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Preferred Solution
Space Systems Engineering: Trade Studies Module 10
Example Qualitative Decision Matrix
For a Lunar Thermal Control Trade Study
Characteristics Single Phase Fluid Two Phase Fluid Heat Pipe
2002
‚‚ 2002 NEP
NEP Art.
Art. Gravity
Gravity
Type
2001
2001 DPT/NEXT
DPT/NEXT Conjunction Class Opposition Class Special Case
Long Surface Stay Short Surface Stay 1-year Round-trip
M1
M1 2005
2005 MSFC
MSFC MEPT
MEPT
M2
M2 2005
2005 MSFC
MSFC NTP
NTP MSAMSA
ƒ
Deployment
Cargo
No No No No No No No No
ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU
ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU ISRU
Interplanetary
Propulsion
in Phase 1)
(no hybrids
Electric
Electric
Electric
Electric
Electric
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
NTR
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
Electric
Electric
Electric
Electric
Electric
Electric
Electric
Electric
Electric
NTR
Chemical
NTR
Chemical
Chemical
Electric
Electric
NTR
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48
” “ • • M2 M2 Ž ‚ M2 Œ
M2 M2
‘ ’ M1 M1 M1
NTR- Nuclear Thermal Rocket
Space Systems Engineering: Trade Studies Module Electric= Solar or Nuclear Electric Propulsion 14
Earth-Moon Transit Trade Tree
Outbound Lunar Surface (LS) Inbound
EO LO
LO - LS
1,4&C4,5-8,12 M M N
ES - EO EO - LO Water
L1 - ES
L N Land
K
EO
LO - EO N
EO - LS
9, 13 Water
7,8
L EO - ES
Land
L1 - LO LO LO - LS K
M M N
L1 - LS
11 LO - ES
Water
Land
K
LS - L1
L1
L N
L1
ES
ES - L1 L
EO
1,3-6,10,12
L1 - EO
Earth Su rface L Water
EO - ES
Land
K
M
H = Human Mission Segment M N
Water
L1 - ES 2,11
C = Cargo Mission Segment Land
LS - EO
EO
LO - LS
10 EO - ES
Water
ES - LO LO Land
L L
M M N
Water
ES - LS
C1-3,5-13 LS - ES
9,13
Hum an M ission Segm ent Land
H C
Cargo M ission Segm ent (Pre-Deployed Surface Cargo) L L N
Orbital Operations & Lunar Earth EDL Orbit Earth Entry Vehicle
Earth-Moon Transit; Descent/Ascent Capture Options L/D Options
Propulsion Options Lander Options
LO
L1 - LO
Location LS
Destination
LO - LS
Dock Optional
K
280
EO - ES
Land
K
M M N
Water
L1 - ES
Land
LS - EO EO
N
LO - LS Water
17
EO - ES
ES - LO LO Land
L L
L L N
240
NTR N/A
Other Hybrid Options N/A
Modular Elements
52
40 47 47
34
10 9 9 9 20
0 3 3 3 3
Assumptions
Trade studies are based on assumptions the team makes.
Examples of driving assumptions:
• Crew size assumption drives the amount of consumables and the
viability of an open ECLSS versus partially closed ECLSS.
• Mission duration assumption drives the amount of power required
which in turn drives the choice of power subsystem.
• Landing location on the moon drives delta-v requirements which in
turn drives best orbit selection and propulsion subsystem.
Changing assumptions within the trade study allows the team to
perform a ‘what-if’ analysis.
• Allows the team to understand the integrity of the design alternative
selected
• Shows the importance of that assumption
Mission environment
The trade space for subsystem alternatives is often defined by
the space environment for the mission.
• Why use RTGs when the mission is at 1 AU or on the Moon. When
do we use RTGs? For deep space missions where solar intensity is
less.
• Types of thermal control - need to consider the operating
temperature extremes
• Types of rendezvous and ‘landing’ with a NEO - need to understand
the orbit, spin and known composition of asteroid
• Sometimes the worst of the space environment, such as a solar
particle event (SPE) for radiation, can be avoided by operational
solutions rather than design solutions, i.e., perform the mission
during the minimum of the solar cycle or using early warning
sentinel satellites.
• Lunar missions - is your system operating at one particular location
or region (like Apollo at equatorial latitudes), or at global sites
depending on the particular mission?
For each trade what criteria will be used and what are their
relative weights?
Define
Evaluation
Criteria/
Weighting
factors
Study Inputs:
Constraints
Ops Concept Determine
Existing Scope of the Evaluate Perform TRADE
requirements Trade Study Alternatives Sensitivity STUDY
Assumptions Against Analyses RESULTS
Relevant plans Criteria
& documents
Data - graphical
Generate Recommended
Create
Viable approach
Trade
Alternative Benefits
Tree
Solutions
Resulting risk
posture
Summary of
results
Summary of
approach
Phase I Analysis
Requirements
Mass Estimation Benchmark Baseline
BaselineReference
Reference Design Environments
“Pseudo-Apollo” Mission
Mission Subsystem Technologies
Architectural
ArchitecturalVariations
Variations Parametric
ParametricVariations
Variations
• 2-launch solution • Alternate propellants.
• 2-launch solution • Alternate propellants.
• 3-launch solution • Alternate power sources.
• 3-launch solution • Alternate power sources.
• 25mt launch constraint • Variation in return payload
• 25mt launch constraint • Variation in return payload
• Initial CEV/lander mating in LEO •
• Initial CEV/lander mating in LEO Variation of delivered payload to the lunar surface
• Variation of delivered payload to the lunar surface
• Single pass aerocapture, deorbit phasing, and capability of •
• Single pass aerocapture, deorbit phasing, and capability of All versus partial crew to the lunar surface
land landing • All versus partial crew to the lunar surface
land landing • Reduce crew size to 2
• Reduce crew size to 2
• Increase crew size to 6
• Increase crew size to 6
• Change in time between launches (7 to 30 days)
• Change in time between launches (7 to 30 days)
• Reduce lunar surface stay time to 3 days
• Reduce lunar surface stay time to 3 days
• Increase lunar surface stay time to 14 days
Architectural • Increase lunar surface stay time to 14 days
ArchitecturalVariation
Variation •
•
Effects of elimination of CEV contingency EVA requirement
Effects of elimination of CEV contingency EVA requirement
• Lunar Orbit Rendezvous of CEV/lander
• Lunar Orbit Rendezvous of CEV/lander • Mass effect of supplemental radiation shielding
• Mass effect of supplemental radiation shielding
Mission
MissionDesign
Design Reference
ReferenceOperations
OperationsConcept
Concept
L1-Earth Co-Planar Inbound Delta V Requirement (m/s)
• Moon: Inclination near maximum, Distance near perigee
MOON
• L1 Departure Time in June 2006 MOON
23/06:00
Kick Stage
Expended
Low Lunar
23/00:00 Orbit
9
0 22/18:00
Expended
ht
0 L1 (~322,000
ig
22/12:00 km)
e Fl
4 weeks
m y
Ti Da
8 22/06:00
5-
0
ht
ig
0 22/00:00
e Fl
m y
Ti -Da
8
21/18:00
4
0 (dd/hh:mm) Earth
Departure
ht
0
9 21/12:00
Stage Earth
ig
Expended Departure
e Fl
0 Stage Service
m y
Expended
10
Ti Da
Module
0 21/06:00 Expended
3-
00
11 LEO 407
21/00:00 Earth Vacuum Perigee Arrival Date km
00
120
0
13 20/18:00
00
16/18:00
17/00:00
17/06:00
17/12:00
17/18:00
18/00:00
18/06:00
18/12:00
18/18:00
19/00:00
19/06:00 Continue
Water CEV Missions
L1 Departure Date (dd/hh:mm) Landing Reused?
700-800 800-900
Initial
InitialMass
900-1000
MassininLEO
LEO
1000-1100 1100-1200 1200-1300 1300-1400
EARTH
EARTH
• •
Lander EDS #1 25
160
90 93
# of Critical Events Total Mass
Lander EDS #4
142
25 Kick Stage
33
• Mission Complexity • Dry Mass
Kick Stage
120
Kick Stage
Kick Stage
26
27
Lander EDS #1 • Abort Options • Surface Time
27 Kick Stage Kick Stage Descent Stg 42
Descent Stg
27 27
Descent Stg
23 Descent Stg
23
• Crew Time • Etc.
25
•
Ascent Stg Descent Stg
80
23
Ascent Stg
Descent Stg
23
Descent Stg
23
Ascent Stg
20 Ascent Stg
20
13
Ascent Stg, 10
Technology Risk
20
CEV EDS #1
• Probability of launch Extensibility
CEV EDS #1
success
21 CEV EDS #1 CEV EDS #1
42
40
CEV EDS #1
39 CEV EDS #1 CEV EDS #1
64 45
• Long-Stays
• Etc.
33 33 CEV EDS #2
21
CEV SM, 18 CEV SM, 15 CEV SM, 15 CEV SM, 18 CEV SM, 12
CEV SM, 20 CEV SM, 27 • Mars
0
CEV CM, 9 CEV CM, 9 CEV CM, 9 CEV CM, 9 CEV CM, 9 CEV CM, 11 CEV CM, 8 • Other destinations
BRM 2 Launch 3 Launch 25t Launch Limit Initial Mating in Aerocapture & "Pseudo-Apollo" • Etc.
Solution Solution LEO Land Landing
L1 - LO
K
LO
LO - LS
Lunar Surface (LS)
LS
Inbound
Mission Scenarios
ES - EO EO - LO Water
L1 - ES
L Land
K
EO
LO - EO N
EO - LS Water
L EO - ES
LO Land
L1 - LO LO - LS K
M M N
L1 - LS Water
LO - ES
Land
K
LS - L1 L1
L
LS - EO EO
N
LO - LS Water
L L N
Trade tree defined for each LMS served as the 0 50 100 150
Mass (t)
200 250 300 350 400 450
mission concepts
478b) Medium L/D 47 3 unless otherwise
80 16 indicated.
9b) ES Direct to LO
96
10b) Single Crew Module 19
52
40 47 47
10 9 9 9 20
0 3 3 3 3
more detail
1) DRM 2) Thru LO 3) LO/L1 Hybrid 5b) NTR Thru LO 10b) Single
Module Thru LO
conducted
100
Storables
90
LOX/RP1
80 LOX/Methane
70
50
40
Sensitivity Analyses
Space Systems Engineering: Trade Studies Module 31
Example: Trade Option Analyses
Outbound Lunar Surface (LS) Inbound
LO
L1 - LO
Location LS
Destination
LO - LS
Dock Optional
K
T ransportation Functions LS - LO LO
L Earth
Element Trades LO - L1 L1 Surface
EO - L1 L1 L
L1 - LS
L1 - EO EO
K
K Water
L EO - ES
K Land
LO - LS M M N
EO LO
ES - EO EO - LO Water
L1 - ES
L Land
K
EO
LO - EO N
EO - LS
Water
L EO - ES
LO Land
L1 - LO LO - LS K
M M N
L1 - LS Water
LO - ES
Land
K
LS - L1 L1
L N
L1 L
ES - L1
ES L1 - EO EO
Earth Surface L Water
EO - ES
Land
K
M M N
Water
L1 - ES
Land
LS - EO EO
N
LO - LS Water
EO - ES
ES - LO LO Land
L L
M M N
ES - LS Water
LS - ES
Land
L L N
100
Storables
90
LOX/RP1
80 LOX/Methane
70
60
50
40
30
20
Percent Increase of IMLEO (%)
10
0
Ascent Only Ascent + Descent Ascent + Descent + All Stages
TEI
Note - Percent Increase of IMLEO compared to Baseline (All LOX/LH2)
Space Systems Engineering: Trade Studies Module 32
ECLSS Design Options for a Lunar Rover