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DECISION – MAKING
DECISION - MAKING
TOPICS
1. Introduction to Decision Making
2. Types of Decisions
3. Nature of Decision-Making
4. Different Approaches in Decision-making
5. The Rational Model of Decision Making (Steps)
6. Challenges to Rational Model
7. Decision Making Strategies
8. Techniques for Effective Decision Making
9. Role of Goals and Objectives in DM
10. Role of Boards and Committees in DM
11. DM Practices Abroad
12. Case Study- ICL (Indian Cricket League)
1.INTRODUCTION TO DECISION MAKING
• Integral process of planning
• Decision = choice made from available alternatives
• Decision Making = process of identifying problems and
opportunities and resolving them
• Decision Making- The process of examining possibilities,
options and choosing a course of action.
• It is a conscious human process
• Decision making is the one truly distinctive characteristic
of managers.
• Decisions made by top managers commit the total
organization toward particular courses of action.
2. TYPES OF DECISIONS
●
Direction to organizations
●
Vision, Mission and Long term Goals
Strategic Decisions ●
Develop strategies based on resources
●
Expensive and long term impact
●
High Managerial competence & Risky
●
Supports Strategic Decisions
Tactical Decisions ●
Medium term
●
taken at Department, division and unit level
●
Pre programmed
Operational ●
●
Highly structured
Every day decisions
Decisions ●
As per policy manuals
●
Frontline management
2. TYPES OF DECISIONS
Another classification proposed by Herbert simon :
Programmed Decisions
• Non Recurring
Non-programmed Decisions
• No specific Procedures or Rules
• Previous experience not available
•Experience
●
●
Based
Repetitive
on limited information
and routine
in the past
●
Rules or guidelines to make decisions
3. NATURE OF DECISION MAKING
Decisions made by Individuals and groups
Managers mix rational and other factors in DM
in case of new opportunities difficult to develop alternatives
decisions based on past needs to be implemented in future
future is uncertain and difficult to predict with accuracy
bounded rationality by Herbert simon- not perfectly rational
but serves the purpose- “satisficing”.
Intuitive DM- decisions based on rational and gut-feel.
DM under certainty
DM under uncertainty
DM under Risk
DIFFERENT APPRAOCHES TO DECISION MAKING
Authoritarian or Individual Decision Making :
i. Individual knowledge based Decisions
ii. Then announced to the group for implementation
iii. Less time in making decisions and more time in
explaining and agreement by the group
Group Decision Making
iv. Group develops ideas, shares ideas, analyses and
agrees upon
v. Time consuming to make decisions and less time in
communicating
vi. Group members work hard since it is agreed upon
THE RATIONAL MODEL OF DECISION MAKING
Assumptions:
Decision-making is a goal oriented process
All choices are known
order of preference
Maximum advantage
Steps :
1. Awareness of Problem
2. Diagnose and state the problem
3. Develop the alternatives
4. Evaluate the alternatives
5. Select the best alternative
6. Implement and verify the Decision
CHALLENGES TO RATIONAL MODEL
• Impossible to state the problem accurately
• Not fully aware of problems
• Imperfect knowledge
• Limited time and resources
• Cognitive limits
• Politics
Bounded Rationality:
A concept that suggests that the ability of managers to be
perfectly rational in DM is limited by such factors as
cognitive capacity and time constraints.
DECISION MAKING STRATEGIES
a) Optimising :
The best possible solution to a problem. Implementation depends on
time that is available, cost of generating alternatives, availability of
resources, knowledge and attitude and values of the people involved.
b) Satisficing
Combination of satisfactory and sufficient. Choosing the first
satisfactory alternative as a decision rather than identifying the best
alternative
c) Maxi-max
Optimistic strategy, choosing best alternative which maximises the
maximum pay off.
d) Maxi-min
Pessimistic strategy, worst possible outcome of each decision is
considered and the decision with highest number of minimums chosen
TECHNIQUES FOR MAKING EFFECTIVE DECISIONS
They help identify and analyze factors
help in choosing the best action
provide a structured analysis of factors
bring out the consequences of the decisions and help managers to choose the
best option
Techniques
a) Pareto Analysis
b) paired comparison analysis
c) Grid analysis
d) Decision Trees
Other elements to consider for making effective decisions
1. Six Thinking hats- Edward de bono;
2. Cost benefit analysis
3. Impact analysis
4. prioritization
ROLE OF GOALS AND OBJECTIVES IN DM
Goal: A goal is a future target or end result that an
organization wishes to achieve.
Objective: It is an end point of a management program
Goals and Objectives are used interchangeably however
goals provide direction for the organizations and they are
broad whereas objectives are detailed roadmaps and help
reach the goals.
Criteria of effective goals/objectives:
•Acceptance criteria
•Smart Criteria
• Building agreement at the top
• Communication for building understanding
ROLE OF BOARDS AND COMMITTEES IN DM
• Audit committee
• Compensation committee
• Governance committee
• Nominating committee
• Disclosure committee
• Other standing or special committees
Types of Board Committees
Audit Committee –three independent directors; to implement
and support the oversight function of the board, specifically in
the areas related to the internal controls, risk management,
financial reporting, and audit committees.