Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
AND HOUSING:
THE INDIAN PERSPECTIVE
Keki Mistry
Managing Director, HDFC
3.50
25
Property Value (Rs Lac) &
3.00
15.6
15 2.00
11.1 1.50
10
8.3
6.6
1.00
5.9 5.3
5 5.1 4.7 4.3 4.5
0.50
0 0.00
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Tenor (years) 15 15 15
70%
54%
50%
37%
36%
40%
23%
30%
13%
20%
9%
3%
10%
0%
Germany
Malaysia
Thailand
UK
Hong Kong
India
Taiwan
USA
Denmark
Korea
Singapore
Housing Shortage
250 25
23.4
200 21.8 20
19.8
No of Households (Million)
19.4
Usable Housing Stock &
Shortfall (Million)
150 14.6 15
13.5
100 10
50 5
0 0
1961 1971 1981 1991 2001E 2005E
Source : NBO,
Increasing Urbanisation Trends
Population Projection: 2001-2025
Urban
80 72 Rural
71 70
68
Urban-Rural Population (%)
66
70 64
60
50
40 34 36
30 32
28 29
30
20
10
0
2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Year
Source: Census Population Figures
Typical Profile of a Customer
• Single largest investment in his/her life time
• Typically first time borrowers
• Besides finance, looks for advice on legal and
technical issues
• Debt adverse nature
• Generally salaried class individuals
• Preference for floating rate loans
• Increased competition has meant more choices
for the customer
The Indian Real Estate Market:
Contribution to the Economy
• Second largest employment generator in the
country
– Construction sector provides employment to
16% of the workforce – growing at the rate
of 7% p.a.
– Over 55% are in the unskilled category
• Estimated that for every rupee invested in
construction, 78 paise is added to the GDP
• Real estate is a growth engine for development
of over 269 allied industries
• Real estate growth gives boost to construction,
steel and cement sectors
Real Estate Segmentation
– Housing
• Housing for consumers
• Employee/staff housing
– Non-housing
• Offices
• Manufacturing plants
• Malls, Retailing, Multiplexes
• Hospitals/Educational institutes
• Agricultural estates
• Government owned real estate
Non-Housing Real Estate
Market
• Greater thrust in recent years towards
intellectual capital and services
• Post 1998: IT & ITES changed the face of
real estate development
• There is a gravitation of corporates away
from main cities towards the outskirts,
secondary business districts
• Public private partnerships
• Development of other infrastructure
facilities
Non-Housing Real Estate Market
• Developers are building properties and
leasing out the same to consumers
• Developers also borrow by discounting
lease rental receivables
• Several multinational companies prefer
the leasing route
Opportunities
• Growth drivers
– Call centres and BPOs
– Family entertainment centres
• Multiplexes
• Retailing
• Restaurants and beverage chains
– Biotech units
– Pharmaceuticals (R&D centres)
• Venture capital funds permitted to invest in
real estate
Policy Measures Needed for
Real Estate
• Tax Reforms to be implemented
– Reduce stamp duty and registration charges
• Government will collect more revenues
• Litigations would reduce as registrations
increase
• People will invest more into properties providing
liquidity to the market
– Rationalise property taxes
Policy Measures Needed for
Real Estate
• Repeal ULCRA - many states yet to do so
• Tedious building approval processes
• Encourage single window clearance for land
development permissions
• Computerisation of land records and
simplification of land transactions
• Need to establish a management information
system to monitor building activity
Securitisation
• Will be an important source of funding going
forward
• Benefits include diversity of funding sources,
improving capital allocation efficiency, asset-liability
management, moving assets off the balance sheet
• Current Drawbacks:
– The Securities Contract Regulation Act does not recognise
MBS and ABS as “securities”, hence not listed
– Lack of secondary market trading
– Need for market makers
– Need to rationalise stamp duties
• Stronger foreclosure norms and introduction of
mortgage insurance will help deepen the market
Role of Developers
• Developers need to corporatise themselves
• Increase transparency in terms of
financial disclosures
• Need to adhere to a code of ethics
• World over property developers are listed
– Increases credibility
– Access to more funds
The Future
• Private capital imperative to create permanent and
supportive housing solutions
• Smaller housing finance institutions may need to
re-orient their role as originators
• Further development of the secondary mortgage
market
• Effective foreclosure norms will help increase risk
appetite
• Access to long-term pension/provident funds
• Real Estate Mutual Funds
• Mortgage Insurance
Thank You