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TATA STEEL
Q1. Why does TSL need to raise capital? Explain.
• Tata steel has to issue securities that do not cause short time cash burden on the
company and provide necessary finances.
• Characteristics that are required for the securities to be issued in 2011:
• These securities should be able to generate sufficient finances for the company.
• These securities should have a long term deferred payment with no coupons in
the short duration which could prevent the immediate outflow of cash from the
company.
• These securities should not provide any ownership or stock privileges to prevent
the dilution of the shares.
• The maturity period of these securities should be of longer duration which could
be indefinitely extended at company’s discretion.
The fund can be raised through the followings:
• As TSL was constantly raising money through private equity and debentures, the
company’s plan to offer 57m equity shares to public was not a surprise.
• With respect to the recent financing, public equity seemed to be the better
option since the amount to be raised was quite significant, Rs. 34.77 billion.
• TSL had constantly reduced its debt, it was still quite high, given that raising
capital through public equity will have a significant impact on the debt-equity
ratio, public equity seemed to be the right instrument this time around.
• Securities like CARS had been useful in lengthening its debt maturity profiles and
stretching payments, thereby lowering costs with coupon rate of 1% paid semi-
annually.
• Also, the ECA backed buyer’s credit which was long-term being paid over 10
years was very useful in rotating credits and worthy purchase during this high
debt bearing period.
Q3. How has TSL performed in the
recent past?
• Tata steel has overpaid for the Corus acquisition but it seems to have performed well in
the recent past.
Performance Indicators:
This is reinforced by the following factors:
• Tata steel has expanded its operations in India, Europe and Asia Pacific. It has gathered a
global footprint.
• They have increased the production capacity from 5 mtpa to 27.2 mtpa for meeting the
global demand.
• It has successfully featured among the top 10 steel producers of the world.
• Tata steel has its own captive mines in India and has acquired several other coal and iron
ore mines in the other parts of the world to maintain its low raw material cost advantage
with a higher quality of steel, giving it a competitive edge.
• The Corus acquisition helped TSL achieve greater economies of scale and cost
efficiencies. In addition, the strategic partnerships with the ports and other
distribution channels make way for a smooth growth in the future
• Through the acquisition of Corus, the company has expanded its range of
products, lowered the cost and increased reliability by integrating the best
capabilities of both the companies
• Even though the Net sales was higher in 2008 & 2009, the expense was also quite
high, TSL had always a higher EBITDA/ton vis-à-vis domestic peers.
• The years 2009 and 2010 had negative growth, and in the year 2010 the net profit
was negative, given the decrease in demand of steel, TSL managed to get through
these turbulent periods due to its liquidity and high debt-equity ratio, mainly
done through raising capital at regular intervals.
• Though the year 2010 was a very low period for the Global steel industry, the
year 2011 had positive forecast, with the net profit coming back to positive
figures
Q4. How would you explain the company’s
choice of securities in the recent years?
Choice of securities:
• Over the years, the net debt position of TATA steel reduced considerably,
it was still quite high. Following the acquisition of Corus, TATA steel was
seizing opportunities to either re-negotiate terms or exchange
securities, or raise money at lower costs. It had also raised equity
whenever it could. Also novel-fund raising options like CARS.
• By 2010, the company had a debt of about US$10.7 billion out of which
US$5.32 billion was in lieu of loans for expansion of Indian operations.
The outstanding debt included a part of US$4.58 billion loan for
acquisition of Corus.
The company financing history in the recent years are as follows:
EPS P/E
Industry Mean
Price(Rs.) High Price(Rs.) Low Price(Rs.)
But the market price for TATA shares during 2009 was ranging as high as
Expected Share Price 1001.317 1497.383 165.36
Rs.620+ and low as Rs.150 and in Jan 2010 it is trading at Rs.621. This
indicates that the shares of TATA are undervalued and could be
expected to increase in the coming months.
From the Exhibit 9a and the above table we can also see that,
Value of equity has been increasing every year. This could be indication to
increase in the share price in the coming days. But as a individual investor, one
has to look into price multiples rather than enterprise multiples unless a big
stake is planned in the company.
As Anuj what recommendation
would you give? Why?
• Based on multiples valuation, using P/E and EV/EBITDA valuation Values are
well above the current stock price range of Rs. 594-610. This shows that TSL is
undervalued.
TSL’s situation:
• Tata Steel is currently stuck in the middle from the business strategy point of
view. As mentioned, growth trajectory for steel industry is through
consolidating.
• Tata steel is adding investments that offers synergies to their current
operations.
• They had performed well even though the industry had always remained
volatile in pricing and demand.
Key recommendations to TSL:
• Tata steel to increase its market share and reduce costs. TATA Steel Share is 11%, SAIL 32%
and JSW 19%. Total crude steel production in India for 2010 was around 69 million tonnes.
• At a broad level, Tata Steel should focus on optimizing the utilization of its current
production capacity (reduce downtime, wastages, etc.), boost quality perception to lure
customers away from competitors, reduce costs to increase margins and invest in expansion
plans to keep up with the growth rate of the Indian economy.
• It should build a reputation of having the latest technological updates in production
techniques, machinery and personnel.
• Tata Steel should continue its growth plans for the Jamshedpur and Orissa plants to maintain
and grow its market share.
• TSL should see that so much of production doesn’t create over supply of steel in the market
as it will drive down the prices, rather it can aim at making Specialty Steels products like
stainless steels, Tool Steels, Die Steels, Valve Steels etc.
• Verdict:
• Therefore, as an analyst, I would recommend the investors to BUY TSL shares as current
stock is below its intrinsic value.
Value the company’s equity by the sum-of-
the-parts valuation methodology
• Given:
• EBITDA (TATA Steel) : 125,626M
• EBITDA (Corus) : 41,231M
• EBITDA (Asian Subsidiaries): 3,842M
• Net Debt: 416,029M
• No. of Shares Outstanding: 914.85M
• Exchange Rate: $1=Rs.45
2007 2008 2009
EV/EBITDA 4.7 4.8 4.8
GM 4.77