Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Private Equity
Warsaw, March 28, 2008
www.cet.co.uk
Central Europe Trust Company Limited Belgrade - Bucharest - Budapest - London - Moscow - Prague - Warsaw - Zagreb
Contents page
1 2
Next Steps
P1
Section
Country Overview
P2
22.28 million (July 2007est.) Bucharest (1.9 mln); Iasi (0.31 mln); Constanta (0.3 mln); Cluj-Napoca (0.3 mln); Timisoara (0.3 mln); Galati (0.29 mln); Craiova (0.29 mln); Brasov (0.28 mln)
Economic Overview
Romania, which joined the European Union on 1st January 2007, began the transition from Communism in 1989. The country emerged in 2000 from a three-year recession thanks to strong demand in the EU export markets. Domestic consumption and investment have influenced GDP growth in recent years. Romania experienced a real GDP growth of 5.2% in 2005, that grew further to 5.6% in 2006 and to 5.9% in 2007 (est.) The industrial production index increase was estimated for 8% y/y for the end of 2007 - growth in exports reached 11,7% in Jan-Sep. period of 2007. During the period Jan-Sep. 2007, industrial production increased by 5.8% in comparison to the same period of 2006. The increase was mainly due to manufacturing (+6.7%), mining and quarrying (+0.8%). The electric and thermal energy, gas and water sector experienced a 1.0% decrease The Romanian currency appreciation against both the Euro and the US dollar keeps a steady range. Estimation for 2008 and 2009 is RON 3.37 and 3.25 respectively to Euro 1 2007 follows a successful 2006 - the seventh year of uninterrupted economic growth, though accompanied by a widening current account deficit Total government debt stands as one of the lowest levels in Europe - approximately 18.7% of the GDP, as of the end of 2007 (est.), less than half of the EU-25 average of 60% (of GDP) Romanian unemployment rate is decreasing steadily reaching an average of 4.5% in 2007 (est.)
P3 Source: National Institute of Statistics, The World Bank, Eurostat, INS, Ernst&Young, CET
Climate
Continental climate with 4 distinguished seasons including hot summers and winters with lots of snow. Temperatures are characteristic for the continental climate
Romanian 89.5%, Hungarian 6.6%, Gypsies 2.5%, Ukrainian 0.3%, German 0.3%, Russian 0.2%, Turkish 0.2%, other 0.4% Romanian is the official language, many (especially young) people speak an additional language (usually English).
P4
Romania was formed by blending incumbent Balkan inhabitants (the Thracians) with the Romans ; Romanian language belongs to the Romance language group Romanias current territory includes 3 historical provinces (Muntenia, Moldavia and Transylvania) which evolved into stand-alone independent states and followed a similar history, periods of independence alternating with periods of domination by neighbouring empires (Austrian, Turkish, Russian) The Great Union of 1918 brought all three Romanian provinces into a national state, whose population is 90% Romanian
Following Russian occupation in 1944, a communist regime came to power and survived until the December 1989 Revolution, which marked the return of Romania into the European democracies
After 1989 Romania passed through a turbulent and painful transition period, marked by deep reaching transformation in the economy and society. Macroeconomic stability has been re-established starting late 1990s Romania joined NATO in 2004 and the EU in 2007
Source: CET P5
Hungary
Moldavia
SATU MARE MARE MURES Suceava SUCEAVA SALAJ BIHOR CLUJ BITRISTA NASAUD NEAMT
Main industrial centres are clustered around the large towns: Bucharest (1.9 million) Iasi (0.3 million)
Iasi
Cluj Napoca
ALBA
MURES
HARGHITA BACAU
VASLUI
Galati
Brasov
ARGES BUZAU PRAHOVA
Ukraine
CARAS SEVERIN
GORJ
VILCEA
Braila
IALOMITA
TULCEA
Pitesti
MEHEDINTI DIMBOVITA
Craiova
DOLJ OLT TELEORMAN
BUCHAREST
GIURGIU CALARASI
Constanta
CONSTANTA
Black Sea
Bulgaria
Romania is divided into 41 counties and 1 municipality*: Alba, Arad, Arges, Bacau, Bihor, Bistrita-Nasaud, Botosani, Braila, Brasov, Bucuresti (Bucharest)*, Buzau, Calarasi, Caras-Severin, Cluj, Constanta, Covasna, Dimbovita, Dolj, Galati, Gorj, Giurgiu, Harghita, Hunedoara, Ialomita, Iasi, Ilfov, Maramures, Mehedinti, Mures, Neamt, Olt, Prahova, Salaj, Satu Mare, Sibiu, Suceava, Teleorman, Timis, Tulcea, Vaslui, Vilcea, Vrancea
Source: National Institute of Statistics, CET P6
Total population of Romania has fallen 2.6% since its peak in 1988. The population is expected to continue falling for the next decade due to net emigration and low birth rates Romanian society is quite young. However, the proportion of retired people is rising In 2007 there were 10.8 million males and 11.4 million females living in Romania The birth rate is estimated births/1,000 population for 2007 at 10.67
2001 22.46
2002 22.43
2003 21.77
2004 21.71
2005 21.66
2006 21.61
2007** 22.28
2.1
40 1,776
5.7
45 2,028
5.1
44 2,009
5.2
48 2,194
8.4
56 2,541
5.2
84 3,851
5.6
91 4,286
5.9
109 5,107
40.7
10.5 -2,008 - 4.0 1,134
30.3
8.8 -3,759 - 5.5 1,320
17.8
8.4 -2,628 - 3.3 1,095
14.1
7.4 -3,201 - 6.0 1,764
9.3
6.3 -3,905 - 7.5 3,734
8.6
5.9 -6,587 - 8.7 5,457
4.8
5.2
6.6
4.5
-8,935 app. -14,901 (Jan-Sep. 2007) -10.0 8,663 -12.0 app. 6,526
(Jan-Nov 2007)
* Annual growth as compared to preceding year-end ** Estimates Source: National Institute of Statistics, IMF, Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment , Central Bank of Romania, ABN AMRO Romania, World Bank P8
3.6%
6.1%
6.2%
4,5
5.6%
2.3%
1 134
1 095
2006
2007 (Jan-Sep)
2008 (Forecast)
Major Deals
SNP Petrom (2004) 51% equity was sold by the Ministry of Economy to Austrian OMV for Euro 1,500 million
BCR (2006) 61.8% equity sold by National Privatization Agency to Austrian Erste Bank for Euro 3,751 million Electrica Muntenia Sud (2006) 67.5% equity sold by the Ministry of Economy to Italian ENEL for Euro 820 million
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No. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9.
Company AUTOMOBILE-DACIA SA MITTAL STEEL GALAI SA A&D PHARMA HOLDINGS SRL ROMPETROL RAFINARE SA TELEMOBIL SA COSMOTE ROMANIAN MOBILE TELECOMMUNICATIONS SA HIPROMA SA KAUFLAND ROMANIA SCS RAIFFEISEN BANK SA
Investing Company RENAULT SA MITTAL STEEL HOLDING AG A&D PHARMA HOLDINGS NV HE ROMPETROL GROUP N.V. INQUAM (ROMANIA) SA COSMOTE MOBILE TELECOMMUNICATIONS SA BEARBULL SAS SC KAUFLAND RUMANIEN WARENHANDEL GMBH RAIFFEISEN INTERNATIONAL BANK - HOLDING AG
Country France Switzerland Holland Holland Great Britain Greece France Germany Austria
Activity Automotive Steel production Pharmaceuticals Oil processing Telecommunications Telecommunications Retailing Retailing Banking
10.
Switzerland
Metalurgy
According to the Romanian market experts, since the 1990s, Romania has been shaping itself as an important emerging market in the CEE region to receive important inflows of FDI Therefore, the investment model and industries have undergone a number of changes along with the evolution of Romania's business environment In recent years, foreign investors entering Romania have oriented their investments towards mass consumers through the service industry, IT and communication, R&D and technical innovation
Source: Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment P11
Metallurgy , 3.54% Electronics and Electrical Engineering, 3.51% Constructions, 5.55% Energy sector, 7.70%
Telecom, 22.01%
P12
As for the regional spread, most FDI projects were registered in: Bucuresti-Ilfov Development Region - 298 projects, with an aggregate value of app. Euro 2.78 billion, of which app. Euro 1.97 billion were foreign investments Central Development Region (counties Alba, Brasov, Covasna, Harghita, Mures, Sibiu) 81 investment projects, with an aggregate value of app. Euro 660,77 million, of which app. Euro 446.63 million were foreign investment Southern Muntenia Development Region (counties Arges, Calarasi, Dambovita, Giurgiu) - 40 projects, with an aggregate value of app. Euro 412.64 million, of which app. Euro 329.71 million were foreign investment
As for the country of origin, foreign investors that registered larger investment projects in excess of app. Euro 0.68 million are coming from the Netherlands, with app. Euro 1.02 billion, representing over 22% of total FDI, followed by Austria with app. Euro 430.99 million, representing over 10% FDI, from Germany with app. Euro 430.99 million, representing over 9% and from France, with app. Euro 344.66 million, representing over 7% of the total investment Bucharest will register in 2008 a GDP per capita of Euro 11,700, double the national average; other regions per capita GDP will be as follows: W (Euro 6,500), NE (Euro 3,800), SE (Euro 4,800), S (Euro 4,650), SW (Euro 4,750), NW (Euro 5,200), Central (Euro 6,150) Romanias NE region has one of the lowest regional per capita GDP in the EU-27
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Road system in Romania is still developing Currently Romania has the least developed motorway network among all the European Union members, with only 239 km in use as of January 2007. This is due to the fact that before 1989 rail, air, and marine transport were preferred. Since 1989 little progress was made However, in recent years a master plan for the national motorway network has been developed, and work has begun around the country, which will result in significant changes by 2015
Roads in Romania
P15
Air Transport There are 17 commercial airports in Romania: Arad International Airport Bacau International Airport Baia Mare Airport Bucharest / Baneasa Bucharest / Otopeni Caransebes Airport Constanta "Mihail Kogalniceanu" International Airport Cluj-Napoca International Airport Craiova Airport Iasi Oradea International Airport Satu Mare International Airport Sibiu International Airport Suceava Airport Targu-Mures International Airport Timisoara International Airport Tulcea Airport The largest airports are located in Bucharest, Timisoara and ClujNapoca
Baia Mare
Satu Mare
Suceava
Caransebes
Airport
International airports are managed by entities owned by the Ministry of Transports, Constructions and Tourism. The other airports (serving only national air traffic) are owned by local public companies
The national airline, TAROM, is fully state owned and there are no current prospects for its privatization
P16
Railways In 2006 the railway network in Romania comprised 11,385 km of track, of which 60 km are broad gauge (1.524 m), 10,898 km are standard gauge (1.435 m) and 427 km are narrow gauge (0.760m) 3,888 km of the Romanian rail is electrified Total transportation by rail constitutes about 45% of all passenger and freight movement in Romania In terms of size and scale of operations, railways are comparable with larger EU railways. However, as in other centrally planned economies, Romanian railways had very short lengths of haul, averaging only 250 km
Source: The World Bank, Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment, CET
P17
Romania has an opening to the Black Sea The largest port of Romania and also the largest Black Sea port with a traffic of over 80 million tons per year is Constanta. Other ports on the Black Sea are: Mangalia and Sulina The most important river in Romania is Danube. After entering the country in the southwest at Bazias, the Danube flows some 1,000 kilometres through or along Romanian territory
Sulina
Orsova Drobeta Turnu-Severin Cernavoda Oltenita Calarasi Turnu Mgurele
All of the country's rivers are tributaries of the Danube, either directly or indirectly. The most important of these rivers are the Mures River, the Olt River, the Prut, the Siret River, the Ialomita River, the Somes River, and the Arges River
The main ports on the Danube are: Orsova, Drobeta-Turnu Severin, Turnu Magurele, Giurgiu, Oltenita, Calarasi, Cernavoda. Three ports - Braila, Galati and Tulcea - are both river and sea ports The Danube is Romania's most important river, not only for transportation, but also for the production of hydroelectric power. One of Europe's largest hydroelectric stations is located at the Iron Gates, where the Danube surges through the Carpathian gorges. An obvious problem with the use of the Danube for inland transportation is its remoteness from most of the major industrial centres
Main ports
Source: CET
P18
Administrative Environment
P19
North-West North-West
North-East
North-East
South-East
South South South-West South-West South-East
Includes Bucharest and the Ilfov Includes Bucharest and the Ilfov Agriculture Sector Agriculture Sector Includes 5 counties (Valcea, Olt, Dolj, Mehedinti, Gorj) Population: Average salary: salary*: % of total population: Urbanisation: 2.3 million 256.4 $ 312.8 11% 47.2% Includes 7 counties (Prahova, Ialomita, Calarasi, Giurgiu, Teleorman, Arges, Dambovita) Population: Average salary*: % of total population: Urbanisation: 3.3 million 221.9 15% 41.4% Population: Population: 2.3 million 2.3 million Average salary*: Average salary: $ 464.3 380.5 % of total population: 11% % of total population: 11% Urbanisation: Urbanisation: 90.6% 90.6%
In 2005 gross average salary reached its highest level in the Bucharest / Ilfov region Euro 380.5. This region is expected to be a salary leader in 2007 and the following years. The poorest region as far as the gross average salary is concern is the South-East Region reaching Euro 193.7 in 2005
Source: National Institute of Statistics, CET P20
Limited Liability Company is the most commonly used form of business activities for local and foreign investors. The reasons are: comparably low administrative requirements greater flexibility compared to other types of companies and low initial capital requirements
Source: Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment, Ernst&Young, ANEIR- Foreign Trade Promotion Centre P21
France
33.3%
Germany
25.0%
Czech Republic
24.0%
(21% as of January 1st, 2008)
Poland
19.0%
Slovakia
19.0%
Hungary
16.0%
Romania
16.0%
P22
The following entities are liable for corporate income tax: Romanian companies Foreign companies doing business in Romania through permanent presence Foreign companies and non-resident individuals doing business in Romania through a joint venture Foreign companies which derive revenues from real estate transactions or from transactions with shares of a Romanian company Romanian individuals who form joint ventures with Romanian companies, for revenues derived in or outside Romania
Industrial parks represent a defined area where a company carries out economic activities, scientific research and/or technological development activities to capitalize on the human and material potential of the area The setting up of industrial parks is based on a partnership between central and local public authorities, companies, research and development institutes and other interested partners Industrial parks are defined as special regime areas that offer financial and fiscal facilities to Romanian and foreign companies involved in manufacturing operations and related services
Industrial park
The authority in charge of giving the goahead for the creation of industrial parks is the Regional National Development Agency (RNDA), which is also responsible for the management and distribution of funds to promote investments into these areas
Most of the industrial parks in Romania are located in South, Central and North-East parts of the country
Source: ANEIR- Foreign Trade Promotion Centre P24
Section
P25
Introduction
P26
Initial screening of market players: The Nut Company / Flipper (Tunari) Best Foods (Bucharest) Granex (Bucharest) Depal (Bucharest, Valcea) Elite Romania / Strauss Romania (Bucharest) Alka (Bucharest) Caliprix (Bucharest) Standard Nutricia (Bucharest, Voluntari) Natura land (Oras Pantelimon) Sano Vita (Pausesti Maglasi)
Most market players are located in the Southern parts of the country, around the capital city
Bucharest
Voluntari
First initial selection of potential acquisition targets: Alka (Bucharest) Caliprix (Bucharest) Standard Nutricia (Bucharest, Voluntari)
Source: CET
P27
According to the industry experts, Romanias mass grocery retail (MGR) sector has been one of the most dynamic in the Central and Eastern European region, with total sector sales expected to reach Euro 3.61billion by 2011, representing a growth rate of 179.5% between 2006 and 2011. In 2006 the market was estimated to be worth app. Euro 1.29 million
According to MEMRB a market research company the Romanian Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) market in 2006 grew 12.10% by volume and 29,40% by value. In the food market the growth was 20.20% by volume and 35.40% by value, while for non-food products growth was 12.40% by volume and 32.10% by value.
Furthermore, Euromonitor International predicts that Romania is expected to continue to experience excellent growth rates for food and beverages through 2011
P28
Romanian nut market has been hurt by over-supply and low prices, the same as the global market. Annual global output is at app. 210,000 tonnes/year. The nuts global price depreciation was severe from 3.2 Euro/kg in 2005 to only 1.3 Euro/kg in 2006 consequently bringing many nuts farmers close to bankruptcy. In Romania 70-80% of nut supplies originate from Turkey, a country close to Romania and enjoying traditional trade ties.
The other nuts producers present on the Romanian market are Italy, Spain and the US
* Domestic annual per capita beer consumption has increased from 52 litres in 2002 to 66 litres in 2005 , 77 litres in 2006 and 89 litres in 2007. More than 68% of beer sales are from retail shops and most likely consumed at home, possibly accompanied with seeds, peanuts or other snacks
P29
P30
Overall ecological products market in Romania is very small due to the relatively high prices of these products, limited purchasing power of the Romanians, lack of awareness and to the fact that almost every citizen has relatives in the country side, where everyone cultivates vegetables
Only 1% of the Romanian consumers include ecological products in their daily and / or weekly food provisions However, according to the market experts, a number of factors suggest that the domestic market will grow rapidly over the next five years. Currently, demand for organic food is strongest in urban areas and will grow as the rural population continues to move to the cities where better employment opportunities are offered. Also, as the economy continues to grow and standards of living rise, demand for organic products is expected to follow trends similar to the growth patterns experienced in the Western Europe markets Current best seller of ecological products in Romania are ecological sugar and oat bread
Source: National Institute of Statistics, Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment, CET
P31
Market Players
P32
Tunari
Felix, Flipper and local brand Fiesta Recently 2 new Felix brands were launched in the Romanian market: Honey Peanuts and Paprika Peanuts
Turnover 2006 slightly more than Euro 8 million Production facility in Tunari has processing capacity of 20 tonnes/day of peanuts, hazelnuts, pistachio, seeds, raisins According to the company, today Felix is the European market leader in the nuts market. The Nut Company has five operating companies: Felix in Germany, Imko in The Netherlands, Benoit in France, Felix Polska in Poland and Flipper in Romania. With this geographical structure they can easily supply any customer in Europe
Others
P33
Bucharest
P34
Bucharest
Company: Granex
Contact details Ownership status Year of establishment Main products Main brand (if any) Financials Str. Danubiu, nr. 12, Bucharest, Tel.: +40 73 148 6718 Website: http://www.granex.net JSC Granex (Lithuanian origin) Almost recently end of 2007 Sunflower seeds, pumpkin seeds, pistachio, peanuts and hazelnuts, micro popcorn, dried fruits and kozinaki (a sweet snack produced either of sunflower nuclei or sesame seeds which are glued with caramel mass) Yes mainly for sunflower seeds products N/A
Granex was established in Lithuania and operates in Central and Eastern Europe also has its subsidiary in Latvia and Estoni They are engaged in roasting, packaging and selling of may types of seeds and nuts According to the company, they export their production to more than ten European countries In 2004 JSC "Granex" has increased its activities by supplying raw material to wholesale and production companies
Others
P35
DEPAL *
Valcea Bucharest
Company: Depal
Contact details Ownership status Year of establishment Main products Main brand (if any) Financials Others Rm Valcea Ferdinand 50, Rm Valcea, Valcea Private limited liability. company 1993 Peanuts Depal Average annual sales: Euro 1.7 3.4 million
Company factory is located in Bucharest; floor size is between 1,000-3,000 square meters
Source: CET
P36
Bucharest
Others
Source: Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment, Zirul Financiar, company websites, CET
Oras Pantelimon
P38
Pausesti Maglasi
The Sano Vita Muesli - muesli with fruits, muesli with nuts, muesli instant N/A After 12 years of operations the company owns a full production line, packing and distribution network and operates several warehouses in different parts of the country
Others
P39
P40
Bucharest
Employment Operations
P41 Source: Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment, company websites, CET
Other
P42 Source: Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment, company websites, CET
RON
2005 Fixed Assets Current Assets, of which Inventories Cash & Equivalent Accounts Receivable Total Equity Share Capital Total Liabilities 18,306,744 22,010,395 11,052,418 870,731 10,087,246 12,821,681 7,955,941 27,547,394 2006 17,349,048 22,479,096 9,310,286 298,497 12,870,313 12,209,538 7,955,941 27,857,146 2005
Euro
2006/2005 (%) 2006 4,922,414 6,377,953 2,641,591 84,692 3,651,671 3,464,190 2,257,325 7,903,858 -2.57% 5.00% -13.40% -64.76% 31.17% -2.10% 2.81% 3.96% 5,052,366 6,074,514 3,050,289 240,308 2,783,917 3,538,577 2,195,711 7,602,637
Turnover
Total Revenues Total Expenses Net Profit
42,660,882
47,506,715 48,656,654 (1,149,939)
43,633,964
44,961,675 45,026,207 (64,532)
11,773,716
13,111,088 13,428,452 (317,365)
12,380,186
12,756,895 12,775,204 (18,310)
5.15%
-2.70% -4.86% decrease of loss
Source: CET
P43
Caliprix *
Bucharest
Company: Caliprix
Contact details Ownership status Year of establishment Main products Main brand (if any) Employment Sos. Berceni, No. 104 Bucharest, Sector 4, Tel.: +40 21 224 3782 Fax: +4 021/2243249 Caliprix is a subsidiary of Bitar International holding company (Romanian origin), with activities in most East European countries and the Middle East N/A
One of the main local rice traders The company has a factory in Bucharest of over 7,000 sq. m, including space for storing and packaging the products it markets under the brand Caliprix, mainly rice, beans, sugar, lentil and popcorn
Caliprix 50-100 employees in Caliprix; 500-1000 employees in the entire Bitar holding According to the company manager: The rice market has become saturated in Romania, that is why we want to develop other segments of the business The company invested Euro 500,000 in a modern peanut roasting facility located in Bucharest - total surface area of 700 sq. metres According to the company, it has a 45% of the rice market share Caliprixs main competitor in the Romanian rice market is Atifco, with the two companies holding together app. 80%of the rice market in Romania
Operations
Market
*company logo is not available Source: Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment, company websites, CET P44
RON 2005 Fixed Assets Current Assets, of which Inventories Cash & Equivalent Accounts Receivable Total Equity Share Capital Total Liabilities Turnover Total Revenues Total Expenses Gross Profit Net Profit 719,043 10,274,160 3,351,822 1,039,796 5,882,542 1,372,583 0 9,078,405 38,579,909 41,271,078 39,618,212 1,652,866 1,372,453 2006 930,567 12,940,873 4,692,383 811,119 7,437,371 2,192,704 200 11,699,714 38,272,524 40,080,487 39,029,368 1,051,119 820,120 2005
Euro 2006 264,028 3,671,690 1,331,361 230,137 2,110,192 622,132 3,319,539 10,858,994 11,371,964 11,073,732 298,232 232,691 198,444 2,835,503 925,049 286,967 1,623,487 378,811 0 2,505,493 10,647,433 11,390,152 10,933,988 456,164 378,775
2006/2005 (%) 33.05% 29.49% 43.92% -19.80% 29.98% 64.23% 32.49% 1.99% -0.16% 1.28% -34.62% -38.57%
57 increase from 0
Source: CET
P45
Bucharest Voluntari
Ownership status
Year of establishment
Main products
Employment
Operations
P46
Market
Other
P47
Section
Next Steps
P48
Next Steps
Next Steps
CET may support Bakalland in further identification of market / industry trends on the Romanian market
CET could develop market entry strategy for the Romanian market CET could identify and select potential acquisition targets based on Bakallands requirements CET could organise and participate in Bakallands site visits / meetings with short listed targeted entities CET could assists and support Bakalland in negotiation process with the most attractive selected acquisition targets CET could maintain open communication lines with selected targets using CET Warsaw and CET Bucharest offices CET may provide other support as needed by Bakalland
P49
CENTRAL EUROPE TRUST POLSKA Sp. z o.o. ul. Ks. I. Skorupki 5 00-546 Warszawa Poland Tel. (0048-22) 583 68 50/51 Fax. (0048-22) 583 68 49 E-mail: cet_office@cet.com.pl
CENTRAL EUROPE TRUST COMPANY LTD. Marble Arch Tower 55 Bryanston Street London W1H 7 LZ Tel. (0044-20) 72 58 71 00 Fax.(00-4420) 72 58 71 01 www.cet.co.uk
P50