never hurt the Russian
citizens nothing to do to the Russian aggression.
Rebuttals:
Deploy later is too late, innocent people were
already killed, Putin doent want to obey he
international laws, we dont sent hateful
hatespeech to Russia.
Eastern countreis are already feeling insecurity,
such as south and north Korea.
Limited resources dont want to see casualties in
european countries.
Nato send explecit message to Russia as collecive
body.
Even aggressive behaviour, it will not turn the
violation to European countries.
We want to prevent future harms of victims. The
existenncy of Nato already provokes Russia since
long time ago. All efforts have been failed to stop
Russia aggression.
Nato put near the border of Russia, it sends direct
attact to Russia, this provokes Russia in the first
place.
1. Russia will not attact other countries
Russia economic is crumbling, the only ally they
have onnly from eastern countres, they cannot
ruin the relationship, because other european
counties already sanctionized them.
Geographcally, export ad import only to eastern
countries, they need products.
Russia has sense of belonging to crimia used to
be Soviet union, and has similar culture and
language. Nato presence can harm their citizens
which antagonise the russia.
Militray capacity of Rassia is still equivalent,
Economic sanction is more appropriate, because
Russia has not all resources. You want to
decapicatethe russia in terms of military.
Justification: Russian people already support their
government to attact other countries.
 TH Supports NATO’s Enhanced
Forward Presence
Likely behaviour of actors Russia behaviours:
Clarification: Nato presense will give Oprression to individuals,
Security dilemma: we arent living in peace. Russia Russia spread the narrative, we want to maintain
inherently unpredictable and we cannot trust you. Geographically activiely incentivize them to
them in term of security. intervene, they are always freeling threten.
Sentiment: Russia want to bring the glory of 1. Violence as means not to best solution
Univiet Soviet. Individuals are denying the cultural difference,
1. Propotionate as self defence when they Nato is there, they put the influence
Russia attacts the Uraine first in the anexation of to individuals.
Crimia by lying and funding the rebel groups
which tople down the local government.
Russia is less aggressive, MAD. Economic is not so
down. MAD shows the clear vision we are not
longer playing, Nato’s millitary is bigger. Our soft
approach is failing.
2. Output
Growing narrative in this nation is important to
tackle by Nato. We need to keep out the narrative
from Russia, Nato cannot neglect them because
their contribution to Nato, we canot judge you
just from your contribution even you are small
member.
 TH Supports NATO’s Enhanced
Forward Presence
They joinned Nato because they need nato and cannot 1. Nature of Russian Federation:
protect themselves. 2. More chaos and conflict?
Rebuttals:
Russia economic is down, how they can do retaliation. Nature of Russian Federation
Russia is feeling entitled to this country regardless of our 1. Currently , Russia has trade relation, this is not
presence. Putin’s character is unpredictable, Nato’s justify.
agrrement how Putin breaks the agreement. 2. Ukraine case, Russia influence to Crimia becuase
1. MAD there is cultural ties.
Russia intervention is they know they are small 3. They have closer emotional ties and cultural ties,
countries, if we collectively big numbers of military, citizens have internal conflict.
Russia is thinking of big costs. 4. Russia is agressive when there is the threaten,
Russia will use another metrics, the method we are using even more tensions, conflicts and chaos.
is better. Subsidy is perfectly fine. Even Russia is hostile, 5. Citizens of Russia are feeling oppressed this
why we are afraid of this. We have bigger capacities incentivize rusian governemt to be more
against Russia. aggressive.
We need to deploy more military.
2. Protect the best interest of Nato Tension and conflict
Output, maintain our constituent in this country, youu 1. Excuse to the russia to deploy more military and creat
are not going anywehre rather than to Nato. Morelikely more harms to all parties.
thesse countries choose Russia over other European
countries, we are not there. Your presence shows the
friendly message to protect small countries as our allays.